青岛银行（002948.SZ）2025 年度业绩快报点评 业绩高增，质量优异 glmszqdatemark 资料来源：Wind，国联民生证券研究所预测；（注：股价为 2026 年 1 月 28 日收盘价） 推荐 首次评级 当前价格： 4.63 元 [Table_Author] | 分析师 王先爽 | | --- | | 执业证书： S0590525120014 | | 邮箱： wangxianshuang@glms.com.cn | | 分析师 乔丹 | | 执业证书： S0590526010003 | | 邮箱： qiaodan@glms.com.cn | 相对走势 -10% 7% 23% 40% 2025/2 2025/8 2026/1 青岛银行 沪深300 [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 项目/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 13,498 | 14,573 | 16,046 | 17,636 | | 增长率（%） | 8.2 | 8.0 | 10. ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·工业金属 鼎胜新材（603876） 2025 年业绩预告点评：电池箔盈利水平明显 提升，Q4 业绩超预期 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 19,064 | 24,022 | 26,582 | 30,163 | 33,019 | | 同比（%） | (11.76) | 26.01 | 10.66 | 13.47 | 9.47 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 534.83 | 301.09 | 522.25 | 904.18 | 1,102.78 | | 同比（%） | (61.29) | (43.70) | 73.45 | 73.13 | 21.96 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.58 | 0.32 | 0.56 | 0.97 | 1.19 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 27.21 | 48.33 | 27.86 | 16.09 | 13.20 | ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·其他电源设备Ⅱ 麦格米特（002851） 2025 年业绩预告点评：加大投入 ALL IN AI， 26 年业绩有望拐点加速向上 2026 年 01 月 29 日 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 司鑫尧 执业证书：S0600524120002 sixy@dwzq.com.cn 股价走势 -24% -7% 10% 27% 44% 61% 78% 95% 112% 129% 146% 2025/2/5 2025/6/4 2025/10/1 2026/1/28 麦格米特 沪深300 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 6,754 | 8,172 | 8,683 | 12,220 | 16,613 | | 同比（%） | 23.30 | 21.00 | 6.25 | 40.72 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·工业金属 鼎胜新材（603876） 2025 年业绩预告点评：电池箔盈利水平明显 提升，Q4 业绩超预期 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 19,064 | 24,022 | 26,582 | 30,163 | 33,019 | | 同比（%） | (11.76) | 26.01 | 10.66 | 13.47 | 9.47 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 534.83 | 301.09 | 522.25 | 904.18 | 1,102.78 | | 同比（%） | (61.29) | (43.70) | 73.45 | 73.13 | 21.96 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.58 | 0.32 | 0.56 | 0.97 | 1.19 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 27.21 | 48.33 | 27.86 | 16.09 | 13.20 | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to increase its investment in AI, with a potential turning point in performance anticipated in 2026 [1] - The company's revenue for 2025 is projected to be 8.68 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.25% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is forecasted to be 133.47 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 69.40% year-on-year [1] - The company is positioned as the only supplier of AI server power supplies for Nvidia in mainland China, with expectations for increased orders and market share [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 6.75 billion yuan - 2024: 8.17 billion yuan - 2025: 8.68 billion yuan - 2026: 12.22 billion yuan - 2027: 16.61 billion yuan [1][8] - Net profit projections are: - 2023: 629.32 million yuan - 2024: 436.12 million yuan - 2025: 133.47 million yuan - 2026: 800.61 million yuan - 2027: 1.72 billion yuan [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast is: - 2023: 1.14 yuan - 2024: 0.79 yuan - 2025: 0.24 yuan - 2026: 1.46 yuan - 2027: 3.12 yuan [1][8] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 139.18 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 76.56 billion yuan [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is currently 121.65, projected to rise to 573.63 in 2025 before decreasing to 44.54 by 2027 [1][5]

证券研究报告 特变电工 (600089 CH) 多业务板块景气共振开启价值重估 2026 年 1 月 29 日│中国内地 首次覆盖特变电工公司并给予"买入"评级，目标价 33.31 元，对应 26 年 PE 22X。我们认为公司 26 年多业务板块步入景气上行阶段，输变电业务有 望充分受益于全球高压设备紧缺外溢实现加速出海；黄金业务量价齐升；煤 炭、多晶硅拐点齐现，我们预计公司 26-27 年具备较强的向上盈利弹性。 输变电：出海有望加速突破，国内主网周期向上 公司是国内民营主变龙头，是国内少数具备"高压电缆+附件+施工"一体 化集成服务能力的企业。海外方面，全球高压电力设备持续紧缺，AIDC 进 一步放大供需缺口，国内高压电力设备企业拥抱出海新时代。公司海外订单 高速增长，23 年、24 年、25H1 公司国际市场产品分别实现签约超 7 亿美 元、超 12 亿美元、11.20 亿美元，25H1 同比增长 65.9%；截至 25H1，公 司输变电国际成套项目在手合同金额超 50 亿美元。25 年 8 月斩获沙特约 164 亿元框架标。伴随海外高盈利市场收入占比提升与供给紧张下产品价格 有望进一步推升，公司变压 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected performance that will exceed the market by more than 20% [3][8]. Core Insights - The company forecasts a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, projecting a growth of 50.41% to 65.86%, with expected net profit ranging from 76.90 million to 84.80 million yuan compared to 51.13 million yuan in 2024 [3]. - The company has successfully developed low-temperature superconducting RF cables for quantum computing applications, marking it as one of the early adopters in this field within China [5]. - The company has established itself in the defense sector, with orders gradually recovering, and is also benefiting from the accelerated deployment of domestic satellite internet constellations [3][5]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 763 million yuan in 2024 to 849 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 11.4% [6]. - The net profit is expected to rise from 51 million yuan in 2024 to 83 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-over-year growth of 61.7% [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.27 yuan in 2024 to 0.44 yuan in 2025, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 101.1x for 2025 [6][9].

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电池 宁德时代（300750） 盈利韧性强，份额提升，龙头地位稳固 2026 年 01 月 29 日 买入（维持） ◼ 风险提示：政策不确定，需求低于预期。 证券分析师 曾朵红 | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 400,917 | 362,013 | 428,249 | 578,071 | 708,193 | | 同比（%） | 22.01 | (9.70) | 18.30 | 34.98 | 22.51 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 44,121 | 50,745 | 70,020 | 91,363 | 113,644 | | 同比（%） | 43.58 | 15.01 | 37.98 | 30.48 | 24.39 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 9.67 | 11.12 | 15.34 | 20.02 | 24.90 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 35.17 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of performance exceeding the market by more than 20% [3][8]. Core Insights - The company forecasts a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, projecting a growth of 50.41% to 65.86%, with expected net profit ranging from 76.90 million to 84.80 million yuan compared to 51.13 million yuan in 2024 [3][6]. - The company has successfully developed low-temperature superconducting RF cables for quantum computing applications, marking it as one of the early adopters in the domestic market [5][6]. - The company has established itself in the defense sector, with orders gradually recovering, and is also benefiting from the accelerated deployment of domestic satellite internet constellations [3][4]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to increase from 763 million yuan in 2024 to 849 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 11.4% [6][9]. - The net profit is expected to rise from 51 million yuan in 2024 to 83 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 61.7% [6][9]. - The company's gross margin is forecasted to be 33.3% in 2025, with a net margin of 9.7% [6][10]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.27 yuan in 2024 to 0.44 yuan in 2025 [6][9].

宁德时代（300750） 盈利韧性强，份额提升，龙头地位稳固 2026 年 01 月 29 日 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 400,917 | 362,013 | 428,249 | 578,071 | 708,193 | | 同比（%） | 22.01 | (9.70) | 18.30 | 34.98 | 22.51 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 44,121 | 50,745 | 70,020 | 91,363 | 113,644 | | 同比（%） | 43.58 | 15.01 | 37.98 | 30.48 | 24.39 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 9.67 | 11.12 | 15.34 | 20.02 | 24.90 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 35.17 | 30.58 | 22.16 | 16.98 | 13.65 | [Table_Tag] [T ...