丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨七一二（603712.SH） [Table_Title] 需求波动导致收入业绩下滑，静待景气复苏 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 受下游需求波动影响，公司产品订单减少导致收入业绩同步下滑。公司单季度毛利率环比显著 提升，主要系收入结构影响所致。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 王贺嘉 王清 SAC：S0490520110004 SAC：S0490524050001 SFC：BUX462 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 七一二（603712.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 需求波动导致收入业绩下滑，静待景气复苏 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司发布一季报，实现营业收入 2.16 亿元，同比减少 55.88%，实现归母净利润-0.54 亿元， 同比减少 440.23%。 事件评论 丨证券研究报告丨 2025-05-02 公司研究丨点评报告 [Table_Rank]投资评级 买入丨维持 公司基础数据 [Table_BaseData] 当前股价(元 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company's revenue and performance have declined due to external factors such as contract signing progress and supply chain issues, but overall profitability remains high. The company's operational quality has significantly improved year-on-year, with sufficient inventory to support short-term production [2][11] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.834 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 38.55%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 431 million yuan, down 39.87% year-on-year. Overall performance is in line with expectations [6][11] - The company's contract liabilities and advance payments increased compared to the beginning of the period, indicating ongoing capacity expansion to meet the demand for new models [2][11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin improved to 12.65%, with a net profit margin of 7.38%. The cash flow from operating activities increased by 77.28 million yuan compared to the same period last year, indicating a significant improvement in overall operational quality [11] - The company’s contract liabilities increased by 53% to 5.4 billion yuan, and advance payments rose by 58% to 3.275 billion yuan, reflecting clearer downstream demand and ongoing capacity expansion [11] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 3.956 billion yuan, 4.732 billion yuan, and 5.577 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 17%, 20%, and 18%. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 30, 25, and 21 times [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The aerospace industry is experiencing an upward trend, significantly improving profitability year-on-year. The company has ample inventory and a substantial increase in construction projects to meet the ongoing industry growth [2][10]. - The company is focused on its core business, promoting high-quality development across the entire industry chain, continuously increasing R&D investment, and accelerating the development of new production capabilities [2][10]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 406 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.97%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 105 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.7%, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 95 million yuan, up 93% year-on-year [4][10]. - The overall revenue slightly declined, but the gross margin improved by 10.32 percentage points to 49.96%. Other income, such as government subsidies, decreased, leading to a significant increase in net profit excluding non-recurring items [10]. - As of the end of Q1 2025, the company had a sufficient inventory balance of 739 million yuan and a 44.9% increase in construction projects to 385 million yuan, indicating further capacity expansion to accommodate ongoing industry growth [10]. R&D and Market Strategy - The company is continuously optimizing its industrial layout to release synergies across the industry chain. Key projects include the expansion of synthetic quartz glass materials and the precision processing of photomask substrates, which are expected to enhance production capabilities [10]. - The company is committed to strengthening its technological innovation capabilities through increased R&D investment, which reached approximately 249.94 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 11.98% [10]. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 589 million yuan, 839 million yuan, and 1.167 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 87%, 42%, and 39%. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 44, 31, and 22 times [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a strong start to 2025, with a more than doubling of net profit attributable to shareholders [1] - The revenue for 2024 decreased by 2.1% to 9.17 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 36.9% to 810 million yuan, primarily due to significant losses from fair value changes in financial assets [8] - The first quarter of 2025 showed positive growth, with revenue increasing by 1.2% to 2.11 billion yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 110.3% to 320 million yuan [8] - The company has maintained stable growth in its textbook and auxiliary materials business, while the general book segment faced challenges [8] - The company is actively enhancing its AI and digital education business, with significant progress in digital textbook applications [8] - The dividend payout is set to increase, with a proposed cash dividend of 5.50 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 490 million yuan, which is 60.9% of the 2024 net profit [8] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2026 have been revised upwards, with net profit estimates of 1.03 billion yuan and 1.07 billion yuan respectively, reflecting improved gross margins and cost control [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2023 was 9.365 billion yuan, with a projected decrease to 9.172 billion yuan in 2024, followed by a recovery to 9.534 billion yuan in 2025 [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 was 1.284 billion yuan, expected to drop to 809.81 million yuan in 2024, before rebounding to 1.025 billion yuan in 2025 [1] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 0.90 yuan for 2024, increasing to 1.14 yuan in 2025 [1] Business Segments - The textbook and auxiliary materials segment saw a revenue increase of 1.9% to 8.46 billion yuan in 2024, while the general book segment experienced an 8.0% decline to 1.50 billion yuan [8] - The gross margin for the textbook segment improved to 25.8%, while the general book segment's gross margin increased to 12.3% despite revenue declines [8] Future Outlook - The company plans to enhance its digital education capabilities, with the "Yuejiao Xiangyun" digital textbook platform being a key focus for 2025 [8] - The projected net profit for 2027 is estimated at 1.11 billion yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14, 14, and 13 for 2025-2027 [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing steady expansion in media points, with a continuous decline in operating costs [7] - The revenue and profit are expected to improve further following the acquisition of New Trend Media, which will enhance pricing power and operational efficiency [7] - The company is well-positioned for performance recovery in 2025, supported by strong cash reserves and stable growth despite macroeconomic challenges [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 11,904 million, with a year-on-year growth of 26.30%. For 2024, revenue is expected to be 12,262 million, reflecting a growth of 3.01% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 4,827 million, with a significant year-on-year increase of 73.02%. The forecast for 2024 is 5,155 million, indicating a growth of 6.80% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 is projected at 0.33, with expectations of 0.36 for 2024 and 0.40 for 2025 [1] Operational Highlights - As of March 2025, the number of elevator TV media points reached 1.26 million, a 19.2% increase from December 2023. However, poster points decreased by 8.1% to 1.8 million [7] - The company has successfully reduced media resource usage costs by 5.49%, while employee compensation and equipment depreciation expenses have decreased by 9.77% and 51.81%, respectively [7] - The share of internet clients in total revenue has declined to below 10%, with consumer goods clients accounting for 58.76% of total revenue, growing at 14.63% year-on-year [7] Future Projections - The EPS forecast for 2025 has been adjusted to 0.40, with further projections of 0.47 for 2026 and 0.51 for 2027. The corresponding P/E ratios are expected to be 17.98, 15.32, and 14.01, respectively [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to weak demand in traditional infrastructure, particularly in the railway and highway markets, leading to a decline in sales orders. The company has prioritized high-quality orders with favorable payment terms, resulting in an overall decrease in sales volume [2][3] - The company is accelerating its expansion into water conservancy, mining, and aftermarket services, which are expected to see significant revenue growth. The aftermarket segment has shown a remarkable increase of 102.60% year-on-year, driven by enhanced service offerings [3] - The trend of overseas expansion in engineering machinery is confirmed, with the company focusing on water conservancy, mining, and aftermarket sectors for future growth. The establishment of a wholly-owned subsidiary for international operations supports this strategy [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 799 million yuan, down 16.26% year-on-year, and a net profit of 105 million yuan, down 36.07% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 173 million yuan, down 10.77% year-on-year, and a net profit of 33 million yuan, down 10.08% year-on-year [2] - The gross profit margin decreased by 3.99 percentage points to 32.85%, and the net profit margin decreased by 4.06 percentage points to 13.10% in 2024 [2] Revenue Breakdown - By product category, the main machine and aftermarket segments generated revenues of 712 million yuan and 58 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -20.61% and +102.60% [3] - By market segment, revenues from water conservancy and mining sectors grew significantly, with year-on-year increases of 96.06% and 78.36%, respectively [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been revised down to 121 million yuan (originally 162 million yuan) and 144 million yuan (originally 193 million yuan), with a new forecast for 2027 set at 170 million yuan. The corresponding dynamic P/E ratios are projected to be 23.82, 20.03, and 17.01 times [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][9] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 14.08 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3.8%. The gross profit margin was 29.0%, with an operating profit of 1.74 billion yuan, down 4.2% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.36 billion yuan, a significant decline of 61.6%, primarily due to changes in corporate income tax policies affecting deferred tax assets [2][3] - Membership revenue grew rapidly, reaching 5.15 billion yuan, up 19.3% year-on-year, driven by popular shows and an upgraded membership benefits system. The total number of members reached 73.31 million by the end of 2024 [2][3] - The company's internet video business revenue was 10.18 billion yuan, down 4.1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 35.3%. Advertising revenue was 3.44 billion yuan, showing slight fluctuations, while operator business revenue was 1.59 billion yuan, facing short-term pressure [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023A, total revenue was 14.628 billion yuan, with a net profit of 3.556 billion yuan, resulting in an EPS of 1.90 yuan. The P/E ratio was 11.84 [1][10] - The forecast for 2024A includes total revenue of 14.08 billion yuan, a net profit of 1.364 billion yuan, and an EPS of 0.73 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 30.86 [1][10] - The company expects a gradual recovery in revenue, projecting 15.376 billion yuan for 2025E and 16.458 billion yuan for 2026E, with net profits of 1.804 billion yuan and 2.073 billion yuan respectively [1][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance is in line with expectations, with a full order book and optimized structure. In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 78.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.6 billion yuan, up 22% year-on-year. The shipbuilding and offshore engineering segments generated revenue of 75.4 billion yuan, a 7% increase year-on-year, and a 17% increase after excluding the impact of the recovery of four offshore platforms from a subsidiary [2] - The gross margin has reached an upward turning point, with stable cost control capabilities. The company's gross margin for its main business in 2024 was 9.9%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin for shipbuilding and offshore engineering was 9.6%, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the sales gross margin was 12.8%, a year-on-year increase of 6.2 percentage points, benefiting from the rising shipbuilding industry and improved order structure [3] - The shipbuilding manufacturing upcycle is expected to continue, with the company's overall strength continuously enhancing. The U.S. Trade Representative's office released the results of the 301 investigation into China's maritime, logistics, and shipbuilding industries, which are expected to improve market sentiment and order conditions. The mid-term outlook indicates that while the peak of the shipbuilding cycle has passed, it is far from over, with supply rigidly supporting ship prices and demand recovering [4] Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenue of 78.6 billion yuan for 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 5.01%, and a net profit of 3.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.21%. The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.81 yuan for 2024, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 36.23 [1][10] - The company expects to receive new orders for 12.72 million DWT worth 103.9 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of approximately 38% and 43% respectively, with an optimized order structure supporting future performance growth [2] - The company's total assets are projected to reach 181.98 billion yuan in 2024, with total liabilities of 126.71 billion yuan, resulting in a debt-to-asset ratio of 68.80% [8][10]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·通用设备 普源精电（688337） 2025 年一季报点评：营收同比+11%，高端产 品&解决方案增速亮眼 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 670.54 | 775.83 | 919.70 | 1,077.58 | 1,258.17 | | 同比（%） | 6.34 | 15.70 | 18.55 | 17.17 | 16.76 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 107.95 | 92.30 | 134.04 | 183.85 | 241.77 | | 同比（%） | 16.72 | (14.50) | 45.22 | 37.16 | 31.50 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.56 | 0.48 | 0.69 | 0.95 | 1.25 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 65.79 | 76.95 | 52.99 | 38.63 | 29.38 | [ ...

商贸零售/一般零售 永辉超市（601933.SH） 2025Q1 稳态调改店实现盈利，渠道改革有望提速 | 日期 | 2025/4/30 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 5.16 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 7.87/2.11 | | 总市值(亿元) | 468.27 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 468.27 | | 总股本(亿股) | 90.75 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 90.75 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 266.39 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -80% 0% 80% 160% 240% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 永辉超市 沪深300 相关研究报告 《优化低效门店轻装上阵，门店调改 即 将 提 速 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2024.11.1 黄泽鹏（分析师） huangzepeng@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790519110001 公司经营业绩受门店调改影响明显承压 公司发布年报、一季报：2024 年实现营收 675.74 亿元（同比-14.1%，下同）、归 母净利润-14.65 亿元（2024 年同期为 ...