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美芯晟(688458):光传感器芯片放量,dToF突破扫地机器人
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company is experiencing a significant increase in the production of optical sensor chips, with dToF technology making breakthroughs in the robotic vacuum cleaner market [1] - The revenue forecast for 2025 has been adjusted downwards due to declining income from LED driver chips and slower growth in wireless charging chips [7] - The company is in a new business ramp-up phase, leading to lower net profit margins, and a price-to-sales (PS) valuation method is being applied [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to reach 637 million in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 57.6% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 17 million in 2025, showing a significant recovery from a loss of 67 million in 2024 [6] - The gross profit margin is forecasted to be 30.5% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 0.9% [6] Business Growth Drivers - The company has established a dual-driven product system focusing on power management and signal chain products, with significant contributions from LED products, wireless charging, and signal chain chips [7] - The wireless charging chip shipments increased from 1.29 million units in 2020 to 17.21 million units in 2022, indicating strong market demand [7] - The optical sensor chip revenue is expected to grow by 527.78% in 2024, contributing 17.11% to total revenue [7]
中国船舶(600150):重组获上交所审核通过,船价已有企稳迹象重视左侧布局机会
上 市 公 司 国防军工 2025 年 07 月 06 日 中国船舶 (600150) ——重组获上交所审核通过,船价已有企稳迹象重视左侧 布局机会 投资要点: 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2024 | 2025Q1 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 78,584 | 15,858 | 81,617 | 91,407 | 115,080 | | 同比增长率(%) | 5.0 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 12.0 | 25.9 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 3,614 | 1,127 | 7,029 | 10,276 | 14,615 | | 同比增长率(%) | 22.2 | 181.0 | 94.5 | 46.2 | 42.2 | | 每股收益(元/股) | 0.81 | 0.25 | 1.57 | 2.30 | 3.27 | | 毛利率(%) | 10.2 | 12.8 | 15.5 | 18.3 | 20.5 | | ROE(%) | 7.1 | 2.2 | 12.4 | 15 ...
海博思创(688411):领航国内储能,逐浪全球征途
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-06 10:08
公司研究丨深度报告丨海博思创(688411.SH) [Table_Title] 海博思创:领航国内储能,逐浪全球征途 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 海博思创成立于 2011 年,历经 14 年技术积累及市场探索,已成长为国内储能龙头企业并加 速向海外市场拓展。伴随国内储能终端商业模式改善,行业需求有望持续增长、产业链格局预 计向头部集中、盈利中枢有望逐步企稳,叠加海外市场加速放量,公司基本面具备高成长性。 2025-2030 年储能装机 CAGR 在 30%以上,强劲需求 beta 下公司有望迎来戴维斯双击。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC:S0490514040001 SAC:S0490522030001 SAC:S0490520090003 SFC:BQK482 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 32 海博思创(688411.SH) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 海博思创:领航国内储能,逐浪全球征途 [Table_Summary2] 海博思创:领航国内储能,逐浪 ...
中国船舶(600150):吸收合并中国重工获审核通过,业绩有望加速释放
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-06 09:42
丨证券研究报告丨 联合研究丨公司点评丨中国船舶(600150.SH) [Table_Title] 中国船舶:吸收合并中国重工获审核通过,业绩 有望加速释放 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 近日中国船舶发布公告,公司换股吸收合并中国重工的申请已经获得上交所并购重组审核委员 会审核通过,合并落地在即。合并后中国船舶将成为全球最大造船上市公司,提升影响力的同 时减少造船板块同业竞争,优化船舶制造板块产业布局。公司有望发挥协同效应,提升船厂接 单效率和造船产能,进一步提升盈利能力。与重工合并重组落地后,集团其他优质资产整合有 望拉开序幕。2025 年公司交付高价船型订单占比持续提升,业绩有望持续释放。深海科技推 进,公司作为船舶海工龙头有望重点受益。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵智勇 韩轶超 王贺嘉 臧雄 屈奇 SAC:S0490517110001 SAC:S0490512020001 SAC:S0490520110004 SAC:S0490518070005 SAC:S0490524070003 SFC:BRP550 SFC:BQK468 SFC:BUX462 SFC:BVO790 请 ...
中泰股份(300435):深度研究报告:深冷技术专家,设备出海+气体运营打开成长空间
Huachuang Securities· 2025-07-06 09:42
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 20.9 CNY, indicating a potential upside of approximately 39% from the current price of 15.00 CNY [2][9]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the deep cooling technology sector, leveraging a dual-engine model of "equipment manufacturing + gas operation" to drive growth. The company has successfully diversified its operations and is expanding into international markets [6][13]. - The demand for deep cooling technology is expected to grow due to rising oil prices and the economic viability of technological innovations in the energy and chemical sectors. The company has seen a significant increase in new orders, particularly from overseas markets [7][8]. - The gas operation segment is also expanding, with the company investing in industrial and rare gases, which are anticipated to become new revenue sources as projects reach production capacity [6][8]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenue of 27.17 billion CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year decline of 10.9%. However, revenue is expected to rebound with growth rates of 18.8%, 19.7%, and 22.2% in the following years [2][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be -78 million CNY in 2024, but is expected to recover significantly to 403 million CNY in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 616.3% [2][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to improve from -0.20 CNY in 2024 to 1.04 CNY in 2025, with a projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20 times for 2025 [2][9]. Business Model and Market Position - The company has established a strong market position in the deep cooling technology sector, with its core products including natural gas liquefaction devices and large air separation units. The company has also successfully exported its products to 53 countries [6][13]. - The gas operation segment has been enhanced through strategic investments, including a joint venture with Posco Holdings to operate projects abroad, marking a significant step in the company's international expansion [6][8]. - The company has a robust order backlog, with new orders in 2024 expected to reach approximately 1.8 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of over 25% [6][8]. Industry Outlook - The deep cooling technology industry is poised for growth, driven by increasing domestic investments in energy security and the economic viability of coal chemical and natural gas sectors. The company is well-positioned to benefit from these trends [7][8]. - The report highlights the importance of deep cooling technology in enhancing energy efficiency and meeting environmental standards in the coal chemical industry, which is expected to see sustained demand [6][45].
鸿路钢构(002541):“反内卷”下若钢价上涨,鸿路钢构业绩弹性有多大?
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-07-06 09:35
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" [5] Core Views - The report suggests that under the "anti-involution" policy, steel prices are expected to stabilize and recover, which will benefit Honglu Steel Structure as a leading player in steel structure processing. The government has emphasized the need for supply-side structural reforms, and recent policies aim to eliminate low-price competition and promote product quality [1][14]. - Historical data indicates a strong positive correlation between steel prices and the profitability and stock price of Honglu Steel Structure. The company's gross margin tends to decline faster than procurement costs during periods of falling steel prices, while it improves more rapidly during price increases [2][19]. - The report estimates that for every 1% fluctuation in annual steel prices, the net profit per ton for Honglu Steel Structure changes by approximately 5 yuan. A 10% increase in steel prices could lead to a 46% growth in the company's net profit for 2024 [3][24]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Honglu Steel Structure is positioned to benefit from the anticipated stabilization and recovery of steel prices due to supply-side reforms and the "anti-involution" policy [1][14]. Financial Performance - The company’s inventory of steel materials is valued at 4.7 billion yuan as of the end of 2024, which could be revalued positively if steel prices rise [1][19]. - The report forecasts the company's net profit for 2025-2027 to be 8.7 billion, 10.4 billion, and 12.5 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13%, 20%, and 20% [9][28]. Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the steel industry has been facing supply-demand imbalances, with crude steel production remaining around 1 billion tons since 2021, while apparent consumption has been declining [1][14]. - The government has prioritized the reduction of crude steel production and the restructuring of the steel industry as part of traditional industry upgrades [1][14]. Operational Efficiency - The company has invested in nearly 2,000 welding robots by the end of 2024, with plans to expand this to 6,000 robots, potentially saving 400 million yuan annually [4][27]. - The deployment of welding robots is expected to enhance production efficiency and reduce costs significantly, contributing to the company's profitability [4][27]. Valuation - The current market valuation corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 5.1 times based on projected net profit of 2.4 billion yuan for 2024, indicating that the stock is undervalued [9][28].
长沙银行(601577):估值洼地+高增长潜力
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-06 07:45
2025年07月06日 证券研究报告 | 长沙银行(601577.SH) 估值洼地+高增长潜力 公司研究 · 公司快评 银行业 · 城商行 投资评级:优于大市(维持) | 证券分析师:田维韦 | 证券分析师:王剑 | | --- | --- | | 021-60875161 | 021-60875165 | | tianweiwei@guosen.com.cn | wangjian@guosen.com.cn | | S0980520030002 | S0980518070002 | 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 核心观点 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 Ø 公司约0.6xPB估值提供了足够的安全边际,目前低估值反映的市场对其资产质量的担忧可能过度。 • 一是,公司零售贷款占比处在上市城商行较高水平,零售不良压力较大是现实困境,但市场担忧可能过度。零售贷款中消费贷和个人经营贷不良暴露延续是行业共性,公司 积极应对,加大零售不良确认处置,同时积极调整零售信贷投放,零售存量不良出清只是时间问题。市场对于公司零售信贷不良的过度担忧来源于近年来公司积极开拓县域 市场,认为客群资质下沉后不 ...
三棵树(603737):中报大幅预增,受益新业态高增+利润率修复
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-07-06 07:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][13]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.8-4.6 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 80.94%-119.04% [2]. - The company’s retail business continues to grow against the backdrop of a declining real estate market, with revenue growth rates for home decoration wall paint projected at 18.2%, 2.6%, and 12.8% from 2022 to 2024 [3]. - Gross margin is recovering, with a gross margin of 32.5% in Q4 2024, up 0.44 percentage points year-on-year, and 31.05% in Q1 2025, up 2.67 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 9.0 billion RMB and 12.5 billion RMB for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 31.0 and 22.3 [5]. Performance Summary - The company reported a historical high in total profit for the first half of 2025, with a net profit forecast midpoint of 4.2 billion RMB [2]. - The company has effectively reduced expenses through improved operational efficiency, with a 2024 expense ratio of 25.7%, down 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The revenue forecast for the company shows a slight decline in 2024, followed by a recovery with growth rates of 8.00% and 12.49% in 2025 and 2026, respectively [10]. Financial Projections - The projected diluted earnings per share for 2025 is 1.221 RMB, with a significant increase in net profit growth rate expected at 171.32% [10]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise to 27.92% in 2025 and stabilize around 30.91% by 2027 [10]. Market Sentiment - The report indicates a favorable competitive landscape in the incremental market segments, with sustained demand despite the overall industry challenges [3]. - The company’s strategic focus on consumer-oriented growth and product structure optimization is expected to drive profitability and market share [4].
芯动联科(688582):中小盘信息更新:公司发布2025年半年度业绩预增,同比大幅增长
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-07-06 06:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant growth in its 2025 semi-annual performance, with revenue projected to be between 228 million to 278 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 66.04% to 102.45%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be between 138 million to 169 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 144.46% to 199.37% [4] - The company has a strong order backlog and successfully delivered products as planned, contributing to substantial revenue growth in the first half of 2025. The overall net profit margin is anticipated to reach 60.67% [4] - The company has adjusted its profit forecast, expecting net profits for 2025-2027 to be 342 million, 510 million, and 745 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.85, 1.27, and 1.86 yuan per share [4] Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - Revenue for 2023 is 317 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 39.8%. It is projected to reach 1.302 billion yuan by 2027, with a CAGR of 45% [7] - The net profit for 2023 is 165 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 41.8%, expected to grow to 745 million yuan by 2027 [7] - The gross margin is expected to be 83% in 2023, improving to 86% by 2027, while the net margin is projected to increase from 52.2% in 2023 to 57.2% in 2027 [10] Market Growth Potential - The eVTOL market is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of 9.5 billion yuan by 2026, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 72.3% from 2024 to 2026. The IMU module accounts for about 8% of eVTOL costs [5] - The domestic high-performance MEMS gyroscope market is estimated to reach 1.268 billion yuan in 2023, with a CAGR of approximately 42.3% from 2023 to 2028 [5]
长城汽车(601633):高山热卖下WEY牌月销过万,总量同环比较好增长
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-06 03:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - In June 2025, the company achieved a total sales volume of 111,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.9% and a month-on-month increase of 8.3%. Among these, export sales accounted for 40,000 vehicles, making up 36.2% of total sales, while new energy vehicle sales reached 36,000 units, with a share of 37.3% in new energy passenger vehicles [2][9]. - The company is accelerating its global expansion and is committed to transitioning to new energy, with a continuous new vehicle cycle expected to drive improvements in sales and performance. Long-term, the company's four major expansion strategies are expected to open up long-term growth potential in sales, while the shift towards intelligence is set to enhance profitability across the entire industry chain [2][9]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In June 2025, the company sold 110,690 vehicles, with domestic sales of 71,000 units (up 17.8% year-on-year) and new energy sales of 36,000 units (up 39.4% year-on-year). Cumulatively, from January to June 2025, total sales reached 570,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 1.8% [9]. - By brand, Haval sold 62,396 units (up 30.7% year-on-year), Tank sold 21,571 units (down 17.2% year-on-year), WEY sold 10,197 units (up 247.0% year-on-year), Ora sold 3,283 units (down 45.5% year-on-year), and Great Wall Pickup sold 13,213 units (down 13.4% year-on-year) [9]. Global Expansion - The company has implemented the "ONE GWM" strategy to accelerate its overseas expansion, covering over 170 countries and regions with more than 1,400 overseas sales channels. It has established three complete vehicle production bases in Thailand and Brazil, and several KD factories in Ecuador and Pakistan, which are expected to drive future sales growth [9]. Technological Advancements - In the context of the intelligent era, the company is actively promoting the development of intelligent sales and models, strengthening its technological advantages in areas such as algorithms, data, and computing power. This is expected to enhance its capabilities in intelligence continuously [9]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 141.6 billion, 172.7 billion, and 213.9 billion respectively, with corresponding A-share PE ratios of 13.0X, 10.6X, and 8.6X [9].