Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Luyuan Group Holdings (2451.HK) with a target price of HKD 13.41, indicating a potential upside of 61.2% from the current price of HKD 7.99 [2][4]. Core Insights - Luyuan Group is a pioneer in the electric two-wheeler industry, focusing on technological innovation and industry transformation since its establishment in 1997. The company has introduced significant technologies such as liquid-cooled motors and digital battery systems, enhancing product durability and range [4][7]. - The transition to new national standards is expected to stimulate demand for electric two-wheelers, with a projected recovery in sales starting in 2025 due to government incentives for trade-ins [4][25]. - The company is strategically repositioning itself as a leader in "all-scenario light mobility solutions," aiming to transform from a traditional manufacturer to a mobility service provider, with a focus on high-end markets and an integrated service ecosystem [4][12]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Luyuan Group are as follows: - 2024: CNY 50.72 billion (YoY -0.22%) - 2025: CNY 60.2 billion (YoY +18.69%) - 2026: CNY 73.2 billion (YoY +21.59%) - 2027: CNY 88.5 billion (YoY +20.90%) - Net profit forecasts are: - 2024: CNY 1.16 billion (YoY -20.29%) - 2025: CNY 1.75 billion (YoY +50.86%) - 2026: CNY 3.23 billion (YoY +84.57%) - 2027: CNY 4.58 billion (YoY +41.80%) - The report indicates a significant improvement in earnings per share (EPS) from CNY 0.29 in 2024 to CNY 1.07 in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios decreasing from 25.72 to 6.68 over the same period [3][4][19]. Industry Overview - The electric two-wheeler market in China is projected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.32% from 2019 to 2024, despite a decline in 2024 due to weak consumer demand and industry adjustments [4][25]. - The market is characterized by a shift from price competition to quality competition, with leading brands focusing on technological advancements and differentiated offerings to enhance product value [31][34]. - The introduction of new national standards in 2024 is expected to further elevate product quality and safety, driving the industry towards higher standards and compliance [40][41]. Technological Advancements - Luyuan Group has developed core technologies such as liquid-cooled motors and digital battery systems, which significantly improve product performance and longevity, addressing key industry challenges [47][48]. - The company is also enhancing its smart technology offerings, integrating features like real-time monitoring and AI-driven maintenance to improve user experience and safety [51][52]. Strategic Initiatives - The launch of the LYVA brand marks Luyuan's entry into the high-end market, with a focus on premium electric two-wheelers designed for various high-end scenarios [61]. - The company is expanding its production capacity with new manufacturing bases, aiming to meet future demand and enhance market share [53]. Sales and Distribution - Luyuan has established a comprehensive sales network with over 12,800 retail stores across China, supported by a robust online sales strategy that integrates e-commerce with traditional retail [54][57].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for Uni-President China Holdings with a target price of HK$12.10, representing a potential upside of 15.0% from the current price of HK$10.36 [1][6]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady performance growth and continuous improvement in profitability, with a net profit after tax of 602 million yuan in 1Q25, a year-on-year increase of 32%, exceeding market expectations [4][11]. - The beverage segment performed exceptionally well, with low double-digit revenue growth in 1Q25, driven by improved gross profit margins and effective freezer deployment enhancing sales efficiency [4][12]. - The food segment also demonstrated stable performance, with instant noodle revenue achieving high single-digit growth despite slight declines in gross profit margins due to palm oil cost pressures [5][13]. - The dividend yield remains attractive, with a projected yield of 5.2% based on a consistent 100% dividend payout ratio, reflecting the company's commitment to shareholder returns [5][14]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 32.45 billion yuan, 34.19 billion yuan, and 36.00 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.0%, 5.4%, and 5.3% respectively [6][15]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 2.17 billion yuan in 2025, with corresponding EPS of 0.50 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.4% [6][15]. - The company's gross profit margin is expected to improve from 33.8% in 2025 to 34.4% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [6][10]. Market Position and Valuation - The report highlights that Uni-President's dividend yield above 4.5% is attractive compared to its peers, with a projected P/E ratio of 22x for 2025 [6][15]. - The company is positioned favorably within the beverage and food sectors, with strong brand recognition and product innovation driving growth [4][12][13].

丨证券研究报告丨 SAC：S0490517060001 SAC：S0490524070004 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 港股研究丨公司点评丨理想汽车-W（2015.HK） [Table_Title] 理想汽车一季报点评：利润好于预期，期待纯电 新周期 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025Q1 理想销量 9.3 万辆，同比+15.5%，实现营收 259.3 亿元，同比+1.1%，车辆毛利率达 19.8%，同比+0.5pct。理想汽车产品优势和品牌设计深入人心，后续车型规划清晰，直营渠道 结构持续优化，"双能战略"有望进一步扩大理想汽车的优势，未来销量空间广阔。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高伊楠 王子豪 SFC：BUW101 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 理想汽车-W（2015.HK） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 理想汽车一季报点评：利润好于预期，期待纯电 2] 新周期 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 理想汽车一季度实现营收 259.3 亿元，同比+1.1%；实现归母净利润 6.5 亿元，同比+9.7%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Xiaomi Group-W (1810.HK) as of May 29, 2025 [1][10]. Core Insights - Xiaomi Group achieved record highs in revenue and profit for Q1 2025, with revenue approximately 111.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.4%, and adjusted net profit around 10.7 billion yuan, up 64.5% [5][6]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In Q1 2025, Xiaomi's global smartphone shipments reached 40 million units, marking seven consecutive quarters of year-on-year growth. The company also delivered 75,869 units of the Xiaomi SU7 series vehicles [6]. Market Position - Xiaomi's smartphone business generated approximately 50.6 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.9%. The company's global smartphone market share stood at 14.1%, maintaining a top-three position for the 19th consecutive quarter [6][7]. Product Development - The revenue from smart home appliances surged by 113.8% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with significant increases in air conditioner, refrigerator, and washing machine shipments [7]. Automotive Expansion - The smart electric vehicle segment generated 18.1 billion yuan in revenue, with 75,869 units of the Xiaomi SU7 series delivered. The company has opened 235 automotive sales stores across 65 cities in mainland China as of March 31, 2025 [7]. Internet Services Growth - Internet revenue reached 9.1 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, with a gross margin of 76.9%, up 2.7 percentage points. The global monthly active user count reached 719 million, a 9.2% increase year-on-year [7][8]. Financial Projections - The report projects revenues of 484.5 billion yuan, 682.9 billion yuan, and 901.3 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with adjusted net profits of 44.5 billion yuan, 59.7 billion yuan, and 84.4 billion yuan for the same years. The corresponding P/E ratios are expected to be 27.7x, 20.6x, and 14.6x [9][10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Geely Automobile is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Insights - In Q1 2025, Geely Automobile achieved revenue of 72.495 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 264% [12][4] - The growth in performance is attributed to record sales, strong growth in the new energy business, product structure optimization, and the realization of scale effects [12][4] - The company sold 704,000 vehicles in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 47.9%, with new energy vehicles, fuel vehicles, and export sales increasing by 135.4%, 10.0%, and 1.7% respectively [12][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Geely's Q1 2025 revenue was 72.495 billion yuan, up 25% year-on-year, and net profit was 5.67 billion yuan, up 264% year-on-year [12][4] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 15.8%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio decreased by 2.7 percentage points to 11.5% [12][4] Sales and Market Position - The company plans to launch 10 new models in 2025, with expectations to exceed the annual sales target of 2.71 million vehicles [13][12] - The Galaxy brand saw a strong performance with a year-on-year growth of 214%, significantly boosting new energy vehicle sales [12][4] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 326.904 billion yuan, 392.285 billion yuan, and 470.742 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 36.1%, 20.0%, and 20.0% [13][15] - Net profit projections for the same period are 14.936 billion yuan, 18.612 billion yuan, and 23.037 billion yuan, with growth rates of -10.2%, 24.6%, and 23.8% respectively [13][15]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Luyuan Group Holdings (2451.HK) with a target price of HKD 13.41, indicating a potential upside of 61.2% from the current price of HKD 7.99 [2][4]. Core Insights - Luyuan Group is a pioneer in the electric two-wheeler industry, leveraging technological innovation to lead market development. The company has introduced significant advancements such as liquid-cooled motors and digital battery technology, enhancing product durability and range [4][7]. - The transition to new national standards is expected to stimulate demand for electric two-wheelers, with a projected recovery in sales starting in 2025 due to government incentives for trade-ins [4][25]. - The company's strategic shift towards high-end markets and the establishment of a comprehensive mobility ecosystem is anticipated to drive growth and improve profitability [4][61]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Luyuan Group are as follows: - 2024: CNY 50.72 billion (YoY -0.22%) - 2025: CNY 60.2 billion (YoY +18.69%) - 2026: CNY 73.2 billion (YoY +21.59%) - 2027: CNY 88.5 billion (YoY +20.90%) [3][4] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2024: CNY 1.16 billion (YoY -20.29%) - 2025: CNY 1.75 billion (YoY +50.86%) - 2026: CNY 3.23 billion (YoY +84.57%) - 2027: CNY 4.58 billion (YoY +41.80%) [3][4]. Industry Overview - The electric two-wheeler market in China is projected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.32% from 2019 to 2024, despite a decline in 2024 due to weak consumer demand and industry adjustments [4][25]. - The market is characterized by a significant shift from price competition to quality competition, with leading brands focusing on technological advancements and product differentiation [31][34]. - The introduction of new national standards in 2025 is expected to enhance product quality and safety, further driving the industry's evolution [40][41].

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [7] Core Insights - The launch of the new game "暴吵萌厨" on May 28, 2025, has shown strong performance, topping download charts across multiple platforms during its pre-download phase [1][2] - The game has received positive market feedback, ranking first on the iOS free chart for three consecutive days and third overall, indicating strong player engagement and social sharing [2] - The company has a strategic focus on expanding its portfolio with various mini-games and is actively developing multiple projects for both domestic and overseas markets [3] Financial Review and Commentary - The company has experienced fluctuating revenues over the past four years, with revenues recorded at 1.62 billion, 1.52 billion, 1.06 billion, and 1.16 billion respectively for the years 2021 to 2024, showing a recovery in 2024 with a 10.1% year-on-year increase [4] - Net profits have also varied, with figures of 275 million, 25 million, -138 million, and -49 million for the same years, indicating a significant reduction in losses in 2024 [4] Outlook for 2025 - The successful launch of "暴吵萌厨" sets a positive tone for the company's fiscal year 2025, with expectations for revenue growth and profitability improvement if the company can leverage its strengths in product development and market expansion [5] - The company is focusing on diversifying its product matrix with female-oriented games and mini-games, aiming to enhance its competitive position in the gaming market [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group with a target price of HK$70.00, indicating a potential upside of 36% from the current price of HK$51.55 [3][12][18]. Core Insights - Xiaomi's 1Q25 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue and adjusted net profit reaching RMB 111.2 billion and RMB 10.6 billion, respectively, surpassing forecasts by 3% and 5% [10]. - The smartphone segment showed a 3% year-on-year sales growth, with high-end models accounting for 25% of shipments in China [10]. - The IoT segment experienced a significant revenue increase of 59% year-on-year, driven by a doubling of revenue from IoT home appliances and a 65% increase in sales volume [10]. - The electric vehicle (EV) and AI business generated RMB 18.6 billion in revenue, with a gross margin of 23.2%, higher than the forecasted 20.8% [10]. - Overall gross margin reached 22.8%, the highest since 2017, attributed to improved operational efficiency and increased investment income [10]. Financial Projections - Revenue for 2025 is projected at RMB 481.3 billion, reflecting a 32% year-on-year growth, with adjusted net profit expected to reach RMB 41.9 billion, an 82% increase [16][20]. - The report anticipates a cautious outlook for smartphone shipment growth, projecting a 3% increase in 2025, with price increases being a key growth driver [11]. - Adjusted EPS for 2025 is forecasted to be RMB 1.64, up from RMB 1.57, representing a 5% increase [4][16]. Valuation - The target P/E ratio for 2026 has been adjusted down to 28.5 times adjusted net profit, reflecting ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties [17]. - The valuation remains at an 8% premium compared to Apple's current P/E ratio, based on stronger growth prospects for Xiaomi [17][18].

Group 1 - Investment Rating: Buy with a target price of HK$70.00 [2][3][23] - Core Viewpoint: The company expects advertising revenue to recover to double-digit growth in the second half of 2025, driven mainly by external advertising [2][8][9] - Revenue and Profit Summary: In Q1 2025, revenue grew by 11% year-on-year to RMB 32.6 billion, and adjusted net profit was RMB 4.6 billion, both in line with expectations [2][3][20] Group 2 - Financial Forecasts: Revenue and adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 remain largely unchanged [21][23] - Shareholder Returns: The company announced a share buyback plan of HK$16 billion over the next 36 months, with a total of 29.2 million shares repurchased so far this year [3][21] - Key Financial Metrics: The projected revenue for 2025 is RMB 141.9 billion, with an adjusted net profit of RMB 20.4 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12% [5][21][27]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price adjusted from HKD 50.00 to HKD 46.00, indicating a potential upside of 27.6% from the current price of HKD 36.05 [4][2]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 performance was impacted by seasonal factors and increased R&D expenditures, particularly in AI and new game categories. Game revenue saw a quarter-on-quarter decline primarily due to seasonal decreases in monetization updates for "Jian Wang 3," while WPS revenue also fell due to procurement process impacts [2][8]. - New game launches are anticipated to stabilize revenue in the second half of the year, with titles like "Jie Xian Ji" expected to launch in summer and "Jian Xia Qian Yuan: Zero" by the end of May [2][8]. - Adjustments to profit forecasts for 2025-2027 were made, reflecting changes in the valuation contribution from Kingsoft Cloud due to its declining market value [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Projections**: - 2025E: RMB 11,184 million (down 4% from previous forecast) - 2026E: RMB 12,189 million (down 5%) - 2027E: RMB 13,486 million (down 5%) [3][12] - **Game and Other Revenue**: - 2025E: RMB 5,327 million (down 4%) - 2026E: RMB 5,354 million (down 8%) - 2027E: RMB 5,484 million (down 8%) [3][12] - **WPS Revenue**: - 2025E: RMB 5,857 million (down 3%) - 2026E: RMB 6,836 million (down 3%) - 2027E: RMB 8,002 million (down 3%) [3][12] - **Gross Profit**: - 2025E: RMB 9,281 million (up 6%) - 2026E: RMB 10,098 million (up 3%) - 2027E: RMB 11,204 million (up 14%) [3][12] - **Adjusted Net Profit**: - 2025E: RMB 2,724 million (down 1%) - 2026E: RMB 2,957 million (down 4%) - 2027E: RMB 3,461 million (down 3%) [3][12] Market Data - The company's market capitalization is approximately HKD 50,233.87 million, with a 52-week high of HKD 46.90 and a low of HKD 20.10. The average daily trading volume is 13.72 million shares, and the year-to-date change is 7.13% [6][12].