Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the discretionary consumption sector, including Nike, Li Ning, Midea Group, JD Group, Haier Smart Home, Gree Electric Appliances, Anta Sports, and many others [1]. Core Insights - The discretionary consumption sector has experienced a significant pullback due to the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve, leading to a decline in global asset prices [4][13]. - The report highlights that the domestic sportswear sector outperformed other segments, while luxury goods and cosmetics faced notable declines [4][13]. - The report provides a detailed analysis of the performance of various sub-sectors, indicating that gold and jewelry, overseas cosmetics, and snacks have shown resilience compared to the MSCI China index [4][11]. Summary by Relevant Sections Weekly Performance Review - The domestic sportswear sector increased by 0.6%, while other sectors such as credit cards, U.S. hotels, and retail saw declines ranging from -0.4% to -5.8% [4][13]. - The report notes that the gold and jewelry sector has outperformed the MSCI China index, with a monthly increase of 14.8% [4][13]. Sector Analysis - The domestic sportswear sector's growth is attributed to increased demand for warm clothing due to colder weather and positive media coverage of brands like Bosideng [15]. - The credit card sector saw mixed results, with Mastercard rising by 2.7% while Visa and American Express declined [15]. - The retail sector's performance was driven by specific companies like China Resources Mixc Lifestyle, which saw a 10.8% increase due to favorable policies [15]. Valuation Analysis - The report indicates that the expected PE ratios for various sectors in 2025 are below their historical averages, suggesting potential investment opportunities [11][18]. - For instance, the expected PE for the domestic sportswear sector is 13.4 times, which is 70% of its past five-year average [18]. Conclusion - Overall, the report emphasizes the impact of macroeconomic factors on the discretionary consumption sector and identifies specific companies and sub-sectors that may present investment opportunities amidst the current market volatility [4][11][18].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Huaxi Biological Technology Co., Ltd. expects significant growth in net profit for the year 2025, reflecting the initial success of its strategic shift towards "quality growth" [1] - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 270 million to 320 million yuan for 2025, representing an increase of approximately 54.93% to 83.63% compared to the previous year's profit of 174 million yuan [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between 167 million to 217 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 55.68% to 102.29%, indicating a strong growth momentum [1] Group 2 - The significant increase in performance is attributed to the company's commitment to the core strategy of "agile management and growth efficiency," which promotes a transition from scale expansion to quality growth [1] - The company has optimized its organizational structure and strengthened functional collaboration, leading to a notable improvement in operational efficiency, with management expenses decreasing by over 10% year-on-year [1] - Sales expenses have also seen a reduction of over 30% year-on-year due to optimized business structure and resource allocation, which has solidified the profit foundation through strict cost control [1] Group 3 - In terms of research and technological innovation, the company is focusing on two fundamental disciplines: glycoscience and cell biology, enhancing systematic research on extracellular matrix regulation, aging intervention, and tissue regeneration [2] - The company is leveraging its synthetic biology research and development system and pilot transformation platform to improve the industrialization capabilities of bioactive substances and regenerative materials, accelerating the conversion of research results into products and solutions [2] - The company is also advancing its original technology layout and product transformation in key areas such as aging intervention, tissue regeneration, and functional materials, thereby solidifying its technological foundation for medium to long-term business development [2] Group 4 - The company plans to continuously integrate artificial intelligence technology across its entire business chain to drive long-term improvements in operational quality through technology [3]

行 业 及 产 业 美容护理 2026 年 02 月 01 日 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证券分析师 王立平 A0230511040052 wanglp@swsresearch.com 王盼 A0230523120001 wangpan@swsresearch.com 聂霜 A0230524120002 nieshuang@swsresearch.com 联系人 王立平 A0230511040052 wanglp@swsresearch.com 业绩预告彰显板块景气度，建议关注节前促销 看好 ——化妆品医美行业周报 20260201 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 证 券 研 究 报 告 - ⚫ 本阶段化妆品医美板块表现弱于市场。2026 年 1 月 23 日至 2026 年 1 月 30 日期间， 申万美容护理指数下滑 3.8%，表现弱于市场。其中，申万化妆品指数下滑 3.6%，弱于 申万 A 指 1.9pct；申万个护用品指数下滑 4.6%，弱于申万 A 指数 3.0pct。 ⚫ 周观点：业绩预告彰显板块景气度 ...

Core Insights - Company is accelerating its scale operations by collaborating with 14 upstream suppliers and plans to open 35 new offline stores in the coming year, transitioning from an online medical beauty platform to a physical medical institution with a low-price model [1][6][7] Group 1: Strategic Partnerships - The establishment of the "Youth Selection Alliance" with 14 upstream suppliers aims to achieve mutual growth through price linkage, tiered supply, training collaboration, and product traceability [3] - This partnership indicates an improvement in the pricing issues that previously strained relationships with suppliers, allowing for a more stable collaboration [3][5] - Notable suppliers in this alliance include Allergan, Medimime, and others, which have previously raised concerns over pricing discrepancies with the company [3][4] Group 2: Pricing Strategy - The company has consistently aimed to lower the prices of its products, such as the "童颜针" (youthful needle), which saw significant price reductions over the years, making it more accessible to consumers [4][6] - The low-price strategy is seen as a way to attract new consumers, although the long-term sustainability of this approach will depend on product effectiveness and perceived value [4][5] Group 3: Operational Expansion - As of now, the company has established 50 stores across 16 cities, with plans to add at least 35 more stores by the end of 2026, aiming for a total of 500 doctors and 1000 nursing staff [7] - The company is entering a strategic transformation phase, focusing on improving operational gross margins while maintaining its scale advantage [7][8] Group 4: Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of 1.063 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a decrease of 3.17% year-on-year, with a loss of 133 million yuan [8][9] - The beauty treatment services segment has become the largest revenue source, contributing 427 million yuan, a significant increase of 385.05% year-on-year, accounting for 40.16% of total revenue [9] - The goal for 2026 includes achieving quarterly profitability while enhancing gross margins through a diverse product offering [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - NMN (β-Nicotinamide Mononucleotide) is gaining attention in the global health industry for its potential in anti-aging, DNA repair, and metabolic regulation, with significant advancements in regulatory approval and market potential expected by 2025 [1][2]. Industry Development - The NMN industry has evolved from laboratory research to commercial application, with major markets like the US, Japan, Canada, and Australia recognizing its legal status through various regulatory pathways [1][2]. - China is currently the largest producer of NMN raw materials, with leading companies building competitive barriers through technological innovation and industry chain layout [2]. NMN Definition and Function - NMN is a direct precursor of NAD+ (Nicotinamide Adenine Dinucleotide), crucial for delaying aging and enhancing physiological functions [3][4]. - Supplementing NMN can quickly elevate NAD+ levels in the body, playing a vital role in anti-aging, cardiovascular health, and metabolic improvement [4][6]. Synthesis Pathways - NMN supplementation shows significant advantages in NAD+ synthesis pathways compared to other precursors, with the highest conversion efficiency and no known adverse reactions [6][7]. Natural Sources and Supplementation - Natural food sources of NMN are limited, making NMN supplements, which can provide up to 300 times the dietary intake, more effective for achieving beneficial doses [8]. Synthesis Technology - The NMN synthesis process has shifted from chemical methods to fully enzymatic methods, focusing on high purity, safety, and environmental sustainability [10][12]. - Leading companies are innovating in full enzymatic synthesis and patenting technologies to create competitive advantages [12]. Market Trends and Demand - The aging population and increasing anti-aging awareness among younger demographics are driving demand for NMN products, with the market expected to grow significantly [19][21]. - The NMN market in China is projected to exceed 3 billion yuan by 2025, with applications expanding beyond health supplements and cosmetics into areas like pet nutrition and agricultural technology [28][24]. Application Areas - NMN is primarily used in health supplements (90% market share) and cosmetics (10-20% market share), with potential future applications in pet nutrition, medical health, and agricultural technology [24][28]. - The Chinese health supplement market is expected to surpass 430 billion yuan by 2025, indicating substantial growth potential for NMN products [40]. Sales Channels - NMN products are mainly sold through cross-border e-commerce and private channels, with cross-border platforms accounting for 60-70% of market share [35]. Regulatory Environment - The regulatory landscape for NMN is evolving, with significant progress in China towards legalizing NMN as a health supplement, which could reshape the market dynamics [17][61]. - The "blue hat" certification for health supplements in China represents the highest standard for product safety and compliance, which could significantly impact market structure if achieved [37]. Challenges and Opportunities - The NMN industry faces challenges such as exaggerated claims, lack of consumer awareness, and technological iterations, necessitating a focus on compliance and innovation to unlock market potential [61][63]. - Companies are encouraged to innovate their business models and extend their value chains to enhance competitiveness and market presence [66].

Core Viewpoint - The recent arbitration decision allows REGEN, a subsidiary of Aimeike, to sell AestheFill products in mainland China, but this is not a final ruling, and the ongoing dispute over distribution rights remains uncertain [2][8][20]. Group 1: Arbitration and Market Impact - Aimeike's subsidiary REGEN received a procedural decision from the Shenzhen International Arbitration Court, lifting a temporary measure that previously restricted its sales of AestheFill products in mainland China [2][8]. - Since the initial temporary measure was imposed on September 10, 2025, Aimeike's stock price has dropped nearly 30% [3]. - The arbitration dispute began after Aimeike acquired 85% of REGEN for $190 million in March 2025, leading to REGEN unilaterally terminating its exclusive distribution agreement with Dato Medical [6][8]. Group 2: Business Performance - Aimeike has faced a decline in revenue and profit for four consecutive quarters, with Q1-Q3 2025 revenues of 663 million, 636 million, and 566 million yuan, representing year-on-year declines of 17.90%, 25.11%, and 21.27% respectively [11]. - The decline in revenue is attributed to a weakened consumer confidence due to macroeconomic conditions and increased competition in the medical aesthetics industry [14][15]. - Aimeike's main revenue sources, solution and gel injection products, saw significant revenue drops, with total income from these products falling from 9.76 billion yuan in 2024 to 7.44 billion yuan in 2025 [15][16]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The AestheFill product, despite its potential, is expected to contribute only around 300 million yuan in annual sales, which may not significantly offset the revenue decline from Aimeike's core products [17]. - The competitive landscape for botulinum toxin products is also challenging, with established players dominating the market, making it difficult for Aimeike to gain market share with newly approved products [18]. - Overall, Aimeike is likely to continue facing significant performance pressures into 2026, despite the short-term positive impact of the arbitration decision [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - The arbitration decision to lift the temporary sales restriction on AestheFill products by REGEN, a subsidiary of Aimeike, is seen as a short-term positive development, but the underlying dispute over distribution rights remains unresolved, indicating potential volatility in the company's stock performance [1][4][14]. Group 1: Arbitration and Sales Rights - REGEN received a decision from the Shenzhen International Arbitration Court on January 29, 2025, which lifted a temporary measure that prohibited the sale of AestheFill products in mainland China [1]. - The temporary measure was initially imposed following REGEN's unilateral termination of its exclusive distribution agreement with Dato Medical, which claimed that Dato had transferred its distribution rights to a related party, violating the agreement [3][4]. - The arbitration decision is procedural and not a final ruling, meaning the dispute over the legality of REGEN's termination of the distribution rights is still ongoing [4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Aimeike has experienced a decline in both revenue and profit for four consecutive quarters, with Q1-Q3 2025 revenues reported at 663 million, 636 million, and 566 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year decreases of 17.90%, 25.11%, and 21.27% respectively [5][6]. - The company's core products, including solution and gel injection products, saw significant revenue drops, with total income from these categories falling from 9.76 billion yuan in 2024 to 7.44 billion yuan in 2025 for solution products, and from 6.49 billion yuan to 4.93 billion yuan for gel products [9][10]. - The competitive landscape has intensified, with new entrants in the aesthetic medicine market impacting Aimeike's profit margins and market share [8][9]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The introduction of AestheFill is expected to provide some revenue support, but its annual sales of approximately 300 million yuan may not be sufficient to offset the significant revenue declines from Aimeike's core products [10][11]. - The company faces challenges in gaining market share for newly approved products, such as botulinum toxin, due to established competitors dominating the market [12][13]. - Overall, Aimeike is likely to continue facing substantial performance pressures into 2026, with the recent arbitration decision providing only a temporary boost [14].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant shift in the medical aesthetics industry, highlighting the transition from conflict to collaboration between companies like Jinjing Biological and platforms like New Oxygen, reflecting changes in market dynamics and pricing power [1][3][5]. Group 1: Industry Dynamics - In 2024, Jinjing Biological publicly criticized New Oxygen for low-price promotions of its core product, Wei Yimei, indicating a struggle to maintain pricing power [1][4]. - New Oxygen has transformed from a platform to a physical clinic model, establishing 50 stores across 16 cities, which enhances its bargaining power with upstream manufacturers [3][11]. - The monopoly of Jinjing Biological in the collagen product market has been disrupted by competitors like Juzhi Biological and Chuangjian Biological, leading to a loss of pricing authority for upstream manufacturers [3][10]. Group 2: Strategic Alliances - The formation of the "Youth Selection Alliance" by New Oxygen and 14 upstream manufacturers, including Jinjing Biological, marks a shift towards collaboration in areas like pricing and product traceability [2][5]. - Jinjing Biological's previous confrontations with platforms like Meituan have also turned into strategic partnerships, indicating a broader trend of upstream manufacturers adapting to market realities [7][10]. Group 3: Evolving Business Models - The article outlines three emerging strategies for upstream manufacturers in response to shifting market dynamics: 1. The rise of the ODM model, where companies like Xihong Biological provide products without interfering with downstream pricing [14]. 2. Maintaining product scarcity through innovation or acquisitions to capture market share during competitive gaps [15]. 3. Expanding internationally to seek new growth opportunities, as seen with companies like Aimeike and Binhai Medical [15][16]. Group 4: Market Trends - The medical aesthetics market is experiencing a significant increase in product offerings, with over 50 new medical device approvals in 2025, leading to intensified competition [11]. - The shift in pricing power from manufacturers to distribution channels reflects a broader trend of market "demystification" and value reassessment in the medical aesthetics sector [16].

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 2025年1月1日至2025年12月31日。 （二）业绩预告情况 （1）经华熙生物科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）财务部门初步测算，预计2025年年度实现归属 于母公司所有者的净利润人民币27,000.00万元到32,000.00万元，与上年同期（法定披露数据）相比，将 增加9,573.26万元到14,573.26万元，同比增加54.93%到83.63%。 （2）预计2025年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益的净利润16,700.00万元到21,700.00 万元，与上年同期（法定披露数据）相比，将增加5,972.80万元到10,972.80万元，同比增加55.68%到 102.29%。 二、上年同期业绩情况和财务状况 （一）利润总额：21,339.29万元。归属于母公司所有者的净利润：17,426.74万元。归属于母公司所有者 的扣除非经常性损益的净利润：10,727.20万元。 组织层面，公司整合职能重叠部门，优化 ...

Group 1 - Guangdong Mingzhu expects a net profit increase of 2908.49%-3577.04% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Sainuo Medical anticipates a net profit growth of 2767%-3233% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Lingdian Electric Control forecasts a net profit rise of 640.16%-804.64% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Bojie Co. predicts a net profit increase of 484.16%-618.97% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Kexing Pharmaceutical expects a net profit growth of 328.83%-455.89% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Xiangcai Co. anticipates a net profit increase of 266.41%-403.81% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Xinyi Sheng forecasts a net profit rise of 231.24%-248.86% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Tongzhou Electronics predicts a net profit increase of 151.40%-230.42% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Zhaofeng Co. expects a net profit growth of 136.26%-164.89% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Kaige Precision Machinery anticipates a net profit increase of 133.99%-193.55% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Sankeshu forecasts a net profit rise of 128.96%-189.21% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Huazi Industrial expects a net profit growth of 128.00%-167.00% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Zhite New Materials anticipates a net profit increase of 117.11%-171.39% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Ecovacs expects a net profit growth of 110.90%-123.30% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Jingquan Hua forecasts a net profit increase of 109.32%-140.72% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Guoxuan High-Tech anticipates a net profit rise of 107.16%-148.59% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Changjiang Securities expects a net profit growth of 101.37% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Shanwaishan forecasts a net profit increase of 98%-125% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Zhongji Xuchuang anticipates a net profit rise of 89.50%-128.17% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Huachuang Yuxin expects a net profit growth of 86%-175% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Kori Technology forecasts a net profit increase of 68.61%-115.25% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Western Gold anticipates a net profit rise of 67.58%-93.21% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Shandong Gold expects a net profit growth of 56%-66% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Huaxi Biological anticipates a net profit increase of 54.93%-83.63% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Nairui Radar expects a net profit growth of approximately 54.16% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Lingyun Optical anticipates a net profit rise of approximately 50.75% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Zhongjin Company expects a net profit increase of 50%-85% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Dongwu Securities forecasts a net profit growth of 45%-55% year-on-year for 2025 [1] - Longping High-Tech anticipates a net profit increase of 14.17%-66.86% year-on-year for 2025 [1] Group 2 - Jiangfeng Electronics expects a net profit increase of 7.5%-27.5% year-on-year for 2025 [2]