沪指6月6日上涨0.04%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有13个，涨幅居前的行业为有色金属、通信，涨 幅分别为1.16%、1.00%。有色金属行业位居今日涨幅榜首位。跌幅居前的行业为美容护理、纺织服 饰，跌幅分别为1.70%、1.18%。 有色金属行业资金流出榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300748 | 金力永磁 | -2.58 | 4.75 | -15028.69 | | 600259 | 广晟有色 | -3.25 | 7.16 | -10604.44 | | 000807 | 云铝股份 | 0.00 | 0.76 | -7611.22 | | 000969 | 安泰科技 | -2.20 | 2.64 | -5690.63 | | 300328 | 宜安科技 | -1.94 | 5.08 | -5276.07 | | 000795 | 英洛华 | -1.94 | 2.00 | -4454.14 | | 300963 | 中洲特材 | 6.26 | 21.72 | -4366 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent notification from the National Energy Administration aims to promote the construction of a new power system through seven key directions, which is expected to improve the consumption situation of renewable energy and benefit leading national renewable energy generation companies [2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 6, 2025, the China Securities National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy Index (932037) increased by 0.19%, with notable gains from Yunnan Copper (000878) at 1.61% and China Power Construction (601669) at 1.48% [1]. - The National State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy ETF (561790) rose by 0.28%, with a recent price of 1.06 yuan, and has accumulated a 1.93% increase over the past month [1]. Group 2: Policy Impact - The notification outlines seven focus areas for pilot projects, including grid-structured technology, system-friendly renewable power plants, smart microgrids, and virtual power plants, which are expected to catalyze advancements in the energy sector [2]. - The emphasis on clean and efficient transformation of coal power units is anticipated to stimulate demand for zero-carbon and low-carbon fuels, aiding the successful transition of coal power and enhancing profitability and valuation [2][3]. Group 3: ETF Performance Metrics - The China Securities National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy ETF has recorded a maximum monthly return of 10.03% since its inception, with an average monthly return of 3.17% and a historical one-year profit probability of 76.10% [3]. - As of June 5, 2025, the ETF's maximum drawdown this year was 7.91%, with a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10%, making it one of the lowest in its category [3]. Group 4: Top Holdings - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 51.1%, with Changjiang Electric (600900) leading at 10.48% [4][5].

宏观局势反复，基本金属价格区间震荡 有色金属 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2025 年 06 月 04 日 | 增持（维持） | 报告摘要 | 评级： | 【本周关键词】：美联储对降息持谨慎态度，法院叫停关税后被上诉暂缓，美国对钢 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 铁及铝追加关税至 | 50%。 | 分析师：谢鸿鹤 | 投资建议：趋势的延续，维持行业"增持"评级。 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | 最新美联储会议纪要显示，面对不确定性，采取谨慎的货币政策是适当的，降息概率 | 执业证书编号：S0740517080003 | 下降。与此同时，美国关税政策变数不断，市场普遍抱有观望和担忧的心态。宏观局 | Email：xiehh@zts.com.cn | | | | | | | | | | | | | 势反复叠加基本面缺乏方向指引，预计短期基本金属价格区间震荡。长期在供需格局 | 分析师： ...

Group 1 - The report highlights the price increase of chromium oxide green and the frequent safety issues in the chemical industry, emphasizing the need to focus on capacity reduction in the sector [3][4][6] - The chromium salt industry is expected to experience significant opportunities as demand shifts from traditional low-growth applications to high-growth sectors such as AI data centers and aerospace [4][5] - The supply-demand tension in the phosphate rock market is anticipated to continue, with existing production capacity facing delays and increasing demand from lithium iron phosphate batteries [4][5] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the importance of new materials in the chemical industry, which is expected to see rapid growth driven by policy support and technological breakthroughs [33][38] - Key sectors to focus on include electronic information materials, aerospace materials, and renewable energy materials, with specific companies highlighted for their strong positions in these areas [34][36][38] - The hydrogen energy sector is projected to lead global consumption in 2024, with significant advancements in renewable energy hydrogen production [39] Group 3 - The report on Li Auto indicates a slight increase in gross margin and a year-on-year profit growth, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 25.93 billion yuan [46][47] - The company has launched new models equipped with advanced driving assistance systems, enhancing its competitive edge in the electric vehicle market [49][50] - Li Auto's delivery volume is expected to grow in Q2 2025, with projected revenue between 32.5 billion and 33.8 billion yuan [50] Group 4 - The aluminum industry is experiencing a favorable macro environment, with potential easing of tariff pressures and improved inventory management during the off-season [54][56] - The report notes stable operating capacity in the electrolytic aluminum sector, with a slight increase in production costs due to rising alumina prices [56][57] - Demand for aluminum in various sectors, including construction and automotive, is expected to remain stable, although some segments may face seasonal slowdowns [56][57]

Core Insights - The Dachen State-Owned Enterprise Reform Flexible Allocation Mixed A Fund (002258) has a latest net value of 3.2840 yuan, reflecting a growth of 1.36% [1] - The fund's performance over the past month shows a return of 1.44%, ranking 901 out of 2343 in its category; over the past six months, it has returned 0.78%, ranking 1132 out of 2304; and year-to-date, it has achieved a return of 2.24%, ranking 755 out of 2318 [1] Fund Holdings - The top ten stock holdings of the Dachen State-Owned Enterprise Reform Flexible Allocation Mixed A Fund account for a total of 67.75%, with the largest positions being: - Sailun Tire (9.57%) - Haohua Technology (8.69%) - Yun Aluminum (8.06%) - China Aluminum (8.02%) - Shandong Gold (7.35%) - Western Materials (6.39%) - Zhongjin Gold (5.49%) - Ice Wheel Environment (5.43%) - Zijin Mining (5.10%) - Hubei Yihua (3.65%) [1] Fund Background - The Dachen State-Owned Enterprise Reform Flexible Allocation Mixed A Fund was established on September 21, 2017, and as of March 31, 2025, it has a total scale of 1.155 billion yuan [1] - The fund manager is Han Chuang, who has a Master's degree in Economics and has held various positions in investment management since 2012 [2]

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.06.03 关税博弈拉长，淡季压力渐显 [Table_Industry] 有色金属 ——有色及贵金属周报 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | [table_Authors] 于嘉懿(分析师) | 兰洋(研究助理) | | --- | --- | | 021-38676666 | 021-38676666 | | 登记编号 S0880522080001 | S0880123070158 | 本报告导读： 特朗普关税政策遭遇美国司法挑战，后续关税以其他形式出台的不确定性增加，美 国国内外对关税的博弈时间将被拉长，或导致金价波动加剧。国内而言，下游淡季 需求压力逐步显现，工业品短期或有所承压。 投资要点： 行 业 跟 踪 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 股 票 研 究 报 告 [Table_subIndustry] 白银：金融与商品属性影响下，白银价格波动或更大。①价格：5 月 30 日当周 SHFE 白银跌 0.27%至 8218 元/千克，COMEX 银跌 1.59%至 33.08 美元/盎司， 伦敦银现跌 1.51%至 32 ...

沪指6月3日上涨0.43%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有20个，涨幅居前的行业为美容护理、纺织服 饰，涨幅分别为3.86%、2.53%。有色金属行业今日上涨1.40%。跌幅居前的行业为家用电器、钢铁，跌 幅分别为2.10%、1.37%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出63.59亿元，今日有12个行业主力资金净流入，有色金属行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨1.40%，全天净流入资金14.01亿元，其次是医药生物行业，日 涨幅为1.78%，净流入资金为9.17亿元。 有色金属行业资金流出榜 主力资金净流出的行业有19个，计算机行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金24.79亿元，其 次是汽车行业，净流出资金为19.59亿元，净流出资金较多的还有电子、机械设备、国防军工等行业。 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601600 | 中国铝业 | 2.14 | 1.32 | -4810.54 | | 000807 | 云铝股份 | -0.75 | 0.87 | -3233. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the aluminum industry [1] Core Views - The report indicates that tariff pressures are expected to ease further, and the off-season destocking performance is better than anticipated. The aluminum industry is likely to experience a continuous trend of destocking and price increases, supported by improving export conditions [10] - The long-term outlook for the aluminum industry remains positive due to limited supply growth and potential demand increases, maintaining a high level of industry prosperity [10] Summary by Sections 1. Prices - As of May 30, the LME three-month aluminum closing price was $2,448.5 per ton, while the Shanghai aluminum active contract closing price was ¥20,070.0 per ton [14][20] - The average price of A00 aluminum in Changjiang was ¥20,240.0 per ton, down ¥160.0 from the previous week [20] 2. Production - In May 2025, the production of electrolytic aluminum was 3.729 million tons, an increase of 123,000 tons month-on-month and 214,000 tons year-on-year [53] - The production of alumina in May 2025 was 7.272 million tons, up 189,000 tons month-on-month and 593,000 tons year-on-year [53] 3. Inventory - As of May 29, the inventory of electrolytic aluminum ingots in major domestic consumption areas was 511,000 tons, a decrease of 46,000 tons week-on-week [7] - The inventory of aluminum rods was recorded at 128,300 tons, with a slight decrease of 2,500 tons week-on-week [7] 4. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - Key companies include Shenhuo Co., China Hongqiao, Tianshan Aluminum, China Aluminum, and Yun Aluminum, all rated as "Buy" with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth [5] 5. Supply and Demand - Domestic electrolytic aluminum production capacity remains stable, with a slight increase in the alloying ratio affecting the delivery situation [7] - Demand from downstream sectors is showing signs of weakness, particularly in photovoltaic aluminum and automotive materials, while cable orders remain strong due to state grid demand [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The report highlights that the gold price trend remains upward despite fluctuations caused by tariff expectations, with a strong focus on inflation resilience and long-term interest rates [5] - Copper prices are expected to continue fluctuating around a cost level of $9,350 due to tariff uncertainties and macroeconomic factors [6] - Aluminum prices are projected to rise, supported by strong domestic demand and inventory depletion [6] - Molybdenum prices are increasing due to tight supply and stable demand from the steel sector [7] - Rare earth prices are under short-term pressure but are expected to recover as export controls ease and mining quotas are issued [7] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the industry is at 4,668.39, with a weekly high of 5,020.22 and a low of 3,700.9 [2] Price Movements - Basic metals saw price declines: Copper down 1.03%, Aluminum down 1.39%, Zinc down 2.93%, Lead down 1.23%, and Tin down 6.73% - Precious metals experienced mixed results: Gold up 0.41%, Silver down 0.93%, Platinum down 9.60% [21] Inventory Changes - Global visible inventories showed a decrease: Copper down 11,442 tons, Aluminum down 12,499 tons, Zinc down 12,099 tons, Lead down 4,080 tons, Tin down 106 tons, and Nickel down 681 tons [26]

证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2025 年 06 月 02 日 关税问题反复，继续推荐黄金板块 金属行业周报 周期/金属及材料 金属市场淡季逐渐到来，但是由于供应和抢出口等问题，基本面普遍超预期的 好。近期经济数据集中。美国关税问题各种反复。市场对于未来衰退预期依然 强烈，市场依然以风险厌恶交易为主。继续强烈推荐黄金，反制品种稀土磁材 板块。此外，关注自主可控相关以及时间友好的科技、机器人、可控核聚变等 相关材料标的。 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 234 | 4.6 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 3953.3 | 4.6 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 3675.1 | 4.7 | 行业指数 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 1.6 3.8 9.0 相对表现 -0.3 5.8 2.1 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 Jun/24 Sep/24 Jan/25 May/25 (%) 金属及材料 沪深300 相关报告 1、《金属行业周报—金价重拾涨势， 关 注 贵 金 属 板 块 配 置 机 会 ...