国内市场，黄金概念股1月26日开盘冲高，湖南黄金（002155.SZ）、四川黄金（001337.SZ）、招金黄 金（000506.SZ）、湖南白银（002716.SZ）等纷纷涨停。 南华期货贵金属新能源研究组负责人夏莹莹对第一财经分析称，黄金强势突破5000关口，是短期避险需 求、中期政策预期、长期货币信用重构三重逻辑共振的结果。预计2026年金价或有望挑战6000美元关 口。当前金价处于高价位、高波动阶段，投资者需做好仓位控制。 金银价格继续"狂飙"。 避险情绪持续升温，金银齐创新高 1月26日，伦敦现货黄金冲破5000美元/盎司，最高触及5093美元，距5100美元/盎司仅一步之遥，距离 其首次突破4000美元关口仅过去100多天。伦敦现货白银更是一举升破109美元/盎司，再度创下历史新 高。 全球地缘不确定性加剧，贵金属价格也在多重利好支撑下继续上涨。 Wind数据显示，截至北京时间1月26日12：00，伦敦现货黄金报5076.53美元/盎司，最高触及5093.19美 元/盎司；COMEX黄金期货同步走强，报5076.2美元/盎司，最高至5091.5美元/盎司。 白银方面，伦敦现货白银报108.248美 ...

受益于金价上涨，多家黄金相关企业预计2025年业绩同比增长。 目前，高盛最新报告已经将今年底黄金价格预测由每盎司4900美元上调至5400美元，因私人投资者及央 行的需求不断增强。高盛预计，今年各国央行每月将购买60吨黄金，同时随着美联储降息，ETF所购买 的黄金规模也会增加，进一步推升估值。华西证券最新研报预测，2026年金价涨幅或介于10%—35%， 而杰富瑞集团更是喊出6600美元/盎司的惊人目标。 世界黄金协会美洲CEO兼全球研究负责人安凯表示，展望2026年，黄金市场将进入多重力量交织、动态 平衡的新阶段。一方面，地缘经济不确定性依然高企，美元或将延续弱势，投资者和央行的结构性需求 有望持续为金价提供支撑。另一方面，全球经济复苏的可能性、利率周期的变化以及美元阶段性反弹等 因素，也可能对黄金价格形成一定压力。 1月25日晚，湖南黄金发布业绩预告，预计2025年净利润为12.7亿元—16.08亿元，同比增长50%— 90%。 此前，赤峰黄金曾于1月5日发布2025年度业绩预增公告，预计2025年度净利润为30亿元到32亿元，与上 年同期（法定披露数据）相比增长约70%到81%。主要原因为公司2025年 ...

国际金价的上涨助推国内足金饰品价格攀升。1月26日，多家国内品牌金店足金饰品价格每克已超1570元。其中，周大福 （01929.HK）足金饰品价格涨至1578元/克；老凤祥（600612.SH）足金饰品价格升至1576元/克；豫园股份（600655.SH）旗下老庙黄 金足金饰品价格涨至1575元/克；周生生（00116.HK）足金饰品价格升至1574元/克。 高盛在最新研报中将黄金今年底目标价从每盎司4900美元上调至5400美元，理由是私人部门投资者和中央银行对黄金的需求不断增 长。高盛预计，各国央行今年每月将购买60吨黄金，同时随着美联储降息，黄金ETF的持有量也将增加。各国央行已开始通过传统的 ETF，与私人部门投资者争夺有限的黄金。 红星资本局1月26日消息，今日，国际金价再度刷新历史新高，首次突破5000美元大关，伦敦现货黄金盘中一度涨至5085.75美元/盎 司，COMEX黄金期货最高涨至5082.9美元/盎司。 伦敦现货黄金走势图 图片来源：Wind 苏商银行特约研究员武泽伟表示，现货黄金站上5000美元关口，其背后的上涨逻辑在当前宏观环境下仍具备较强的可持续性。核心支 撑来源于四个相互关联的长 ...

商品属性叠加中国需求形成支撑。铜价受新能源、AI基建需求上行，世行预测2026年涨1%；铁矿石稳 于130美元/吨上方，受益中国基建。瑞银称，中国5%左右的增速持续支撑澳洲资源需求，利好澳元。 1月26日(周一)，澳元兑美元强势上行，盘中最高触及0.6931，创16个月新高，截至发稿交投于0.6913， 日内涨幅0.26%，开年累计上涨3.6%，跻身2026年表现最佳G10货币。澳联储鹰派预期、大宗商品支 撑、美澳政策分化三大因素共振，叠加美元走弱，持续为澳元提供上行动力。 日内走势上，澳元兑美元今开0.6922，亚洲时段依托0.6894支撑震荡攀升，突破0.6900关口至0.6931；欧 洲时段因获利了结小幅回落，仍稳守0.6900上方，与欧元、日元等非美货币联动走强，强势韧性凸显。 核心驱动：政策分化定调，商品与经济双重托底 澳联储鹰派立场是核心支撑。央行连续三次维持3.6%基准利率，行长博洛克明确不考虑降息，甚至将 加息纳入2026年议程，终结降息预期。市场定价2月加息概率27%、3月逼近50%，机构预测利率或升至 3.85%。通胀黏性提供支撑，去年12月消费者通胀预期反弹至4.7%，核心通胀超政策目标 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - On January 23, the current - month contracts of the four major stock index futures showed mixed performance. IF fell 0.34%, IH fell 0.73%, IC rose 3.31%, and IM rose 2.89%. On this trading day, the total trading volume of stock index futures rebounded, indicating an increase in investors' trading enthusiasm. The total trading volume and positions of IF, IH, IC, and IM all increased [1][2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index Futures Data Tracking - **IF Contracts**: The closing prices of IF2602, IF2603, IF2606, and IF2609 were 4704, 4709.2, 4687.6, and 4647 respectively. The price of IF2602 and IF2603 decreased, while IF2606 and IF2609 increased. The trading volume and positions of each contract also changed to varying degrees [1]. - **IH Contracts**: The closing prices of IH2602, IH2603, IH2606, and IH2609 were 3032.4, 3037.8, 3036, and 3006 respectively. All contracts' prices decreased. The trading volume and positions of each contract increased [1]. - **IC Contracts**: The closing prices of IC2602, IC2603, IC2606, and IC2609 were 8656.2, 8658.2, 8578.8, and 8491 respectively. All contracts' prices increased. The trading volume of each contract increased, while the position of IC2602 decreased and others increased [1]. - **IM Contracts**: The closing prices of IM2602, IM2603, IM2606, and IM2609 were 8531.8, 8516.6, 8366.2, and 8219 respectively. All contracts' prices increased. The trading volume and positions of each contract increased [1][3]. 3.2 Trading Volume and Position Changes - The total trading volume of IF increased by 25,763 lots, IH increased by 9,434 lots, IC increased by 37,908 lots, and IM increased by 50,387 lots. The total positions of IF increased by 10,173 lots, IH increased by 11,239 lots, IC increased by 11,606 lots, and IM increased by 23,726 lots [2]. 3.3 Top 20 Member Position Changes - For different contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM, the long - order and short - order positions of the top 20 members changed. For example, in IF2601, the long - order increased by 3364 and the short - order increased by 4396 [5]. 3.4 Trend Strength - The trend strength of IF and IH is 1, and the trend strength of IC and IM is also 1. The trend strength ranges from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6]. 3.5 Important Drivers - The China Securities Regulatory Commission officially issued the guidelines for the performance comparison benchmarks of public funds, and the Asset Management Association of China simultaneously issued the operating rules, which will be implemented on March 1st this year. The new rules address industry pain points such as "vague benchmarks", "style drift", and "fund blind boxes" [6]. 3.6 Stock Market Performance - **A - shares**: On Friday, A - shares fluctuated and climbed. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.33% to 4136.16 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.79%, the ChiNext Index rose 0.63%, and the Wind All - A Index rose 0.97%. The market turnover was 3.12 trillion yuan, compared with 2.72 trillion yuan the previous day. The "space photovoltaic" market was booming, and concepts such as commercial aerospace, non - ferrous metals, innovative drugs, and pharmaceutical retail strengthened [7]. - **Hong Kong Stocks**: Hong Kong stocks fluctuated and strengthened. The Hang Seng Index rose 0.45% to 26749.51 points, the Hang Seng Technology Index rose 0.62%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose 0.51%. Southbound funds had a net sell - off of HK$1.6 billion, and Alibaba was net sold HK$1.49 billion [7]. - **US Stocks**: The three major US stock indexes closed with mixed performance. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.58% to 49098.71 points, the S&P 500 Index rose 0.03% to 6915.61 points, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.28% to 23501.24 points. Last week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.53% cumulatively, the S&P 500 Index fell 0.35% cumulatively, and the Nasdaq Index fell 0.06% cumulatively [8].

Group 1 - The gold market has reached a historic moment, with both spot and futures prices surpassing $5000 per ounce for the first time, with COMEX futures at $5073.4 and London spot gold at $5077.32, reflecting increases of 1.88% and 1.79% respectively [1] - The A-share gold sector experienced a surge, with multiple stocks such as Hunan Gold, Xinye Silver, and Shengda Resources hitting the daily limit [2][3] - The price of gold jewelry continues to rise, with brands like Chow Sang Sang and Lao Miao reporting prices of 1574 RMB and 1575 RMB per gram respectively [5][6] Group 2 - International gold prices have been on a continuous rise, setting historical records at $4700, $4800, and $4900 per ounce amid geopolitical tensions and a declining US dollar index [9] - There is a growing interest in structured deposit products linked to gold prices, with banks launching various offerings that are quickly sold out, indicating strong demand [11] - The demand for gold investment and storage has increased, leading to a surge in bank safe deposit box rentals, with reports of boxes being fully booked in Beijing [12]

现货黄金首次突破5000美元/盎司，日内涨0.5%。现货白银盘初再创新高，现报104.76美元/盎司，涨幅超1%。 2026年伊始，全球金融市场见证了一项历史性纪录的诞生。1月26日，现货黄金价格冲高，首次突破5000美元/ 盎司的关键心理整数关口。 对于本轮黄金价格的大幅上涨，独立财经评论员赵欢向21快讯记者分析，各国央行的战略性资产配置需求是本 轮黄金上涨的核心支撑。此外，美联储处在降息周期，意味着持有美元资产的吸引力下降，而黄金作为"无利 息资产"的机会成本变低。 事实上，当前全球央行正在掀起新一轮购金热潮。中国人民银行官方储备资产数据显示，截至2025年12月末， 我国黄金储备为7415万盎司，当月增持3万盎司。值得注意的是，这已是央行自2024年11月以来，连续第14个 月增持黄金。这一趋势也为市场注入了长期信心。 购金意愿强劲，为应对不确定性将强化黄金储备；其三，美联储降息周期延续，劳动力市场降温与通胀可控为 宽松提供支撑；其四，特朗普政府对国际秩序的扰动加剧地缘风险，推动避险需求攀升。 瞿瑞、白雪认为，尽管美欧围绕格陵兰岛的争端有所降温，但特朗普威胁对抛售美资产的欧洲实施"重大报复 行动"，"短 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector has experienced a significant surge, with the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) rising over 4% and attracting substantial capital inflow, indicating strong investor interest in this sector [1][3]. Market Performance - On January 26, the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) saw a capital inflow exceeding 70 million CNY within the first 10 minutes of trading, following a total inflow of over 160 million CNY in the previous two days [1]. - Precious metals also saw a collective surge, with spot gold prices surpassing 5000 USD/ounce for the first time, and silver and platinum prices increasing by over 3% and reaching 2800 USD/ounce, respectively [1][3]. Supply Chain Dynamics - A strike at Capstone Copper's Mantoverde copper mine in Chile, involving 645 workers, has contributed to supply concerns, as negotiations have stalled [1]. - The global mining capital expenditure has been historically low, with a 3.3% decline in exploration investments for solid minerals in 2024, indicating potential supply constraints in the future [9]. Economic and Macro Factors - Analysts suggest that central banks' strategic asset allocation is a core support for the current rise in gold prices, with expectations of monthly purchases of 60 tons of gold by central banks [3]. - The weak dollar environment, driven by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, is expected to boost the prices of dollar-denominated commodities, including non-ferrous metals [7]. Investment Opportunities - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) is highlighted for its high copper (34%) and gold (12%) content, making it a leading option for investors looking to capitalize on the non-ferrous metal supercycle [13]. - The ETF's index has shown a cumulative return of 99.61% since 2020, driven by earnings rather than valuation increases, indicating a strong performance outlook [16].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant rise in the Hong Kong stock market for precious metals, particularly gold and silver stocks, driven by geopolitical tensions and expectations of interest rate cuts [1] - Major companies such as China Silver Group, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, and Zijin Mining have seen substantial stock price increases, with China Silver Group leading with a rise of over 10% [1][2] - The price of spot silver reached $108 per ounce, increasing nearly 5% in a single day, while spot gold surpassed $5060 per ounce, marking a historical high with a monthly increase of $730, or nearly 17% [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs has revised its gold price forecast for the end of 2026 from $4900 per ounce to $5400 per ounce, citing rising demand from private investors and central banks [1] - It is anticipated that central banks will increase their gold holdings by 60 tons per month in 2026, which, along with the backdrop of potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, is expected to boost gold ETF allocations and further elevate gold valuations [1]

1月25日，洛阳钼业发布消息称，公司于2025年12月15日宣布此项交易，计划以最高10.15 亿美元收购加 拿大Equinox Gold公司在巴西的Aurizona 金矿、RDM 金矿及Bahia综合体三项金矿资产(四座矿山)的 100%权益。随着协议约定的先决条件全部实现或豁免，该交易已于1月23日正式完成。 本次收购的金矿资产，包含黄金资源量501.3万盎司(约156吨)，平均品位1.88克/吨；黄金储量387.3万盎 司(约120吨)，平均品位1.45克/吨。该公司预计，该资产今年将实现6–8吨黄金的产量。 洛阳钼业(603993.SH)"闪电"完成巴西金矿项目收购交易。 近两年，国际黄金价格持续大涨，带动中国矿企全球买矿。 2025年4月，紫金矿业(601899.SH/02899.HK)发布消息称，已正式完成对美国纽蒙特公司旗下加纳阿基 姆(Akyem)金矿项目的收购，收购价达10亿美元。同年10月，紫金矿业宣布，其控股子公司紫金黄金国 际有限公司完成对哈萨克斯坦Raygorodok金矿项目的收购交割，现已持有该金矿100%权益。 盛屯矿业(600711.SH)此前也曾公告称，公司拟1.9亿美元收购 ...