智通财经APP获悉，东吴证券发布研报称，在下游需求顺周期波动、供给端调整滞后性、政策调控节奏 性及全球经济共振性的共同作用下，工程机械行业呈现较强周期性。中国工程机械行业2025年下半年进 入景气修复通道，挖机内外销数据表现亮眼，2026年1月各类挖掘机内销与出口同步高增，景气拐点进 一步确认。在行业周期性复苏背景下，契合结构性机遇方向的个股α是核心关注点，建议关注北交所机 械工程细分领域标的。 东吴证券主要观点如下： 工程机械行业自2025年下半年进入景气修复通道，2026年1月挖掘机内销与出口数据同比高增 东吴证券指出，在下游需求顺周期波动、供给端调整滞后性、政策调控节奏性及全球经济共振性的共同 作用下，工程机械行业呈现较强周期性。 中国工程机械行业自2025年下半年进入景气修复通道，从较具代表性的挖掘机销量数据来看，2025全年 中国共销售挖掘机235,257台，同比增长17.0%；国内销量118,518台，同比增长17.9%；出口116,739台， 同比增长16.1%。2026年1月内销与出口同步高增，景气拐点进一步确认——中国销售各类挖掘机18,708 台，同比增长49.5%；其中国内销量8,723 ...

证券研究报告·北交所报告·北交所专题报告 北交所专题报告 20260226 工程机械复苏动能稳步释放，建议关注北交 所工程机械相关标的 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 观点 2026 年 02 月 26 日 证券分析师 朱洁羽 执业证书：S0600520090004 zhujieyu@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 易申申 执业证书：S0600522100003 yishsh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 余慧勇 执业证书：S0600524080003 yuhy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 武阿兰 执业证书：S0600124070018 wual@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 陈哲晓 执业证书：S0600124080015 sh_chenzhx@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《年度业绩快报密集发布，北证 50 上 涨 0.77%》 2026-02-25 《人民银行开展 5260 亿元 7 天期逆 回购操作，北证 50 上涨 0.37%》 2026-02-24 东吴证券研究所 1 / 21 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 工程机械行业自 2025 年下半年进 ...

Summary of Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - Focus on the North Exchange (北交所) and its recent policy changes regarding refinancing - Discussion on the performance of various sectors including technology, AI, and robotics Core Points and Arguments - **Market Outlook for Spring Festival**: The market expectations for the Spring Festival are becoming more aligned, with the Hang Seng Technology Index rising over 3% recently, indicating a positive domestic environment [1][2] - **Performance of Sectors**: The restaurant, retail, and tourism sectors are showing strong performance, contributing to a favorable domestic market environment. Overseas markets, particularly the US, are also experiencing upward trends [2] - **North Exchange's Advantages**: The North Exchange is expected to continue its early-year momentum due to favorable policies, including relaxed refinancing policies and market protection measures [3] - **Technology Sector Growth**: The technology sector, particularly in AI and robotics, is rapidly advancing, with specific focus on optical communication and AI applications expected to see increased activity post-holiday [4][7] - **Investment Opportunities**: Companies like Tiangong Co. and Guangxin Technology are highlighted for their strong growth potential in carbon alloy materials and insulation materials, respectively [6] - **ETF Launch**: The North Exchange plans to launch the North 50 ETF series, which is expected to attract institutional investors' attention to related stocks [5] - **Valuation Comparisons**: The North Exchange's valuation is considered reasonable compared to historical data, with various sectors showing different valuation levels, such as high-end manufacturing at 41.97 and information technology at 93.62 [12] - **Stock Recommendations**: New stock recommendations include Sanxie Electric and Dingxing Technology, focusing on technology and high-end manufacturing sectors [13][17] - **Refinancing Policy Changes**: The North Exchange is implementing a more efficient refinancing process, emphasizing support for high-quality companies with stable operations and good market recognition [19][20] - **Market Sentiment**: There is a strong expectation for a positive market opening after the holiday, with a focus on companies with confirmed growth trajectories [24][25] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - **Diverse Company Involvement**: Numerous companies are involved in the AI and robotics sectors, including those providing essential components like sensors and actuators, indicating a broad ecosystem [9][10][11] - **Regulatory Environment**: The new refinancing policies aim to streamline processes and enhance the quality of projects, which could lead to increased investor confidence [22][23] - **Long-term Growth Potential**: The discussion emphasizes the long-term growth potential of various sectors, particularly in technology and high-end manufacturing, suggesting a strategic focus for investors [18][24]

Group 1: Core Conclusions - The report emphasizes the importance of using "order-cancellation time difference" to identify institutional trading behavior, suggesting that this method is more effective than relying solely on order amounts in the current algorithmic trading environment [2][6][10] - The report highlights the strong performance of the Buy Algorithm Trading Cancellation Ratio (BABR) factor, which has shown a RankIC of 0.058 and an ICIR close to 0.55, indicating its effectiveness in stock selection [10][11] - The report indicates that the BABR factor can capture the behavior and holdings of public funds, providing a high-frequency tracking method for institutional behavior [10][11] Group 2: Company Analysis - Chow Tai Fook (1929.HK) - Chow Tai Fook is transitioning from a traditional gold and jewelry retailer to a luxury brand centered around "Fuk Culture," with a focus on high-margin priced jewelry, which has increased its retail value share from 27.4% to 31.8% in FY26 [12][14] - The company has optimized its channel strategy by closing low-efficiency stores and opening high-quality ones, resulting in a significant increase in sales per new store, with average monthly sales reaching 1.3 to 1.4 million HKD [13][14] - Chow Tai Fook's operating profit margin reached a five-year high in the first half of FY26, with expectations for continued improvement in gross margin due to pricing strategies and product price increases [14] Group 3: Industry Insights - The report notes that the industry is undergoing a regulatory shake-up, which may benefit established brands like Chow Tai Fook, allowing them to expand their advantages amid increasing market concentration [14] - The report forecasts Chow Tai Fook's net profit for FY2026-2028 to be 83.58, 98.41, and 108.56 billion HKD, with corresponding PE ratios of 16.2, 13.7, and 12.5, respectively, leading to an upgraded rating to "Buy" [14]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Overweight" indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market performance [74]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant breakthroughs in quantum key distribution networks, with the successful construction of the world's first large-scale quantum key distribution network based on integrated optical quantum chips, supporting 20 chip users and a networking capability of up to 3700 kilometers [13][18]. - Fujida (920640.BJ) is identified as a representative company in the quantum industry chain, having made early investments in quantum technologies and achieving key technical breakthroughs in low-temperature superconducting RF cables, which are essential for stable signal transmission in quantum computing applications [3][25]. - The report notes that Fujida's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 652 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.62%, with a net profit of 55.93 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 55.38% [30][28]. Summary by Sections Quantum Key Distribution Breakthroughs - The report discusses the advancements in quantum key distribution, emphasizing the development of a scalable quantum relay module that enables long-distance quantum networks and the successful transmission of device-independent quantum key distribution (DI-QKD) over distances exceeding 100 kilometers [18][21]. Industry Performance - The information technology sector experienced an average weekly increase of 1.68%, with the median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio dropping to 74.1X [4][31]. - The smart manufacturing sector saw its median P/E ratio rise to 42.5X, indicating positive market sentiment [47][54]. Company Announcements - Fujida's core products are being utilized in superconducting quantum computer projects across domestic research institutions, with current operations focused on small-batch supply, contributing to a growing revenue stream [3][25]. - The report also includes performance forecasts for various companies, with notable expected revenue growth for companies like JinHao Medical and North Mining Testing [68][69].

Group 1 - The report highlights a breakthrough in quantum key distribution networks, with Chinese scientists constructing the world's first large-scale quantum key distribution network based on integrated optical quantum chips, supporting 20 chip users and a networking capability of 3700 kilometers, achieving international leadership in both user scale and networking capability [3][13][25] - Fujida (920640.BJ) is identified as a representative company in the quantum industry chain, having invested over ten years in quantum-related technology and successfully developing low-temperature superconducting RF cables for use in superconducting quantum computer projects, currently supplying in small batches and generating significant revenue [2][27][28] Group 2 - The average weekly performance of the information technology sector increased by 1.68%, with the median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio dropping to 74.1X, while the high-end equipment sector's median P/E ratio decreased to 34.8X [4][31][34] - In the technology new industry, 75 out of 159 companies saw an increase in stock prices, with the median P/E ratio rising from 40.6X to 42.3X, and total market capitalization increasing from 5273.55 billion to 5374.97 billion [5][48][49] Group 3 - Fujida's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 652 million, a year-on-year increase of 16.62%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 55.93 million, up 55.38% year-on-year [30][28] - The report indicates that Fujida is expected to achieve a net profit of between 76.90 million and 84.80 million for the full year of 2025, representing a growth of 50.41% to 65.86% compared to 2024 [28]

Group 1 - The global market is focused on the new 15% tariffs announced by President Trump, which may face legal challenges, while bilateral trade agreements remain valid [4][10] - The A-share market is set to open for trading after the Spring Festival, with public funds prepared for investment, anticipating a balanced market structure with a focus on "technology growth" and "Chinese advantages" [5] - The Spring Festival box office has exceeded 5 billion yuan, marking the eighth consecutive year of over 100 million viewers [6] Group 2 - The Chinese government is pushing for modernization in agriculture, emphasizing the integration of various sectors and the development of technology-driven agriculture [2] - The steel industry in China has achieved significant reductions in energy consumption and emissions, with over 80% of crude steel capacity meeting ultra-low emission standards [6] - The AI industry is experiencing strong demand, with companies like SK Hynix and Huagong Technology reporting full order books and operational capacity [8] Group 3 - The global investment landscape is seeing a surge in capital inflow into Latin American markets, with the MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America Index reaching an eleven-year high [11] - The Chinese yuan has been appreciating against the US dollar, driven by favorable external conditions and increased corporate demand for currency exchange [11]

Core Viewpoint - Lin Tai New Materials (920106) has announced a plan to raise up to 380 million yuan through a private placement to expand production capacity and supplement working capital, marking the first company to disclose a fundraising plan under the new refinancing regulations in the Beijing Stock Exchange [1]. Group 1: Fundraising Details - The company plans to allocate 121 million yuan for the production of wet friction plates and assemblies for passenger vehicles [1]. - An investment of 209 million yuan is designated for the annual production of 28 million wet friction plates for commercial vehicles, engineering machinery, high-end agricultural machinery, flying cars, and other machinery [1]. - 50 million yuan will be used to supplement working capital [1]. Group 2: Previous Fundraising and Financial Performance - Lin Tai New Materials previously raised a net amount of approximately 112 million yuan during its IPO, with a capital utilization rate of only 59.13% as of December 31, 2025 [2][3]. - The company reported a revenue of 326 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a 68.92% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 107 million yuan, up 131.19% [5]. - The gross profit margin increased from 42.07% in 2023 to 45.44% in the first three quarters of 2025, attributed to the rise in market share of self-owned brands and breakthroughs in the new energy vehicle sector [5]. Group 3: Financial Health and Concerns - As of September 30, 2025, the company's debt-to-asset ratio was only 16.75%, with a current ratio of 4.34 and a quick ratio of 3.42, indicating a strong liquidity position [5]. - However, the company has high accounts receivable, amounting to 101.8 million yuan, which constitutes 23.40% of current assets, and inventory has surged nearly 40% from the end of 2024 to September 2025 [6].

Core Viewpoint - Lin Tai New Materials (920106.BJ) has announced a plan to issue shares to specific investors, aiming to raise up to 380 million yuan, which will be used for various projects including the production of wet friction plates and working capital [1][2]. Group 1: Fundraising Details - The total amount to be raised is capped at 38,000,000 yuan, which will be allocated to projects such as the production of wet friction plates for passenger cars and commercial vehicles, as well as for working capital [1]. - The issuance price will be no less than 80% of the average trading price of the company's shares over the 20 trading days prior to the pricing date [1]. Group 2: Share Issuance and Ownership Structure - The number of shares to be issued will not exceed 5,066,666 shares, representing approximately 8.95% of the total shares outstanding as of December 31, 2025, and will not exceed 30% of the total share capital before the issuance [2]. - Liu Jian, the controlling shareholder, holds 1,170,110 shares directly and controls an additional 450,880 shares indirectly, totaling 1,620,990 shares, which is 28.64% of the total shares [2][3]. Group 3: Control and Management - Liu Jian and his spouse, Song Pingping, collectively control 1,633,490 shares, representing 28.86% of the total shares, ensuring they remain the actual controllers of the company post-issuance [3]. - The issuance will not change the control of Lin Tai New Materials, as the couple will still hold significant voting rights [3]. Group 4: Previous Fundraising - In a previous fundraising round, Lin Tai New Materials issued 6,727,500 shares at a price of 19.82 yuan per share, raising a total of approximately 133.34 million yuan, with a net amount of about 112.48 million yuan after deducting issuance costs [4].

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of new refinancing regulations by the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock exchanges is seen as a positive development for the investment banking sector, providing opportunities for both large and small brokerage firms to adapt and capitalize on the changes [1][2][8]. Group 1: Market Response and Opportunities - The new refinancing regulations are expected to enhance the efficiency of refinancing processes, addressing previous concerns raised by market participants [2][10]. - In the first week following the announcement of the new regulations (February 10-12), at least 10 listed companies in the three exchanges issued new refinancing proposals, indicating a quick market response [2][11]. - The refinancing market in January saw a significant increase, with a total of 130 billion yuan raised, marking a 56% year-on-year growth and a 234% month-on-month increase [3][11]. Group 2: Impact on Brokerage Firms - Analysts believe that leading brokerage firms with strong pricing and underwriting capabilities will benefit the most from the new regulations, while smaller firms will need to find differentiated strategies to compete [4][12]. - The top five brokerage firms accounted for 54% of the underwriting volume in 2025, with CITIC Securities leading by underwriting 36 companies [4][12]. - Smaller brokerage firms are focusing on the Beijing Stock Exchange's refinancing market, which is seen as a key area for growth due to the concentration of small and medium-sized enterprises [5][13][14]. Group 3: Challenges and Requirements - The new regulations emphasize "supporting the strong and limiting the weak," which raises the bar for brokerage firms in terms of their capabilities, particularly in pricing for unprofitable technology companies [7][16]. - There is a limited number of firms with experience in pricing for unprofitable companies, highlighting a potential challenge for many in the industry [7][16]. - The ability to effectively integrate technology and finance is becoming increasingly important, requiring firms to enhance their understanding of industries and technologies [7][16].