当今世界正处于产业格局的深刻调整期。逆全球化浪潮与复杂的地缘政治关系相互交织，为全球 市场带来了前所未有的不确定性。身处智能终端产业链的中国企业，既面临外部环境剧变带来的 严峻挑战，也迎来关键的战略转型窗口。在此背景下， "国产替代"与"全球化出海"不仅是企业 应对风险的重要选择，更是推动产业升级、构建新发展格局的核心引擎。为深入探讨这一时代课 题，洞察产业未来，我们将在 AWE2026期间同期举办 "聚链成势·智启未来"智能终端产业链 创新峰会。 AWE作为全球家电与消费电子领域最具影响力的三大展会之一，始终是把握行业趋势、聚合全球 资源的重要平台。AWE2026 在上海举办，首次采用 "一展双区" 模式：上海新国际博览中心展 区延续往届规模与影响力；上海东方枢纽国际商务合作区展区则依托制度创新优势，以 "AI科技 ·慧享未来" 为主题，聚焦AI终端、算力芯片、6G通信、具身智能等前沿领域，打造消费电子先 进科技展区，加速新质生产力落地。在此极具行业影响力与创新活力的平台上，本次峰会将汇聚 政、产、学、研、投各界代表，共同研判供应链变局，探讨技术协同与产业协作路径，助力中国 企业筑牢竞争根基、把握出海机遇， ...

另外，供应链人士、行业分析机构及多家手机品牌内部人士表示，收到内存价格暴涨，3月起，手机涨 价将进入加速阶段，新品涨幅最低可达1000元以上。 国芯网[原:中国半导体论坛] 振兴国产半导体产业！ 不拘中国、 放眼世界 ！ 关注 世界半导体论坛 ↓ ↓ ↓ 3月2日消息，近日，国家发改委价格监测中心发文指出，2025年9月至今，受需求"爆发 式"增长、产能"断崖式"紧缺等因素影响，全球存储器市场缺口扩大，存储芯片价格持续上 涨，近1个多月以来涨幅呈现扩大态势。 调研反映，截至今年1月，存储芯片两大主要产品DRAM和NAND闪存价格均创2016年有数据以来最 高。以主流型号为例，1月DARM（DDR4 8Gb 1G*8）合约平均价格为11.5美元，比上月上涨约24%， 比2025年9月上涨约83%；NAND闪存（128Gb 16G*8 MLC）合约平均价格为9.5美元，比上月上涨约 65%，比2025年9月上涨近1.5倍。 国家发改委价格监测中心表示，当前存储芯片正处于上涨周期。年内来看，在AI服务器算力需 求持续增长的带动下，全球存储芯片市场供不应求局面仍将持续，存储芯片价格将延续上涨 态势。 存储芯片价格上涨 ...

联系人 常瑛珞 changyl@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《"HALO 交易"与"抱团"新战场》 2026-03-01 2. 《开辟"抱团"新战场》 2026-02- 25 3. 《出海打先锋，迎接开门红—策马逐牛 8》 2026-02-23 财通策略&多行业——2026 年 3 月金股 证券研究报告 月度金股 / 2026.03.02 分析师 徐陈翼 SAC 证书编号：S0160523030003 xucy@ctsec.com 核心观点 请阅读最后一页的重要声明！ ❖ 当前美股经验-HALO 交易，放弃看不明白的科技后半场，提前转向长期左 侧交易替代对冲：美股科技虽然业绩持续向好、资本开支延续投入，但估值已 至高位、后续资本开支能延续几年+AI 会不会替代冲击软件/轻资产行业的担 忧增加。在科技业绩持续新高、行情难言结束之时，市场反而转向 HALO 交 易（重资产低过时），除了受益当前大宗商品涨价，背后其实是长期战略层面 放弃 allin 赚取科技最后一浪，转而选择低估值策略寻求对科技侧持仓的替代 和对冲。低估值选择上，由于周期/稳定/重制造等重资产方向难以被 AI 整体 替代，产业门槛仍然明确， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, recommending investment in AI computing, cloud vendors, AI applications, and AI social sectors [5]. Core Insights - Nvidia's guidance exceeded expectations, showcasing significant advantages in token economics. The company's data center revenue surpassed expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 73% to $68.1 billion, and data center revenue alone rose by 75% to $62.3 billion. The customer base diversified, with revenue from cloud service providers (CSPs) slightly exceeding 50% [5][8]. - Baidu Group's performance is under short-term pressure, but the proportion of AI-driven revenue is increasing. In Q4 2025, Baidu's total revenue was 32.74 billion yuan, down 4.1% year-on-year, while core revenue decreased by 5.7% to 26.11 billion yuan. AI-related revenue exceeded 11 billion yuan, accounting for 43% of core revenue [5][9]. - Google released the new image generation model Nano Banana 2, enhancing multimodal capabilities and improving generation efficiency and cost performance [5][10]. Summary by Sections Weekly Overview - Nvidia's guidance exceeded expectations, with data center revenue increasing by 75% year-on-year. The company raised its revenue guidance for Blackwell and Rubin to a combined $500 billion [8]. Baidu Group Performance - Baidu's total revenue in Q4 2025 was 32.74 billion yuan, with AI cloud revenue growing by 34% year-on-year. AI-related revenue accounted for 43% of core revenue [9]. Google Developments - Google launched Nano Banana 2, which improves image generation efficiency and supports various aspect ratios and up to 4K resolution output [10]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Nvidia (NVDA.O), TSMC (TSM.N), ASML (ASML.O), and major cloud vendors like Microsoft (MSFT.O), Amazon (AMZN.O), and Google (GOOGL.O) [25].

我是芯片超人花姐，入行20年，有50W+芯片行业粉丝。 有很多不方便公开发公众号的， 关于芯片买卖、关于资 源链接等， 我会分享在朋友圈 。 扫码加我本人微信 "传苹果接受三星及铠侠存储芯片100%涨价 " "传国产手机将迎来涨价潮 " "华硕、HPE等服务器及基础设施厂商开始缩短报价有效期 " 近期，存储价格上行对终端的影响正在进一步扩大，甚至国家发改委都发文报道"存储芯片价格持 续上涨并向下游传导" 。 阅读本文，你将了解： 存储 暴涨 ， 终端 目前 都有 啥 反应 ？ 现在哪些终端 受影响 最大 ？ 存储 芯片的 价格 以及 供应情况 有 哪些 变化 ？ 01 存储狂飙 来源 ： 国家 发改委 官网 终端 坐不住了 在去年四季度，存储涨价的火，就已经烧到了终端。 近期手机与 PC 厂商的动作更密集：新品定 价上调、渠道提前催单、签长单锁供、调整产品配置与供应来源……多种策略并行，显示成本压力 已开始向终端售价与出货节奏传导。 基于最新公开信息，我们整理了手机、PC等终端针对 存储 芯片 涨价的应对与受影响情况： 首先 ， 多家 国内外 手机 厂商 已经 涨价 或 传出 涨价 消息 。 三星：最新手机涨 ...

Ryzen AI PRO 400 Series Desktop Processor Ryzen AI PRO 400 Series Desktop Processor News Summary AMD expands its Ryzen AI portfolio with new Ryzen AI 400 Series and Ryzen AI PRO 400 Series desktop processors, the world’s first for next-gen AI PC applications with support for Copilot+ PC experiences.OEM partners announce new AI PC offerings with enterprise-class notebooks and mobile workstations powered by Ryzen AI PRO 400 Series mobile processors.Ryzen AI 400 Series mobile processors deliver up to 30% f ...

CMBI Credit Commentary Fixed Income Daily Market Update 固定收益部市场日报 Trading desk comments 交易台市场观点 Last Friday, the new SUMITR Float 29s tightened 6bps from RO at SOFR+71, and SUMITR Float 31s tightened 15bps from RO at SOFR+89. As for fixed- rate SUMITR new issues, SUMITR 29s were unchanged from RO at T+53, SUMITR 31s tightened 6bps, and SUMITR 36s were 5bps wider amid heaving selling. In Chinese IG space, belly-to-long-end TMT names LENOVO/XIAOMI/JD/KUAISH/MEITUA faced concentrated selling and widened 1-6bps ...

不过，我们预计联想将凭借其规模优势、均衡的地域布局、对高端及高增长细分市场的聚焦、严格的成 本控制、扎实的执行力以及对保守资本结构的承诺，缓解部分利润率压力并维持具韧性的财务状况。 关键评级驱动因素 状况稳健;表现强劲：联想的业务状况受益于其在全球PC领域稳固的市场领导地位，PC出货量保持全球 第一，并在2025年第四季度将市场份额扩大至25%(2024年第四季度为24%)。在截至2026年3月的财年前 九个月(2026财年前九个月)，联想创纪录的盈利水平得益于稳定的份额提升以及方案服务业务集团 (SSG)利润增强。智能设备业务集团(IDG)收入同比增长15%，SSG收入同比增长18%。基础设施方案业 务集团(ISG)亏损扩大，但按惠誉定义的EBITDA在2026财年前九个月仍同比增长27%至37亿美元。 3月1日，惠誉评级已确认中资企业联想集团有限公司(联想)的长期外币和本币发行人主体评级 为'BBB'，展望稳定。惠誉同时确认联想的高级无抵押评级为'BBB'，以及票息率5.831%、2028年到期 的6.25亿美元票据、票息率3.421%、2030年到期的10亿美元票据和票息率6.536%、2032年到期的 ...

公众号记得加星标⭐️，第一时间看推送不会错过。 以下为发改委发布全文： 2025年9月至今，受需求"爆发式"增长、产能"断崖式"紧缺等因素影响，全球存储器市场缺口扩大， 存储芯片价格持续上涨，近1个月多以来，涨幅呈现扩大态势，建议关注存储芯片对下游价格的影 响。 一、近期存储芯片价格大幅快速上涨 调研反映，截至今年1月，存储芯片两大主要产品DRAM和NAND闪存价格均创2016年有数据以来最 高。以主流型号为例，1月DARM（DDR4 8Gb 1G*8）合约平均价格为11.5美元，比上月上涨约 24%，比2025年9月上涨约83%；NAND闪存（128Gb 16G*8 MLC）合约平均价格为9.5美元，比上 月上涨约65%，比2025年9月上涨近1.5倍。 （来源 ：综合自发改委检测中心 ） *免责声明：本文由作者原创。文章内容系作者个人观点，半导体行业观察转载仅为了传达一种不同的观点，不代表半导体行业观察对该 观点赞同或支持，如果有任何异议，欢迎联系半导体行业观察。 2月28日，国家发展改革委价格监测中心发布一篇名为《存储芯片价格持续上涨并向下游传导》的文 称，2025年9月份至今，受需求"爆发式"增长、产 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry and Company Overview - The conference call discusses the impact of AI on various industries, particularly focusing on software, cloud services, and energy sectors. It highlights the structural changes in investment logic due to AI advancements and the resulting market dynamics. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **AI's Impact on Software Stocks**: Large model companies are actively replacing enterprise IT budgets, leading to valuation pressure on software stocks. This creates opportunities for selective stock picking rather than broad sector rebounds [1][5]. 2. **Cloud Companies' Financial Strategies**: There is a slowdown in buybacks and dividends among cloud companies, with net cash flow turning negative when excluding these factors. However, capital expenditures (CAPEX) continue to increase, contradicting traditional investment paradigms [1][3][5]. 3. **"AI Tax" on Traditional Hardware**: Some traditional hardware companies, such as Lenovo and Cisco, are experiencing profit margin declines due to rising storage prices, referred to as the "AI tax," which pressures their short-term operations and valuations [1][6]. 4. **Shift Towards Real Assets**: The U.S. stock market is showing a preference for tangible assets, particularly in the electricity sector, with utilities and construction performing well. This trend is driven by expectations of power expansion and infrastructure development [1][7]. 5. **Political Factors Influencing Energy Needs**: By 2026, political factors are expected to drive cloud companies to build their own power sources, with natural gas being favored due to its environmental benefits and domestic advantages [1][8]. 6. **Resource Diplomacy and Pricing**: The U.S. is focusing on setting reference prices for key resources through tariffs and strategic reserves, aiming to provide long-term high price expectations for resource commodities [1][9]. 7. **Oil Market Dynamics**: There are signs of a potential reversal in the oil market, driven by changes in production dynamics and the U.S. adopting a more defensive stance compared to OPEC [1][10]. Additional Important Insights 1. **K-Shaped Economic Impact of AI**: AI is expected to create a K-shaped economic recovery, benefiting certain sectors while suppressing overall consumer spending, particularly among lower-income groups [2][11]. 2. **Investment Opportunities in AI**: The focus should be on upstream AI-related infrastructure and companies that are not directly impacted by AI disruptions. There is potential for significant returns in sectors like energy and resource management [12][16]. 3. **Market Mispricing Risks**: There is a risk of mispricing in the market, where companies perceived as unaffected by AI may face long-term challenges due to ongoing AI developments [13][14]. 4. **2026 Market Outlook**: The overall market outlook for 2026 is cautious, with expectations of limited returns and the need to monitor macroeconomic indicators and geopolitical developments closely [15][31]. 5. **SaaS and Software Valuation Pressures**: The SaaS sector is experiencing significant valuation pressures, with many companies facing sell-offs despite strong earnings. The traditional pricing models are being challenged by the rise of Agentic AI [22][25][23]. Conclusion The conference call highlights the transformative impact of AI across various sectors, emphasizing the need for investors to adapt their strategies in response to changing market dynamics. Key areas of focus include selective stock picking, understanding the implications of political and economic factors, and recognizing the potential for mispricing in the current market environment.