链接您与财富 A股相关概念梳理 近日中东再燃战火,这场突如其来的冲突或将成为搅动全球金融市场的"超级黑 天鹅"。面对聚然升级的地缘局势,机构普遍认为,油气、黄金、军工、油轮运 输、核污染防治、煤炭等板块受益于此次中东冲突。 | 利好板块 | 核心逻辑 | 相关个股 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 中东冲突直接推升油价,增厚上游企 | 思速過出 | | 油气开采 | 业利润;油价高位将刺激油气企业增 | 中海油服 | | 与湘服设备 | | 中曼石油 | | | 加资本开支，利好油服设备 | | | | | 中国石油 | | | | 紫金矿业 | | | 军事冲突将增加市场的避险情绪,避 | 山东黄金 | | | 险情绪升温又会推高黄金价格 | 赤峰黄金 | | | | 招金矿业 | | | | 中航沈飞飞 | | | 地缘冲突升级刺激军需品需求，包括 | 航天彩虹 | | | 导弹、无人机及防空系统等 | 中无人机 | | | | 高德红外 | | | | 中远海能 | | | 中东冲突可能影响原油运输通道（如 | 中远海特 | | 1925输 | | | | | 霍尔木兹海峡），推升油轮 ...

环球市场动态 伊 朗 局 势 的 潜 在 走 向 股 票 周五 A 股涨跌不一，有色金属、电 力领涨；港股集体上升，顺周期板 块推动市场上行；欧洲股市窄幅震 荡，市场谨慎观望伊朗局势发展； 美股大跌，科技公司大规模裁员加 剧 AI 焦虑，PPI 数据超预期和信贷 担忧拖累金融股重挫。 外 汇 / 商 品 市场忧虑伊朗石油供应有可能中 断，上周五纽约期油结束 5 天跌势。 霍尔木兹海峡及附近水域有运油轮 遇袭，周一亚洲時段布油曾升至 80 美元之上。美伊紧张局势升级，触 发资金流入金市避险。 固 定 收 益 美国债市二月表现创一年来最佳， 美债在动荡环境下成为首选避风 港。周六美以联合打击伊朗，进一 步抬升避险情绪。信用债普遍承压， 利差走宽。 产品及投资方案部 注：bp/bps=基点；pt/pts=百分点 中信证券财富管理 (香港) 免责声明请参考封底 2026 年 3 月 2 日 ▪ 当地时间 2 月 28 日，伊朗局势进入了军事冲突爆发阶段。截至北京时间 3 月 1 日 10:00，伊朗局势仍在快速 变化，我们预计难以一次性按最终情景推测并演绎，更可能跟随重要信号持续波动，我们认为美军军事调动、 伊朗政局 ...

3月2日，A股市场煤炭（核心股）股继续走强，其中，中煤能源逼近涨停，恒源煤电涨超5%，兖矿能源、陕西黑 猫、永泰能源、中国神华、陕西煤业涨超4%。 股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：栎树 中信证券认为，中东地缘冲突升级，若油价上涨，或有效推涨煤价；同时，甲醇（核心股）等化工（核心股）品 贸易物流若受到影响，国内煤化工耗煤需求也有望增加，对煤价形成利好。目前叠加印尼煤炭（核心股）减量带 来的出口扰动，国内煤价预期有望持续向好。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601898 | 中煤能源 | 1 | 9.16 | 2196亿 | 33.12 | 16.56 | | 600971 | 恒浪爆电 | 1 | 5.76 | 92.52亿 | 23.56 | 7.71 | | 600188 | 充矿能源 | 1 | 4.91 | 1866 Z | 41.37 | 18.59 | | 601015 | 陕西黑猫 | | 4.43 | 106亿 | 43.37 | ...

格隆汇3月2日｜A股市场煤炭股继续走强，其中，中煤能源逼近涨停，恒源煤电涨超5%，兖矿能源、 陕西黑猫、永泰能源、中国神华、陕西煤业涨超4%。 中信证券认为，中东地缘冲突升级，若油价上 涨，或有效推涨煤价；同时，甲醇等化工品贸易物流若受到影响，国内煤化工耗煤需求也有望增加，对 煤价形成利好。目前叠加印尼煤炭减量带来的出口扰动，国内煤价预期有望持续向好。 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，煤炭股多数上涨，截至发稿，MONGOL MINING(00975.HK)涨6.24%，报13.28港元；中 煤能源(01898.HK)涨3.15%，报13.41港元；兖煤澳大利亚(03668.HK)涨5.17%，报35港元；兖矿能源 (01171.HK)涨1.93%，报14.27港元。 ...

2026 年 3 月 2 日 星期一 宏观动态： 人民币兑美元汇率收报 6.8559，跌 162 点子。2 月官方收市价升 1.35%，创 1 年半以来最大单月升幅。人民银行宣布下 调远期售汇风险准备金率，并加强对单边预期管理，预计可纾缓人民币升势。市场相信在中美元首 3 月底会面前，人民 币仍偏向上行，后市或逐渐升至近 6.8 兑 1 美元关口。 行业动态： 汽车板块：MSCI 中国指数在周五收盘后更换成分股，汽车板块的小马智行（2026 HK）和禾赛（2525 HK）被纳入。早前 数据显示，小马智行在马年春节期间(2 月 15 日至 23 日)，实现北上广深运营数据节节攀升。其中深圳增长尤为迅猛： 截至 2 月 16 日，小马智行 2026 年在深圳完成的付费订单数已超过 2025 年深圳全年付费订单总数；在此基础上，春节假 期期间每日付费订单数屡创新高。周五小马智行和禾赛尾盘拉升，分别上升 10%和 4.4%。 医药：恒生医疗保健指数周五反弹 1.7%，CXO 板块普涨。药明合联（2268 HK）宣布与 Earendil Labs 就药明合联自主研 发的 WuXiTecan-2 载荷连接子技术授权达成战 ...

Macro Insights - The upcoming National People's Congress is expected to set the GDP growth target for 2026 at "4.5%-5%" and maintain a CPI target around 2%[6] - Key indicators to watch include whether the PMI can return to expansion territory and if the first quarter credit can achieve a "good start"[6] Market Performance - The overall market performance in January showed a 13.1% increase, while March saw a 31.4% rise, with a year-on-year increase of 82.3%[3] - The coal sector maintained a steady performance with a 11.3% increase in both January and March, and a 25.4% increase year-on-year[3] Investment Recommendations - Focus on sectors benefiting from price increases, such as chemicals, steel, and energy, as well as companies involved in AI and technology[9] - Recommended stocks include Yanzhou Coal Mining, Nanshan Aluminum, and Yanjing Beer, among others[9] Economic Indicators - The central bank's liquidity measures have led to a slight decline in deposit rates, maintaining a stable and loose monetary environment[14] - The carbon market saw a total transaction volume of 8.8 billion tons, with a cumulative transaction value of 587.2 billion yuan[23] Sector-Specific Trends - The environmental sector is expected to benefit from new policies in Zhejiang and Guangxi, promoting solid waste treatment and recycling[22] - The tourism market is projected to perform well throughout 2026, driven by ongoing policy support and consumer demand[26] Risks - Potential risks include unexpected changes in external environments, policy effectiveness, and geopolitical tensions[6] - The coal market faces risks from domestic production exceeding expectations and downstream demand not meeting projections[34]

煤炭 2026 年 03 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 煤炭 沪深300 相关研究报告 《印尼进口煤价中枢有望提高，稳煤 价逻辑依旧—行业周报》-2026.2.8 《煤价回归合理才是常态，稳煤价逻 辑依旧—行业周报》-2026.2.1 《2025Q4 煤价环比改善，重视周期弹 性—行业点评报告》-2026.1.27 三月煤矿复产增多，中东局势有望持续催化煤价 ——行业周报 风险提示：经济增速下行风险，进口煤大增风险，可再生能源加速替代风险 行 业 研 究 王高展（分析师） 程镱（分析师） wanggaozhan@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525070003 chengyi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525090001 本周要闻回顾：三月煤矿复产增多，中东局势有望持续催化煤价 动力煤方面：动力煤价格微跌，截至 2 月 27 日，秦港 Q5500 动力煤平仓价为 745 元/吨，环比上涨 18 元/吨，前期已经完成了我们估算的第四目标价格区间，即 800-860 元区 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Industry**: Geopolitical tensions, particularly the US-Iran conflict, are impacting global markets, especially commodities and inflation risks. [1][2] - **Key Focus**: The shift in US policy towards domestic issues due to midterm election pressures may lead to external conflicts being used to alleviate internal political and economic pressures. [1][2] Core Insights and Arguments - **Oil Price Impact**: Rising oil prices are expected to elevate the Producer Price Index (PPI) and subsequently the Consumer Price Index (CPI), benefiting consumer sectors with pricing power. [1][2] - **Market Transmission Pathway**: The main transmission pathway of the US-Iran conflict is identified as "conflict escalation → oil prices → global inflation → interest rates → stock valuations." The baseline assumption is that while the conflict may persist, oil prices will remain manageable, limiting disturbances to the A-share market. [1][2] - **Military Investment Opportunities**: The military sector is viewed as an "event-driven" investment opportunity, focusing on high-end military trade, particularly in advanced fighter jets and strategic transport aircraft. [1][5][6] Additional Important Insights - **Commodity Rotation**: Historical patterns indicate a rotation from gold to copper and oil, with current trends showing increases in precious metals and industrial metals. If this rotation extends to oil, input inflation risks will rise significantly. [3][4] - **Coal Market Dynamics**: The coal market is entering a phase of value reassessment due to supply disruptions and policy shifts in Indonesia, with potential for improved profitability in coal chemical projects when oil prices exceed $50 per barrel. [2][17][18] - **Geopolitical Conflict and Metal Pricing**: The US-Iran conflict is reinforcing the narrative that geopolitical tensions and de-globalization are fundamentally altering metal pricing dynamics, particularly for precious and strategic metals. [11][12] Sector-Specific Insights - **Oil and Gas Sector**: Short-term beneficiaries include upstream oil and gas assets, with a focus on small to mid-cap exploration companies. The midstream sector is expected to manage cost pressures better than anticipated. [9][10] - **Chemical Industry**: Companies like Wanhua Chemical are positioned to benefit from rising prices in MDI and TDI, with significant production capacities in the Middle East. [16] - **Electric Utilities**: The geopolitical conflict is likely to provide indirect benefits to defensive utility sectors, particularly hydropower, with clear safety margins emerging in certain sub-sectors. [20][21] Investment Recommendations - **Resource and Transportation**: Focus on resource sectors, shipping, and precious metals, particularly gold, as potential beneficiaries of the current geopolitical climate. [4][22] - **Military and Defense**: Emphasize investments in military technology and equipment manufacturers, particularly those involved in high-end military exports. [5][6] - **Coal and Chemical Stocks**: Monitor companies like Yanzhou Coal and China Chemical for potential upside due to supply chain disruptions and rising commodity prices. [19][16] Conclusion The ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly the US-Iran conflict, are expected to have significant implications for various sectors, including oil, coal, chemicals, and military industries. Investors are advised to focus on sectors that can leverage these dynamics for potential growth and profitability.

PVC景气回暖有望提振助剂需求，这些品种已率 先开启涨价；SpaceX计划在月球电磁弹射卫星， 技术路径有望加速得到产业验证——0301脱水研 报 2026/03/01 17:58 今日研报内容： 【本文来自持牌证券机构，不代表平台观点，请独立判断和决策】 摘要： 1、PVC：乙酰丙酮从底部1.3万元/吨涨至2.0万元/吨，其他助剂品种亦有望复制乙酰丙酮盐 的价格修复路径，实现企稳回升，迎来阶段性修复机遇。核心公司：键邦股份、瑞丰高材、 日科化学、新华制药。 2、草甘膦：天风证券研报指出，2月18日，特朗普签署了一份援引《国防生产法》的行政命 令，将元素磷和草甘膦类除草剂列为国防关键物资。美国国内草甘膦供应能力有限，对我国 进口依赖度仍较高，当前国内草甘膦价格处于较低水平。标的：扬农化工、兴发集团。 3、卫星制造：国泰海通证券研报指出，马斯克旗下SpaceX公司计划在月球表面通过巨型电 磁弹射装置发射卫星，以实现100万卫星的太空AI数据中心星座组网，国内火箭技术有望加速 迭代，利好卫星制造、火箭发射等产业链。标的：臻镭科技、铂力特。 4、煤炭：交易面与基本面共振，看好煤炭板块投资机会，把握三条主线：煤炭"高 ...