泛餐饮连锁业态：单店营收仍有缺口，但有企稳的趋势 1)收入端：必选属性更强的巴比食品、锅圈表现好于卤味企业。单店营收方面，大部分公司相比2020、 2021年仍有缺口，其中锅圈的单店营收2024年同比转正。2)利润端：2024年巴比食品和紫燕食品归母净 利率实现同比提升，拆解下来主要来自费用端的缩减。绝味食品、煌上煌由于费用端支出较多，利润端 未能释放成本红利。 智通财经APP获悉，东吴证券发布研报称，2025Q1以来消费品赛道市场关注度和估值水位都有提升， 该行维持看好内需消费的观点。1)零食是相对不受宏观周期影响的行业，行业也具备结构性成长机会， 后续从产业逻辑和企业的生命周期来看，该行推荐三类公司：一是以门店为基础的万辰集团，万家门店 之后还有业态延伸、利润率提升的逻辑。二是有能力成为全品类、全渠道的平台型公司。三是在品类、 渠道、内部管理等方面具备边际改善的公司。2)速冻和连锁业态都属于典型的顺周期板块，和下游餐饮 业态的修复关联度较高，基本面上该行认为很多公司已经有触底企稳的迹象，其次板块整体估值偏低 位，有上修空间。 东吴证券主要观点如下： 休闲零食：行业具备结构性成长机会，机遇诸多 行业的成长性 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market showed a slight pullback after a strong opening, with the Sci-Tech Chip Index rising by 0.38%, driven by significant gains in stocks like Yuanjie Technology, which increased by over 7% [1] - The Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588200) also saw a rise of 0.38%, with a trading volume exceeding 700 million yuan and a turnover rate of nearly 3%, indicating active trading and a slight premium in the market [1][2] - There was a net inflow of over 310 million yuan into the Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588200) the previous day, reflecting strong investor interest in semiconductor-related stocks [2] Group 2 - The Financial Regulatory Administration announced eight new policies aimed at increasing market liquidity, including measures to support small and private enterprises, and enhance investment in technology companies [2] - According to Everbright Securities, the A-share market is expected to trend upwards due to ongoing policy support and the inflow of medium to long-term funds, with current valuations near the average since 2010 [3] - Guosheng Securities highlighted that the focus for May should be on sectors with independent industrial trends, such as domestic AI, smart vehicles, and robotics, while also considering policies related to domestic consumption and real estate [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights how Annil, a leading children's clothing brand in China, has successfully focused on the domestic market, avoiding the adverse effects of U.S.-China trade tensions and tariffs, while capitalizing on local consumer demand and government policies aimed at boosting domestic consumption [1][2][6]. Group 1: Company Strategy - Annil has maintained a domestic business ratio of 97.82% in 2024, with minimal international market investment, thus avoiding significant impacts from tariffs [2]. - The company has chosen to leverage established cross-border platforms like SHEIN and TEMU for limited international exposure, allowing for controlled market entry [2]. - Annil's strategy emphasizes deepening its presence in the domestic market, focusing on quality upgrades and catering to local consumer preferences [1][2]. Group 2: Market Environment - The Chinese government has implemented policies to stimulate consumption, including maternity benefits and consumer vouchers, which are expected to positively impact the children's clothing market [3]. - The retail sales of consumer goods in March 2025 reached 4.09 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 5.9%, indicating a recovering consumption environment [3]. - The introduction of local government initiatives, such as the first mother-baby consumption vouchers in Nanchang, aims to reduce childcare costs and stimulate immediate spending [3]. Group 3: Competitive Advantages - Annil has built a strong brand presence over 29 years, recognized as one of China's top children's clothing brands, and received accolades such as the "Top Ten Children's Clothing Brands" award in 2023 [4]. - The company emphasizes the use of high-quality cotton fabrics, ensuring comfort and safety through strict material standards and innovative design tailored to children's needs [4][5]. - Annil has developed a diverse sales channel strategy, combining direct sales, franchise operations, and a robust online presence across major e-commerce platforms [5].

宏观策略·掘金 年报一季报总结电话会议 20250504 摘要 • 一季度受益于抢出口，中国经济增速达 5.4%，出口增速显著，但 4 月美 国订单锐减。尽管转口贸易支撑了 4 月出口，但美国经济软数据衰退预示 外需疲软，预计 6 月出口将明显下降，三季度压力或将增大。 • 企业普遍预期关税不会持久，因美国短期内难寻替代产能且消费习惯难改。 特朗普已释放积极信号，中美或通过非美国家间接博弈，中国正深化与欧 洲等关系，中美谈判时间表或将确定。 • 关税增加导致中国企业出口成本上升，尤其影响电子、家电等全球营销产 品。应对策略包括转嫁成本、产能转移至东南亚/印度、转口贸易、建立海 外仓及拆分产品价值等避税手段。 • 中国企业正采取多元化市场战略和深度本土化措施，通过在东南亚、印度 等地建厂供应美国市场，同时保留中国作为全球供应中心，以降低单一市 场依赖并增强抗风险能力。 • 2025 年一季度 A 股盈利改善，全 A 非金融板块累计同比增速显著提升， 但单季度营收仍有波动。创业板盈利明显改善，科创 50 业绩加速下滑， TMT 板块表现优秀，传统消费行业相对优异。 Q&A 美国关税政策对中国企业的影响如何，以及企 ...

风险提示：关税影响传导至内需，国内经济表现超预期 >>以上内容节选自国泰海通证券已经发布的研究报告： 五一消费：出行高增，服务偏强 ，具体分析内容（包括风险提示等） 请详见完 整版报告。 【策略 】 重要转折之后：中国股市有望进一步走高 大势研判：中国 A/H 股市有望进一步走高。 国泰海通策略在 4 月 7 日市场低点，旗帜鲜明判断"中国股 市进入击球区"、"继续看多中国股市"、"中国股市的升势远未结束"。 节前上证指数接近 3300 点，五一 期间恒生科技单日大涨 3.1% ，收复"对等关税"失地。 我们认为， 3-4 月股市的调整与有力的修复，是 继 924 后再一次的重要转折。其表明， 投资者关于中美竞争的严峻性与对决策层扭转形势决心的疑虑消 减，既是风险释放也是试金石。 展望下一阶段，我们维持对中国股市的乐观看法： 1 ） 遍历冲击后，投 资人对经济形势的认识已然充分，包括交易结构的出清，是股市好转的重要前提。 2 ）美国"对等关税"落 地后，总体上进入拉锯与谈判的窗口期，尽管仍有不确定性，但第一阶段的激烈摩擦告一段落，形成有利 的做多窗口。 3 ）既然中美的竞争是长期性的，由此，股市预期的关键"在 ...

Group 1: Core Views - The recent upgrades in stock ratings by brokerages are primarily concentrated in sectors with significant performance growth, rising industry sentiment, or turnaround situations, particularly in AI and robotics [2][5] - The number of stocks downgraded by brokerages has reached a year-to-date high, with notable downgrades in the coal and tourism sectors [5][6] Group 2: Upgraded Stocks - Multiple stocks in the AI and robotics sectors have received rating upgrades, including: - Platinum New Materials, with a projected net profit of 376 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 46.9% [2] - Huichang Communications, expected to achieve a net profit of 29 million yuan in 2024, turning profitable with a 12.28% year-on-year revenue growth in Q1 [2] - Beijing Junzheng, with Q1 revenue of 1.06 billion yuan, a 5.3% year-on-year increase, and anticipated market recovery [3] - Keli Sensor, reporting a net profit of 76 million yuan in Q1, a nearly 76% year-on-year increase [3] - Nanshan Zhishang, recognized for its leading position in domestic wool spinning and new materials applications [3][4] Group 3: Downgraded Stocks - Several coal stocks have been downgraded, including: - Shanxi Coking Coal and Pingmei Shenma, downgraded to "overweight" due to weak coking coal prices [5] - Shanmei International, also downgraded to "overweight" despite low mining costs and potential production increases [5] - The tourism sector has seen downgrades, such as: - Jinjiang Hotels, with a Q1 net profit of 36 million yuan, down 81% year-on-year [5] - Miao Exhibition, downgraded due to declining revenue amid intensified competition [6] Group 4: Market Outlook - Brokerages are optimistic about AI and high-dividend sectors for May, with expectations of a continued oscillating market [7] - Recommendations include focusing on three main directions: financial dividends, self-sufficiency in industries like military, and domestic consumption [7] - The market is expected to follow a gentle recovery path, with attention on cyclical sectors and growth styles, particularly in AI and robotics [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the performance and recommendations of various stocks by securities firms, emphasizing the strong returns of selected stocks and the sectors favored by analysts, particularly in domestic consumption, growth technology, and dividend assets [1][4][13]. Group 1: Stock Recommendations - As of May 1, 16 securities firms recommended a total of 115 stocks, with a focus on sectors such as domestic consumption, growth technology, self-sufficiency, and dividend assets [1][4]. - Notable stocks recommended by multiple firms include Haida Group and Dongpeng Beverage (4 firms), and Kaiying Network, Zhaoyi Innovation, Gree Electric, and Proya (3 firms) [6][7]. - Wanchen Group saw a significant increase of approximately 82% in its stock price in April, making it the best-performing stock among the recommended ones [1][3]. Group 2: Performance and Financials - Wanchen Group reported a net profit of 215 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3344.13%, attributed to enhanced scale advantages in its snack business and improved operational efficiency [3]. - Haida Group is recognized as a leading player in the domestic agricultural and animal husbandry industry, with significant growth potential due to the recovery of livestock production capacity and market share expansion [7]. - Dongpeng Beverage is preparing for a Hong Kong listing, with analysts noting its stable performance in the beverage sector and rapid growth in its electrolyte drink segment [7]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Analysts expect the market to stabilize and trend upwards in May, driven by positive economic indicators and policy support [13][14]. - The focus remains on sectors such as new technology, industry themes, and domestic consumption, with a recommendation for a "barbell" investment strategy that balances growth technology and stable dividend assets [15].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strong performance of recommended stocks by brokerages in April, with the best-performing stock rising by 83%, and anticipates a volatile market in May with a focus on consumer demand, dividends, and technology sectors [2][4][10]. Summary by Sections April Stock Performance - In April, the A-share market indices collectively declined, with the ChiNext index dropping over 7%. However, brokerage-recommended stocks showed strong excess returns, with the top stock, Wancheng Group, rising 83% [4]. - The second-best performer was Xianda Co., which surged 61%, while Kexing Pharmaceutical and Minshida both saw increases of nearly 55% [4]. - Approximately 37% of the 46 brokerage stocks recorded positive returns in April, with Northeast Securities leading with a monthly return of 13.28% [4][5]. May Stock Recommendations - Brokerages are increasingly recommending stocks in the consumer demand sector for May, with East Peng Beverage and Guizhou Moutai among the highlighted stocks [6][10]. - The skincare and medical beauty sectors are also gaining attention, with stocks like Proya and Aimeike receiving multiple recommendations due to market trends favoring domestic brands and new product launches [6]. Market Outlook for May - Analysts expect the market to remain volatile in May, with some expressing optimism about potential upward movement. The consensus is that adjustments in the market present good opportunities for investment [10][11]. - Key sectors to watch include consumer demand, technology, and dividend-paying stocks, with a focus on stable assets and self-sufficient supply chains [11][12].

上天天基金APP搜索【777】领 98 元券包 ，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 一大批A股公司业绩暴增！ 上市公司一季报正在密集披露中。截至4月29日20：50，两市又有近1000家上市公司披露一季报。其中，不少 公司业绩大幅增长。 有研新材 一季报显示，公司一季度营收为18.4亿元，同比下降18.67%；净利润为6738万元，同比增长 14698%。公司净利润增长主要是报告期子公司有研亿金和控股子公司有研稀土净利润增加。其中，有研亿金 净利润同比增加67%；有研稀土净利润同比减亏64%。 北方稀土 的业绩也实现大幅增长。公告显示，一季度实现营业收入92.87亿元，同比增长61.19%；净利润4.31 亿元，同比增长727.3%。报告期内，公司以镨钕产品为代表的主要稀土产品一季度均价同比升高，原料成本 同比降低，毛利同比增加。 新黄浦公告， 一季度营业收入为2.32亿元，同比增长47.75%；净利润为7759万元，同比增长2123%。公司净利 润增长主要为报告期内投资收益增加所致。 4月29日晚间，又有不少公司披露了不错的业绩。一季度净利润方面，有研新材同比暴增14698%，新黄浦同比 增长212 ...

一大批A股公司业绩暴增！ 上市公司一季报正在密集披露中。截至4月29日20：50，两市又有近1000家上市公司披露一季报。其中，不少 公司业绩大幅增长。 有研新材 一季报显示，公司一季度营收为18.4亿元，同比下降18.67%；净利润为6738万元，同比增长 14698%。公司净利润增长主要是报告期子公司有研亿金和控股子公司有研稀土净利润增加。其中，有研亿金 净利润同比增加67%；有研稀土净利润同比减亏64%。 北方稀土 的业绩也实现大幅增长。公告显示，一季度实现营业收入92.87亿元，同比增长61.19%；净利润4.31 亿元，同比增长727.3%。报告期内，公司以镨钕产品为代表的主要稀土产品一季度均价同比升高，原料成本 同比降低，毛利同比增加。 新黄浦公告， 一季度营业收入为2.32亿元，同比增长47.75%；净利润为7759万元，同比增长2123%。公司净利 润增长主要为报告期内投资收益增加所致。 4月29日晚间，又有不少公司披露了不错的业绩。一季度净利润方面，有研新材同比暴增14698%，新黄浦同比 增长2123%，中船防务同比增长1099.85%，北方稀土同比增长727.3%，国泰海通同比增长391 ...