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张尧浠:数据预期打压美元偏弱 金价保持低多看涨为主
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 12:05
Core Viewpoint - International gold prices experienced a rebound and closed higher on February 9, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions and expectations for significant data releases this week, with the dollar index declining, supporting gold prices above the mid-range and breaking through the 10-day moving average resistance [1][11]. Market Performance - Gold opened at $4987.98 per ounce, dipped to a low of $4964.04, and then rebounded, reaching a high of $5086.29 before closing at $5058.07, marking a daily fluctuation of $122.25 and a gain of $70.09, or 1.41% [1][11]. Short-term Outlook - On February 10, gold prices briefly strengthened before falling back, influenced by U.S. President Trump's comments on bilateral negotiations with Canada and his stance on Israel, which reduced geopolitical risk demand. The dollar strengthened, putting downward pressure on gold prices [3][13]. - Key data to watch includes U.S. retail sales and business inventories, with expectations that these will support gold prices, maintaining a strategy of buying on dips [3][14]. Fundamental Analysis - The bullish trend for gold is expected to strengthen, with recent adjustments viewed as a rapid repricing process rather than a trend reversal. The market is experiencing increased volatility as funds switch between risk and safe-haven assets, indicating a strong bull market outlook [5][16]. - Recent data shows job vacancies have dropped to 6.54 million, and initial jobless claims have risen to 231,000, suggesting a cooling labor market, which may lead to lower inflation and increased bets on the Federal Reserve cutting rates this year [5][16]. Technical Analysis - On a monthly basis, gold prices rebounded after touching support from an upward trend line, indicating that the bearish sentiment from January has dissipated, and new bullish space remains valid. Key support is noted at $4300, with expectations for new highs if prices remain above this level [6][17]. - Weekly analysis shows that gold prices have rebounded from recent lows, suggesting that previous bearish patterns have been exhausted, and the overall trend remains upward, with support from moving averages [8][19]. Trading Strategy - The strategy remains focused on buying on dips, with specific support levels identified at $4950 or $4860, and resistance levels at $5110 or $5190 for gold [10][20].
美元指数大跌0.84%破97 贵金属全线大涨 美联储官员重磅发声
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-10 08:13
市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成,仅供参考,不构成个人投资建议。 本文源自:市场资讯 作者:观察君 美东时间2月9日,全球资产价格出现显著波动,美元指数大幅走弱带动风险资产及贵金属价格上行。当 日美元指数大跌0.84%,跌破97关口,美股三大指数低开高走,道指再创历史新高,贵金属板块全线走 高。 美股收盘数据显示,道指收涨0.04%,标普500指数收涨0.47%,纳指收涨0.90%。大型科技股多数走 强,其中甲骨文涨幅超9%,微软、博通、AMD涨幅均超3%,英伟达、Meta涨超2%,特斯拉涨超1%。 贵金属市场中,COMEX黄金期货涨超2%,COMEX白银期货大涨8%。 针对美元大幅走弱,亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克表示,已经观察到市场对美元信心出现质疑的迹象。美 联储理事米兰则指出,当前美元下跌幅度尚未对货币政策产生实质性影响,其对消费者通胀的影响也较 为有限。米兰此前曾提及,美国经济未出现强劲价格压力,美联储2026年需要降息超过100个基点,期 待沃什担任美联储主席后的政策走向。 美国财政部长贝森特此前针对美联储缩表议题表态称,即便沃什出任美联储主席,美联储也不会迅速启 动缩表行动,预计 ...
近三年来首次 离岸人民币逼近6.90关口
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 03:01
国家外汇局表示,2026年1月,受主要经济体财政政策、货币政策及预期等因素影响,美元指数下跌,全球主要金融资产价格总体上涨。 汇率折算和资产价格变化等因素综合作用,当月外汇储备规模上升。我国经济运行稳中有进,发展韧性进一步彰显,为外汇储备规模保 持基本稳定提供支撑。 新华财经北京2月10日电10日亚洲交易时段盘中,离岸人民币兑美元升穿6.91关口,最高升至6.9060,续刷2023年5月以来新高;在岸人民 币兑美元升破6.92关口,最高升至6.9112。日内,人民币兑美元中间价上调65点报6.9458。 隔夜,美元指数两连跌至一周来盘中低位,离岸人民币兑美元涨破6.92关口,为近三年来首次。 近期,在内外部因素共振下,人民币汇率呈现出阶段性走强行情。上周CFETS人民币汇率指数报98.34,环比涨1.35;BIS货币篮子人民 币汇率指数报105.44,环比涨1.38;SDR货币篮子人民币汇率指数报93.44,环比涨0.92。 中国人民银行日前发布公告称,根据《中国人民银行与英格兰银行合作备忘录》,中国人民银行决定授权中国银行股份有限公司伦敦分 行担任英国人民币清算行。 伦敦作为全球主要金融中心,设立人民币清算 ...
长江有色:弱美元与弱基本面博弈 10日锌价或涨跌有限
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 01:34
基本面方面,国内春节临近,终端普遍放假,锌下游企业开工率明显下滑。上周镀锌企业周度开工环比 降7.49个百分点至38.6%;压铸锌合金企业周度开工环比降3.94个百分点至42.4%;氧化锌企业周度开工 环比降8.16个百分点至50.37%。当前市场现货交投清淡,消费情绪低迷,对锌价形成明显制约。不过, 受其他有色金属走强带动,且炼厂春节期间或有检修,预计春节期间锌锭累库幅度约2万吨。 对于锌价走势,前期价格涨速过快、幅度较大,沪锌盘面开启降波调整,但结构性矛盾依旧存在,沪伦 比走弱,不排除出口窗口再度打开,外盘偏强对内盘形成有力支撑,预计今日现锌涨跌幅度有限。 【ccmn.cn摘要】多空博弈但美指弱势支撑锌价,隔夜伦锌微跌0.03%;国内下游企业开工率明显下降, 现货交投萎靡,对锌价构成明显掣肘,但有色走强带动,今现锌或涨跌有限。 【ccmn.cn锌期货市场】隔夜伦锌偏弱震荡,尾盘跌幅震荡收窄,开盘报3371美元/吨,高点报3387美 元,低点报3326.5美元,尾盘收于3382美元,跌1美元,跌幅0.03%;成交量7361手减少1925手,持仓量 229354手减少711手。晚间沪锌开盘跳水,盘面维持偏弱运 ...
纽约金价9日续涨近2% 收复5000美元关口
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 01:10
Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market is experiencing a rebound, with gold prices surpassing $5,000 per ounce, driven by geopolitical tensions and a declining dollar index [1] Group 1: Gold Market - As of February 9, 2026 April gold futures rose by $95.6, closing at $5,084.2 per ounce, marking a 1.92% increase [1] - The demand for precious metals is supported by ongoing global issues, despite the absence of major geopolitical hotspots [1] - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.84% to 96.814, contributing to the favorable conditions for gold prices [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Speculation - Recent volatility in the precious metals market has led to a cooling of speculative sentiment, with the CFTC reporting a significant reduction in long positions [1] - Hedge funds and large speculators reduced their net long positions by 23% to 93,438 contracts, the lowest level since October 2025 [1] Group 3: Silver Market - March silver futures increased by 552.5 cents, closing at $83.050 per ounce, reflecting a 7.13% rise [1]
【环球财经】纽约金价9日续涨近2% 收复5000美元关口
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 00:53
衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数9日当天下跌0.84%,在汇市尾市收于96.814。 近期贵金属市场的大幅波动以及交易所持续收紧风控要求,使得市场投机情绪有所降温。美国商品期货 交易委员会(CFTC)日前的报告称,由于黄金期货价格近期遭遇十多年来最大跌幅,基金经理已将多 头头寸削减至2025年10月以来最低水平。截至2月3日当周,对冲基金和其他大型投机者的净多头头寸减 少了23%,至93,438份合约。 分析认为,目前地缘政治局势虽未出现超级热点,但诸多全球性问题暗流涌动,这支持了对贵金属的避 险需求。同时,美元指数大幅走低以及原油价格上涨也利好贵金属价格。 新华财经纽约2月9日电(记者徐静) 周一(2月9日)贵金属市场继续震荡回升,其中金价重回5000美 元/盎司关口上方。 截至当天收盘时,纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的2026年4月黄金期价上涨95.6美元,收于 每盎司5084.2美元,涨幅为1.92%。 (文章来源:新华财经) 当天3月交割的白银期货价格上涨552.5美分,收于每盎司83.050美元,涨幅为7.13%。 ...
张尧浠:数据预期打压美元偏弱、金价保持低多看涨为主
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 00:50
但力度有限,短期来看,这些都缺乏实质性依据,只是短线的预期压力。日内将关注美国12月零售销售月率、美国11月商业库存月率等数据,市场预期将 利好金价,故此,日内操作将继续保持逢低支撑做多为主。 另外,本周将迎来美国1月失业率、美国1月季调后非农就业人口(万人),以及美国1月未季调CPI年率和月率等数据,根据上周公布的数据结果和市场预期 来看,大概率将整体利好金价,故此,本周操作上,依然偏向低多看涨为主。就算最终结果利空金价,也是震荡波动为主,所以,做多为主的问题不大。 张尧浠:数据预期打压美元偏弱、金价保持低多看涨为主 上交易日周一(2月9日):国际黄金高开后反弹收涨,受周末地缘局势升级推动,以及对于本周将公布的重磅数据的预期,美元指数先行走低,支撑金价维 持在中轨上方,并有所突破10日均线阻力,但需进一步收阳持稳多头动力才能进一步走强,否则将仍有再度回撤至中轨或30日均线支撑的调整需求,不 过,这也是再度的入场多单机会。 具体走势上,金价自亚市高开于4987.98美元/盎司,先行走低收复缺口,并录得日内低点4964.04美元,之后反弹回升,并陷入区间震荡波动,但美盘后半 段,多头再度发力,于盘尾录得日内高点 ...
美元指数下跌0.7%,势创1月27日以来最大单日跌幅
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-09 15:12
每经AI快讯,2月9日,美元指数下跌0.7%,势创1月27日以来最大单日跌幅。 ...
美元指数跌破97
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-09 14:27
本文源自:金融界AI电报 美元指数跌破97,日内跌0.6494%,现报96.9990。 ...
美元指数持续走低 日内跌幅扩大至0.7%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-09 13:33
Core Viewpoint - The US dollar index is experiencing a significant decline, with a daily drop of 0.7%, impacting currency exchange rates [1] Group 1: Currency Movements - The euro has strengthened against the US dollar, with the EUR/USD pair breaking above 1.19, reaching its highest level since January 30, and showing a daily increase of 0.74% [1] - The USD/JPY pair has fallen below 156, reflecting a daily decrease of 0.78% [1]