新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 宏观层面，美国股市全线飘红，在人工智能乐观情绪推动下，芯片股大幅上扬，凸显出 AI 叙事是今年 发展的关键主线。2026 年 1 月 5 - 6 日，中国人民银行召开工作会议，强调继续推行适度宽松货币政 策，提升金融服务实体经济效能，加大对扩大内需、科技创新的支持，稳妥化解重点金融风险，深化金 融改革与对外开放，释放稳健政策信号，稳定了市场消费预期。 基本面方面，1 月锌精矿加工费（TC）明显下滑，国内炼厂检修持续，供应端压力较小。节后下游消 费逐步复苏，叠加 2026 年一季度开门红预期，节后多头积极入场，推动盘面显著走高。技术面上，沪 锌仍处于反弹形态，不过 2.43 万元/吨一线仍存阻力。此外，下游对高价锌接受程度有限，短期需警惕 多头情绪回落引发的调整。 整体来看，宏观情绪乐观，有色板块多头情绪高涨带动锌价走强。国内矿紧现实与现货升水提供支撑， 沪锌延续反弹态势，今现锌价格或上涨。 （长江有色金属网cjys.cn研发团队 0592-5668838） 【ccmn.cn摘要】铜铝迭创新高带动期货看涨氛围，隔夜伦锌跟涨1.17%；有色板块多头情绪高涨，国内 矿紧现实与 ...

晨报 煤焦 煤焦：宏观预期提振情绪 盘面震荡反弹 投资咨询业务资格： 负责人：赵 毅 从业资格号：F3059924 投资咨询号：Z0002978 电话：010-62688526 成 材：武秋婷 从业资格号：F3078638 投资咨询号：Z0018248 电话：010-62688555 从业资格号：F3038114 投资咨询号：Z0014834 电话：010-62688541 原材料： 冯艳成 从业资格号：F3059529 投资咨询号：Z0018932 电话：010-62688516 地址：北京市海淀区海淀大街 8 号 19 层 ☎ 400-700-6700 www.zgfcc.com 有色金属：于梦雪 从业资格号：F03127144 投资咨询号：Z0020161 电话：021-20857653 成文时间： 2026 年 1 月 7 日 逻辑：近日央行工作会议强调，坚持稳中求进工作总基调，继续实施 适度宽松的货币政策，发挥增量政策和存量政策集成效应，加大逆周期和 跨周期调节力度；把促进经济高质量发展、物价合理回升作为货币政策的 重要考量，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种货币政策工具。刺激黑色金属板 块情绪回暖。昨日， ...

Group 1 - The National Venture Capital Guiding Fund officially commenced operations on December 26, 2025, marking a significant step in the implementation of technology finance policies [1] - The fund aims to support technological innovation and the cultivation of new productive forces through a market-oriented mechanism, with a total initial investment of 100 billion yuan from the national treasury [1] - The fund's structure includes a three-tier system of guiding fund companies, regional funds, and sub-funds, targeting a total funding scale of over one trillion yuan [1] Group 2 - The fund emphasizes early-stage, small, long-term investments in hard technology, with at least 70% of investments directed towards seed and startup companies [2] - The fund has a 20-year lifespan, with 10 years allocated for investment and another 10 years for exit, aligning with the growth patterns of long-cycle sectors like integrated circuits and artificial intelligence [2] - Regional funds are managed by professional institutions, focusing on strategic emerging industries such as aerospace, biomanufacturing, and future energy [2] Group 3 - The People's Bank of China announced a moderately loose monetary policy for 2025, aiming to promote stable economic growth and reasonable price recovery while maintaining adequate liquidity [3] - This monetary policy is designed to create a favorable financial environment for technological innovation, complementing the venture capital guiding fund to form a supportive system [3] - The industry association plans to continuously monitor the operation and investment effects of the venture capital guiding fund, guiding members to adapt to the monetary policy environment and focus on supporting the real economy and technological innovation [3]

Monetary Policy Outlook - In 2026, China will continue to implement a moderately accommodative monetary policy to maintain relatively loose social financing conditions and guide reasonable growth in total financial volume and balanced credit allocation [1] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will focus on promoting stable economic growth and reasonable price recovery as key considerations for monetary policy, utilizing various tools such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions to ensure ample liquidity [1] - The PBOC aims to align the growth of social financing scale and money supply with economic growth and price level expectations [1] Focus Areas for Monetary Policy - The 2026 monetary policy will emphasize enhancing financial services for high-quality development of the real economy, improving the structural monetary policy tool system, and strengthening financial support for key areas such as expanding domestic demand, technological innovation, and small and micro enterprises [1] - The PBOC will utilize structural monetary policy tools to support expanding domestic demand, boosting consumption, activating effective investment, and focusing on key areas such as technology-driven initiatives, private sector support, green transformation, urban-rural integration, and collaborative efforts between mountains and seas [1] Cross-Border Use of Renminbi - In 2026, the PBOC will deepen high-level financial market opening, enhance the role of central bank currency swaps, and facilitate the use of Renminbi in trade and investment [2] - China will optimize mechanisms like "Bond Connect" and "Swap Connect," welcoming more eligible foreign entities to issue Panda bonds, while expanding the interconnectivity of rapid payment systems and promoting QR code interoperability [2] - The PBOC will implement a one-time personal credit repair policy, optimize payment services for the elderly and foreign personnel in China, strengthen virtual currency regulation, and steadily develop digital Renminbi [2]

Core Insights - The total amount of policy-based funding in Shaanxi is expected to reach a historical high by 2025, aligning with the end of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the beginning of the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1] - The provincial development and reform commission is focusing on stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations to ensure effective economic growth and quality improvement [1] Funding and Investment Growth - The province aims to increase central budget investment, "two heavy" funds, and "two new" funds by 60%, 20%, and over 70% respectively [2] - Funding for labor-intensive projects and urban underground pipeline sectors is projected to grow by 90% and over 19% respectively, while funding for urban renewal and education is expected to increase by over 50% [2] Project Implementation and Economic Performance - Key provincial projects are advancing beyond expectations, with an annual investment completion rate exceeding 100% [2] - Significant breakthroughs have been achieved in major projects such as the Xi'an Extension High-Speed Railway and the Northwest's first 8-inch high-performance semiconductor production line [2] - From January to November 2025, the province's fixed asset investment growth rate consistently outpaced the national average by over 1 percentage point, with industrial investment increasing by 12.7%, surpassing the overall investment growth rate by 14 percentage points [2]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China emphasizes the continuation of a moderately loose monetary policy in 2026, focusing on promoting high-quality economic development and reasonable price recovery as key considerations for monetary policy [1][2] Group 1: Monetary Policy - The 2026 monetary policy will utilize various tools such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions to maintain ample liquidity and relatively loose social financing conditions [1] - The aim is to align the growth of social financing scale and money supply with economic growth and price level expectations [1] Group 2: Financial Services - There is a focus on enhancing financial services for high-quality economic development, with an emphasis on improving the effectiveness of financial support for key areas such as domestic demand expansion, technological innovation, and small and medium-sized enterprises [1] - The meeting highlights the need to assess financial service effects and improve the precision and specialization of financial services [1] Group 3: Financial Risk Management - The meeting calls for a prudent approach to resolving financial risks in key areas, including managing the debt risks of financing platforms and facilitating their orderly exit [1] - There is a push for risk disposal in key regions and institutions, along with strengthening risk identification and early correction in small and medium-sized financial institutions [1] Group 4: Financial Reform and Opening-up - The meeting outlines the need for continued deepening of financial reforms and opening-up, with enhanced supervision of various financial markets including interbank bond, currency, foreign exchange, bill, and gold markets [2] - It emphasizes the importance of promoting global financial governance reform and enhancing cooperation with international organizations such as the International Monetary Fund [2] - There is a call to improve financial management and service capabilities, along with the development of a financial statistical system and standard framework that aligns with modern central banking [2]

21世纪经济报道记者唐婧 北京报道 1月5日至6日，2026年中国人民银行工作会议在北京召开。会议总结 2025年工作，分析当前形势，研究中国人民银行"十五五"改革发展规划，部署2026年工作。 会议明确，2026年中国人民银行要重点抓好以下七项工作：一是持之以恒推进全面从严治党；二是继续 实施好适度宽松的货币政策；三是提升金融服务实体经济高质量发展质效；四是稳妥化解重点领域金融 风险；五是持续深化金融改革和对外开放；六是积极推动全球金融治理改革；七是进一步提升金融管理 和服务能力。 备受关注的是，在谈及如何"继续实施好适度宽松的货币政策"时，会议指出，把促进经济高质量发展、 物价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种货币政策工具，保持流动性充 裕，保持社会融资条件相对宽松，引导金融总量合理增长、信贷投放均衡，使社会融资规模、货币供应 量增长同经济增长和价格总水平预期目标相匹配。 对此，远东资信首席宏观研究员张林解读称，本次央行工作会议提出的"把促进经济高质量发展、物价 合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量"，与中央经济工作会议中"把促进经济稳定增长、物价合理回升作为 货币政策的重要考量"的表述 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 People's Bank of China work conference emphasizes the need for a stable and sustainable monetary policy to support economic growth and financial market stability, marking the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [2][5]. Group 1: Monetary Policy - The conference highlights the effectiveness of moderately loose monetary policy implemented in 2025, which included multiple rounds of significant adjustments to policy rates and structural monetary policy tools to lower overall financing costs [3][5]. - Future monetary policy will focus on optimizing liquidity mechanisms, enhancing the structure of financing, and improving the market-based interest rate formation and transmission mechanisms [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Reform and Opening-up - Financial reform and opening-up will be deepened, with an emphasis on institutional innovation to stimulate internal momentum, including improvements in cross-border payment systems and the establishment of mechanisms like "Bond Connect" [4][5]. - The conference outlines plans to enhance the infrastructure for cross-border use of the Renminbi and support the construction of international financial centers in Shanghai and Hong Kong [4]. Group 3: Financial Risk Prevention - The importance of robust financial risk prevention measures is underscored, with a focus on enhancing macro-prudential and financial stability management tools to prevent systemic financial risks [5]. - The conference calls for continued efforts to combat illegal activities in financial markets and to ensure an orderly exit of financing platforms to mitigate risks effectively [5].

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has outlined seven key tasks for 2026, focusing on strict governance, monetary policy, financial services, risk management, financial reform, global governance, and enhancing financial management capabilities [1]. Group 1: Monetary Policy - The PBOC emphasizes the importance of promoting high-quality economic development and reasonable price recovery as key considerations for monetary policy, utilizing various tools like reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions to maintain ample liquidity and relatively loose financing conditions [2]. - The monetary policy framework is shifting towards a price-oriented approach, with a focus on optimizing the transmission mechanism of monetary policy and ensuring low financing costs for the overall economy [3]. - The PBOC is expanding the coverage of explicit comprehensive financing cost disclosures for corporate loans, benefiting numerous small and medium-sized enterprises [4]. Group 2: Exchange Rate Stability - The PBOC aims to maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level, preventing excessive fluctuations, especially as the RMB has recently strengthened against the USD [5]. - The future trajectory of the RMB exchange rate is expected to exhibit two-way fluctuations, influenced by domestic economic recovery and external trade negotiations [5]. - The PBOC's focus is on structural adjustments and expanding domestic demand to enhance the certainty of domestic economic circulation, which is essential for achieving long-term stability of the RMB exchange rate [5].

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China emphasizes the importance of promoting high-quality economic development and reasonable price recovery as key considerations for monetary policy, while maintaining ample liquidity and a relatively loose financing environment [1][2][3] Group 1: Monetary Policy Implementation - The central bank will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, utilizing various tools such as reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts and interest rate reductions flexibly and efficiently [2][4] - The aim is to keep social financing conditions relatively loose and guide reasonable growth in financial totals and balanced credit allocation [1][4] - The focus will be on ensuring that the growth of social financing scale and money supply aligns with economic growth and price level expectations [1][4] Group 2: Financial Support and Risk Management - The meeting highlights the need to enhance financial services for high-quality economic development, improving the effectiveness of financial support for key areas such as technology innovation and small and micro enterprises [5][6] - There will be a focus on mitigating financial risks in key areas, including managing the debt risks of financing platforms and strengthening risk identification and early correction for small financial institutions [6][7] - The central bank will also enhance macro-prudential management and financial stability tools to ensure a stable financial environment [6][7] Group 3: Financial Reform and Global Cooperation - The meeting calls for continuous deepening of financial reform and higher levels of opening up, including strengthening supervision of various financial markets and enhancing the international financial center's status [7][8] - The central bank aims to promote global financial governance reform and enhance cooperation with international organizations to coordinate macro policies [7][8] - Efforts will be made to improve the infrastructure for cross-border use of the Renminbi and facilitate trade and investment [7][8] Group 4: Financial Management and Service Enhancement - The central bank will work on legislative projects to improve financial management and service capabilities, including enhancing the credit reporting system and regulating virtual currencies [8] - There will be a focus on improving the quality of treasury management and optimizing payment services for specific groups [8] - The aim is to ensure a robust financial environment that supports the goals of the 14th Five-Year Plan [8]