Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The overseas risk appetite has decreased, and attention should be paid to the impact of economic data releases on market sentiment. There is still a need to be aware of the long - term economic decline risk under US tariff policies. The copper raw material supply remains in a tight pattern, with strong price support, but the price center is expected to move down due to reduced consumption intensity [1]. - The domestic commodity sentiment is marginally stable, while the overseas risk appetite has weakened. High tariff levels lead to concerns about long - term demand. The high processing fees of aluminum rods are conducive to further inventory reduction of aluminum ingots, with strong price support, but the seasonal weak consumption will limit the upward space of aluminum prices, and the short - term price is expected to be volatile [3]. - The inventory of recycled raw materials is limited, and the profit of recycled lead enterprises is under pressure, with the operating rate continuously declining. After the battery enterprises' holidays, the operating rate has returned to a relatively high level. In the medium term, the Shanghai lead index is expected to fluctuate within a range of 16300 - 17800, and the short - term lead price shows a strong upward trend [5]. - In April, China's exports of unforged zinc alloys increased significantly. From a fundamental perspective, the port inventory of zinc concentrates continues to rise, and the processing fees of zinc concentrates increase again. The zinc ore surplus expectation remains unchanged. With the accumulation of zinc ingot inventory, the zinc price still has a certain downward risk in the medium term [7]. - The supply of tin is currently tight in the short term but is expected to loosen. The terminal orders in industries such as home appliances and electronics have not significantly increased, and the tin price center may move down under the drag of demand [8][9]. - The cost of nickel is expected to loosen, and the spot demand is weak. The inventory may return to the accumulation trend, and the nickel price maintains a bearish outlook [10]. - The supply and demand side of lithium carbonate lacks strong driving forces, and the futures price is in the cost - intensive area. If the demand does not weaken further, there is significant resistance to downward movement, and it is likely to fluctuate at the bottom [12]. - There are continuous disturbances in the ore and supply sides of alumina. The short - term impact of the mine shutdown in Guinea is large, and local policy uncertainty is high. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [15]. - The nickel - iron market is in a game situation, and the high - carbon ferrochrome market is waiting for the June tender of steel mills. The stainless - steel market is expected to maintain a weak and volatile pattern in the short term [17]. Summary by Metals Copper - The LME copper closed down 0.71% to $9487/ton, and the Shanghai copper main contract closed at 77770 yuan/ton. The LME inventory decreased by 1925 tons to 168825 tons, and the cancellation warrant ratio rose to 39.1%. The domestic Shanghai Futures Exchange copper warehouse receipts decreased by 0.5 tons to 4.1 tons. The spot premium in Shanghai decreased, and the downstream procurement sentiment improved. The import loss of domestic copper spot increased to over 400 yuan/ton, and the refined - scrap price difference narrowed slightly. The expected operating range of the Shanghai copper main contract today is 77000 - 78400 yuan/ton, and that of LME copper 3M is 9400 - 9600 dollars/ton [1]. Aluminum - The LME aluminum closed down 0.22% to $2475/ton, and the Shanghai aluminum main contract closed at 20135 yuan/ton. The position of the Shanghai aluminum weighted contract increased by 0.04 million hands to 51.6 million hands, and the futures warehouse receipts decreased by 0.2 tons to 6.0 tons. The domestic three - place aluminum ingot inventory decreased by 1.05 tons to 44.7 tons, and the aluminum rod inventory decreased by 0.2 tons to 8.3 tons. The spot premium in the East China region remained unchanged. The expected operating range of the domestic main contract today is 20000 - 20260 yuan/ton, and that of LME aluminum 3M is 2450 - 2500 dollars/ton [3]. Lead - The 3S price of lead rose by 13.5 to $1985/ton. The average price of SMM1 lead ingots was 16725 yuan/ton, and the refined - scrap price difference was 50 yuan/ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange lead ingot futures inventory was 4.11 tons, and the LME lead ingot inventory was 24.58 tons. The domestic social inventory increased to 5.82 tons. The medium - term expected operating range of the Shanghai lead index is 16300 - 17800 yuan/ton [5]. Zinc - The Shanghai zinc index rose 0.76% to 22417 yuan/ton, and the LME zinc 3S rose 62 to $2730.5/ton. The average price of SMM0 zinc ingots was 22760 yuan/ton. The Shanghai Futures Exchange zinc ingot futures inventory was 0.14 tons, and the LME zinc ingot inventory was 15.67 tons. The domestic social inventory decreased slightly to 8.38 tons. In April, China's exports of unforged zinc alloys increased significantly. The zinc price still has a downward risk in the medium term [7]. Tin - On May 21, 2025, the Shanghai tin main contract closed at 267730 yuan/ton, up 1.13%. The domestic Shanghai Futures Exchange registered warehouse receipts increased by 45 tons to 8070 tons, and the LME inventory increased by 15 tons to 2670 tons. The upstream tin concentrate price rose. The tin ore supply is expected to loosen, and the tin price center may move down. The expected operating range of the domestic main contract is 250000 - 270000 yuan/ton, and that of overseas LME tin is 30000 - 33000 dollars/ton [8][9]. Nickel - The Shanghai nickel main contract closed at 123760 yuan/ton, up 0.18%, and the LME main contract closed at $15630/ton, up 0.64%. The price of nickel ore is stable or slightly decreased, the nickel - iron price is stable, and the price of intermediate products is high. The LME nickel inventory increased by 90 tons to 202098 tons. The nickel price maintains a bearish outlook. The expected operating range of the Shanghai nickel main contract today is 120000 - 130000 yuan/ton, and that of LME nickel 3M is 15000 - 16300 dollars/ton [10]. Lithium Carbonate - The Five - Mineral Steel Union lithium carbonate spot index (MMLC) was 62,657 yuan, unchanged from the previous day. The LC2507 contract closed at 61,100 yuan, up 0.39%. The lithium carbonate price is expected to fluctuate at the bottom. The expected operating range of the Guangzhou Futures Exchange lithium carbonate 2507 contract today is 60,400 - 61,800 yuan/ton [12]. Alumina - On May 21, 2025, the alumina index rose 3.55% to 3241 yuan/ton. The spot prices in various regions increased. The overseas Australian FOB price remained stable, and the import loss was 152 yuan/ton. The futures warehouse receipts decreased by 1.68 tons to 17.35 tons. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term. The expected operating range of the domestic main contract AO2509 is 2900 - 3500 yuan/ton [14][15]. Stainless Steel - The stainless - steel main contract closed at 12870 yuan/ton, up 0.23%. The spot prices in Foshan and Wuxi remained unchanged. The raw material prices were mostly stable, and the nickel - iron price decreased slightly. The futures inventory decreased, and the social inventory decreased by 0.42%. The stainless - steel market is expected to maintain a weak and volatile pattern in the short term [17].

Core Viewpoint - Shenglong Mining Group Co., Ltd. has received approval for its IPO application on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, aiming to raise 1.53 billion yuan, positioning itself as a leading player in the molybdenum industry in China [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Shenglong Mining is a major molybdenum company in China, focusing on the production, processing, and sales of molybdenum-related products, primarily molybdenum concentrate and molybdenum iron [1] - The company holds significant mining rights, with a total molybdenum metal reserve of 710,500 tons, accounting for approximately 9.10% of the national molybdenum resource reserves [2] Group 2: Production Capacity and Mining Assets - Shenglong Mining's production capacity is highlighted by its two major mines: the Nanni Lake Molybdenum Mine, which is the largest single molybdenum mine in China with an annual production capacity of 16.5 million tons, and the under-construction Angou Molybdenum Polymetallic Mine [1] - The company is expanding its production capabilities, with future plans to achieve a molybdenum mining capacity of 55,000 tons per day [1] Group 3: Financial Performance - The company has shown strong financial growth, with revenues increasing from approximately 1.91 billion yuan in 2022 to 2.86 billion yuan in 2024, and net profits rising from about 452 million yuan to 754 million yuan during the same period [3] - As of December 31, 2024, the total assets of the company are reported at approximately 6.89 billion yuan, with a significant increase in equity attributable to shareholders [3]

Company Overview - Guocheng Mining Co., Ltd. has been downgraded to a long-term credit rating of A+ by Lianhe Credit Rating Co., Ltd. with a stable outlook for both the company and its convertible bonds [1][3] - The company primarily engages in non-ferrous metal mining and selection, with a focus on zinc, lead, and sulfur iron resources [10][12] Financial Performance - As of the end of 2024, the company reported total assets of 9.272 billion yuan and total equity of 3.431 billion yuan, with an operating revenue of 1.918 billion yuan and a net profit of -55 million yuan [10][12] - The company experienced a decline in profitability, with total capital return rate and net asset return rate at 0.12% and -3.40% respectively in 2024 [5][9] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities decreased, resulting in a net cash outflow of 338 million yuan in the first quarter of 2025 [9] Operational Developments - The company’s subsidiary, Inner Mongolia Dongshengmiao Mining Co., Ltd., maintains good resource endowment and is gradually expanding production, with a sulfur-titanium iron resource recycling project having completed trial production [3][6] - The company plans to acquire at least 60% of the equity of Inner Mongolia Guocheng Industrial Co., Ltd., which is a large molybdenum metal mine, enhancing its resource base [6][12] Management and Governance - The company has a relatively stable corporate governance structure, but frequent changes in board members and senior management have been noted [5][12] - The company has faced administrative penalties due to safety production incidents, indicating areas for improvement in management capabilities [7][16] Industry Context - The non-ferrous metal industry is characterized by significant cyclicality and is influenced by international supply-demand dynamics and geopolitical factors [11] - The industry has seen a rise in demand for traditional industrial metals like copper and aluminum, while new energy metals face price pressures due to supply-demand imbalances [11]

【导读】宁德时代上市次日市值狂飙超1400亿港元！贵金属板块大涨 5月21日，香港三大股指全线上涨。恒生指数收盘涨0.62%，报23827.78点；恒生科技指数涨0.51%，收报于5342.41点；恒生中国企业指数涨0.84%，收于 8660.94点。全日市场成交额达2163亿港元，较前一交易日有所回升；南向资金净买入额为14.27亿港元。 | 恒生指数 | 恒生国企 | 恒生科技 | | --- | --- | --- | | 23827.78 | 8660.94 | 5342.41 | | +146.30 +0.62% +71.86 +0.84% +26.85 +0.51% | | | 黄金股涨幅居前，紫金矿业（601899）涨7.93%，中升控股涨6.99%，安踏体育涨5.77%，领涨蓝筹。 | 序号 | 名称 | 代码 | 现价 | 消费 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 紫美矿业 | 2899 | 18.560 c | 1.363 | 7.93% | 20.80亿 | 33.5 ...

每经记者｜黄小聪 每经编辑｜肖芮冬 今日，黄金主题的ETF再次迎来集体上涨，同样上涨的还包括与有色相关的主题ETF。 《每日经济新闻》记者注意到，这些有色主题的ETF，背后主要跟踪的是中证有色金属指数、中证细分有色金属产业主题指数和国证有色金属行业指数。 那么，同样是有色主题，这三个指数有什么不同？这期我们就来聊一聊。 一、四大不同点 1、成分股构成 中证有色金属指数是选取涉及有色金属采选、有色金属冶炼与加工业务的上市公司作为样本，成分股较为广泛地覆盖了有色金属行业的各个领域。个股平均 市值约为402亿元。 | 最大値 | 4.914.19 | | --- | --- | | 平均值 | 401.50 | | 中位数 | 210.42 | | 最小值 | 75.04 | | 合计 | 24,090.08 | 中证细分有色金属产业主题指数是中证细分产业主题指数系列的其中一条指数，主要从相关细分产业中选取规模较大、流动性较好的上市公司证券作为指数 样本，龙头属性更突出，行业分布几乎涵盖有色金属所有细分子行业。个股平均市值约为459亿元。 | | 成分股总市值(币种:CNY 单位:亿 | | --- | --- | ...

有色商品日报 有色商品日报（2025 年 5 月 21 日） 一、研究观点 | 品 | 点评 | | --- | --- | | 种 | 隔夜 LME 铜先抑后扬，上涨 0.4%至 9554.5 美元/吨；SHFE 铜主力上涨 0.36%至 | | | 78140 元/吨；国内现货进口亏损幅度加大。宏观方面，欧美关税问题进行谈判，日本 | | | 考虑接受美国调降关税，而非完全豁免。国内方面，中国 4 月经济数据显示，消费略 | | | 超预期，固定资产投资整体增速较低，房地产出现回踩特征。库存方面，LME 铜库存 | | | 下降 3575 吨至 170750 吨；comex 铜库存增加 1127 吨至 155694 吨；SHFE 铜仓单下降 | | 铜 | 16175 吨至 45738。需求方面，随着铜价走高，旺季转淡季预期下，下游采购相对谨 | | | 慎，终端需求订单可能逐步放缓。昨晚黄金和原油大幅回升，带动市场情绪，铜价震 | | | 荡走高。另外，市场关注国内某仓位大量持有铜多头情况，市场或担心挤仓风险，且 | | | 铜结构也不利于空头布局，从 SHFE 仓单来看依然维系大量流出情形，表明部分投 ...

有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/05/21 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 78340 9475 8.25 三月 76900 9472 8.23 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.25 -23.85 现货出口 -364.39 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22610 2642 8.56 三月 22080 2672 6.29 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.70 -369.59 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20210 2437 8.29 三月 20030 2439 8.23 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.71 -1031.75 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 124500 15251 8.16 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.30 -3221.31 跨期套利跟踪 2025/05/21 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -630 -920 -1110 -1310 理论价差 491 880 1278 1676 ...

智通财经5月20日电，威领股份(002667.SZ)公告称，其控股孙公司天津长领矿业合伙企业以2.2亿元成功 竞得湖南临武嘉宇矿业有限责任公司74.3%股权。其中，黄华茂持有的41.34%股权以1.224亿元拍得，深 圳市华蓉资产管理有限公司持有的32.96%股权以9760万元拍得。公司拟通过收购嘉宇矿业股权，积极 拓展有色金属矿产资源领域，主矿种锡、钨等金属主要应用于军工、航空航天、半导体、新能源材料等 领域。 威领股份：以2.2亿元竞得嘉宇矿业74.3%股权 ...

Group 1: Market Performance - The Guozheng Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) increased by 0.32% as of May 20, 2025, with notable gains from component stocks such as China Rare Earth (000831) up 2.58%, Guocheng Mining (000688) up 1.78%, and Shandong Gold (600547) up 1.27% [1] - The Nonferrous ETF Fund (159880) rose by 0.47%, with the latest price at 1.07 yuan [2] Group 2: Supply Chain Dynamics - The Guinean government is restructuring mining rights, significantly impacting bauxite supply, as Guinea accounts for 33% of global bauxite production in 2024, with the affected mines representing 12% of Guinea's total output [2] - The revocation of mining rights is seen as a warning regarding overdue mining fees and slow progress in alumina construction, rather than targeting major Chinese mining companies [2] Group 3: Investment Insights - A prominent figure in the copper market, the chairman of Zhongcai Futures, has accumulated nearly 90,000 tons of futures positions over 10 months, indicating strong confidence in copper and the Chinese economy despite geopolitical tensions [3] - Goldman Sachs previously projected that copper prices could reach $10,000 per ton by the end of 2025, supporting long-term investment strategies in the sector [3] Group 4: Index Composition - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) include Zijin Mining (601899), Northern Rare Earth (600111), and China Aluminum (601600), collectively accounting for 52.1% of the index [3]

有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/05/20 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/20 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 78070 9497 8.27 三月 77020 9481 8.19 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.25 -103.15 现货出口 5.75 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/20 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22650 2656 8.53 三月 22120 2688 6.28 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.69 -435.22 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/20 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20230 2471 8.19 三月 20065 2470 8.14 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.70 -1280.43 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/20 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 125000 15388 8.12 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.30 -3655.82 理论价差 451 773 理论价差 121 252 锌 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -150 -405 理论价差 168 280 铅 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 120 125 ...