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精准支持重点领域,形成政策杠杆效应,新消费“国补”助力提振经济
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 22:52
【环球时报报道 记者 倪浩 杨舒宇】12日,个人消费贷贴息政策的细则得以明确。随着《个人消费贷款 财政贴息政策实施方案》和《服务业经营主体贷款贴息政策实施方案》公布,中国提振消费、扩大内需 的又一次"国补"亮相,与"以旧换新"等政策形成"组合拳",进一步推动国内消费拉动国民经济。 消费贷款领域的又一次"国补" 8月12日,财政部联合商务部、中国人民银行、金融监管总局等相关部门印发了《个人消费贷款财政贴 息政策实施方案》和《服务业经营主体贷款贴息政策实施方案》,通过财政和金融的联动,支持促消 费、扩内需。 "对居民个人消费贷款和消费领域的服务业经营主体贷款实施贴息政策,这是中央层面首次实施,所以 有媒体朋友也称之为消费贷款领域的又一次'国补',这可以说是非常形象的,这也充分体现了中国政府 对扩大消费的重视程度。"财政部副部长廖岷13日出席国新办发布会时介绍说,(贴息政策)目的就是 要通过进一步强化财政和金融协同,撬动更多信贷资金精准投向消费领域,降低居民和经营主体的信贷 成本,在保障和改善民生的同时,通过提振消费畅通经济循环。 根据规定,居民个人消费贷贴息范围包括单笔5万元以下消费,以及单笔5万元及以上的家用汽 ...
中泰证券:挖机需求淡季不淡 海外增速超预期持续
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 07:08
Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongtai Securities indicates a strong performance in the excavator market, with total sales reaching 17,138 units in July 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 25.2%. Domestic sales accounted for 7,306 units (up 17.2%), while exports reached 9,832 units (up 31.9%), suggesting a robust recovery in both domestic and overseas demand [1]. Domestic Demand - The domestic demand for excavators is showing resilience, supported by both replacement and incremental demand influenced by the timing of funding availability. The government has allocated 4.4 trillion yuan in special bonds for infrastructure projects, which is 500 billion yuan more than the previous year. This funding is expected to facilitate project approvals and stimulate demand in Q3 [2]. - The peak of the previous domestic demand cycle occurred in 2016-2017, with new machine replacements expected to begin in 2024-2025. The combination of new projects and the upcoming replacement cycle is anticipated to drive demand for non-excavator products, such as cranes and concrete machinery, aligning their growth rates with those of excavators [2]. Overseas Demand - The overseas market for excavators is experiencing a significant recovery, with export growth exceeding market expectations. From January to June 2025, China's engineering machinery exports amounted to $27.998 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%. Excavator exports specifically grew by 23.1%, with Indonesia, Russia, and Belgium being the top three markets [3]. - The European market is gradually recovering, with exports to the U.S. showing signs of stabilization after a decline due to tariff policies. In June, excavator exports to the U.S. reached $33.2698 million, a month-on-month increase of 130.8%. The low base effect in mature markets is expected to limit further declines in 2025, providing strong support for leading manufacturers' performance [3].
行业综合整治“内卷”取得积极进展 7月汽车销量同比增长14.7%
8月11日,中国汽车工业协会(以下简称"中汽协")披露的数据显示,2025年7月,我国汽车产销分别完 成259.1万辆和259.3万辆,环比分别下降7.3%和10.7%,同比分别增长13.3%和14.7%。 因天气炎热,每年的7月是汽车传统销售淡季。《中国经营报》记者注意到,今年7月汽车产业的销量却 成为一抹亮丽的色彩。 "7月,车市进入传统淡季,部分厂家安排年度设备检修,产销节奏有所放缓,环比呈现季节性回 落。"中汽协副秘书长陈士华分析称,这是7月汽车产销环比下降的因素所在。而从行业市场环境看,以 旧换新政策效果继续显现,行业综合整治"内卷"工作取得积极进展,企业新车型持续投放,助力车市平 稳运行,同比实现增长。 2025年1—7月,汽车产销分别完成1823.5万辆和1826.9万辆,同比分别增长12.7%和12%,产销增速较1 —6月分别扩大0.2个和0.6个百分点。 2025年7月,我国汽车出口57.5万辆,同比增长22.6%。其中,传统燃料汽车出口35万辆,环比下降 9.6%,同比下降4.3%;新能源汽车出口22.5万辆,环比增长10%,同比增长1.2倍。 2025年1—7月,我国汽车出口368万辆, ...
7月我国快递发展指数同比提升5.2%
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-08-13 00:28
Core Insights - The express delivery industry in China is experiencing steady growth, with the express development index reaching 414.3 in July, a year-on-year increase of 5.2% [1] - The volume of express delivery services is expected to grow by 14.7% year-on-year in July, while revenue is projected to increase by nearly 8% [1] - Customer satisfaction in the express delivery sector is anticipated to rise to 85.2 points, an increase of 1.5 points compared to the previous year [1] Industry Performance - The express delivery market is expanding due to policies like the trade-in program, which is contributing to increased business volume [1] - Key regions are seeing a 72-hour delivery rate of 86.3%, up by 1.5 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Innovations in urban delivery models are being implemented, such as the "subway station connection across the sea" logistics model in Qingdao, enhancing transportation efficiency [1] Technological Advancements - The express delivery industry is enhancing its air freight capabilities with the launch of multiple international all-cargo flight routes [1] - The use of unmanned vehicles is being expanded, with major express companies collaborating with sectors like pharmaceuticals and snacks to improve delivery precision [1] - The industry is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory in August, driven by ongoing improvements in user experience and advancements in automation [2]
7月快递发展指数同比提升5.2% 以旧换新政策为市场带来增量
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-08-12 23:05
"随着用户体验持续提升,智能化、无人化提速发展,预计8月,快递行业仍将保持稳中有进发展态 势。"国家邮政局有关负责人表示。 (文章来源:人民日报) 7月,快递服务公众满意度预计为85.2分,同比提升1.5分。重点地区72小时妥投率预计为86.3%,同比 提升1.5个百分点。在山东青岛探索"地铁站接驳跨海直达"物流新模式,大幅提高运输效率;与四川成 都、河南郑州等地公交合作,探索跨界融合新模式……今年以来,快递企业不断创新城市配送新模式, 持续改善行业服务质效,为消费者带来更加高效、便捷、专业的服务体验。 7月,快递行业自有航空公司开通多条国际全货机航线,航空寄递网络不断加密,航空运能持续提升。 同时,持续丰富无人车服务场景,主要快递企业联合医药、水饮、零食等企业,投用多类型无人车,探 索无人仓配、无人车长距离运输等服务,提升精准配送服务能力。 记者近日从国家邮政局获悉:经测算,7月中国快递发展指数为414.3,同比提升5.2%。数据表明,快递 行业保持良好运行,市场规模稳步扩大。 以旧换新政策持续为快递市场带来增量,7月快递业务量预计同比增长14.7%,快递业务收入同比增长 接近8%。此外,快递企业积极开展校 ...
北鼎股份20250812
2025-08-12 15:05
Summary of Beiding Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Beiding Co., Ltd. - **Date**: August 12, 2025 Key Industry Insights - **Industry**: Kitchen Appliances and Consumer Electronics - **Core Products**: Steaming pots, cups, cooking utensils Core Points and Arguments 1. **Revenue Growth**: Beiding Co., Ltd. experienced significant revenue growth due to internal optimization and trade-in policies, with a 48.4% year-over-year increase in domestic sales for its own brand [4][3][2] 2. **International Business**: Despite facing tariff barriers, the overseas business achieved a slight growth of 0.71% [4][2] 3. **OEM/ODM Resilience**: The OEM and ODM segments maintained resilience, with a 2.05% year-over-year revenue increase [4][2] 4. **Product Segmentation**: The company has segmented its product departments into three categories: electrical appliances, cooking utensils, and cups, enhancing decision-making efficiency and targeted strategies [2][6] 5. **Acquisition**: The acquisition of Keri Automation Technology aims to strengthen manufacturing capabilities and enhance core competitiveness [2][5] 6. **SKU Strategy**: Transitioning from a short SKU strategy to a more diverse SKU approach to meet varied consumer demands, with plans to enhance SKU layouts for core products [2][7] 7. **Consumer Demand**: The company actively responded to national subsidy policies, which boosted consumer purchasing enthusiasm and drove consumption growth [2][7] 8. **Cost Control**: Management expenses decreased both in absolute terms and as a percentage of revenue, indicating effective cost control measures [3][20] 9. **Market Conditions**: Downstream customer inventory has stabilized, and the order rhythm is steady, with no significant fluctuations observed [11][2] 10. **Tariff Impact**: The impact of U.S.-China tariffs on the company's orders is being closely monitored, with current conditions showing limited effects on OEM and ODM businesses [10][9] Additional Important Insights 1. **Product Launches**: The company plans to introduce more differentiated new products in the second half of the year, focusing on core categories [7][8] 2. **Sales Channels**: The company is increasing its focus on the JD.com channel, which has shown significant growth potential compared to Tmall [25][2] 3. **Market Expansion**: Beiding Co., Ltd. is prioritizing the North American market for brand promotion, with stable operations in other regions [12][2] 4. **Customer Base Changes**: No detailed analysis has been conducted on changes in consumer demographics post-subsidy policy implementation [30][2] 5. **Future Plans**: The company does not have immediate plans for overseas production capacity but is focusing on developing its new base in Zhongshan [29][2] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference call, highlighting the company's performance, strategic initiatives, and market conditions.
越降价,车越贵?中国汽车均价已到顶峰
虎嗅APP· 2025-08-12 13:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing price war in the Chinese automotive market, highlighting the paradox of declining prices alongside rising average vehicle prices due to market structural changes and shifts in consumer preferences [4][5]. Group 1: Price War and Market Dynamics - In 2024, 227 car models in China experienced price reductions, with average price drops of 18,000 yuan for new energy vehicles and 13,000 yuan for fuel vehicles, representing declines of 9.2% and 6.8% respectively [4]. - Despite the price war, the average retail price of passenger cars increased from 151,000 yuan in 2019 to 186,000 yuan in the first half of 2024 [4][5]. - The automotive industry’s profit margin fell to 4.3% in 2024, down from 7.8% in 2017, which is lower than the 6% profit margin of downstream industrial enterprises [4]. Group 2: Market Structure Changes - The market for fuel vehicles is experiencing a "two extremes" scenario, where the sales share of low-end models (5-10 million yuan) dropped from 26.8% in 2019 to 13.5% in 2024, while high-end models (above 300,000 yuan) increased from 6.2% to 10.3% [5]. - The overall sales of new cars priced above 200,000 yuan increased from 2.15 million units in 2019 to 6.99 million units in 2024, a growth of 3.25 times, while sales of cars below 200,000 yuan decreased by 670,000 units [5]. Group 3: Future Trends and Predictions - By 2025, the average price of passenger cars is expected to decline, with projections showing a drop to 172,000 yuan in Q2 and 169,000 yuan in July, an 8,000 yuan decrease from 2024 [6]. - The decline in average prices is attributed to a slowdown in the high-end fuel vehicle market and the impact of "old-for-new" policies, which are revitalizing the mid-to-low-end market [6][7]. - The market share of vehicles priced above 200,000 yuan is projected to continue decreasing, while the share of vehicles priced below 100,000 yuan is expected to rise [7]. Group 4: Impact of New Energy Vehicles - The average price of new energy vehicles is projected to decrease from 184,000 yuan in 2023 to 161,000 yuan in 2025, driven by supply chain maturity and an increase in high-end model sales [5]. - The share of new energy vehicles in the 300,000-400,000 yuan segment rose from 14.4% in 2021 to 39.8% in 2024, indicating a shift towards higher-end electric vehicles [5]. Group 5: Autonomous Brands and Market Competition - Several domestic automakers have launched high-end brands, with models priced between 700,000 and 1,000,000 yuan achieving significant sales milestones shortly after launch [8]. - The demand for traditional luxury vehicles is expected to decline, with autonomous brands potentially filling the gap left by high-end fuel vehicles [8].
家电行业2025Q2基金重仓分析:重仓家电比例下降,黑电及清洁电器获增配
Huachuang Securities· 2025-08-12 08:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the home appliance industry, indicating a cautious but positive outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights a decrease in the proportion of public funds heavily invested in the home appliance sector, with a notable shift towards black appliances and cleaning appliances, while white appliances and two-wheeled vehicles saw a reduction in allocation [2][18]. - The overall market sentiment is influenced by concerns over domestic demand due to the temporary suspension of national subsidy policies and escalating trade tensions with the U.S. [13][19]. - Despite the challenges, leading home appliance companies are expected to expand their presence in emerging markets, which may enhance their overseas revenue and provide stable growth opportunities [13][19]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Fund Heavyweight Analysis - In Q2 2025, the proportion of public funds invested in home appliances decreased to 4.74%, down by 0.77 percentage points from the previous quarter [13]. - The overweight ratio for the home appliance sector was 2.44%, reflecting a decline of 0.55 percentage points [13]. Section 2: Sector Allocation - Funds increased their allocation to black appliances and small appliances, with respective increases of 0.09 percentage points and 0.06 percentage points [18]. - Conversely, allocations to white appliances, kitchen appliances, upstream components, and two-wheeled vehicles decreased by 0.63, 0.02, 0.10, and 0.17 percentage points, respectively [18]. Section 3: Key Stocks - The report notes an increase in fund holdings for companies such as Hisense Visual and TCL Electronics, with increases of 0.03 and 0.06 percentage points, respectively [69]. - In the white appliance sector, major companies like Midea Group, Gree Electric, and Haier Smart Home saw declines in fund holdings, with decreases of 0.29, 0.15, and 0.15 percentage points, respectively [66][67][68].
中汽协:7月车市进入传统淡季 新能源汽车延续快速增长态势
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 06:28
Group 1 - The automotive market entered a traditional off-season in July, with some manufacturers scheduling annual equipment maintenance, leading to a slowdown in production and sales rhythm [1] - The effects of the trade-in policy continue to show, and the industry's comprehensive rectification of "involution" has made positive progress, with new models being continuously launched to support stable market operations [1] - In July, automotive production and sales experienced a seasonal decline month-on-month but achieved year-on-year growth, with new energy vehicles continuing their rapid growth trend [1] Group 2 - In July 2025, passenger car production and sales reached 2.293 million and 2.287 million units, respectively, with month-on-month declines of 6% and 9.8%, but year-on-year increases of 13% and 14.7% [3] - In July 2025, total automotive production and sales were 2.591 million and 2.593 million units, showing month-on-month declines of 7.3% and 10.7%, while year-on-year growth was 13.3% and 14.7% [4] - In July 2025, new energy vehicle production and sales were 1.243 million and 1.262 million units, with year-on-year growth of 26.3% and 27.4% [5] - In July 2025, commercial vehicle production and sales were 298,000 and 306,000 units, with month-on-month declines of 15.8% and 17.1%, but year-on-year growth of 16.3% and 14.1% [6] - In July 2025, automotive exports totaled 575,000 units, with a month-on-month decline of 2.8% but a year-on-year increase of 22.6% [9] - In July 2025, domestic automotive sales were 2.018 million units, reflecting a month-on-month decline of 12.7% but a year-on-year increase of 12.6% [11]
宁夏:以旧换新等政策累计带动消费近55亿元
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 05:54
Core Insights - The article highlights the positive impact of the "old-for-new" consumption policy and digital product purchase subsidies in Ningxia, leading to a significant increase in sales of related products [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - As of mid-May, Ningxia has sold 25,600 vehicles, 170,000 home appliances, 4,600 electric bicycles, 220,000 new mobile phones, and 32,000 home renovation items, generating nearly 5.5 billion yuan in consumption [1] - From January to April, the total retail sales of consumer goods in Ningxia increased by 6.3% year-on-year, with notable growth in products covered by the "old-for-new" policy [1] Group 2: Sector Growth - Retail sales of automobiles increased by 21.7% year-on-year, while home appliances and audio-visual equipment saw a 23% increase, and communication equipment sales surged by 66.2% [1] Group 3: Future Initiatives - The Ningxia Development and Reform Commission plans to collaborate with relevant departments to further expand domestic demand and enhance the implementation of the "two new" policies, optimizing the process for reviewing and disbursing national bond funds [1]