相关链接 今日重点关注的财经数据与事件：2025年6月19日 周四 ① 02:00 美联储FOMC公布利率决议和经济预期摘要 ② 02:30 美联储主席鲍威尔召开货币政策新闻发布会 ③ 09:00 中国5月Swift人民币在全球支付中占比 ④ 09:30 澳大利亚5月季调后失业率 ⑤ 14:00 瑞士5月贸易帐 ⑥ 15:30 瑞士央行公布利率决议 ⑦ 19:00 英国央行公布利率决议及会议纪要 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. labor market showed a moderate slowdown in June, with initial jobless claims data indicating low levels of layoffs historically [1] - Financial markets reacted mildly to the jobless claims data, with a temporary rise in spot gold prices to $3389.71 per ounce [1] - Traders are currently adopting a wait-and-see approach ahead of the FOMC policy signals, with cautious sentiment prevailing in the market [1] Group 2 - Spot gold closed with a small doji candlestick, indicating a balance between bullish and bearish forces, and is currently waiting for further directional stimulus [2] - The key resistance level for gold is identified at $3400-$3404, and a breakthrough above this level could signal a shift to an upward trend [4] - The domestic gold market suggests waiting for a pullback after a significant rise before entering long positions, with targets set at $800-$805 for the upcoming days [4]

美联储即将公布最新利率决议。 当地时间6月18日，美股三大指数小幅高开，截至发稿，道指涨0.13%，标普500指数涨0.09%， 纳指涨0.05%。 | 道琼斯指数 | 42270.29 | +0.13% | | --- | --- | --- | | .DJI | | | | 标普500指数 | 5988.06 | +0.09% | | .SPX | | | | 纳斯达克综合指数 | 19531.49 | +0.05% | | .IXIC | | | | 纳斯达克中国金龙指数 | 7227.26 | -0.35% | | .HXC | | | 大型科技股多数下跌，截至发稿，微软、英伟达、苹果、谷歌A、特斯拉小幅下跌；亚马逊、Meta、博通小幅上涨。 热门中概股多数下跌，截至发稿，携程跌超4%，贝壳跌超3%，哔哩哔哩、理想汽车、京东、百度、阿里巴巴跌超1%；腾讯音乐涨超1%，蔚来等小幅上涨。此 外，脑再生科技一度跌超30%，该股此前2个交易日累涨近400%。 上周，美国初请失业金人数有所下降，但仍稳定在8个月来的最高水平附近。 美国劳工统计局公布的数据显示， 在截至6月14日的当周，首次申请失业救济的人数 减 ...

黄金再次陷入震荡僵局！多空博弈鹿死谁手？利率决议能否引发波动？金十研究员Steven正在直播，点 击进入直播间观看>> 相关链接 ...

利率决议即将来袭！白银多头能否再下一城？黄金震荡僵局能否打破？金十研究员Steven正在直播，点 击进入直播间观看>> 相关链接 ...

Gold Market - The U.S. retail sales for May showed a month-on-month decline of 0.9%, lower than the expected 0.7% and the previous value of -0.1%, marking the largest drop since March 2023, indicating a sluggish consumer market which is somewhat bullish for gold prices [1] - Following the data release, gold prices saw reduced downward momentum, hitting a low of $3366 before continuing to trade in a narrow range [1] - The upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision is a key focus for the gold market, with expectations that rates will remain unchanged [1] Oil Market - The API reported a significant decrease in U.S. crude oil inventories, with a drop of 10.133 million barrels, far below the expected decrease of 580,000 barrels, indicating strong oil consumption which supports rising oil prices [2] - Geopolitical tensions are escalating, with Russia launching a large-scale counteroffensive against Ukraine and the EU planning to ban imports of Russian oil and gas [2] Geopolitical Tensions - U.S. President Trump urged Iran to surrender unconditionally, while Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei stated the need for a strong response against Israel, indicating ongoing tensions with no signs of reconciliation [3] - The conflict between Iran and Israel is intensifying, which, combined with increased oil demand, provides strong support for oil prices [3] Nasdaq Index - The Nasdaq index continues to oscillate within the range of 21450 to 22060, with recent poor retail data causing a dip to a low of 21630, as the market awaits the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision for clearer direction [4] U.S. Dollar Index - The U.S. dollar index is fluctuating between 97.50 and 99.20, with significant support at 97.50 leading to a strong rebound and a short-term upward trend [5]

今天六月十八日，周三，各位早！ A、关于风险： 周四凌晨的利率决议要来了； 黄金十字星收线，看来支撑区间有用； 原油走了几个V，中东持续发挥影响； 国内金上，778作用不小，该受冲击了。 B、关于行情： 隔夜，黄金报收螺旋桨小阳烛体。参与上，提示3395—3401一带阻力；72初步支撑。 日线上的收线就很微妙了，实体完全守在3386之上，随它影线怎么刺，阴包阳都没有延续。还是老样子，作为相对高位的震荡，确实行情在吸筹 的这条路上走的挺顺。但同时，布林带三轨仍然是向上齐头运行，故而在今明两天，主要考虑布林带中轨撑住之后，进一步的反弹能看向哪里。 原油方面，隔夜报收大阳烛体。参与上，提示布林带中轨支撑。 好的，最近的原油才是真的妖。V地太快了一点，整体的节奏受中东影响是守着相对高位震荡。但是，也没有所谓的破位延续情况的，毕竟基本 面是近期的关键。所以原则上，可以看一下前高的得失。 短线上呢，基本是形成了顶背离的，若日内死叉出现，则关注73.7—72.3的关键得失。其他的若想向下看，则至少四小时的布林带中轨下破之后再 说吧。 国内方面，778这一带看似也不错呢。但是今晚关注点要扩大至顶底转换的761的得失，上方无所 ...

智通财经APP获悉，美联储官员普遍预计将在美东时间周三举行的利率决议上，连续第四次会议维持利 率不变，并重申在调整借贷成本前，需更清晰了解一系列政府政策调整对经济的影响。政策制定者此前 曾警告称，唐纳德·特朗普总统的关税可能推高通胀与失业率，但迄今为止，稳健的就业增长与通胀降 温让美联储官员今年得以维持利率不变。 德意志银行高级美国经济学家布雷特·瑞安表示："观望策略此前成效显著。如今既无迫切调整理由，通 胀前景仍存上行风险，为何要偏离这一策略?" 鉴于经济前景充满不确定性，投资者与经济学家将密切关注政策制定者更新的经济与利率预测。官员们 可能继续如多数预测所示，在今年计入两次降息，但部分经济学家称，"点阵图"可能仅显示一次降息。 美联储利率决议将于美东时间周三下午2点公布，主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将在此后30分钟后召开新闻发布 会。 政策声明要点 预计官员们会将基准利率维持在4.25%-4.5%区间，且对5月6-7日会议后的声明仅做细微调整。鉴于5月 会议以来贸易紧张局势(尤其是中美贸易)有所缓和，政策制定者可能微调关于经济前景不确定性的表 述。 瑞安及其团队在客户报告中指出，官员们可能不再称不确定性"进一步加剧 ...

①14:00 英国5月CPI月率、5月零售物价指数月率；②16:00 欧元区4月季调后经常帐；③17:00 欧元区5 月CPI年率终值、5月CPI月率终值；④20:30 美国至6月14日当周初请失业金人数、5月新屋开工总数年 化、5月营建许可总数；⑤22:30 美国至6月13日当周EIA原油库存、EIA战略石油储备库存；⑥23:15 加 拿大央行行长麦克勒姆发表讲话；⑦次日00:00 美国至6月13日当周EIA天然气库存；⑧次日02:00 美联 储FOMC公布 利率决议和经济预期摘要；⑨次日02:30 美联储主席鲍威尔召开 货币政策新闻发布会。 ...

Key Points - The article outlines significant financial data and events to be monitored on June 18, 2025, including the Lujiazui Forum in Shanghai and various economic indicators from Canada, the US, and the Eurozone [1]. Group 1: Economic Events - The Lujiazui Forum will be held in Shanghai, which is a key event for financial discussions [1]. - The Bank of Canada will release the minutes from its monetary policy meeting at 01:30 [1]. - The US will report API crude oil inventories for the week ending June 13 at 04:30 [1]. - The UK will release its May Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Retail Price Index (RPI) at 14:00 [1]. - The Eurozone will publish its adjusted current account for April at 16:00, along with the final CPI year-on-year and month-on-month values for May at 17:00 [1]. - The US will report initial jobless claims for the week ending June 14 and new housing starts for May at 20:30 [1]. - The US will also release building permit totals for May at the same time [1]. - EIA crude oil inventories and strategic petroleum reserve data will be published at 22:30 [1]. - The Bank of Canada Governor Macklem will give a speech at 23:15 [1]. - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its interest rate decision and economic projections at 02:00 the following day [1]. - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference at 02:30 [1].