Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - The medium - term trend of the crude oil market is bearish, while short - term attention should be paid to the intensity of Ukraine's attacks on Russian energy facilities and the geopolitical risks in Venezuela [2]. - For precious metals, due to the internal policy differences of the Fed, trade easing signals, and the US government shutdown situation, the short - term market sentiment is volatile, and it is advisable to wait for opportunities after the volatility decreases [3]. - The copper price has potential, and long - positions can be held with a support level of 86,000 [4]. - The short - term trend of Shanghai aluminum is strong, and the upper resistance is the high point in November 2024 [5]. - Alumina is in a supply - surplus situation, with limited rebound space and mainly weak operation [6]. - Cast aluminum alloy follows the aluminum price and has no independent market for the time being [7]. - LME zinc has resistance at the 3050 - dollar level, while Shanghai zinc has strong support below and is expected to fluctuate within the range of 22,000 - 23,000 yuan/ton [8]. - Shanghai lead is expected to fluctuate within the range of 17,000 - 17,500 yuan/ton, with both long and short factors coexisting [9]. - The nickel price is weak and tends to move down [10]. - Tin prices are expected to be short - sold on rebounds, with the MA20 moving average as a reference [11]. - Lithium carbonate is expected to fluctuate strongly in the short term, and the focus is on inventory reduction and policy increments [12]. - The short - term trend of polysilicon depends on policy news, and it is advisable to go long with a light position and pay attention to policy signals [13]. - The price of industrial silicon is expected to rise with a limited increase, and attention should be paid to the actual implementation of downstream polysilicon production cuts in November [14]. - Steel prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term, and attention should be paid to demand changes and domestic demand stimulus policies [15]. - Iron ore is expected to fluctuate at a high level [16]. - Coke and coking coal prices are likely to rise easily and fall difficultly [17][18]. - Manganese silicon and ferrosilicon prices are affected by the Sino - US leaders' negotiation, and the demand for both is acceptable [19][20]. - The container shipping index (European line) is in a game between "weak reality" and "strong expectation", and this week is a crucial observation period for spot prices [21]. - For fuel oil, there are opportunities to layout the low - level spread between high - sulfur and low - sulfur fuel oil [22]. - Asphalt has weak demand in the "peak season", and the medium - to - long - term de - stocking slowdown has limited support for prices [23]. - The fundamentals of liquefied petroleum gas are expected to improve marginally, and it is relatively strong compared to crude oil [24]. - Urea prices are expected to run at a low level in the short term [25]. - Methanol is expected to continue to be weak in the short term but may gradually stop falling and stabilize [26]. - For pure benzene, it is advisable to conduct a reverse spread operation on the monthly spread and pay attention to the inventory accumulation rhythm [27]. - Styrene prices are expected to continue to be weak [28]. - Polypropylene, plastic, and propylene prices are under pressure due to supply - side problems [29]. - PVC may fluctuate with the macro - sentiment, and caustic soda prices are expected to run at a low level [30]. - PX and PTA are expected to continue the reverse spread strategy, and attention should be paid to energy geopolitical risks [31]. - Ethylene glycol is expected to continue to accumulate inventory, and prices may follow the external market [32]. - Short - fiber may accumulate inventory in the middle of November, and bottle - chip prices are under pressure [33]. - Glass prices are expected to have limited downward space, and it is advisable to hold short - put options [34]. - For natural rubber and synthetic rubber, it is advisable to wait and see and pay attention to cross - variety arbitrage opportunities [35]. - Soda ash is expected to be short - sold at high prices in the long term and fluctuate with the upstream and macro - sentiment in the short term [36]. - For soybeans and soybean meal, pay attention to Sino - US trade policy adjustments and look for buying opportunities at low prices [37]. - For soybean oil and palm oil, pay attention to the supply of palm oil and Sino - US soybean trade guidance, and beware of oil price corrections [38]. - Rapeseed meal prices may be boosted, while rapeseed oil may face inventory accumulation risks and continue to be weak [39]. - For soybean No.1, pay attention to the performance of imported soybeans and domestic soybean policies [40]. - Corn prices are expected to continue to be weak at the bottom, and pay attention to import situations [41]. - For live pigs, there is a high probability of a second bottom - testing in the first half of next year [42]. - For eggs, look for short - selling opportunities at high prices in the fourth quarter [43]. - Cotton prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term, and pay attention to the impact of Sino - US negotiation news [44]. - For sugar, pay attention to the weather and sugarcane growth in Guangxi [45]. - Apple prices are expected to be high in the early sales period, and pay attention to inventory situations [46]. - Wood prices are supported by low inventory, and it is advisable to wait and see [47]. - Pulp prices are expected to be traded with a short - term strategy or wait and see, and pay attention to port inventory changes [48]. - For stock indices, focus on the technology growth sector and pay attention to domestic policy signals [49]. - Treasury bond futures are expected to end the steepening of the yield curve [50]. Summary by Related Catalogs Energy - Crude oil: Last week, international oil prices declined slightly, with Brent December contract down 0.94%. Voluntary - production - cut 8 countries will increase production by 137,000 barrels per day in December and suspend production increase in the first quarter of next year [2]. - Fuel oil & low - sulfur fuel oil: High - sulfur fuel oil has a mixed situation, and the low - sulfur market is weak. There are opportunities for low - level spread layout between high - sulfur and low - sulfur fuel oil [22]. - Asphalt: Northern construction is gradually stopping, and the "peak season" demand is weaker than expected, with limited medium - to - long - term support [23]. - Liquefied petroleum gas: The fundamentals are expected to improve marginally, and it is relatively strong compared to crude oil [24]. Metals - Copper: Last Friday, copper prices recovered some losses. The Shanghai copper has potential in terms of volume and price [4]. - Aluminum: Shanghai aluminum continued to be strong last Friday, and the short - term trend is upward [5]. - Alumina: It is in a supply - surplus situation, with limited rebound space [6]. - Cast aluminum alloy: Follows the aluminum price and has no independent market [7]. - Zinc: LME zinc has resistance at the 3050 - dollar level, while Shanghai zinc has strong support below [8]. - Lead: Shanghai lead is expected to fluctuate within a certain range [9]. - Nickel & stainless steel: The nickel price is weak and tends to move down [10]. - Tin: It is advisable to short - sell on rebounds, with the MA20 moving average as a reference [11]. - Carbonate lithium: It is expected to fluctuate strongly in the short term, and attention should be paid to de - stocking and policy increments [12]. - Polysilicon: The futures price has risen significantly, and the short - term trend depends on policy news [13]. - Industrial silicon: The price is expected to rise, and attention should be paid to the actual implementation of downstream production cuts [14]. - Iron ore: The supply is high, and the demand support is weak. It is expected to fluctuate at a high level [16]. - Coke & coking coal: Prices are likely to rise easily and fall difficultly [17][18]. - Manganese silicon & ferrosilicon: Affected by the Sino - US leaders' negotiation, and the demand is acceptable [19][20]. Chemicals - Urea: Prices are expected to run at a low level in the short term [25]. - Methanol: It is expected to continue to be weak in the short term but may gradually stabilize [26]. - Pure benzene: It is advisable to conduct a reverse spread operation on the monthly spread and pay attention to inventory accumulation [27]. - Styrene: Prices are expected to continue to be weak [28]. - Polypropylene & plastic & propylene: Prices are under pressure due to supply - side problems [29]. - PVC & caustic soda: PVC may fluctuate with the macro - sentiment, and caustic soda prices are expected to run at a low level [30]. - PX & PTA: Continue the reverse spread strategy and pay attention to energy geopolitical risks [31]. - Ethylene glycol: Expected to continue to accumulate inventory and follow the external market [32]. - Short - fiber & bottle - chip: Short - fiber may accumulate inventory in the middle of November, and bottle - chip prices are under pressure [33]. Agricultural Products - Soybeans & soybean meal: Pay attention to Sino - US trade policy adjustments and look for buying opportunities at low prices [37]. - Soybean oil & palm oil: Pay attention to palm oil supply and Sino - US soybean trade guidance, and beware of oil price corrections [38]. - Rapeseed & rapeseed oil: Rapeseed meal prices may be boosted, while rapeseed oil may face inventory accumulation risks [39]. - Soybean No.1: Pay attention to the performance of imported soybeans and domestic soybean policies [40]. - Corn: Prices are expected to continue to be weak at the bottom, and pay attention to import situations [41]. - Live pigs: There is a high probability of a second bottom - testing in the first half of next year [42]. - Eggs: Look for short - selling opportunities at high prices in the fourth quarter [43]. - Cotton: Prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term, and pay attention to the impact of Sino - US negotiation news [44]. - Sugar: Pay attention to the weather and sugarcane growth in Guangxi [45]. - Apples: Prices are expected to be high in the early sales period, and pay attention to inventory situations [46]. Others - Container shipping index (European line): In a game between "weak reality" and "strong expectation", and this week is a crucial observation period for spot prices [21]. - Wood: Prices are supported by low inventory, and it is advisable to wait and see [47]. - Pulp: Prices are expected to be traded with a short - term strategy or wait and see, and pay attention to port inventory changes [48]. - Stock indices: Focus on the technology growth sector and pay attention to domestic policy signals [49]. - Treasury bond futures: Expected to end the steepening of the yield curve [50].

Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings - No investment ratings for the industry are provided in the report. 2. Core Views - For gold, short - term and medium - term views are "oscillation", and the intraday view is "oscillation with a slight upward trend". The reference view is "wait - and - see". The core logic is the easing of Sino - US trade relations and the Fed's hawkish stance [1][3]. - For copper, short - term and medium - term views are "rising", and the intraday view is "oscillation with a slight upward trend". The reference view is "long - term bullish". The core logic is macro - economic easing, mine production cuts, and a rapid increase in capital attention [1][4]. 3. Summary by Variety Gold (AU) - **Price Trend**: Last week, the gold price oscillated downward. After the Fed's October interest - rate meeting, the price rebounded. After the APEC Sino - US summit, the precious metals market showed a rebound trend [3]. - **Core Logic**: The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points in October, in line with market expectations. However, internal policy differences and Powell's cautious attitude towards subsequent rate cuts were interpreted as hawkish, reducing the market's expectation of a December rate cut. The Sino - US tariff relaxation policies after the APEC summit also affected the market. Technically, short - term attention is on the $4000 level for the long - short game. On November 1st, new gold tax policies were announced, with more refined tax management for on - exchange gold trading, mainly affecting institutions and enterprises [3]. Copper (CU) - **Price Trend**: Last week, the copper price rose and then fell, with a narrowing amplitude and a decline in open interest. After the Fed's October interest - rate meeting, LME copper dropped significantly. After the APEC Sino - US summit, the copper market showed a "buy - on - rumor, sell - on - news" trend [4]. - **Core Logic**: The Fed's rate cut of 25 basis points in October was in line with expectations, but the hawkish signals cooled the rate - cut expectation, which was negative for copper prices. The short - term sharp rise in copper prices led to pressure at historical highs, increasing the willingness of long - position holders to close positions. Technically, continuous attention is on the support of the 10 - day moving average [4].

Core Viewpoint - The recent high-level meeting between China and the U.S. resulted in a constructive agreement aimed at extending the period of trade tension alleviation and raising the threshold for risks, with a goal to reach a comprehensive trade agreement within a year [4][6][11] Summary by Sections Meeting Outcomes - A one-year truce agreement was reached, which is notable as it extends beyond the previous 90-day renewals, aligning with the U.S. midterm elections to prevent trade tensions from escalating during the election year [6][11] - China will suspend the new export control regulations on rare earths set to take effect in October, while the U.S. will pause the 50% equity penetration export control rules announced on September 29, which was somewhat unexpected [6][10] Tariffs and Trade Measures - The U.S. reduced the fentanyl tariff by 10%, and China will correspondingly adjust its retaliatory tariffs, including the cancellation of the 10% tariff on U.S. soybeans, facilitating large-scale imports [8][10] - Both sides agreed to suspend the additional shipping fees and maintain the 24% reciprocal tariffs for one year, which aligns with market expectations [9][10] Future Engagements - Trump is expected to visit China in April next year, and he has invited President Xi Jinping to visit the U.S., indicating a potential for further diplomatic engagement [9][10] - Discussions included the semiconductor trade, but did not cover high-end chips like Blackwell, which fell short of market optimism [9][10] Symbolic Significance - The meeting marked the first encounter between the two leaders in this term, suggesting a longer period of easing tensions and a framework for addressing future issues [11] - The initial phase of U.S.-China relations will focus on soybean imports and fentanyl tariffs, while the latter phase will aim for a comprehensive trade agreement, indicating a new cycle of negotiations [11]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View - For gold, the short - term and mid - term views are "oscillation", the intraday view is "oscillation with a slight upward bias", and the reference view is "wait - and - see". The core logic is the easing of Sino - US trade relations and the Fed's hawkish stance [1][3]. - For copper, the short - term and mid - term views are "rising", the intraday view is "oscillation with a slight downward bias", and the reference view is "bullish in the long - term". The core logic is macro - economic easing, mine production cuts, and a rapid increase in capital attention [1][4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Gold - **Price Movement**: The gold price has rebounded recently, approaching the $4050 mark [3]. - **Market Expectation**: After the Fed's 25 - basis - point rate cut in October, the internal policy divergence and Powell's cautious attitude towards future rate cuts have led to a decline in the market's expected probability of a December rate cut. After the APEC Sino - US summit, tariff relaxation policies were introduced, and the market showed a rebound trend after the positive news was digested. Technically, short - term attention should be paid to the long - short game at the $4000 mark [3]. Copper - **Price Movement**: After the Fed's October interest - rate meeting, LME copper prices dropped significantly. Copper prices have increased significantly in the short - term and are facing historical high - level pressure, with strong willingness among long - position holders to close their positions. Since late October, as the gold price has weakened, the copper price has been strong, and the gold - copper ratio has dropped significantly [4]. - **Market Expectation**: The Fed's internal policy divergence and Powell's cautious attitude towards future rate cuts have cooled the rate - cut expectation, which is negative for copper prices. In the long run, since late September, the expectation of supply contraction has increased, and copper prices have risen significantly with increased positions. Attention should be paid to the long - short game at the $11,000 mark for LME copper [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Report's Core View - In the short term, precious metal prices are expected to stabilize and stage a phased rebound. In the long run, the long - term upward logic of precious metals remains intact, and it is recommended to buy on dips [4]. - In the medium - to - long term, factors such as the Fed's potential rate cuts within the year, ongoing global geopolitical uncertainties, unsustainable US debt, intensified great - power competition increasing dollar credit risk, and continued gold purchases by global central banks suggest that the medium - to - long - term center of gold prices will likely continue to rise. Long - term investors are advised to buy on dips [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Price Tracking - **Precious Metal Prices**: On October 29, 2025, the closing price of the main contract of Shanghai gold futures dropped 0.55% to 910.88 yuan/gram, and the main contract of Shanghai silver futures rose 1.91% to 11,338 yuan/kilogram. Compared with October 28, the prices of London gold, London silver, COMEX gold, and COMEX silver all fell 100%, while AU2512 rose 1.1% and AG2512 rose 2.6% [3][4]. - **Price Spreads/Ratios**: The price spreads of gold ID - SHFE active price and silver TD - SHFE active price increased significantly on October 29, 2025, with growth rates of 28013.6% and 80885.7% respectively compared to October 28. The gold and silver ratios of SHFE and COMEX also changed, with the SHFE gold - silver ratio dropping 1.5% [3]. 3.2 Position Data - **COMEX and ETF Positions**: As of October 28, 2025, compared with October 27, the non - commercial long positions of COMEX gold increased 1.85%, the non - commercial short positions increased 9.43%, and the non - commercial net long positions increased 0.13%. The non - commercial long positions of COMEX silver increased 0.97%, the non - commercial short positions decreased 0.21%, and the non - commercial net long positions increased 1.43%. The gold ETF - SPDR remained unchanged, and the silver ETF - SLV decreased 0.86% [3]. 3.3 Inventory Data - **SHFE and COMEX Inventories**: On October 29, 2025, compared with October 28, the SHFE gold inventory increased 0.92%, the SHFE silver inventory decreased 0.55%. The COMEX gold inventory decreased 0.60%, and the COMEX silver inventory decreased 0.91% [3]. 3.4 Interest Rates/Exchange Rates/Indices - **Related Indicators**: On October 29, 2025, compared with October 28, the US dollar index dropped 0.02%, the 2 - year US Treasury yield dropped 0.29%, the 10 - year US Treasury yield dropped 0.50%, the US dollar/Chinese yuan central parity rate dropped 0.10%, the VIX rose 3.99%, the S&P 500 rose 0.23%, and NYMEX crude oil dropped 2.23% [4].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - For gold, short - term is expected to decline, medium - term to oscillate, and the reference view is to wait and see due to the expected easing of Sino - US trade and Russia - Ukraine cease - fire, along with strong profit - taking intention of funds [1][3] - For copper, short - term and medium - term are expected to rise, and the reference view is to be strong in the long - run because of macro - economic easing, mine - end production cuts, and a rapid increase in capital attention [1][4] Group 3: Summary by Variety Gold - **Short - term**: Expected to decline, with the short - term strong pattern broken as the price fell below the 10 - day moving average [1][3] - **Medium - term**: Expected to oscillate [1][3] - **Core Logic**: The decline is due to the expected easing of Sino - US trade and Russia - Ukraine cease - fire, and strong profit - taking intention after a large increase since September. The price has fallen below $4000 and $3900. Attention should be paid to the APEC meeting and the Fed's interest - rate meeting at the end of the month [3] Copper - **Short - term and Medium - term**: Expected to rise [1][4] - **Core Logic**: The price dropped yesterday following the weakening of the macro - environment and the sharp decline of gold price, but rebounded quickly at night. The gold - copper ratio has dropped significantly. Attention should be paid to the long - short game at the $11000 level of LME copper [4]

Market Performance - Global equity markets experienced a broad rally, with MSCI Global up by 1.9%, MSCI Developed Markets also up by 1.9%, and MSCI Emerging Markets rising by 2.2% [4][8] - Among developed markets, the South Korean Composite Index showed the strongest performance with a gain of 5.1%, while the Australian S&P 200 had the weakest performance with a gain of only 0.3% [8] - In emerging markets, the ChiNext Index performed best with an increase of 8.0%, while the Mexican MXX Index was the worst performer, declining by 1.0% [8] Trading Sentiment - Overall trading volume decreased across global markets, with the VIX index showing a rapid decline [19] - In terms of investor sentiment, the short-selling ratio in Hong Kong stocks decreased to 15.8%, indicating a historical low sentiment level, while the North American sentiment index rose to 90.4%, reflecting a high sentiment level [19][26] Earnings Expectations - The earnings expectations for the US tech sector were revised upward during the earnings season, with the S&P 500's EPS forecast for 2025 adjusted from 268 to 269 [63] - The Hong Kong market also saw an upward revision in earnings expectations, with the Hang Seng Index's EPS forecast for 2025 increased from 2059 to 2061 [63] - In contrast, the European market's earnings expectations remained flat, with the STOXX50 Index's EPS forecast for 2025 unchanged at 332 [64] Economic Outlook - Major market economic sentiment indicators showed improvement, with the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index for the US, Europe, and China all rising [4][63] - The rise in these indices was attributed to factors such as the potential end of the US government shutdown, easing inflation expectations, and improved US-China negotiations [4] Fund Flows - The market is increasingly pricing in two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve within the year, with expectations confirmed by recent economic data [46][50] - In terms of liquidity, there was a notable inflow of funds into the US, China, India, Japan, and South Korea, with a total inflow of 210 billion USD into these markets in September [55][58]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings There is no information about the report industry investment ratings in the provided content. 2. Core Views - Gold: In the short - term, it is expected to decline; in the medium - term, it will fluctuate; and the intraday view is also a decline. The recommended strategy is to wait and see. The core logic is the expectation of Sino - US trade relaxation and the end of the Russia - Ukraine conflict, along with strong profit - taking intention of funds due to large price increases since September [1][3]. - Copper: In the short - term, it is expected to rise; in the medium - term, it will also rise; and the intraday view is a rise. The recommended strategy is to be bullish in the long - run. The core logic is the macro - economic loosening, mine - end production cuts, and a rapid increase in capital attention [1][4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Gold - Price Performance: Last week, the gold price first dropped by over 7% from the high and then rebounded. On Monday this week, the New York gold price once fell below $4000. The short - term strong pattern has been broken as it fell below the 10 - day moving average [3]. - Driving Factors: The decline is due to the expectation of Sino - US trade relaxation and the end of the Russia - Ukraine conflict, and strong profit - taking intention of funds after large price increases since September. Attention should be paid to the APEC meeting and the Fed's interest - rate meeting at the end of the month [3]. Copper - Price Performance: After the Fourth Plenary Session last week, the macro - environment improved. Copper prices increased with rising positions on Thursday and Friday. After the Sino - US trade consultation over the weekend, copper prices continued to rise with increasing positions. Since September 24th, copper prices have shown an upward trend after the news of mine - end contraction, and capital attention has increased rapidly [4]. - Driving Factors: The macro - environment at home and abroad has continued to improve, and the industrial supply has shrunk. Although the high inventory of overseas COMEX exerts pressure on copper prices, the overall macro - economic loosening, improved risk appetite, and supply contraction provide upward momentum for copper prices. Attention should be paid to the long - short game at the $11,000 mark of LME copper [4].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching the 4000-point mark, reaching a new high for the year, while the ChiNext Index increased by nearly 2% [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.18%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.51%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.98% [2] Stock Performance - A total of 3361 stocks rose, with 63 stocks hitting the daily limit up, while 1862 stocks declined [3][4] - The storage chip sector saw a collective surge, with stocks like Zhaoyi Innovation and Demingli hitting the daily limit and reaching new highs [4] - The concept stocks related to controllable nuclear fusion were actively traded, with Dongfang Tantalum and Antai Technology seeing significant gains [5][6] Asian Market Trends - In Asia, both the Japanese and South Korean stock markets surged over 2%, with the Nikkei 225 index surpassing the 50000-point psychological barrier and the Seoul index breaking through 4000 points for the first time, marking a nearly 70% increase year-to-date [8][9] Factors Influencing Market Surge - The market's rise was attributed to several factors, including positive signals from Sino-U.S. trade negotiations, where preliminary consensus was reached on multiple important economic and trade issues [11] - The increase in the Nikkei index was also supported by a high approval rating for the Japanese cabinet, which is seen as beneficial for government stability and market sentiment [12] - Additionally, expectations for a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve were heightened following the lower-than-expected increase in the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) [13]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Gold: ★★★, indicating a clearer long - trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity currently [1] - Silver: ★★★, indicating a clearer long - trend and a relatively appropriate investment opportunity currently [1] 2. Core View of the Report - Overnight, the prices of gold and silver dropped sharply with significant fluctuations in recent days. There are signs of easing in Sino - US trade, and the Russia - Ukraine conflict and the US government shutdown issue are at a critical stage of the game, causing risk sentiment to fluctuate. The short - term over - bought situation of precious metals is being corrected. After the correction, a high - level shock platform may be formed. It is recommended to wait and see for a while and look for buying opportunities after the market stabilizes [1] 3. Other Key Information - Trump postponed the scheduled meeting with Russian President Putin in Budapest. The decision was made after a call between US Secretary of State Rubio and Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov. Trump will decide on the meeting in the next few days. He will also hold talks with NATO Secretary - General Lute on the 22nd [2] - Europe and Ukraine agreed on a Russia - Ukraine peace plan at 12 o'clock, negotiating based on the current front lines. Trump said he has not made a decision on the Russia - Ukraine issue. Russia reiterated its stance of full control of Donbass to the US last weekend, and European leaders issued a joint statement supporting an immediate freeze of the current front lines in Ukraine [2] - A Reuters survey shows that the Fed is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, and the interest rate path in 2026 is highly uncertain [3]