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能源化工期权策略早报-20250710
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 23:30
能源化工期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号:F3047321 | 交易咨询号:Z0015541 | 邮箱:lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号:F03090207 | 交易咨询号:Z0016947 | 邮箱:lirj@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权策略早报概要:能源类:原油、LPG;聚烯烃类期权:聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯;聚酯类期 权:对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片;碱化工类:烧碱、纯碱;其他能源化工类:橡胶等。 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | ...
Starbucks Stock Perks Up With Billion-Dollar China Bids
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-07-09 14:02
Beverage chain Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX) is up 1.6% to trade at $126.15, after CNBC reported the company's China leg is attracting bids of up to $10 billion. The equity would retain a 30% stake, with offers coming in from big names such as Centurium Capital, Hillhouse Capital, and Carlyle Group. Starbucks stock has been choppy on the charts this summer, with recent support stemming from its ascending 20-day moving average. Today's pop has SBUX trading at its highest level since April 2 and creating some ...
波动率数据日报-20250709
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 12:58
永安期货期权总部 更新时间: 2025/7/9 隐含波动率指数、历史波动率及其价差走势图 1、金融期权隐含波动率指数反映截止上一交易日的30日隐波走势,商品期权隐含波动 率指数通过主力月平值期权上下两档隐波加权所得,反映主力合约的隐波变化趋势。2 稳波指数与历史波动率的差值,差值越大反映隐波相对历史波动率越高,差值越小 表隐波相对历史波动率越低。 70 -300股指 IV -- 300股指 HV IV-HV美 - 50ETF IV 50ET 60 20 50 10 10 40 30 20 70 10 30 0 45 B 2019/2/20 2020/2/2/20 2021/2/20 2022/2/20 2023/2/20 2024/2/20 2025/2/20 2021/2/13 20 22/2/13 2024 /2/13 20 20/2/13 2023/2/13 2025/2/13 80 40 100 eo - 1000股指 IV -1000股指HV IV-HV美 - IV-HV美 - 500ETF IV - 500ETF HV 70 30 80 60 20 50 20 60 10 0 40 60 日银 I ...
金属期权策略早报-20250709
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 10:51
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For non - ferrous metals showing a volatile decline, construct a seller's neutral volatility strategy [2]. - For the black - series with a gradual range - bound consolidation, it is suitable to construct a seller's option neutral combination strategy [2]. - For precious metals like gold with a high - level consolidation and a weak decline, construct a spot hedging strategy [2]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes of various metal futures contracts are presented, including copper, aluminum, zinc, etc. For example, the latest price of copper (CU2508) is 80,030, with a price increase of 550 and a trading volume of 6.13 million lots [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR of various metal options are provided, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market respectively. For instance, the open interest PCR of copper options is 0.67, with a change of - 0.01 [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of various metal options are analyzed from the perspective of the maximum open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure point of copper options is 82,000 and the support point is 78,000 [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of various metal options is presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of copper options is 11.20% [6]. 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations for Different Metal Categories 3.5.1 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper Options**: The copper market shows a high - level range - bound shock and then an upward breakthrough followed by a continuous decline. Construct a bullish option bull - spread strategy, a short - volatility option combination strategy, and a spot long - hedging strategy [8]. - **Aluminum/Alumina Options**: The aluminum market shows a bullish rise, high - level shock, and then a decline. Construct a bullish option bull - spread strategy, a short - option combination strategy, and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Zinc/Lead Options**: The zinc market shows a bullish upward and high - level range - bound shock. Construct a short - option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Nickel Options**: The nickel market shows a weak rebound. Construct a short - option combination strategy with a short bias and a spot long - hedging strategy [10]. - **Tin Options**: The tin market shows a short - term weak shock. Construct a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate Options**: The lithium carbonate market shows an oversold rebound. Construct a short - option combination strategy with a neutral bias and a spot covered - call strategy [11]. 3.5.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver Options**: The gold market shows a short - term weak shock. Construct a short - volatility option seller's combination strategy with a bullish bias and a spot hedging strategy [12]. 3.5.3 Black - Series - **Rebar Options**: The rebar market shows an oversold rebound with strong upward momentum. Construct a short - option combination strategy and a spot covered - call strategy [13]. - **Iron Ore Options**: The iron ore market shows a bullish upward trend. Construct a short - option combination strategy with a bullish bias and a spot collar strategy [13]. - **Ferroalloy Options**: The manganese silicon market shows a weak rebound. Construct a short - volatility strategy [14]. - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon Options**: The industrial silicon market shows a rebound and then a range - bound shock. Construct a short - option combination strategy and a spot covered - call strategy [14]. - **Glass Options**: The glass market shows a rebound from a weak bearish trend. Construct a short - volatility option combination strategy and a spot collar strategy [15].
农产品期权策略早报-20250709
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 10:51
农产品期权 2025-07-09 农产品期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号:F3047321 | 交易咨询号:Z0015541 | 邮箱:lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号:F03090207 | 交易咨询号:Z0016947 | 邮箱:lirj@wkqh.cn | 农产品期权策略早报概要:油料油脂类农产品有所转弱,油脂类,农副产品维持震荡行情,软商品白糖延续偏弱, 棉花温和上涨,谷物类玉米和淀粉弱势窄幅盘整。 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | ( ...
先锋期货期权日报-20250709
Xian Feng Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 09:04
先锋期货期权日报 2025-7-9 风险揭示 本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。本报告所载 的资料、工具、意见及推测只提供给客户作参考之用。过去的表现并不代表未来 的表现,未来的回报也无法保证,投资者可能会损失本金。 在任何情况下,我们不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损 失负任何责任,投资者需自行承担风险。此报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合 阁下,我们建议阁下如有任何疑问应咨询独立投资顾问。 | 标 的 | 平值期权隐 | 排 名 | 标的30天历 | 排 名 | 标的当日 | 排 名 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 含波动率 | | 史波动率 | | 真实波幅 | | | ps2509 | 2.7% | 1 | 2.6% | 2 | 4.2% | 1 | | sc2508 | 2.2% | 2 | 3.1% | 1 | 2.0% | 8 | | fg508 | 2.1% | 3 | 1.6% | 9 | 1.6% | 16 | | si2509 | 2.0% | 4 | 2.1% | 3 | 2.6% | ...
能源化工期权策略早报-20250709
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 02:51
能源化工期权 2025-07-09 能源化工期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号:F3047321 | 交易咨询号:Z0015541 | 邮箱:lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号:F03090207 | 交易咨询号:Z0016947 | 邮箱:lirj@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权策略早报概要:能源类:原油、LPG;聚烯烃类期权:聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯;聚酯类期 权:对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片;碱化工类:烧碱、纯碱;其他能源化工类:橡胶等。 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...
金融期权策略早报-20250708
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-07-08 10:35
金融期权 2025/07/08 金融期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号:F3047321 | 交易咨询号:Z0015541 | 邮箱:lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | 金融期权策略早报概要: (1)股市短评:上证综指数、大盘蓝筹股、中小盘股和创业板股表现为高位震荡偏多上行的市场行情。 (2)金融期权波动性分析:金融期权隐含波动率均值较低水平水平波动。 (3)金融期权策略与建议:对于ETF期权来说,适合构建备兑策略和偏中性的双卖策略,垂直价差组合策略;对于 股指期权来说,适合构建偏中性的双卖策略和期权合成期货多头或空头与期货空头或多头做套利策略。 表1:金融市场重要指数概况 | 重要指数 | 指数代码 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 额变化 | PE | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | ...
先锋期货期权日报-20250708
Xian Feng Qi Huo· 2025-07-08 10:07
先锋期货期权日报 2025-7-8 风险揭示 本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。本报告所载 的资料、工具、意见及推测只提供给客户作参考之用。过去的表现并不代表未来 的表现,未来的回报也无法保证,投资者可能会损失本金。 在任何情况下,我们不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损 失负任何责任,投资者需自行承担风险。此报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合 阁下,我们建议阁下如有任何疑问应咨询独立投资顾问。 | 标 的 | 平值期权隐 | 排 名 | 标的30天历 | 排 名 | 标的当日 | 排 名 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 含波动率 | | 史波动率 | | 真实波幅 | | | ps2509 | 2.6% | 1 | 2.7% | 2 | 5.8% | 2 | | sc2508 | 2.3% | 2 | 3.1% | 1 | 2.3% | 8 | | fg508 | 2.1% | 3 | 1.6% | 9 | 1.8% | 11 | | si2509 | 2.0% | 4 | 2.1% | 3 | 6.3% | ...
股债维持震荡
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-08 03:13
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|⾦融衍⽣品策略⽇报 2025-07-08 股债维持震荡 股指期货:全A指数窄幅震荡 股指期权:主线维持备兑 国债期货:维持震荡 股指期货方面,昨日A股市场窄幅震荡,全A指数上下波动不到0. 4%,其中地产、公用事业领涨,电信、医疗保健领跌,热点方向并无过多 共性。个股方面,涨停家数76家,集中在电力、稳定币等相关概念。展望 后市,近期市场有量减的趋势,一方面关税消息众多,市场担心不确定 性,另一方面,前期热点方向如医疗大跌也诱发了止盈情绪,同时反内卷 方向如光伏未能接棒成为阶段主线,轮动加快扰动资金布局信心。故短线 仍以震荡市对待,短期观望。 股指期权方面,考虑到上周标的整体表现偏强,部分标的来到局部高 位,周初阶段性回调风险较大。尽管标的出现回调迹象,但昨日振幅偏 低,故周初流动性较弱,较上周五下降超50%。波动率方面,创业板ETF和 500ETF波动率下降显著,细分来看交易驱动相异。创业板ETF认沽端波动 率领跌,表征短线认沽平仓;而500ETF期权认沽侧上涨,而认购端波动率 下行,暗示市场有建仓领口策略的迹象。情绪指标方面,交易型资金情绪 中 ...