Core Viewpoint - The latest brokerage "golden stocks" for December highlight a focus on sectors such as electronics, power equipment, pharmaceuticals, and food and beverage, with themes like domestic computing power, robotics, and consumer recovery gaining traction [2][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - In November, the A-share market exhibited a volatile pattern, with the Shanghai Composite Index declining by 1.67%, while the ChiNext Index and STAR Market Index fell by 4.23% and 6.24%, respectively [5]. - The top-performing "golden stock" in November was Shanghai Port Bay, recommended by Huatai Securities, which saw a monthly increase of 60.15% [6]. - Other notable performers included BlueFocus Media with a 45.99% increase and Yaxing Integration with a 43.57% rise, both recommended by different brokerages [6]. Group 2: December Golden Stocks - The December golden stock list shows a diverse allocation strategy, with significant attention on electronics, power equipment, pharmaceuticals, and food and beverage sectors [2][9]. - The electronics sector remains the most favored, with companies like Haiguang Information and Huadian Heavy Industries receiving multiple recommendations from different brokerages [11][12]. - In the power equipment sector, companies like Goldwind Technology and Ningde Times are highlighted for their strong order growth and competitive advantages [12]. Group 3: Investment Themes - The focus on robotics is increasing, with companies like Hengli Hydraulic and Kaidi Co. being recommended for their growth potential in the robotics space [16]. - In the pharmaceuticals sector, innovative companies such as Innovent Biologics and Kangfang Biologics are emphasized for their competitive global products [15]. - The consumer sector is also gaining traction, with companies like Midea Group and Alibaba being included in the recommendations due to their attractive dividend yields and growth prospects [14]. Group 4: Market Outlook - Brokerages generally maintain a bullish outlook for the market, expecting it to remain in a bull phase, although short-term fluctuations may occur [3][18]. - Analysts suggest that the market's focus should be on growth sectors, particularly technology and advanced manufacturing, while also considering defensive and consumer stocks in the short term [20][21].

随着11月交易收官，最新一期的券商金股出炉。 从目前已披露的12月金股名单来看，电子、电力设备、医药生物、食品饮料等行业受到集中关注，国产算力、机器人、消费复苏等主题热度较高。 展望12月行情，券商普遍认为市场仍处牛市，中长期仍看好科技成长。 11月最牛金股涨超60% 回顾11月，A股市场整体呈现震荡格局，上证指数月内小幅下跌1.67%，而创业板指、科创50指数则分别下跌4.23%和6.24%。在结构性行情中，券商金股 组合表现分化明显。 Wind数据显示，11月券商推荐金股中，由华泰证券独家推荐的上海港湾单月涨幅达60.15%，成为当月表现最亮的金股；由东北证券独家推荐的蓝色光标 则以45.99%的月涨幅排名第二；华泰证券推荐的亚翔集成以43.57%的月涨幅排名第三；此外，由天风证券推荐的延江股份11月上涨37.59%，位列第四。 11月金股中，单月涨幅超20%的还包括深圳新星（华鑫证券推荐）、众生药业（东海证券推荐）、西麦食品（开源证券、方正证券推荐）等。 从券商金股组合的整体表现来看，11月券商金股收益率分化明显。在每市APP收录的40余家券商金股组合中，仅5家券商收益率为正。具体来看：国联民 生证券金 ...

11月27日，A股三大指数走势分化。 热门ETF中，食品饮料ETF天弘（159736）截至收盘成交额超1600万元，成分股中，均瑶健康、金字火 腿、西麦食品涨幅领先。 此外，农业ETF天弘（512620）单日换手率4.54%，成交额超1600万元，成分股中，亚钾国际、益生股 份、藏格矿业涨幅领先 。 食品饮料EF天弘（159736，场外C类001632）跟踪中证食品饮料指数，仓位布局高端、次高端白酒龙头 股，兼顾饮料乳品、调味、啤酒等细分板块龙头，前十权重股包括"茅五泸汾洋"、伊利、海天等。截至 11月26日收盘，食品饮料ETF天弘（159736）规模超56亿元，年内份额增长近14%。 农业ETF天弘（512620）紧密跟踪中证农业指数，覆盖养殖、农化等领域，成分股汇聚牧原股份、温氏 股份、海大集团等农业龙头企业，实现多元化布局，还配置了场外联接基金（A类010769，C类 010770）。 消息面来看，五粮液在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司近年来持续加大分红，并发布未来三年股 东回报规划。 此外，据农业农村部网站，11月21日，农业农村部部长韩俊主持召开部常务会议。会议要求，要加强生 猪产能综合调控，加 ...

人民财讯11月28日电，华泰证券认为，地产周期尤其是地产价格变化仍然是判断2026年消费复苏力度与 速度的胜负手，在2026年房价结构性企稳的预期下，居民资产负债表修复有望带动消费倾向边际改善； 同时，可能的供给与需求政策刺激将提振居民消费意愿。必选消费公司国内结构性升级与出海空间仍然 广阔，同时近年来龙头分红率不断提升，在低利率环境下具备股息率打底、长期成长性较高、低估值具 备弹性的三重优势。当前必选消费行业配置比例及估值分位数处于历史低位，已经步入胜率较高的左侧 底部区间，建议积极把握板块布局机会。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates that the expectation of structural stabilization in housing prices by 2026 is likely to lead to a marginal improvement in consumer sentiment due to the recovery of household balance sheets [1] Group 1: Consumer Sentiment and Policy Impact - The anticipated recovery of household balance sheets is expected to enhance consumer willingness to spend [1] - Potential supply and demand policy stimuli may further boost consumer consumption intentions [1] Group 2: Essential Consumer Sector Outlook - The essential consumer sector is projected to experience structural upgrades domestically and has significant opportunities for expansion overseas [1] - Leading companies in this sector have been increasing their dividend payout ratios, which provides a solid foundation for dividend yield, long-term growth potential, and valuation resilience in a low-interest-rate environment [1] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The current allocation ratio and valuation percentiles for the essential consumer industry are at historical lows, indicating a high probability of being in a favorable left-side bottom range for investment [1] - It is recommended to actively seize opportunities for sector allocation [1]

Core Insights - The report from Guotai Junan indicates an increase in consumer sentiment and continued growth in the technology manufacturing sector, with notable trends in various industries [1] Consumer Sector - Domestic demand indicators are improving, with tourism and long-distance travel showing continuous recovery, suggesting a shift towards service-oriented and mass consumer goods consumption despite a contraction in real estate and durable goods [1] - Real estate transactions in 30 major cities saw a year-on-year decline of 25.8%, with first, second, and third-tier cities experiencing declines of 49.8%, 12.6%, and 22.3% respectively; the sales volume in major cities continues to struggle [1] - Durable goods consumption remains under pressure, with average daily retail sales of passenger cars declining year-on-year; in October, domestic sales and exports of air conditioners fell by 21.3% and 19.0% respectively [1][2] Technology & Manufacturing - The technology hardware sector is experiencing marginal growth slowdown, influenced by AI infrastructure investments; however, the overall sentiment remains strong, with October's PCB exports increasing by 23.4% year-on-year, despite a decline in growth rate [3] - Construction demand is still weak, with slight recovery in steel prices due to reduced operating rates of blast furnaces; prices for glass and cement continue to be under pressure [3] - The new energy lithium battery sector remains robust, with a year-on-year increase in power battery sales of 49.9% from January to October, while prices for lithium hexafluorophosphate and lithium carbonate continue to rise [3] Logistics & Transportation - Long-distance travel demand has improved significantly, with the Baidu migration index showing a month-on-month increase of 3.8% and a year-on-year increase of 18.0%; airline passenger load factors are high, indicating a recovery in business and tourism travel [4] - Freight logistics have seen a month-on-month decline, with highway truck traffic and railway freight volumes decreasing by 2.2% and 0.3% respectively; postal and express delivery volumes also fell significantly post "Double Eleven" [4] - Maritime transport prices for dry bulk and oil have risen sharply, driven by increased demand from iron ore and crude oil production [5]

相关事件 阿里巴巴-W(9988.HK)FY26Q2财报点评：电商收入及利润增势稳健 云业务加速增长 阿里巴巴- W(9988.HK)：云收入延续加速增长且闪购减亏在轨 百度集团-SW(09888.HK)：AI收入展现强劲增长势 头 无人驾驶业务维持全球扩张趋势 百度集团-SW(09888.HK)：三大AI收入实现高速增长 小摩：预期 2026年底沪深300指数目标5200点，列出中资股首选股名单 "反内卷"急先锋化工ETF天弘(159133)今日 重磅上市，跟踪指数今年跑赢沪深300指数超10% 大行评级丨野村：拼多多海外业务复苏 维持中性评级 格隆汇发布拼多多3Q25更新报告 软控股份(002073.SZ)：主要为宁德时代供应锂电前段工序的配料输送 及匀浆设备 曙光股份(600303.SH)：整车产品新能源电池主要与宁德时代合作 研报掘金丨中国银河证 券：内地提振消费政策发力 潮玩谷子赛道推荐泡泡玛特 泡泡玛特拉升大涨近10%，6部门出台促消费方 案鼓励积极发展潮服潮玩等兴趣消费产品 摩根大通发表中国资本市场明年展望策略报告，对于2026年，持续看好自2025年1月9日以来的中国市场 指数MSCI中国指数 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent rise of the Shanghai Composite Index above 4000 points after a decade, indicating a slow bull market and the need to identify structural investment opportunities [1] - The 2025 Securities Times Analyst Annual Conference will be held in Suzhou, featuring top investment institutions and analysts discussing high-quality development [2] - The conference will include four specialized forums covering 30 research areas, providing insights into market trends and investment strategies [3] Group 2 - The specialized forums will address various topics, including macro trends, industry comparisons, consumer recovery, new pharmaceutical cycles, semiconductor technology, artificial intelligence applications, advanced manufacturing, and low-carbon transitions [4] - Early bird tickets for the conference are available at a discounted price, encouraging participation in the event [5][6] - Different ticket options are offered, including full access, single-day access, and specific forum access, with early bird discounts available for all types [7][8] Group 3 - The specialized forums are scheduled for December 18-19, with sessions starting in the morning and afternoon, focusing on macroeconomics, health, consumption, advanced manufacturing, and technology [9]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a cautious yet optimistic outlook for the food and beverage sector, suggesting that the economic cycle and drinking policies will stabilize, leading to potential recovery in valuations, particularly in the liquor segment [1][12] - The investment strategy focuses on identifying companies with strong performance resilience and growth potential across various sub-sectors, including liquor, beer, dairy, soft drinks, and snacks [12] Group 1: Liquor Industry - The liquor sector is currently experiencing a bottoming out phase, with low expectations, low holdings, and low valuations. The report suggests that the supply-demand imbalance is easing, and consumer spending is expected to gradually recover, making it a good time to invest in leading brands like Moutai and Wuliangye [1][27] - In Q3 2025, the liquor industry saw a revenue and profit decline of around 20%, with high-end and regional liquor experiencing significant drops in growth rates. The report indicates that the industry is in an adjustment phase, with companies becoming more pragmatic in their growth targets [27][39] - The report highlights a trend towards premiumization, with consumers increasingly favoring well-known brands and products, leading to a concentration of market share among top players [53][58] Group 2: Beer Industry - The beer sector is expected to maintain a structural growth trend, particularly for companies with strong single-product growth logic. The profitability of beer companies is on an upward trajectory, driven by the expansion of products priced between 8-10 yuan and improved operational efficiency [2] Group 3: Dairy Industry - The dairy sector is poised for a turnaround in the raw milk cycle in 2026, with expectations of recovering demand for raw milk as deep processing capacities come online. The report recommends investing in the dairy supply chain, as average milk prices are projected to rise above production costs [3][6] Group 4: Soft Drinks Industry - The soft drink sector is advised to focus on high-growth categories and capitalize on changes in competitive dynamics within the market. The report notes that functional beverages, particularly low-sugar options, are expected to gain traction, catering to the needs of health-conscious consumers [4] Group 5: Snack Industry - The snack segment is benefiting from new channel dynamics, with significant growth potential in bulk snack sales. The report highlights the strong performance of companies like Wancheng Group and suggests that products like konjac snacks have substantial market growth opportunities [5][20]

证券研究报告 | 2025年11月24日 携程集团-S（09961.HK） 优于大市 Q3 延续绩优表现，海外份额扩张蓄力中线空间 Q3 旺季收入增速环比平稳，主业利润增速环比改善。2025Q3 公司收入 183.4 亿元/+15.5%，好于彭博预期的 14.6%，环比上半年的 16%增速维持基本稳定； Non-GAAP 归母净利润 191.56 亿元/+221.2%，主要系出售 Makemytrip 带来其 他收益贡献；其中主业相关的经调整 EBITDA 为 63.5 亿元/+11.7%，环比提 速，好于彭博预期的+4.8%，对应利润率为 34.6%/-1.2pct。今年以来海外投 入及占比提升致利润率同比回落，但公司凭借优异执行力带来良好表现。 收入拆分：国内与出境自由行份额继续提升，海外 Trip.com 增势不减。 2025Q3 公司住宿预订收入 80.5 亿元/+18.3%，交通票务收入 63.1 亿元 /+11.6%，旅游度假收入 16.1 亿元/+3.1%，商旅管理收入 7.6 亿元/+15.2%， 其他收入 16.5 亿元/+33.9%。分区域看：1）估算 Q3 国内收入同比增长约 10%， ...