每经AI快讯，9月10日消息，美国8月PPI同比增长2.6%，预期增长3.3%。 ...

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 U.S. PPI comes in lower than expected.Actual: 2.6%Estimated: 3.3%Prior: 3.3%September rate cut confirmed. ✅ ...

U.S. August PPI YoY came in at 2.6%, the lowest since June, below expectations of 3.3% and down from the previous reading of 3.3%. ...

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US PPI falls to 2.6%, lower than expectations. ...

CPI Analysis - August CPI decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, lower than the expected -0.2%, marking a six-month low[1] - Food prices contributed to the CPI decline, with a year-on-year drop of 4.3%, impacting CPI by 0.8 percentage points[2] - Core CPI rose by 0.9% year-on-year, the highest in 18 months, indicating a continuous increase for six months[2] PPI Analysis - August PPI decreased by 2.9% year-on-year, an improvement from the previous -3.6%, aligning with expectations[3] - PPI ended an eight-month decline, with a month-on-month stabilization, reflecting seasonal averages[3] - The "anti-involution" effect led to price increases in coal, black metals, and glass industries, contributing to the PPI improvement[3] Future Outlook - September CPI is likely to remain negative, with an annual average around 0% due to ongoing pressures from energy and pork prices[5] - PPI is expected to continue narrowing its decline in September, but weak export prices and insufficient consumer demand will constrain recovery[5] - The overall economic environment suggests a cautious approach, with policies expected to support but not significantly boost growth in the short term[6]

RT Bloomberg em Português (@BBGEmPortugues)Mercado segue em compasso de espera pela conclusão do julgamento de Jair Bolsonaro, a um voto da condenação. Sessão começa com voto de Luiz Fux. IPCA e PPI nos EUA concentram atenções. Se inscreva para receber o conteúdo gratuito da nossa newsletter https://t.co/P2kNuvHMu8 ...

2025 年 09 月 10 日 宏观经济点评 宏 观 经 济 点 开 源 证 券 证 券 相关研究报告 PPI 同比增速回升或因输入性与地产链基数回落 《非美地区需求或仍锚定美国需求— 宏观经济点评》-2025.9.9 《国债买卖或重启，服务消费有望加 码—宏观周报》-2025.9.7 《 就业降温明显，但 50bp 降息尚需 通胀配合—美国 8 月非农就业数据点 评》-2025.9.6 何宁（分析师） 郭晓彬（分析师） | hening@kysec.cn | | | guoxiaobin@kysec.cn | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证书编号：S0790522110002 | | | 证书编号：S0790525070004 | | | 事件：8 月 | CPI | 同比-0.4%，预期-0.2%，前值 | 0%；PPI | 同比-2.9%，预期-2.9%， | 核心 CPI 环比连续五个月超季节性 8 月 CPI 同比较前值下降 0.4 个百分点至-0.4%；环比较前值下降 0.4 个百分点 至 0%。 1、鲜菜价格带动食品 CPI 环比回升 8 月 CPI ...

宏观动态报告 CPI 低位承压, PPI 低点已过 8 月物价数据解读 2025 年 9 月 10 日 提振消费政策叠加低价竞争治理效果渐显,交通工具价格连续两个月持 ● 平:7月下旬第三批补贴资金已经下发各地,部分地区的以旧换新逐步重启, 补贴方式也更加多元化,带动需求持续回暖,支撑交通工具环比在连续五个月 下行后连续两个月价格持平。8月中旬,两部委发布《关于加强智能网联新能 源汽车产品召回、生产一致性监督管理与规范宣传的通知(征求意见稿)》, 就新能源汽车商业宣传、事件事故报告等方面征求意见,综合整治反内卷政策 举措向更广泛无序竞争领域推进,汽车行业低价无序竞争效果渐显。其它项 中,通信工具价格本月由涨转跌至-0.1%,服装和中药价格环比分别下降 0.1% 和 0.3%;医疗服务和家用器具价格环比分别上涨 0.5%和 1.1%。 核心价格同比持续回升:8月份核心 CPI 同比上涨 0.9%,涨幅比上月扩大 ● 0.1 个百分点。其中，金饰品和铂金饰品价格同比分别上涨 36.7%和 29.8%, 分析师 张迪 合计影响 CPI 同比上涨约 0.22个百分点;家用器具和文娱耐用消费品价格同 比涨幅分别扩大至 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - In August 2025, China's CPI and PPI were flat month - on - month, with prices hovering at low levels. China's overall economic activity is in a moderate state, and the inflation level may continue to hover at a relatively low level for some time [4][14] Group 3: Summary of CPI - related Content CPI Year - on - Year Data - In August, the national consumer price index (CPI) decreased by 0.4% year - on - year, against a market expectation of a 0.2% decline and a previous value of flat. The average CPI from January to August was 0.1% lower than the same period last year. The year - on - year decline in CPI was mainly due to the higher comparison base in the same period last year and the fact that the food price increase in this month was lower than the seasonal level [2][5] - In August, food prices decreased by 4.3% year - on - year, with the decline 2.7 percentage points larger than last month, pulling down the CPI year - on - year by about 0.51 percentage points more than last month. Non - food prices rose by 0.5% year - on - year, up from 0.3% in July. Core CPI rose by 0.9% year - on - year, up from 0.8% in July, with the year - on - year increase expanding for four consecutive months. Consumer goods prices decreased by 1.0% year - on - year, compared with a 0.4% decline in July. Service prices rose by 0.6% year - on - year, up from 0.5% in July [2][5] CPI Month - on - Month Data - In August, CPI was flat month - on - month, compared with a 0.4% increase in the previous month. Food prices rose by 0.5% month - on - month, with the increase about 1.1 percentage points lower than the seasonal level. Non - food prices decreased by 0.1% month - on - month, compared with a 0.5% increase in the previous month. Consumer goods prices rose by 0.1% month - on - month, compared with a 0.2% increase in the previous month. Service prices were flat month - on - month, compared with a 0.6% increase in the previous month. Core CPI was flat month - on - month, compared with a 0.4% increase in July [2][6] CPI Classification Data - In August, food and tobacco prices rose by 0.3% month - on - month, contributing about 0.09 percentage points to the CPI increase. Housing prices were flat month - on - month. Transportation and communication prices decreased by 0.3% month - on - month. Medical care prices rose by 0.3% month - on - month. Education, culture and entertainment prices decreased by 0.1% month - on - month. Clothing prices decreased by 0.1% month - on - month. Daily necessities and services prices decreased by 0.1% month - on - month. Other goods and services were flat month - on - month [7] CPI Trend Prediction - Since August, the wholesale price of agricultural products has risen from the low level in July, but the upward slope is much lower than that in August last year. Agricultural prices are expected to drive the CPI to rise month - on - month in September. From a month - on - month perspective, refined oil prices in September are likely to pull down the CPI [9] Group 4: Summary of PPI - related Content PPI Year - on - Year Data - In August, the national producer price index for industrial products (PPI) decreased by 2.9% year - on - year, in line with market expectations and an improvement from a 3.6% decline in the previous month. The average PPI from January to August was 2.9% lower than the same period last year [3][10] - In August, producer prices for means of production decreased by 3.2% year - on - year, contributing about 2.4 percentage points to the overall decline in industrial producer prices. Producer prices for means of subsistence decreased by 1.7% year - on - year, contributing about 0.45 percentage points to the overall decline in industrial producer prices [3][10][11] PPI Month - on - Month Data - In August, PPI was flat month - on - month, ending seven consecutive months of month - on - month decline. Producer prices for means of production rose by 0.1% month - on - month, contributing about 0.08 percentage points to the overall increase in industrial producer prices. Producer prices for means of subsistence decreased by 0.1% month - on - month, contributing about 0.03 percentage points to the overall decline in industrial producer prices [3][11][12] PPI Industry - specific Data - Industries with large month - on - month price increases in August included coal mining and washing (up 2.8% month - on - month), ferrous metal ore mining (up 2.1% month - on - month), and ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing (up 1.9% month - on - month). Industries with large month - on - month price decreases included oil and gas extraction (down 1.1% month - on - month) and non - metallic mineral products (down 1.0% month - on - month). The automobile manufacturing industry saw a 0.3% month - on - month price decline for two consecutive months, indicating persistent price competition pressure [3][11][12] Group 5: Summary of Other Economic Indicators - In August, the manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) was 49.4%, remaining below the boom - bust line for the fifth consecutive month. The new orders index for the manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, indicating that the market demand in the manufacturing industry was still slightly weak. The service business activity index was 50.5%, and the new orders index for the service industry was 47.7% [4][14]

Inflation Data Summary - August CPI decreased by 0.4% year-on-year, lower than the previous value of 0% and market expectations of -0.2%[1] - Month-on-month CPI growth was 0%, down from 0.4% in July, primarily due to falling food prices[2] - August PPI recorded a year-on-year decline of 2.9%, an improvement from -3.6% in July, aligning with market expectations[5] Price Movement Insights - Food prices fell by 4.3% year-on-year in August, with significant declines in pork (16.1%), fresh vegetables (15.2%), and eggs (14.2%)[3] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.9% year-on-year, indicating a slight increase from the previous month[3] - Industrial producer purchase prices decreased by 4% year-on-year, showing a minor improvement from -4.5% in July[7] Market Outlook - The second half of the year may see a dual bull market in stocks and bonds, supported by potential easing in US-China trade relations and risk mitigation from "stabilizing" funds[1] - A-shares are expected to experience a structural market with alternating low-value dividends and technology growth[1] - The 10-year government bond yield is projected to decline to around 1.5% amid low probability of large-scale domestic demand stimulus[1]