Core Insights - The Growth ETF on the ChiNext board increased by 3.23%, with notable stock performances from companies like Feili Hua, Shenghong Technology, and Changshan Pharmaceutical, which saw gains exceeding 18% [1] - Since April 9, the ChiNext Growth ETF has shown a continuous upward trend, with a cumulative increase of nearly 38%, indicating a bullish market pattern [1] - Huajin Securities suggests that the slow bull market is continuing, with a stable growth style, supported by improving economic indicators such as manufacturing PMI and retail sales growth [1] Market Performance - The ChiNext Growth ETF (159967) tracks the Growth Index, selecting stocks with strong growth and active trading characteristics from the ChiNext board [1] - The ETF's performance is driven by a combination of growth and momentum factors, emphasizing the growth style of the ChiNext market [1] Economic Indicators - Current economic recovery trends are reflected in various indicators, including manufacturing PMI, retail sales growth, and export data, which demonstrate economic resilience [1] - The liquidity remains loose, with an increase in the scale of stock holdings through the Stock Connect program and continuous inflows into the growth sector from newly launched funds and financing [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - The convertible bond market continued its moderate upward trend during the week of August 4 - 9, 2025, with the price center approaching historical highs, the valuation structure further stretched, and trading activity remaining high. The repair momentum of both medium - low - priced and high - priced varieties increased, and there were improvements in both credit and elasticity preferences. Low - rated issuers frequently initiated downward revisions, concentrated in sectors such as power equipment, pharmaceutical biology, and automobiles. The equity market was dominated by the growth style, with continuous inflows of funds into the science - innovation and manufacturing sectors, and the cyclical and military sectors also performed prominently. The intensity of industry and style rotation increased significantly, and fluctuations might intensify due to short - term sentiment warming. It is recommended to evenly allocate high - quality medium - low - priced individual bonds, considering valuation safety, fundamental support, and liquidity, and appropriately capture event - driven and rotation repair opportunities [2][5]. - Downward revision events in the current convertible bond market are relatively concentrated in sectors such as power equipment, pharmaceutical biology, and automobiles, and some industries like the electronics industry have a relatively high PB during downward revisions. The overall credit ratings of companies initiating downward revisions are relatively low, with AA - grade having the highest proportion, followed by AA and A + grades, indicating relatively prominent conversion pressure for medium - and low - rated issuers. Downward revisions mostly occur during market upswings or after sharp rebounds, suggesting that companies tend to adjust terms when stock prices are relatively supported. The market price and premium rate at the time of downward revision are generally in the medium - to - high range, and the subsequent market reaction is generally positive, with some sectors performing significantly better in the week after the downward revision. It is advisable to pay attention to the impact of the motivation and timing of downward revisions on trading strategies and explore opportunities with underlying stock support and valuation repair potential [9]. - The A - share market's major indices continued to strengthen during the week, with small - and medium - cap science - innovation stocks being active. The Growth style dominated, with the STAR 50 and CSI 2000 leading the gains. Although the marginal improvement in investors' risk appetite was observed, the net outflow of institutional funds continued, mainly due to profit - taking behaviors such as portfolio rebalancing. In terms of industries, the cyclical and military sectors led the gains, with non - ferrous metals, machinery, and textile and apparel among the top performers. The consumer sector was fragmented, with textile and apparel and home appliances recovering, while commercial retail was weak. The trading volume distribution showed that the electronics, pharmaceutical biology, and machinery sectors were the most active. Overall, market hotspots were concentrated in high - elasticity and policy - driven areas. It is recommended to focus on high - elasticity sectors such as military and machinery while moderately and evenly allocating to less - crowded and stable sectors, balancing flexibility and risk control [9]. - The convertible bond market continued its upward trend, with small - cap bonds outperforming large - cap ones, and the market's risk appetite recovered. In terms of the valuation structure, the repair momentum was strong in the medium - low - priced and high - priced ranges, while the core medium - priced range faced pressure and declined. Low - priced bonds were supported by credit improvement, and high - priced bonds stabilized due to elasticity - driven trading. The implied volatility fluctuated at a high level, indicating a strong market expectation of future fluctuations. In terms of sectors, cyclical sectors such as machinery, non - ferrous metals, and national defense and military led the gains, and the pharmaceutical biology and basic chemical sectors had a high concentration of funds. Most of the top - performing individual bonds were driven by the strength of their underlying stocks, featuring high elasticity and medium - to - long - term durations. It is generally recommended to maintain a balanced allocation between high - growth and fundamentally stable sectors and be vigilant against short - term fluctuations in highly - crowded sectors [9]. - The primary market supply of convertible bonds was stable during the week, with one new bond available for subscription and seven companies updating their issuance plans, indicating continued active progress. In terms of terms, 27 bonds announced that they were expected to trigger downward revisions, 7 announced no downward revisions, and 1 proposed a downward revision. On the redemption side, 10 bonds were expected to trigger redemption, 3 announced no early redemption, and 7 announced early redemption. Overall, the primary supply continued to be released, and events related to terms and redemptions were frequent, with continued speculative sentiment. It is recommended to pay attention to the impact of these events on pricing and trading opportunities [9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Characteristics of Convertible Bonds with Downward Revisions - By industry, from January to July 2025, the power equipment industry had the most downward revisions, with 8 convertible bonds announcing downward revisions, followed by the pharmaceutical biology and automobile industries, each with 5 convertible bonds announcing downward revisions. Among the industries with downward revisions, the electronics industry had the highest arithmetic average PB, with 4 convertible bonds announcing downward revisions and an arithmetic average PB of 3.6, followed by the petroleum and petrochemical and computer industries, with 1 and 2 convertible bonds announcing downward revisions respectively, and arithmetic average PBs of 3.5 and 3.3 respectively [17]. - The overall credit ratings of companies initiating downward revisions are relatively low. By credit rating distribution, among companies initiating downward revisions from January to July 2025, AA - grade convertible bonds accounted for the highest proportion, with 15 downward revisions, accounting for 30.6%, followed by AA and A + grades [19]. - In terms of market timing, downward revisions mostly occur during market upswings or after sharp rebounds, reflecting that companies tend to adjust terms when stock prices are relatively supported. When downward revisions occur, the market price and premium rate are generally in the medium - to - high range, and the subsequent market reaction is generally positive, with the automobile sector's convertible bonds having an average increase of 10.1% in the week after the downward revision, followed by the pharmaceutical biology sector with an average increase of 7.1% [9][21]. 3.2 Weekly Market Theme Review 3.2.1 Equity Market Theme Review - During the week of August 4 - 9, 2025, the trading themes in the equity market were active, with the military and high - end manufacturing themes leading the gains. The consecutive limit - up index led all themes, with a weekly increase of 17.8%. The trading themes such as the daily limit index, the first - board non - ST index, and the first - board index all had weekly increases of over 13%, indicating that short - term funds' attention to trend - following trading continued to increase. The high - end manufacturing and military sectors performed well, with the liquid - cooled server index and the general machinery selected index rising by 9.0% and 8.1% respectively, and the satellite navigation index and the satellite Internet index rising by 6.8% and 6.4% respectively. The science and technology sector continued to show a differentiated pattern, with the robot industry chain recovering strongly, while the optical module (CPO) index and the circuit board index declined. The pharmaceutical sector declined, with the innovative drug index and the weight - loss drug index falling by 2.2% and 2.8% respectively. In terms of fund flow, the weekly trading volumes of the first - board index and the daily limit index both exceeded 30 billion yuan, indicating increased activity of short - term funds. Overall, market sentiment continued to strengthen, and short - term funds shifted to high - elasticity sectors such as the military and high - end manufacturing, mainly driven by themes. At the same time, it is necessary to guard against the risk of valuation convergence in high - valuation sectors [28]. 3.2.2 Convertible Bond Market Review - During the week of August 4 - 9, 2025, the convertible bond market continued to be strong, with small - cap bonds leading the gains and large - cap bonds performing relatively weakly. The valuation structure was significantly differentiated, with significant repairs in the medium - low - priced and high - priced ranges and pressure on the core medium - priced range, reflecting that speculative funds were becoming more cautious at high levels. The implied volatility fluctuated at a high level, indicating a strong market expectation of future fluctuations. At the industry level, cyclical sectors such as machinery and non - ferrous metals led the gains, and the trading volume of the pharmaceutical biology and basic chemical sectors accounted for a relatively high proportion. The consumer sector showed increased differentiation. In terms of individual bonds, high - elasticity and medium - to - long - term duration bonds were driven by their underlying stocks and performed prominently, with a significant resonance between themes and cyclical factors. It is recommended to focus on high - quality individual bonds with strong valuation repair momentum, fundamental support, and underlying stock catalysts [32]. 3.3 Weekly Market Tracking 3.3.1 Major Indices and Sector Performance - During the week of August 4 - 9, 2025, the A - share market's major indices recovered. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 2.1% week - on - week, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.2%, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.5%. Small - and medium - cap science - innovation stocks performed well, with the STAR 50 Index leading the gains, rising 3.5% week - on - week, the CSI 2000 Index rising 1.8%, the CSI 500 Index rising 0.7%, and the SSE 300 Index rising 1.2%. The net outflow of institutional funds continued, but the pressure eased. The average daily trading volume of the whole market was about 1.7 trillion yuan, a week - on - week decrease of 0.1 billion yuan. The net outflow of institutional funds increased from 3.87 billion yuan on Monday to 12.52 billion yuan on Tuesday, then decreased slightly to 11.05 billion yuan on Wednesday, and then increased significantly again, reaching 34.92 billion yuan on Friday, possibly indicating short - term profit - taking behaviors. The average daily net outflow of institutional funds during the week was 17.82 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.32 billion yuan compared with the previous week, indicating a warming market sentiment [33]. - The A - share market continued its structural differentiation pattern during the week, with cyclical and military sectors performing strongly. The non - ferrous metals sector led the gains among Shenwan primary industries, rising 5.7% week - on - week, followed by the machinery and textile and apparel sectors, rising 5.4% and 4.6% respectively, and the national defense and military sector rising 4.4%. The consumer sector was fragmented, with the textile and apparel sector rising strongly, the home appliance sector showing signs of recovery, rising 2.9%, and the commercial retail sector performing weakly, falling 0.9%. Cyclical sectors generally recovered, with the coal, light manufacturing, and basic chemical sectors rising 3.2%, 3.2%, and 2.3% respectively. Overall, market funds were concentrated in cyclical and military sectors. It is recommended to focus on high - elasticity and policy - favored varieties, while also considering cyclical sectors and guarding against structural risks. In terms of trading volume, the electronics sector had the highest average daily trading volume of 220.78 billion yuan, a week - on - week decrease of 11.13 billion yuan, accounting for 13.2% of the market. The pharmaceutical biology sector had an average daily trading volume of 164.82 billion yuan, a week - on - week decrease of 29.78 billion yuan, accounting for 9.9%. The machinery sector's average daily trading volume was 159.71 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 33.52 billion yuan, accounting for 9.6%. The non - bank financial sector had a significant outflow of funds, with its average daily trading volume decreasing by 30.55 billion yuan week - on - week [39][40]. 3.3.2 Convertible Bond Market Performance - The convertible bond market performed actively during the week of August 4 - 9, 2025, with all major indices rising. Small - cap bonds led the gains, with the Wind Small - Cap Convertible Bond Index rising 2.8%, the mid - cap index rising 2.4%, and the large - cap index rising 1.7%. The market continued its upward trend, and investors' risk appetite increased. The trading activity of the convertible bond market recovered, with the average daily trading volume reaching about 89.8 billion yuan, a week - on - week increase of 7.36 billion yuan, but the overall sentiment of funds tended to stabilize. Currently, there is a resonance between themes and small - cap convertible bonds in the market, and the fund allocation has shifted [49]. - When divided by the parity range, the overall valuation of the convertible bond market has stretched. In the parity range below 90 yuan, the valuation has generally stretched, with the premium rate in the range below 80 yuan stretching by 2.80% and the 80 - 90 yuan range stretching by 1.41%. In the 90 - 100 yuan parity range, the 90 - 100 yuan range stretched by 1.82%, and the 100 - 110 yuan range stretched by 1.62%. In the medium - to - high parity range, the valuation was slightly differentiated, with the premium rate in the 110 - 120 yuan range stretching by 2.29%, the 120 - 130 yuan range stretching by 2.07%, and the range above 130 yuan compressing by 0.35%. Overall, the valuation of each range divided by the parity range has mainly stretched, mainly due to the "asset shortage" in the convertible bond market, where the short - term elasticity of convertible bonds may be greater than that of underlying stocks [51]. - When divided by the market price range, the valuation of convertible bonds continued to show a differentiated pattern, with a structural adjustment overall. The valuation in the range below 90 yuan compressed by 1.41%, the 90 - 100 yuan range slightly stretched by 4.36%, the 100 - 110 yuan range's premium rate significantly compressed by 17.84%, the 110 - 120 yuan range stretched by 4.20%, the 120 - 130 yuan range stretched by 7.74%, and the range above 130 yuan stretched by 3.16%. Overall, the valuation of medium - low - priced individual bonds in the 90 - 100 yuan range and high - priced individual bonds above 110 yuan strengthened significantly, while the valuation of the core 100 - 110 yuan range deeply corrected, and low - priced bonds below 90 yuan were also under pressure [53]. - The weighted implied volatility of the convertible bond market's balance fluctuated downward during the week, and the market sentiment became more cautious. The weighted implied volatility of the whole - market convertible bond balance rose from 26.4% on Monday to 27.8% on Wednesday and then declined, closing at 27.1% on Friday, an increase of about 2.1 pct compared with the previous Friday. From a historical percentile perspective, the implied volatility continued to be at the upper end of the 25% - 75% historical percentile range. Considering the 90 - day rolling average and the ± 1.5 - times standard deviation fluctuation range, the current implied volatility continued to operate outside the upper boundary of the channel, indicating an increased market expectation of future fluctuations in convertible bonds [54]. - The median price of convertible bonds fluctuated upward during the week, rising from 125.6 yuan last Friday to 128.6 yuan, a week - on - week increase of 2.3%. The convertible bond market showed signs of recovery, and the median price of convertible bonds was still higher than the 75% historical percentile, indicating that the market trading sentiment remained at a relatively high level, but the risk appetite was marginally shrinking [55]. - The convertible bond market's performance by sector was generally strong, and the concentration of funds increased slightly. Among 27 industries, the machinery sector led the gains, rising 5.7%, followed by the non - ferrous metals and national defense and military sectors, rising 4.2% and 4.1% respectively, and the beauty care and computer sectors also performed strongly, rising 4.0%. The consumer sector was relatively weak, with the commercial retail and food and beverage sectors rising 1.5% and 1.3% respectively. In terms of funds, there was a high degree of concentration, with the pharmaceutical biology sector having the highest average daily trading volume of 57.15 billion yuan, accounting for 12.8%, followed by the basic chemical and machinery sectors, accounting for 11.5% and 8.6% respectively. The three sectors together accounted for 32.9% of the trading volume, a slight decrease in concentration compared with the previous week. The machinery and non - ferrous metals sectors led the gains, indicating a slight shift in investors' risk appetite, while the pharmaceutical biology and basic chemical sectors still attracted a relatively high amount of funds. The consumer sector showed a more obvious differentiation pattern, with the beauty care sector performing well and the commercial retail sector performing weakly [57][60]. - Individual convertible bonds generally strengthened during the week, with technology and cyclical sectors performing well. Among them, 431 convertible bonds had a week - on - week increase of 0 or more, accounting for 93.1% of the total number of outstanding convertible bonds in the market. The top five convertible bonds in terms of week - on - week increase during the conversion period were Dongjie Convertible Bond (machinery, 39.6%), Jiaojian Convertible Bond (construction and decoration, 23.3%), Julong Convertible Bond (basic chemicals, 19.3%), Gaoce Convertible Bond (power equipment, 18.3%), and Borui Convertible Bond (pharmaceutical biology, 17.7%), with conversion premium rates of 3.5%, 17.9%, 5.9%, 0

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - The outlook for stock index futures is "oscillating with a bullish bias", for stock index options is "oscillating", and for treasury bond futures is "oscillating with a bearish bias" [6][7] 2. Core Views of the Report - Stock index futures present expanding growth opportunities, with a suggestion to over - allocate small - cap growth styles and hold IM. Stock index options should adopt an offensive strategy, switching to a bull spread portfolio. Treasury bond futures remain under pressure and require caution [6][7][9] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Views 3.1.1 Stock Index Futures - The basis of IF, IH, IC, IM's current - month contracts are - 6.51 points, - 1.50 points, - 23.56 points, - 18.34 points respectively, with a month - on - month change of 1.66 points, 2.68 points, 0.54 points, 9.59 points. The spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts of IF, IH, IC, IM are 11.2 points, - 1.0 point, 69.4 points, 74.4 points respectively, with a month - on - month change of - 2.4 points, - 0.6 point, - 3.0 points, - 0.8 point. The total positions of IF, IH, IC, IM change by 14212 lots, 6800 lots, 9202 lots, 25544 lots. - The market remained strong on Monday, with the ChiNext Index and the Science and Technology Innovation 100 Index rising nearly 2%. The market volume approached 1.9 trillion. The new energy and computer sectors led the gains. The market focus is on the growth area, showing signs of partial spread, and the trend of capital reallocation is clear. It is recommended to over - allocate small - cap growth styles, and IM is preferred among stock index futures. Potential observation windows are the earnings season in August and the parade in early September [6] 3.1.2 Stock Index Options - The market turnover increased by 40.41%, and the PCR of the CSI 1000 stock index option positions increased by 6.15%. The implied volatility of the CSI 1000 stock index option increased significantly. The market trading sentiment is active, and call options are entering the market. It is recommended to switch to a bull spread portfolio [6] 3.1.3 Treasury Bond Futures - The trading volume of T, TF, TS, TL's current - quarter contracts are 76606 lots, 56309 lots, 34103 lots, 111356 lots respectively, with a one - day change of 17352 lots, 7436 lots, 7715 lots, 22612 lots. The positions are 157180 lots, 108276 lots, 78794 lots, 92576 lots respectively, with a one - day change of - 8769 lots, - 3629 lots, - 3287 lots, - 1193 lots. The spreads between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts of T, TF, TS, TL are 0.105 yuan, - 0.045 yuan, - 0.038 yuan, 0.430 yuan respectively, with a one - day change of 0, 0.010 yuan, 0.014 yuan, 0.060 yuan. The cross - variety spreads of TF*2 - T, TS*2 - TF, TS*4 - T, T*3 - TL's current - quarter contracts are 102.975 yuan, 98.993 yuan, 300.961 yuan, 206.885 yuan respectively, with a one - day change of - 0.065 yuan, 0.065 yuan, 0.065 yuan, 0.285 yuan. The basis of T, TF, TS, TL's current - quarter contracts are 0.001 yuan, 0.020 yuan, 0.019 yuan, 0.150 yuan respectively, with a one - day change of - 0.039 yuan, - 0.033 yuan, 0.002 yuan, - 0.063 yuan. - The central bank conducted 1120 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchases, with 5448 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing. Treasury bond futures closed down across the board. The rise in risk appetite and the strengthening of commodities may pressure the bond market. The tightening of the capital market also had a negative impact on the bond market. Although the bond market has shown some recovery, the bullish sentiment is unstable, and policy factors may cause significant disturbances. Trend strategy: be cautiously bearish. Hedging strategy: focus on short - hedging at low basis levels. Basis strategy: the arbitrage space of the main contracts may be limited. Curve strategy: focus on steepening the yield curve [7][8][9] 3.2 Economic Calendar - The calendar includes economic indicators such as China's July M2 money supply annual rate, new RMB loans from the beginning of the year to July, and social financing scale from the beginning of the year to July, as well as the US July CPI annual rate and PPI annual rate, and China's July total retail sales of consumer goods annual rate [10] 3.3 Important Information and News Tracking - In the field of artificial intelligence and agriculture, a research team proposed the concept of crop - robot collaborative design, developed an intelligent breeding robot, and established an "intelligent robot breeding factory", which is expected to break through the bottleneck of soybean hybrid breeding. - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration solicited public opinions on the implementation regulations of the Value - Added Tax Law. - The Central Government Bond Registration and Clearing Co., Ltd. simplified the investment process for overseas central bank - type institutions. - Hangzhou solicited public opinions on a draft regulation to promote the development of the embodied intelligent robot industry, including infrastructure planning, core technology direction, and platform construction [11][12][13]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Value Smart Beta Portfolio - **Model Construction Idea**: The Value Smart Beta Portfolio is constructed based on the goal of achieving high beta elasticity and long-term stable excess returns, focusing on the value style[7] - **Model Construction Process**: - The portfolio includes two variations: the "Value 50 Portfolio" and the "Value Balanced 50 Portfolio" - The "Value 50 Portfolio" is designed to capture the value factor, while the "Value Balanced 50 Portfolio" aims to balance the exposure to the value factor with reduced risk through diversification[7] - **Model Evaluation**: The Value Balanced 50 Portfolio demonstrated superior performance compared to the Value 50 Portfolio, with higher weekly and monthly returns, indicating better risk-adjusted returns[4][8] 2. Model Name: Growth Smart Beta Portfolio - **Model Construction Idea**: The Growth Smart Beta Portfolio is constructed to capture the growth style, targeting high beta elasticity and stable excess returns over the long term[7] - **Model Construction Process**: - The portfolio includes two variations: the "Growth 50 Portfolio" and the "Growth Balanced 50 Portfolio" - The "Growth 50 Portfolio" focuses on growth factor exposure, while the "Growth Balanced 50 Portfolio" balances growth exposure with diversification to reduce risk[7] - **Model Evaluation**: The Growth Balanced 50 Portfolio outperformed the Growth 50 Portfolio in terms of weekly and annual returns, suggesting better performance under the balanced approach[4][8] 3. Model Name: Small-Cap Smart Beta Portfolio - **Model Construction Idea**: The Small-Cap Smart Beta Portfolio is designed to capture the small-cap style, emphasizing high beta elasticity and long-term stable excess returns[7] - **Model Construction Process**: - The portfolio includes two variations: the "Small-Cap 50 Portfolio" and the "Small-Cap Balanced 50 Portfolio" - The "Small-Cap 50 Portfolio" targets small-cap factor exposure, while the "Small-Cap Balanced 50 Portfolio" balances small-cap exposure with diversification to mitigate risk[7] - **Model Evaluation**: The Small-Cap Balanced 50 Portfolio achieved the highest returns among all portfolios, demonstrating the effectiveness of the balanced approach in capturing small-cap factor returns[4][8] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Value Smart Beta Portfolio - **Value 50 Portfolio**: - Weekly Return: 2.19% - Monthly Return: 2.40% - Annual Return: 14.90% - Excess Return (Annual): 9.41% - Maximum Relative Drawdown: 2.35%[8] - **Value Balanced 50 Portfolio**: - Weekly Return: 3.14% - Monthly Return: 3.64% - Annual Return: 13.62% - Excess Return (Annual): 8.13% - Maximum Relative Drawdown: 3.99%[8] 2. Growth Smart Beta Portfolio - **Growth 50 Portfolio**: - Weekly Return: 1.67% - Monthly Return: 0.95% - Annual Return: 6.11% - Excess Return (Annual): 2.48% - Maximum Relative Drawdown: 3.61%[8] - **Growth Balanced 50 Portfolio**: - Weekly Return: 2.16% - Monthly Return: 2.22% - Annual Return: 10.54% - Excess Return (Annual): 6.91% - Maximum Relative Drawdown: 6.11%[8] 3. Small-Cap Smart Beta Portfolio - **Small-Cap 50 Portfolio**: - Weekly Return: 3.34% - Monthly Return: 4.45% - Annual Return: 41.08% - Excess Return (Annual): 21.26% - Maximum Relative Drawdown: 6.23%[8] - **Small-Cap Balanced 50 Portfolio**: - Weekly Return: 3.85% - Monthly Return: 4.49% - Annual Return: 31.48% - Excess Return (Annual): 11.66% - Maximum Relative Drawdown: 4.56%[8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of the A-share market, highlighting the strong growth of small and medium-sized stocks, particularly in the growth style, while value stocks have shown weakness. It emphasizes the potential investment opportunities arising from the different performance of various styles and sectors. Group 1: Market Performance - The market continues to rise, closing at a rating of 4.6 stars [1][47] - All market caps, including large, medium, and small stocks, have experienced an increase [2][3] - Growth style stocks, especially those in the ChiNext, have shown significant gains [4][5] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The divergence in performance among different styles creates good investment opportunities [7] - Despite the index not rising much for certain dividend, value, and consumer stocks, their earnings continue to grow [8] - Some of these stocks are now valued lower than at the beginning of the year [9] Group 3: ChiNext Index Analysis - The ChiNext index was undervalued for a long time in early 2024 [13] - It reached its lowest valuation during the bear market in May last year [14] - The index surged over 60% in two weeks from 1520 points to 2576 points [15] - Currently, the ChiNext index is at 2384 points, which is still below its peak from last October [19] Group 4: Historical Valuation Context - The ChiNext index has previously experienced a bubble, with a peak P/E ratio exceeding 130 during 2014-2015 [22][23] - The current average market cap of the ChiNext has increased, leading to a lower valuation center compared to past bubbles [31][33] - Historical high valuations from 2015-2016 are unlikely to be repeated due to stricter regulations on leverage and changes in market composition [25][28][38] Group 5: Investment Strategy - The article introduces a new investment product, the "Monthly Salary Treasure" combination, with a lowered minimum investment threshold of 200 yuan and a regular investment feature [43][45] - This product aims to meet the cash flow needs of investors, suitable for long-term holding during favorable market conditions [46] Group 6: Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior - Investors often redeem during market rebounds, missing out on further gains, which is likened to a missed opportunity at dawn [51]

Group 1: Core Insights - The report introduces a quantitative model solution for addressing the value-growth style switching issue based on odds and win rates [1][8] - The recent performance shows that the growth style portfolio achieved a return of 2.54%, while the value style portfolio returned 2.24% [1][8] Group 2: Odds - The relative valuation levels of market styles are key factors influencing expected odds, which are negatively correlated [2][14] - The current estimated odds for the growth style is 1.11, while for the value style it is 1.09 [2][14] Group 3: Win Rates - Among seven win rate indicators, four point to growth and three to value, resulting in a current win rate of 53.87% for growth and 46.13% for value [3][16] Group 4: Investment Expectations and Strategy Returns - The investment expectation for the growth style is calculated at 0.14, while for the value style it is -0.04, leading to a recommendation for the growth style [4][18] - Since 2013, the annualized return of the style rotation model based on investment expectations is 27.62%, with a Sharpe ratio of 1.02 [4][19]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the importance of understanding different stock indices, particularly the Shanghai Composite Index and the Shenzhen Composite Index, for making informed investment decisions in the Chinese stock market [5][9]. Group 1: Index Characteristics - The Shanghai Composite Index includes only stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, while the Shenzhen Composite Index includes stocks from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and the ChiNext board [5][9]. - Historically, from 2019 to 2021, the Shenzhen stocks experienced greater price increases compared to Shanghai stocks, indicating a disparity in performance during bull markets [5][6]. - The Shanghai stocks tend to have more value-oriented characteristics, resulting in smaller price fluctuations during both bull and bear markets [6][7]. Group 2: Market Performance - The overall performance of the A-share market is better assessed by looking at both the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices, as they each represent about half of the A-share market [9]. - The CSI All Share Index, which includes all listed companies from both exchanges, saw an approximate 80% increase from 2019 to 2021, reaching over 6000 points at its peak [10].

Core Viewpoint - The article provides an update on the second quarter reports of various fund managers, highlighting their investment styles, strategies, and market outlooks for 2025. Group 1: Fund Manager Perspectives - Fund managers present two main contents in their quarterly reports: a review of past investments and future market outlooks [3][9] - Different fund managers have varying attitudes towards market conditions, influenced by their investment styles [5][6] Group 2: Investment Styles - **Deep Value Style**: Focuses on low valuation metrics such as low P/E and P/B ratios, investing primarily in financials, real estate, and energy sectors. Returns are derived from both earnings growth and valuation recovery [8][9] - **Growth Value Style**: Emphasizes companies with strong profitability and cash flow, often holding stocks for the long term. This style is represented by well-known managers like Zhang Kun [14] - **Balanced Style**: Combines growth potential and valuation, seeking investments that are both good and cheap, often utilizing metrics like PEG [30][31] Group 3: Performance Insights - The performance of deep value funds has varied over the years, with notable periods of outperformance and underperformance [11] - Fund managers express concerns over market volatility and the impact of economic conditions on stock prices, indicating a cautious approach to investment [12][19] Group 4: Sector Allocations - Fund managers are adjusting their portfolios based on market conditions, with a focus on sectors like technology, healthcare, and consumer goods, while being cautious about sectors facing headwinds [17][20][22] - There is a notable interest in AI and innovative sectors, with many managers increasing their allocations to these areas in anticipation of future growth [37][59] Group 5: Economic Outlook - Fund managers maintain a generally optimistic view on the long-term growth potential of the Chinese economy, despite short-term challenges [19][60] - The expectation of a recovery in domestic demand and the potential for significant investment opportunities in emerging sectors are highlighted as key themes for the upcoming quarters [68][69]

Core Viewpoint - Active funds have significantly outperformed the market this year, with a year-to-date return of 13.94% for mixed equity funds, compared to 8.28% for passive index funds and only 3.05% for the CSI 300 index [3]. Group 1: Performance Comparison - As of August 1, the mixed equity fund index has a year-to-date return of 13.94%, which is substantially higher than the passive index fund index at 8.28% and the CSI 300 index at 3.05% [3]. - The performance of various indices shows that the CSI 500 index has a year-to-date return of 8.51%, while the ChiNext index has 8.45% [4]. Group 2: Factors Driving Active Fund Performance - The resurgence of active funds is attributed to multiple factors, including the dominance of growth styles, contributions from Hong Kong stock allocations, and the performance of small-cap strategies [5]. - Growth style has become the leading force in the market, supported by government policies favoring emerging industries, particularly in technology [7][8]. - Active equity funds have increased their allocation to Hong Kong stocks, reaching a historical peak with a market value of 437.9 billion yuan, up 6.5% from the previous quarter [11][12]. Group 3: Small-Cap Strategies - The micro-cap stock index has seen a year-to-date increase of 51%, with the North Stock 50 and CSI 2000 indices also showing significant gains of 36.79% and 20.99%, respectively [15]. Group 4: Historical Performance of Active Funds - Historical data indicates that active funds tend to outperform passive index funds in years of market uptrends, with notable years being 2015, 2017, 2019, 2020, and 2021 [17]. - In contrast, during market downturns, such as in 2016, 2018, 2022, and 2023, active funds have consistently underperformed [18]. - Despite recent underperformance in bear markets, active funds are expected to leverage their advantages in bull markets, potentially leading to long-term outperformance against index funds [20].

在加仓成长类资产的同时，多个投顾组合借道港股基金捕捉港股市场投资机会。7月29日，工银瑞信指数PLUS策 略组合将天弘恒生科技指数C新增到投资组合中。工银瑞信基金投顾指出，"我们本次调仓增加了恒生科技的配 置，作为看好港股和成长风格的进攻品种。" 而嘉实财富权益甄选组合也于近期增加了对成长风格产品的配置。7月21日，该组合增持广发中小盘精选混合C、 招商中证800指数增强A等产品。嘉实投顾团队称，组合在风格均衡基础上，小幅增加相对低位的成长方向，同时 对同风格基金内部做优化，调出管理人有变动的基金。此外，7月底，工银瑞信指数PLUS策略组合加仓工银创新 动力股票、嘉实互融精选股票C等成长风格产品。 【环球网财经综合报道】随着股市回暖，多个基金投顾组合于近期密集调仓，其中成长风格基金受到青睐。 进一步来讲，8月4日，富国满天星追求收益组合展开调整，加仓华夏价值精选混合、富国稳健增长混合A、金鹰 科技创新股票C等基金，同时减持前海开源金银珠宝混合C、宝盈消费主题混合等基金。此次调仓旨在加仓成长风 格产品以增加组合锐度。 再者，7月28日，银华天玑 - 奔跑狮子座组合大幅增持摩根标普港股通低波红利指数A，持仓比例从 ...