Core Viewpoint - The domestic pig market is experiencing fluctuations, with prices showing a recent rebound after a period of decline, but overall demand remains weak, leading to concerns about future price stability [1][3][5] Group 1: Market Trends - As of June 23, the main contract for live pig futures reached 13,975 yuan/ton, up nearly 5% from the low of 13,350 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month [1] - The overall price of live pigs has been on a downward trend since the third quarter of 2024, currently at relatively low levels [1] - The average price of live pigs nationwide rose to 14.22 yuan/kg by June 20, following a drop to 13.94 yuan/kg on June 9 [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The demand for live pigs has weakened, leading to an oversupply situation that has caused prices to drop significantly [1][3] - The average trading price for 7 kg piglets in Hunan fell to 460 yuan/head by June 19, a decrease of 85 yuan/head or 15.6% since early May [2] - The increase in feed costs, particularly for corn and soybean meal, has further pressured the profitability of pig farming [3] Group 3: Profitability and Cost Analysis - As of June 19, the average profit for self-breeding pigs was 137.93 yuan/head, down 66.12 yuan/head from early April, while the profit for piglets was 153.42 yuan/head, down 151.05 yuan/head [3] - The average feed cost for self-breeding pigs was 934.88 yuan, and for piglet fattening, it was 889.94 yuan, both showing increases from early April [3] Group 4: Slaughtering Trends - The daily slaughter volume for sample enterprises remained stable, with a range between 165,000 to 186,000 heads, influenced by increased supply and the profitability of fresh meat segmentation [4] - The average gross profit per head for slaughtering was 28.56 yuan, up 222.38% compared to the same period last year [4] Group 5: Future Outlook - The market is expected to face continued downward pressure on prices due to increased slaughtering rates and weak demand, although there are signs of improved market sentiment [5] - The third quarter may see a seasonal decline in pig stocks, potentially supporting higher average prices compared to the second quarter [4]

晨报 成材 成文时间： 2025 年 6 月 23 日 成材：市场变化有限 钢价低位运行 整理 投资咨询业务资格： 负责人：赵 毅 从业资格号：F3059924 投资咨询号：Z0002978 电话：010-62688526 成 材：武秋婷 从业资格号：F3078638 投资咨询号：Z0018248 电话：010-62688555 原材料：程 鹏 从业资格号：F3038114 投资咨询号：Z0014834 电话：010-62688541 原材料： 冯艳成 从业资格号：F3059529 投资咨询号：Z0018932 电话：010-62688516 有色金属：于梦雪 从业资格号：F03127144 投资咨询号：Z0020161 电话：021-20857653 逻辑：澳大利亚反倾销委员会 6 月 19 日公告，对华热轧钢卷反倾销 调查的基本事实报告延期至2025年12月10日前完成，终裁报告将于2026 年 2 月 25 日前提交部长。从有关部门获悉，消费品以旧换新加力扩围政 策没有变化，补贴资金使用进度符合预期，第三、四季度中央资金将陆续 下达。上周，247 家钢厂高炉炼铁产能利用率 90.79%，环比上周增加 0 ...

Company Overview - The company is a leading domestic wind turbine manufacturer, benefiting from the rising volume and price of onshore wind power in China, along with the growth of overseas and offshore business, with an expected CAGR of 42% for net profit from 2025 to 2027 [1][2] - As of Q1 2025, the company has a steady order backlog of 43.4 GW, representing an 81% year-on-year increase, supporting high wind turbine shipment levels from 2025 to 2027 [2] Industry Insights - The domestic wind power installation market is experiencing high demand, with a 97% year-on-year increase in onshore wind bidding volume in 2024, supporting a forecast of 100 GW and 12 GW of new installations for onshore and offshore wind respectively in 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 23% and 114% [1] - Internationally, countries are increasing policy support for wind power, with a projected CAGR of 16.7% for new installations from 2025 to 2030 according to GWEC [1] Profitability and Financial Projections - The company is expected to improve profitability through cost reduction strategies, including wind turbine structure optimization and self-supply of blades, with projected gross profit margins for wind turbine business of 7.3%, 8.4%, and 9.4% from 2025 to 2027 [2] - Forecasted net profits for the company are 680 million, 1.02 billion, and 1.33 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 47.3%, 48.5%, and 31.0% [4] Market Position and Valuation - The company is positioned to benefit from the recovery of onshore wind profitability and the high profitability of offshore and overseas businesses, with a target price of 13.05 yuan based on a 15x PE for 2025 [1][4]

铁矿周报 2025 年 6 月 23 日 需求小幅回升 铁矿震荡走势 核心观点及策略 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0297587 投资咨询号：Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0307990 投资咨询号：Z0011692 高慧 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F03099478 投资咨询号：Z0017785 王工建 wang.gj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F3084165 投资咨询号：Z0016301 赵凯熙 zhao.kx@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F03112296 投资咨询号：Z0021040 | 合约 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅% | 总成交量/手 | 总持仓量/手 | 价格单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SHFE 螺纹钢 | 2992 | 23 | 0.77 | 7142023 | 3003707 | 元/吨 | | SHFE 热卷 | 3 ...

调研报告—锌 天津镀锌调研：一叶知秋，韧荷犹立 [★Ta关bl键e_调Su研mm结a论ry]和分析 1）早前需求尚有韧性，彩涂订单表现亮眼。年初至今，彩涂订 单内需和外贸均表现强劲，镀锌板尚有支撑，镀锌管逐月走弱； 锌铝镁合金 5 月底起迅速下滑。终端方面，基建相关灯杆护栏、 铁塔等订单未有明显增量，淡季下建筑拖累更为显著，家电订单 逐月环比下降，光伏抢装后订单显著下滑。镀锌下游抢出口的主 因是买单出口和反倾销，而非美国关税；巴西近日已在对国内进 行镀锌反倾销调查，后续落地时点有提前可能。 有 色 金 属 2）镀锌需求正式走弱，旺季前或难有起色。天津镀锌需求已开 始明显走弱，中小厂是减量主要来源，大厂仍会尽力维持产线运 行，后续刚需仍有托底。大部分厂商维持偏弱的需求预期，下一 轮需求反弹或需等到旺季前夕备货，但厂家同样给予谨慎预期。 3）企业盈利进一步恶化，行业景气度持续下滑。样本企业镀锌 加工费在 500~700 元/吨不等，其中锌成本在 40%以上，且会跟 随客户需求、锌层厚度、摊销费用等存在明显差异，部分具有规 模效应的厂商具有明显相对优势。由于订单连年下滑，今年镀锌 产线多亏损运行，而成品累库下，中小 ...

本报告导读： 2024 年产销同比下滑幅度收窄，2025Q1 开始逐步恢复。成本增加叠加煤价下跌，成为 2025Q1影响利 润的核心因素，预计 2025年全年盈利端同比压力有所缓解。 成本增加叠加煤价下跌，2025Q1 影响利润的核心因素，预计2025Q2盈利端同比压力有所缓解。2024 年 吨煤售价645.6 元/吨，同比-11.24%；吨煤成本391 元/吨，同比+12%；吨煤毛利255 元/吨，同 比-32.9%。2025Q1 吨煤售价543 元/吨，同比-21.26%/环比-10%；吨煤成本340 元/吨，同比-10%/环 比-21%；吨煤毛利140 元/吨，同比-55%/环比-18.5%。我们认为煤炭价格将迎来拐点，预计全年盈利端 同比压力有所缓解。 后备资源接续无忧。公司 2024 年已取得上马区块探矿权，增加煤炭资源量 8 亿多吨，叠加自有储备资 源，为未来发展提供了有利支撑。公司现有 18 座生产矿井，先进产能达到 4970 万吨/年，单井规模平 均 300 万吨/年，集约化生产水平行业领先，规模效应显著。 公司在建及规划的矿井（如忻峪煤业、元丰矿业、静安煤业、上马矿井等）合计产能约 850 ...

根据记者统计，6月三地市场新受理的IPO企业盈利能力较强。比如北交所本月新受理的17家IPO企业最新一年 扣非净利润已达到1.01亿元，接近创业板均值水平。其中个别北交所IPO企业利润规模甚至超过创业板IPO企 业。 IPO受理周末不停歇。 6月21日，深交所受理2单IPO项目，分别为维通利主板IPO、益丰新材创业板IPO，这是深交所本月第二次周末 受理IPO项目。 随着时间步入6月，沪深北交易所受理节奏加快。根据券商中国记者统计，截至6月21日，6月单月已有34家 IPO企业获得受理，在今年全年受理数量中占比达到56%。有券商投行人士认为，一方面因IPO财务数据有效 期为6个月，所以6月为IPO传统申报高峰；另一方面今年以来监管频频发声，提高资本市场对科技创新企业的 支持力度，IPO市场迎来新的政策周期。 伴随证监会主席吴清在6月18日宣告"重启未盈利企业适用科创板第五套上市标准"及"创业板正式启用第三套标 准"，有券商投行人士向记者透露，相关新案例即将出炉，将对未来投行申报IPO提供重要参考。 IPO受理节奏加速 截至6月21日，沪深北三地市场在6月合计新受理34家IPO企业，已创下今年以来单月新高，同时 ...

Core Viewpoint - Company SharkNinja is expanding its distribution in Southeast Asia, achieving significant revenue growth in the Asia-Pacific region, while facing challenges in its Chinese market segment [1][2][3] Group 1: Revenue and Profit Performance - In 2024, SharkNinja achieved a revenue of $1.59 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12%, but net profit dropped to $0.09 million, a decline of 94% [1] - The Asia-Pacific segment generated a total revenue of $340 million in 2024, while the Joyoung segment contributed $1.02 billion [2] - The Asia-Pacific division saw strong revenue growth in key markets: Australia (up 236.1%), Japan (up 22.1%), and South Korea (up 455.1%) [2] Group 2: Product and Market Expansion - SharkNinja launched several new products in the Asia-Pacific region, including the Shark EvopowerNeo/Neo+, CarpetXpert, and Ninja Blast, which have performed well [2] - The company is actively expanding into Southeast Asia, with agreements signed with local distributors for product shipments [2] - Joyoung is focusing on high-quality, innovative small appliances, achieving growth in the domestic market despite overall sluggish sales in kitchen appliances [3] Group 3: Future Outlook and Investment Rating - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025 to $0.63 million, down from a previous estimate of $1.07 million, but projects significant growth in 2026 and 2027 [3] - The Asia-Pacific business outlook remains positive, with potential for growth compared to industry peers, suggesting over 20% upside in valuation [3]

Core Viewpoint - Universal Technical Institute (UTI) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which significantly influence stock prices [1][4]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Ratings - The Zacks rating system is solely based on a company's changing earnings picture, tracking the Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS from sell-side analysts [2]. - The Zacks rating upgrade reflects an optimistic earnings outlook for Universal Technical, likely leading to increased buying pressure and a rise in stock price [4][6]. Impact of Earnings Estimate Revisions - Changes in future earnings potential, as shown by earnings estimate revisions, are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [5][7]. - Institutional investors utilize earnings estimates to determine the fair value of stocks, influencing their buying and selling actions, which in turn affects stock prices [5]. Performance of Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks averaging a +25% annual return since 1988 [8]. - The upgrade of Universal Technical to Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating a strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10][11]. Current Earnings Estimates for Universal Technical - Universal Technical is expected to earn $1.06 per share for the fiscal year ending September 2025, with no year-over-year change, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 5.8% over the past three months [9].

Key Takeaways MKC Q2 sales are estimated at $1.7B, up 1.2%, but earnings are expected to decline 5.8% to $0.65 per share. Cost inflation, SG&A increases and weak foodservice volumes are seen impacting the Q2 performance. MKC's innovation, marketing and cost-saving strategies aim to support long-term margin expansion.McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC) is likely to register growth in its top line when it reports second-quarter 2025 earnings on June 26. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegge ...