Adam Glapinsk认为，黄金是一种零信用风险的资产，不受其他国家货币政策决定的影响，并且对金融 冲击具有较强的抵御能力，高额黄金储备也有助于提升波兰经济的稳定性。 波兰央行的购金行动正值金价不断刷新历史纪录之际。今年以来，黄金延续了2025年的涨势。美国当局 强行抓捕委内瑞拉领导人、威胁夺取格陵兰岛、对鲍威尔提起刑事指控加剧了对美联储独立性的担忧、 以及投资者因担忧债务水平而避开货币和政府债券等因素都提振了市场的避险情绪，并推动黄金、白银 等贵金属价格在今年以来屡创新高。截至发稿，现货黄金涨逾1%，至4818美元/盎司。 央行购金一直是推动金价猛烈上涨的关键动力之一——过去18个月里，黄金价格已翻了一番。自2022年 以来，全球各国央行购金步伐明显加快，当时俄罗斯外汇储备被冻结的事件凸显了黄金这种无法被冻结 资产的吸引力。 波兰央行在一份声明中称："这将使波兰跻身全球黄金储备量最大的前10个国家之列。"该行行长Adam Glapinsk上周宣布，他希望央行管理委员会将黄金持有量上限从截至12月31日的550吨提高到700吨。截 至目前，波兰央行能够将其总储备资产的30%用于购买黄金。Adam Glap ...

摘要今日周二(1月13日)亚盘时段，现货黄金最新报价为1028.24元/克，较前一交易日下跌3.16美元，跌 幅0.31%，日内震荡。当日开盘价为1031.27元/克，最高价为1033.33元/克，最低价为1026.31元/克。 今日周二(1月13日)亚盘时段，现货黄金最新报价为1028.24元/克，较前一交易日下跌3.16美元，跌幅 0.31%，日内震荡。当日开盘价为1031.27元/克，最高价为1033.33元/克，最低价为1026.31元/克。 【要闻速递】 机构表示，黄金在2026年初挺过了税收亏损卖压、投资组合再平衡及波动逆风，已重回上行趋势并创三 项历史新高。频繁的地缘政治冲击推高风险溢价，利好黄金；特朗普政府对美联储的指控进一步推动现 货黄金至4600美元，强化"战略配置黄金有益投资组合"的观点。 黄金价格持续受地缘政治动荡提振。世界黄金协会(WGC)指出，即便当前金价已达每盎司4600美元，但 技术面显示，在突破每盎司4770美元前，尚未进入极度超买状态。 本周关键数据包括：周二美国12月CPI(核心月率或升至0.4%)、周四英国11月GDP(或显增长停滞)及德国 2025年全年GDP(或微增 ...

Group 1 - International precious metal prices surged, with COMEX gold futures rising over 2% to a peak of $4612.7 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures increasing over 5% to $83.905 per ounce [2] - The rise in gold prices is attributed to worsening global geopolitical relations, including explosions in Kyiv, U.S. military considerations against Iran, and increased tensions in the Red Sea [2][3] - The VIX index spiked by 18%, indicating a surge in risk-averse investments flowing into gold [2] Group 2 - The geopolitical tensions have led to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, with analysts predicting significant upward potential for gold prices in the medium to long term due to factors like global debt cycles and geopolitical instability [3][4] - Central banks globally are increasing their gold reserves, with the World Gold Council indicating that they will remain net buyers through 2025 [4] - As of December 2025, China's official gold reserves are reported to be 7.415 million ounces (approximately 2306.32 tons), an increase of 86,000 ounces from the previous year [4] Group 3 - The investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell may create additional uncertainty in the market, potentially leading to a weaker dollar and further boosting gold prices [5][6] - Concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence and potential political pressures could lead to more dovish monetary policy, impacting interest rates and gold demand [6] Group 4 - Analysts suggest that while gold prices are expected to remain high, there are risks associated with liquidity changes that could lead to significant price adjustments [8] - The current market sentiment is highly bullish, but caution is advised due to the potential for volatility in precious metal prices [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent surge in precious metal prices, particularly gold and silver, driven by geopolitical tensions and increased demand for safe-haven assets, despite heightened volatility in the market [1][3]. Group 1: Precious Metal Price Movements - On January 11, gold futures on the New York Commodity Exchange reached a historic high, surpassing $4,612 per ounce [1]. - In the first complete trading week of 2026, both gold and silver futures prices have shown significant increases, with gold rising by 3.96% and silver by 11.72% [3]. - Silver futures experienced extreme volatility, with a single-day increase of nearly 8%, a two-day cumulative rise exceeding 14%, and a subsequent two-day drop of over 7% [5]. Group 2: Market Influences - Geopolitical events, such as the U.S. raid in Venezuela, have heightened market risk aversion, contributing to the increased allocation of precious metals by investors [3]. - Goldman Sachs noted that silver lacks the demand support from global central bank reserves, making its price more sensitive to market liquidity [8]. - The Bloomberg Commodity Index underwent an annual rebalancing, significantly reducing the weight of precious metals, which may trigger passive liquidation of gold and silver positions [13]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite facing short-term downward pressure, multiple financial institutions anticipate that both precious and industrial metal prices will have room for growth this year [12]. - Goldman Sachs predicts that a normalization of monetary policy, particularly interest rate cuts driven by easing core inflation pressures, could support higher metal prices, especially for precious metals and copper [16]. Group 4: Oil Price Movements - International oil prices have also risen due to increased geopolitical risks and unexpected reductions in U.S. crude oil inventories, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rising by 3.14% and Brent crude by 4.26% [18].

（央视财经《第一时间》）2026年第一个完整交易周，在2025年表现强势的贵金属继续牛市行情，黄金 和白银期货价格均累计上涨，但波动性明显加剧。 总台央视记者 高岩：美国突袭委内瑞拉引发地缘政治动荡和市场避险情绪升温，加之发达经济体债务 膨胀，投资者增加贵金属配置。纽约商品交易所黄金和白银期货主力合约价格在本周分别累计上涨 3.96%和11.72%。 总台央视记者 高岩：值得注意的是，贵金属价格波动在本周明显加剧。尤其是白银期货价格在本周曾 出现单日大涨近8%、两天内累计涨超14%以及两天累计跌超7%的情况。华尔街投行高盛指出，相较黄 金，预计白银交易将持续面对高波动性和不确定性。 总台央视记者 高岩：综合多家金融机构的分析来看，本周有两个因素加剧了贵金属价格的下行压力。 一是彭博大宗商品指数本周启动年度再平衡调整，贵金属权重被大幅下调。分析人士称，预计这次再平 衡调整会触发指数追踪型资金被动减仓，使得黄金和白银面对获利了结压力。另一方面，芝商所集团从 周五盘后起，再次上调黄金、白银、铂金和钯金等贵金属期货履约保证金，这是最近一个月以来，芝商 所集团第三次上调贵金属期货保证金。其中，白银保证金本次上调幅度达2 ...

Price Adjustments in Jewelry Industry - The price of the "Sheng Sheng You Xi" series pearl four-leaf clover necklace by Chow Sang Sang was raised to 136,000 yuan from 120,800 yuan, an increase of 15,200 yuan in just one day [1] - The necklace weighs 53.1 grams, resulting in a new price of 2,560 yuan per gram, and has seen an increase of nearly 100,000 yuan over the past year, and approximately 7 times over the last decade [8] - Chow Sang Sang's price adjustments are attributed to rising material costs, design fees, and patent fees due to the increase in gold prices [5] Market Trends and Future Projections - The international gold price has been on a significant upward trend, with February gold futures reaching $4,500.90 per ounce, reflecting a 0.90% increase [12] - Analysts predict that gold prices will continue to rise, with Goldman Sachs forecasting a price of $4,900 per ounce by 2026, driven by strong demand from central banks [13] - The World Gold Council's report outlines four potential scenarios for the gold market in 2026, ranging from a 5% decrease to a 30% increase in gold prices depending on economic conditions [14] Competitor Price Changes - Other brands, such as Chow Tai Fook, are also expected to raise prices, with some products seeing increases of nearly 20,000 yuan [10] - Store employees have confirmed that price adjustments will take effect on January 15, indicating a broader trend in the jewelry market [10]

Group 1 - The unexpected resilience of the U.S. economy is overshadowing geopolitical turmoil caused by President Donald Trump, leading to increased short positions on the dollar as traders anticipate a decline due to potential Fed rate cuts [1] - Despite concerns over Trump's actions, including threats to Venezuela and other nations, the dollar has strengthened, indicating that forex traders are largely ignoring these geopolitical risks [1] - Recent employment data has not shown the anticipated slowdown, raising questions about the extent of potential Fed rate cuts this year [1] Group 2 - Speculation exists that Trump's actions could jeopardize the dollar's status as the world's primary currency, leading to potential sell-offs of U.S. Treasury bonds, particularly during market turbulence in April [2] - After experiencing one of the most significant declines since the early 1970s, the dollar stabilized in the latter half of 2025 as Trump rolled back some tariffs and the economy progressed steadily [2] - Wall Street analysts predict a long-term downward trend for the dollar as the Fed gradually lowers interest rates, with a notable increase of approximately $21 billion in speculative short positions on the dollar in January, the largest since March 2020 [2]

纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场交投最活跃的2026年2月黄金期价6日上涨54.2美元，收于每盎司4505.70美 元，涨幅为1.22%。 受避险需求推动，黄金和白银价格当日继续走高。美国周末突袭委内瑞拉并强行控制马杜罗夫妇引发地 缘政治动荡。更重要的是，美国的行动引发了贵金属交易员对未来几个月地缘政治局势走向的思考。过 去一周，黄金、白银短期技术面也显著改善。当日白银价格站上每盎司80美元。 铜期货价格隔夜攀升至每磅6美元以上，创下历史新高。市场预期今年全球供应将进一步收紧。此外， 强劲的全球需求前景，尤其是来自电网升级、可再生能源项目和数据中心扩建的需求也支撑铜价。 世界黄金协会数据显示，2025年11月份各国央行净买入黄金45吨，2025年1月份至11月份累计买入量接 近297吨。新兴市场央行2025年继续保持着大规模的黄金购买势头。 盛宝银行（Saxo Bank）大宗商品分析师在最新发布的贵金属报告中指出，金、银在2026年新年伊始的 复苏表明，市场需求已展现出强大的韧性。黄金和白银不再仅仅是对冲通胀的基本投资工具，它们已转 变为全球经济的基石资产。黄金如今被视为重要的货币资产和美元的替代品，白银则是全球经 ...

转自：三门峡发布 市场避险需求推动5日国际金价、银价大涨 主办：中共三门峡市委 三门峡市人民政府 贵金属方面，受市场避险需求推动，国际金价和银价周一大幅上涨。其中，纽商所2月交割的黄金期货 价格报收于每盎司4451.50美元，较前一个交易日上涨2.82%。3月交割的白银期货价格报收于每盎司 76.657美元，较前一个交易日上涨7.94%。 运行：中共三门峡市委宣传部 中共三门峡市委网信办 受地缘政治动荡影响 5日国际油价上涨 原油市场方面，国际油价周一上涨，纽约商品交易所2月交货的轻质原油期货价格报收每桶58.32美元， 涨幅为1.74%；3月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格报收每桶61.76美元，涨幅为1.66%。油价上涨的主要 原因是美国对委内瑞拉实施军事打击，给石油储量丰富的委内瑞拉带来了深度不确定性。美国能源信息 局的数据显示，作为欧佩克创始成员国，委内瑞拉拥有全球最大的已探明原油储量，达3030亿桶，约占 全球总量的17%。 来源：央视财经 声明：本号原创文章谢绝媒体转载。如经授权转载，请于文章开头注明"来源：三门峡发布微信公众 号"。 ...

地缘政治动荡推动黄金、白银期价大涨 美国突袭委内瑞拉并强行控制委总统马杜罗引发地缘政治动荡。受市场避险需求推动，纽约商品交易所 黄金和白银期货价格5日大幅上涨，2月黄金期价涨幅一度超过3%，3月白银期价涨幅一度超过7%。 一些市场分析师认为，如同2025年，地缘政治不稳定将继续成为2026年黄金需求和价格走势的关键驱动 因素。 美国时间周一，美股并未受到美国对委内瑞拉实施军事行动的显著干扰，市场倾向于认为军事行动的冲 击有限，不会引发更大规模的动荡，在金融股以及能源股普遍上涨的助推下，美国股市三大指数当天全 线上涨，截至收盘，道指上涨1.23%，再创历史新高，标普500指数上涨0.64%，纳指上涨0.69%。 市场避险需求推动5日国际金价、银价大涨 贵金属方面，受市场避险需求推动，国际金价和银价周一大幅上涨。其中，纽商所2月交割的黄金期货 价格报收于每盎司4451.50美元，较前一个交易日上涨2.82%。3月交割的白银期货价格报收于每盎司 76.657美元，较前一个交易日上涨7.94%。 受地缘政治动荡影响 5日国际油价上涨 原油市场方面，国际油价周一上涨，纽约商品交易所2月交货的轻质原油期货价格报收每桶58 ...