Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating. 2) Core View of the Report - The LLDPE market has a falling basis and a still - loose supply. The mid - term needs to focus on the supply - demand pressure brought by high existing production capacity and weakening demand [1][2]. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs [Fundamental Tracking] - **Futures Data**: The closing price of L2601 was 6776, with a daily decline of 0.47%. The trading volume was 347,191, and the open interest decreased by 16,226 [1]. - **Basis and Spread Changes**: The basis of the 01 contract was - 56 (previous day: - 58), and the 01 - 05 contract spread was - 53 (previous day: - 66) [1]. - **Spot Prices**: In the North China region, the price was 6720 yuan/ton (previous day: 6750 yuan/ton); in the East China region, it was 6900 yuan/ton (unchanged); in the South China region, it was 6850 yuan/ton (previous day: 6880 yuan/ton) [1]. [Spot News] - The futures market declined slightly, the basis of North China LL weakened to a discount again, and the number of warehouse receipts decreased recently. The spot market was inactive. Petrochemical enterprises lowered some ex - factory prices, and traders focused on selling goods. Downstream inquiries were mainly for small - batch orders, with low intention to take delivery, and the transaction volume was difficult to increase. The US offer volume decreased with a small price drop, and the shipping schedules from the Middle East and the US were delayed, with more arrivals expected in Q1 2026 [1]. [Market Condition Analysis] - The raw material crude oil price fluctuated, the monomer segment rebounded slightly, and the supply profit of PE ethylene and ethane was compressed. The PE market fluctuated at a low level. The downstream agricultural film demand weakened marginally, while the packaging film industry maintained rigid demand. After the recent decline, the willingness of middle and downstream players to hold goods weakened, and the upstream tried to support prices, leading to passive inventory accumulation in factories and a slightly stronger basis. On the supply side, Guangxi Petrochemical gradually started production, but the unplanned maintenance volume in November increased more than expected, and there was no major short - term contradiction [2]. [Trend Intensity] - The LLDPE trend intensity was 0 [2].

Report Summary Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints The report presents the latest market information on the oilseeds and oils industry, including inventory, export, production, price, and spread data in countries such as the United States, Brazil, and Canada [1]. Detailed Summaries 1. Inventory and Export Data - Analysts expect the US 2025 - 26 soybean year - end inventory to rise to 302 million bushels, up from the USDA's November 14 estimate of 290 million bushels [1]. - For the week ending October 30, US soybean export sales increased by 1.2485 million tons, in line with expectations, with exports to the Chinese mainland up 232,000 tons. Export shipments were 1.0285 million tons [1]. - For the week ending October 30, US soybean meal export sales increased by 219,800 tons, meeting expectations, and export shipments were 238,700 tons [1]. - ANEC predicts that Brazil's December soybean exports will reach 2.81 million tons, up from 1.47 million tons last year, and soybean meal exports are expected to be 1.33 million tons, down from 2.17 million tons last year [1]. - Secex data shows that Brazil exported 4.19717712 million tons of soybeans in November, a 64.40% year - on - year increase [1]. 2. Production Data - Canada's 2025 rapeseed production reached a record high, with the national yield rising to 44.7 bushels per acre and production increasing by 13.3% to 21.8 million tons [1]. 3. Price and Spread Data - **Spot Prices**: From November 28 to December 4, 2025, the spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, and palm oil in Guangzhou fluctuated [2]. - **Basis**: The report provides basis data for soybean meal, rapeseed meal, soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil at different periods and locations [3][4][5]. - **Price Spreads**: The report includes various seasonal price spreads of oilseeds and oils, such as the spreads between different contract months of soybean meal, rapeseed meal, soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil, as well as the spreads between different varieties [16].

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2) Core View of the Report - The PG futures price declined. The basis was -43 (-57), and the spread between January and February contracts was 109 (-19). Domestic civil LPG prices decreased, the spread between propane and civil LPG narrowed, and the number of warehouse receipts was 4561 (-54). [1] - The prices of overseas paper goods decreased, the monthly spread strengthened, the change in the oil - gas price ratio between North Asia and North America was small. The domestic - overseas PG - CP spread was 126 (-2); PG - FEI was 114 (+3). The discounts for East China arrival, North America, and AFEI departure remained flat, the Middle East supply was tight with a discount of 35 US dollars (+13). Freight rates decreased slightly. [1] - The FEI - MOPJ spread narrowed to -55 (+11). The profit of propylene production from PDH in Shandong slightly recovered, the alkylation unit slightly improved but was still poor, the MTBE production profit fluctuated, and the export profit was still good. [1] - The arrival volume increased, the external release decreased, factory inventories slightly increased, and port inventories increased. The PDH operating rate was 69.64% (-2.1), and the second - phase PDH of Dongguan Juzhengyuan was expected to restart next week. [1] - Overall, the domestic chemical sector was relatively strong, and civil demand increased, but the arrival volume was expected to be high in December; the Middle East supply was tight, but the market may tend to wait and see as the CP official price was approaching. Attention should also be paid to the weather and oil prices. [1] 3) Summary According to Related Data Daily Changes - On Thursday, for civil LPG, the price in East China was 4411 (+0), in Shandong was 4480 (+0), and in South China was 4530 (+0). The price of ether - after carbon four was 4460 (-20). The lowest delivery location was East China, with a basis of 101 (-21), and the spread between January and February contracts was 79 (-17). [1] - As of 15:00, FEI was 517 (+10) and CP was 502 (+3) US dollars per ton. [1] Weekly View - The PG futures price declined, the domestic civil LPG price decreased, the difference between propane and civil LPG narrowed, and the number of warehouse receipts decreased. [1] - Overseas paper goods prices declined, the monthly spread strengthened, the change in the oil - gas price ratio between North Asia and North America was small, and the domestic - overseas spreads changed. The discounts and freight rates had corresponding changes. [1] - The profit of some chemical production units changed, the arrival volume increased, the external release decreased, inventories increased, and the PDH operating rate decreased. [1] - The domestic chemical sector was relatively strong, civil demand increased, but the arrival volume was expected to be high in December, and the market may wait and see as the CP official price was approaching. Attention should be paid to the weather and oil prices. [1]

Core Insights - China is implementing export controls on rare earth materials, ensuring that compliant applications for civilian use are approved promptly by the government [2][8] - President Xi Jinping emphasized the importance of mutual understanding and support between China and France during a meeting with President Macron, highlighting the need to maintain the political foundation of Sino-French relations [2][8] - In the U.S., initial jobless claims unexpectedly decreased by 27,000 to 191,000, marking the lowest level since September 2022 [2][8] Market Analysis - The A-share market showed a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.51% to 3,878 points and the ChiNext Index declining by 1.12% [2][8] - Sector performance varied, with machinery, electronics, and defense industries leading gains, while beauty care, social services, retail, and textiles faced significant declines [2][8] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was below 1.6 trillion yuan [2][8] - U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Nasdaq rising by 0.22% to 23,505.14 points [2][8] Futures Market - In the futures market, the basis for IC and IM contracts is showing continued recovery from discounts [2][8] - Trading volume and open interest for the four major futures contracts have decreased simultaneously [2][8] Strategy Outlook - Market sentiment has cooled ahead of the PCE data release, leading to mixed performance in U.S. stock markets [3][9] - The domestic market remains in a contraction phase, characterized by a stable but oscillating trend with overall low risk [3][9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that raw sugar prices are experiencing a downward trend, with the March contract facing resistance at the 15-cent mark, suggesting a cautious market sentiment from both buyers and sellers [1] - Domestic spot prices are declining due to a lack of support from downstream replenishment, and as prices decrease, overall market momentum is also diminishing [1] - The upcoming New Year and Spring Festival may alter overall transaction dynamics, indicating a potential need for a catalyst to break the current market stalemate [1] Group 2 - In the Liuzhou market, the 26013 order contract opened lower but closed higher, with an increase in trading volume compared to the previous day, indicating short-term buying interest around the 5300 level [1] - The expectation of support around the 5280 level suggests a need for a rebound process to validate the effectiveness of the 5350 resistance level [1] - The 26010 contract for sugar is also confirming pressure at the 5350 resistance, indicating a weak spot market, which may lead to a breakdown of balance if the basis reaches zero [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report presents the arbitrage data of various futures varieties on December 5, 2025, including basis, inter - month spreads, and inter - commodity spreads of different commodities such as thermal coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures [1][2][5][7][9][10][19][20][26][29][34][40][50][51] 3. Summary of Each Section Thermal Coal - The table shows the basis and inter - month spreads (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) of thermal coal from November 28 to December 4, 2025. For example, on December 4, 2025, the basis was - 10 yuan/ton [1][2] Energy Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: The basis data of fuel oil, INE crude oil, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt from November 28 to December 4, 2025 are provided. For example, on December 4, 2025, the basis of INE crude oil was 5.07 yuan/ton, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt was 0.1538 [7] - **Chemical Commodities**: - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from November 28 to December 4, 2025 are presented. For example, on December 4, 2025, the basis of rubber was - 390 yuan/ton [9] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given. For example, for rubber, the 5 - 1 spread was - 60 yuan/ton [10] - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads (LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, PP - 3 * methanol) from November 28 to December 4, 2025 are shown. For example, on December 4, 2025, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2280 yuan/ton [10] Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from November 28 to December 4, 2025 are provided. For example, on December 4, 2025, the basis of rebar was 145.0 yuan/ton [20] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads (5 - 1, 9(10) - 1, 9(10) - 5) of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are presented. For example, for rebar, the 5 - 1 spread was 24 yuan/ton [19] - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads (rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, rebar - hot - rolled coil) from November 28 to December 4, 2025 are shown. For example, on December 4, 2025, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.98 [19] Non - ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from November 28 to December 4, 2025 are provided. For example, on December 4, 2025, the basis of copper was - 10 yuan/ton [29] - **London Market**: On December 4, 2025, data such as LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss of LME non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, tin) are presented. For example, the LME spread of copper was 50.44, and the import loss of copper was 1669.73 yuan [34] Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from November 28 to December 4, 2025 are provided. For example, on December 4, 2025, the basis of soybeans No.1 was - 85 yuan/ton [40] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton are given. For example, for soybeans No.1, the 5 - 1 spread was 48 yuan/ton [40] - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The report mentions inter - commodity spreads such as soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch, but specific data is not fully presented [40] Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from November 28 to December 4, 2025 are provided. For example, on December 4, 2025, the basis of CSI 300 was 15.97 [51] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads (next - month - current - month, next - quarter - current - quarter) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are presented. For example, for CSI 300, the next - month - current - month spread was - 178 [51]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Views - No clear core views are presented in the reports. The documents mainly provide data and statistics on various financial instruments and industries, such as stock index futures spreads, futures spreads, precious metals, and container shipping. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures Spreads - **Price Differences**: The report provides data on the spreads of various stock index futures, including IF, IH, IC, and IM. For example, the IE spot - futures spread was 15.97 with a change of -3.12 compared to the previous day, and the 1 - year and all - time quantiles were 52.40% and 28.60% respectively [1]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: It details inter - period spreads like the difference between the next - month and current - month contracts, and the far - month and next - month contracts for different futures varieties. For instance, in IF, the next - month - current - month spread was -18.40 with a change of -2.40, and the 1 - year and all - time quantiles were 22.10% and 24.70% [1]. - **Cross - variety Ratios**: Cross - variety ratios such as CSI 500/SSE 300, CSI 1000/SSE 300, and IC/IF are presented. For example, the IC/IF ratio was 1.5413 with a change of 0.0030 [1]. Futures Spreads - **IRR and Basis**: Information on the implied repo rate (IRR) and basis of different futures contracts is given. For example, for the 15 - year bond futures, the IRR was 0.0663 on 2025 - 12 - 04 with a change of 0.0054, and the TF basis was 0.9011 on the same date [2]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: Inter - period spreads for different maturities of futures contracts (TS, TF, T, and TL) are provided. For example, the TS next - quarter - current - quarter spread was 0.0340 on 2025 - 12 - 04 with a 1 - year quantile of 25.90% [2]. - **Cross - variety Spreads**: Cross - variety spreads like TS - TF, TS - T, and TF - T are presented. For example, TS - TF was -3.2270 on 2025 - 12 - 04 with a 1 - year quantile of 16.50% [2]. Precious Metals - **Futures and Spot Prices**: Domestic and foreign futures closing prices, as well as spot prices of precious metals (gold, silver, platinum, and palladium) are reported. For example, the AU2602 contract closed at 953.42 yuan/gram on December 4, 2025, down 0.34% from the previous day [3]. - **Basis and Ratios**: Basis data (e.g., gold TD - Shanghai gold futures) and price ratios (e.g., COMEX gold/silver) are provided. For example, the gold TD - Shanghai gold futures basis was -4.98 with a change of 2.18 and a 1 - year quantile of 7.20% [3]. - **Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, and Inventories**: Information on interest rates (10 - year US Treasury bond yield, 2 - year US Treasury bond yield), exchange rates (US dollar index, offshore RMB exchange rate), and inventories (上期所 and COMEX gold and silver inventories, ETF holdings) is included. For example, the 10 - year US Treasury bond yield was 4.11% on December 4, 2025, up 1.2% from the previous day [3]. Container Shipping Industry - **Shipping Indexes**: Settlement price indexes (SCFIS for European and US - West routes), Shanghai export container freight rates (SCFI comprehensive index, SCFI for different routes) are presented. For example, the SCFIS (European route) was 1483.65 points on December 1, 2025, down 9.50% from November 24 [5]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures prices of container shipping contracts (EC2602, etc.) and the basis of the main contract are provided. For example, the EC2602 (main contract) was 1585.0 points on December 4, 2025, up 2.92% from the previous day, and the basis of the main contract was -101.4, down 79.54% [5]. - **Fundamental Data**: Data on container shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators (port on - time rate, port calls), export amounts, and overseas economic indicators (eurozone PMI, US manufacturing PMI) are included. For example, the global container shipping capacity supply was 3349.44 million TEU on December 4, 2025, with no change from the previous day [5].

光期研究 光期黑色：铁矿石基差及价差监测日报 2025 年 1 2 月 4 日 1 光大证券 2020 年 半 年 度 业 绩 E V E R B R I G H T S E C U R I T I E S 1.1 合约价差 | 期货合约 | 今日收盘价 | 上日收盘价 | 变化 | 合约价差 | 今日价差 | 上日价差 | 变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | I05 | 777.0 | 775.5 | 1.5 | I05-I09 | 24.0 | 24.0 | 0.0 | | I09 | 753.0 | 751.5 | 1.5 | I09-I01 | -46.5 | -49.0 | 2.5 | | I01 | 799.5 | 800.5 | -1.0 | I01-I05 | 22.5 | 25.0 | -2.5 | 图表1：05-09合约价差（单位：元/吨） 图表2：01-05合约价差（单位：元/吨） p 2 2025-03 2025-05 2025-07 2025-09 2025-11 图表3：基差标的：巴西粉矿（单位：元/吨） ...

| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年12月4日 | 品种 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | 展新值 | 较前一日变化 | 价差 | | | | | | | | | | | -12.85 | 33.10% | F期则价差 | 56.90% | 5.69 | 2.39 | 35.30% | H期现价差 | -4.68 | 37.20% | 期现价差 | | | | | | | IC期现价差 | 12.15 | 23.50% | -45.96 | 52.80% | IM期观价差 | -52.87 | 38.30% | 23,10 | 90.00% | 2.00 | 次月-当月 | 27.00% | 27,4096 | -16.00 | | | 30.80%6 | 泰月-景月 | ...

| 油脂产业期现日报 | | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 土泽辉 Z0019938 2025年12月4日 | | 原田 | | 现价 江苏一级 8620 8620 0 0.00% | | 期价 Y2601 8286 8288 -2 -0.02% | | 墓差 Y2601 334 332 2 0.60% | | 江苏1月 01+260 01+270 现货基差报价 -10 | | 8619 | | 棕榈油 | | 12月3日 12月2日 涨跌 涨跌幅 | | 8720 8620 现价 广东24度 100 1.16% | | 8720 0.11% 期价 P2601 8730 10 | | 基差 P2601 -10 -100 90 90.00% | | 现货基差报价 广东1月 01+50 01+0 50 ត | | 盘面进口成本 广州港1月 9195.1 9091.7 103.4 1.14% | | 盘面进口利润 -372 -93 -25.14% 广州港1月 -465 | | 仓单 352 355 0.00% 0 | | 菜籽油 | | 现价 江苏三级 10050 10080 ...