Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the recent rebound in technology sectors, particularly in military, pharmaceutical, and TMT industries, with the Sci-Tech Innovation Board ETF (589630) rising nearly 1.5% [1] - The A-share merger and acquisition market has been active this year, with significant participation from Sci-Tech Innovation Board companies, especially in sectors like biomedicine, semiconductors, and new-generation information technology [1] - Data indicates that out of 86 major restructuring events in 2025, 18 involved Sci-Tech Innovation Board companies, showing a significant increase compared to the same period last year [1] Group 2 - Dongwu Securities emphasizes the importance of self-reliance in technology, focusing on sectors such as artificial intelligence, autonomous control, new energy technology, aerospace information technology, and data elements [1] - In aerospace information technology, areas like low-altitude economy, satellites, and commercial space are highlighted as key focus points [1] - The report suggests that the AI sector should concentrate on AI agents, AI applications (like standalone software and smart terminals), humanoid robots, and autonomous driving [1] Group 3 - Western Securities notes that the level of merger and acquisition activity reflects the direction of the industrial cycle, with the highest number of mergers occurring in the automotive, electronics, and machinery sectors in 2024 [2] - The report indicates that the trends in automotive intelligence, semiconductor self-control, and high-end manufacturing are accelerating technological upgrades and industry evolution [2] - It is suggested that if AI commercialization leads to performance improvements through mergers and acquisitions, it could create a mainline market trend; otherwise, it may only represent a short-term thematic opportunity [2] Group 4 - The Sci-Tech Innovation Index ETF from Guotai (code: 589630) tracks the Sci-Tech Innovation Index (code: 000680), which includes representative stocks from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with an average market capitalization of approximately 11 billion [2] - The index focuses on technology innovation companies, covering more early-stage innovative firms and emphasizing hard technology sectors [2] - Investors without stock accounts can consider Guotai's linked ETFs for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board Comprehensive ETF [2]

其 他 报 告 2025年06月09日 晨会纪要 | 国内市场 | | 涨跌幅（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘 | 1日 | 上周 | | 上证综合指数 | 3385 | 0.04 | 1.13 | | 深证成份指数 | 10184 | -0.19 | 1.42 | | 沪深300指数 | 3874 | -0.09 | 0.88 | | 创业板指数 | 2039 | -0.45 | 2.32 | | 上证国债指数 | 225 | 0.03 | 0.08 | | 上证基金指数 | 6915 | 0.00 | 0.17 | | | | 资料来源:同花顺iFinD | | | 海外市场 | | 涨跌幅（%） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘 | 1日 | 上周 | | 中国香港恒生指数 | 23793 | -0.48 | 2.16 | | 中国香港国企指数 | 8630 | -0.63 | 2.34 | | 中国台湾加权指数 | 21661 | -0.06 | 1.47 | | 道琼斯指数 | 42763 | 1.0 ...

新科技、双循环 - 科技战"紧"、关税战 "松"20250608 摘要 中美元首通话释放积极信号，工程机械行业龙头企业如三一重工、徐工 机械等受益，预计全年内需和海外市场均增长 10%-20%，利润端增长 20%-30%。 特斯拉人形机器人团队国内审厂，产业链订单逐步明朗，浙江荣泰、五 洲新春、金沃股份等确定性零部件供应商将迎来发展机遇，关注低估值 龙头华翔股份。 工程机械行业内销增速回调，但海外出口向好，龙头企业全年业绩增长 预计可达 20%-30%，甚至更高，股价回调或是投资良机，同时关注无 人物流车领域。 特斯拉人形机器人硬件技术趋于定型，未来发力软件和大脑主导领域， 核心团队负责人变动预示发展方向转变。 出海链条中，巨星科技、杰瑞股份、涛涛车业、华通线缆、捷昌驱动等 公司表现优异，华通线缆非洲项目有望超预期。 Q&A 当前科技战和关税战的形势如何变化？对相关行业有何影响？ 目前，科技战仍在持续加紧，而关税方面则趋于宽松。例如，芬太尼关税等政 策有所放松，中美领导人近期的互动也显示出这一趋势。在此背景下，自主可 控的科技路线仍需重视。对于出口链条中前期受挫较大的部分，可以适当关注 其调整机会。此外，全球 ...

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector is experiencing significant capital inflow, with the military ETF (512660) seeing over 500 million yuan in net inflows for five consecutive trading days [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Indonesian government is evaluating the feasibility of purchasing Chinese-made J-10 fighter jets, indicating a potential increase in military trade for China [1] - Geopolitical tensions are rising, leading to increased interest in domestic weapons, which may enhance China's global military trade market share [1] Group 2: Industry Fundamentals - The military sector's gross and net profit margins have rebounded in Q1 2025, supported by both international and domestic conditions that may improve annual performance [1] - China is in the final year of its 14th Five-Year Plan, with significant defense construction tasks pending completion, and long-term goals set for 2027 and 2035, suggesting a release of future demand [1] - China's military expenditure as a percentage of GDP is below 1.5%, lower than the average of major military powers, indicating substantial room for growth in defense spending [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The military sector is expected to see high certainty in domestic demand growth due to the confluence of the 14th Five-Year Plan, centenary military goals, and the push for self-sufficient domestic alternatives [1] - Investors interested in the military sector are encouraged to monitor opportunities related to the military ETF (512660) [1]

证券研究报告 | 2025 年 06 月 09 日 晨会集萃 制作：产品中心 重点推荐 《策略|市场对贸易摩擦的学习效应》 1、在 2018/3/22 美方发起关税威胁后，中美进行了四次高级别会谈。美 方态度屡次转向，在双方进行磋商洽谈，冲突缓和后，美方三次撕毁协议， 毁坏前期磋商成果，导致谈判破裂、摩擦升级。2、中国贸易差额自 2020 年起持续提升，贸易顺差 2024 年年中起加速上行。截至 2025 年 4 月， 贸易顺差 TTM 为 11053 亿美元，2018-2019 年均值则为 3851 亿美元， 但美国贸易逆差并未被消除，并且较 2018 年继续上行。3、国内：工业 生产腾落指数探底回升，甲醇、唐山高炉、涤纶长丝、纯碱回升，山东地 炼、轮胎回落。4、国际：美国 5 月非农就业回落但强于预期。5 月美国 失业率符合预期，新增非农就业人数 13.9 万人，高于预期（增 12.6 万人）， 前值下修，薪资增速超预期，5 月劳动力供给下行、4 月劳动力需求回升， 非农就业整体延续韧性。6 月，以稳应变，防守反击。行业配置建议：赛 点 2.0 第三阶段攻坚不易，波折难免，重视恒生互联网。 风险提示：地缘 ...

Group 1 - Multiple important domestic data will be released this week, including May CPI, PPI, M2 money supply, social financing, and import-export data [1][2] - The U.S. will release May CPI and PPI data, which are critical for assessing inflation trends [1][2] - Significant events include He Lifeng's visit to the UK and the opening of Apple's Worldwide Developers Conference [1][2] Group 2 - A total of 41 stocks will face lock-up expiration this week, with a total unlock volume of 2.054 billion shares, amounting to a market value of 44.123 billion yuan [3][4] - The top three companies by unlock market value are: Dameng Data (10.752 billion yuan), Huahai Qingke (10.4 billion yuan), and YN Technology (3.059 billion yuan) [3][4] Group 3 - He Lifeng will visit the UK and hold the first meeting of the China-U.S. economic and trade consultation mechanism [5] - The Ministry of Commerce addressed concerns regarding China's export control measures on rare earths, emphasizing compliance and communication with other countries [5] - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for the seventh consecutive month, reaching 73.83 million ounces by the end of May [5] Group 4 - As of the end of May, China's foreign exchange reserves stood at 328.53 billion USD, reflecting a slight increase of 36 million USD from the previous month [6][7] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is promoting increased dividend payouts by listed companies to enhance investment value [7] - Central Huijin has become the actual controller of multiple securities and fund management companies [7] Group 5 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is implementing an "AI + Manufacturing" initiative to deepen the application of AI in the industrial sector [7] - The U.S. State Department has resumed processing student visas for international students planning to attend Harvard University [8] Group 6 - Two new stocks will be issued this week: Huazhi Jie on the Shanghai main board and Xinhenghui on the ChiNext [9][10] - The subscription limits and prices for these new stocks have been set, with Huazhi Jie priced at 19.88 yuan [10] Group 7 - Various securities firms are optimistic about sectors such as new consumption, banking, and insurance, indicating strong short-term demand and long-term investment value [11][12] - The focus on technology and high-end manufacturing sectors is expected to continue, particularly in defense and semiconductor industries [12][13] - The market is anticipated to experience a rotation of themes, with potential opportunities in new consumption, innovative pharmaceuticals, and AI technologies [13]

中国经济报导：中国第五大水电站 —— 金沙江向家坝水电站于 2025 年 5 月 31 日完成 "全系统 + 全机 组 + 全电站" 大规模系统设备升级改造，成为我国 "十四五" 期间首个实现这一目标的巨型水电站。 此次改造覆盖电站 8 台单机容量 80 万千瓦水轮发电机组、全厂控制系统及基础设施，标志着我国水电 装备自主可控和智能化运维进入新阶段。 全机组国产化控制系统替代 电站 8 台机组全部换装国产自主可控控制系统，实现硬件芯片、软件算法完全国产化。 例如，8 号机组改造后成功并网运行，其控制系统采用 "激光 + 惯性导航" 双模定位技术，控制精度 ≤10cm，可根据围岩变化自动调整截割程序，较人工操作提升巷道成型平整度 25%。 数智赋能中心：构建 "数据采集 - 治理分析 - 智能决策" 链条，整合全厂 72 套独立系统数据，形成统一 "数据湖"，实现设备健康监测、故障预警和智能调度。 例如，智能钥匙柜和手电筒巡检系统通过物联网技术，将工器具管理、设备巡检等流程数字化，减少人 工干预风险。 黑启动技术：首创 "混合动力型 EPS + 蓄电池" 黑启动方案，在全厂停电情况下仅需 4 分 28 秒即可恢 ...

制造业是立国之本、强国之基。近年来，中国银行主动服务国家战略，聚焦关键核心技术攻关、传统产 业转型升级等重点领域，充分发挥金融主力军作用，持续加大资源投入，优化金融供给。截至2025年4 月末，中国银行境内制造业贷款余额突破3.2万亿元，"十四五"以来累计增速达120%，为制造业高质量 发展注入强劲动能。 助推产业转型升级 中国银行积极顺应制造业高端化、数字化、绿色化发展趋势，创新金融服务模式，助力制造业提升发展 质效，培育壮大新质生产力。 精准滴灌 助力核心技术自主可控 中国银行紧盯国家重大战略需求，锚定科技创新关键领域和薄弱环节，持续加大信贷支持力度，全力支 持集成电路、数控机床、生物医药等战略性新兴产业发展，助力实现核心技术自主可控。 在中原大地河南，中国银行紧密围绕当地先进制造业集群和重点产业链布局，量身定制差异化金融服务 方案。目前，中国银行在豫制造业贷款余额已突破千亿元，有力支持河南在国家算力枢纽节点、人工智 能、信创等新兴产业领域的战略布局。以算力产业为例，中国银行河南省分行深度参与省内重点算力供 应商建设，为企业提供涵盖日常运营、项目建设等全周期、全维度的金融服务，为行业发展持续赋能。 在荆楚 ...

证券研究报告·行业深度报告·电子 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 电子行业深度报告 电子行业中期策略——自主可控加码，AI 硬 件加速落地 增持（维持） ◼ IC 设计：（1）模拟：需求/供给/库存/价格全面改善，25 年迎行业拐点。 需求端，模拟板块汽车需求持续增长，但今年预计仍有降价压力。工业 领域去库结束，目前处于复苏初期。通信领域（如基站）经历 22-24 年 去库，25 年开始有补库需求。除汽车外，各领域、各料号产品线价格今 年预计企稳。部分料号交期变长。思瑞浦、纳芯微等汽车工业占比高标 的有望核心受益。（2）存储：周期逐起，关注模组+定制化存储机遇。 Q2 存储现货价格持续上涨，中国台湾存储厂指引乐观。南亚科估计在 第 3 季前清完所有库存；华邦电指出，公司近期接获大量急单，第二季 出货动能强劲。乐观看待存储 Q2 业绩。我们认为，25、26 年端侧 AI 存 储需求逐渐显现。兆易依托自身设计经验及外部先进产能工艺，完美适 配需求。产业 25H2-26 年项目落地催化不断。（3） SoC：差异化场景催 生差异化 IP 需求，关注 NPU&ISP。年初至今，我们陆续 ...

大家好，马上又要开盘了！一起回顾下周末大事，以及看看券商分析师们的最新研判！ 周末大事 何立峰将访问英国并举行中美经贸磋商机制首次会议 外交部发言人宣布：应英国政府邀请，中共中央政治局委员、国务院副总理何立峰将于6月8日至13日访 问英国。其间，将与美方举行中美经贸磋商机制首次会议。 问：电动汽车反补贴案的价格承诺磋商是否有新的进展？能否介绍最新情况？ 答：王文涛部长与谢夫乔维奇委员围绕电动汽车案进行了专业、深入的讨论，推动该案向妥善解决的正 确方向又迈进了一大步。目前，中欧双方电动汽车案价格承诺磋商进入最后阶段，但仍需双方努力。欧 方提出可同时探讨新的技术路径，中方将从法律和技术层面对欧方提议的可行性进行评估。双方指示工 作层加紧努力，以符合各自法律规定和世贸组织规则的方式，找到双方均可接受的解决方案，妥善解决 贸易分歧。 央行连续第7个月增持黄金 央行数据显示，5月末黄金储备报7383万盎司（约2296.37吨），环比增加6万盎司（约1.86吨），为连续 第7个月增持黄金。 李书福：汽车工业存在"严重的产能过剩" 吉利不再建设新的汽车工厂 6月7日，吉利控股集团董事长李书福在2025中国汽车重庆论坛上表示 ...