中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明发布 据新华社， 中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明发布，以下是声明全文： 中华人民共和国政府（"中国"）和美利坚合众国政府（"美国"）， 认识到双边经贸关系对两国和全球经济的重要性； A股这边刚收盘，港股就直线拉升，截止发稿，恒生科技指数涨超5%，恒生指数、国企指数涨超 3%。 截至收盘， 今天A股也表现强势， 沪指涨0.82%，深成指涨1.72%，创业板指涨2.63%， 全市 场成交额13409亿元，较上日放量1185亿元。 一起来看今天的市场热点。 认识到可持续的、长期的、互利的双边经贸关系的重要性； 鉴于双方近期的讨论，相信持续的协商有助于解决双方在经贸领域关切的问题； 本着相互开放、持续沟通、合作和相互尊重的精神，继续推进相关工作； 双方承诺将于2025年5月14日前采取以下举措： 美国将（一）修改2025年4月2日第14257号行政令中规定的对中国商品（包括香港特别行政区和澳 门特别行政区商品）加征的从价关税，其中，24%的关税在初始的90天内暂停实施，同时保留按 该行政令的规定对这些商品加征剩余10%的关税；（二）取消根据2025年4月8日第14259号行政令 和2025年4月 ...

风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： 非完全进化体 来源：雪球 过去几年 ， 我们部分持仓基于低市盈率 、 较高股息率筛选细分行业竞争格局稳固的中小市值龙 头公司进行投资 。 即便同样承受了经济景气回落的压力 ， 但因买得足够便宜 ， 整体还是获得 了一定相对收益 。 基本 " 躲开 " 了这一期间 ， 消费 、 互联网 、 医药 、 新能源等领域核心 资产从估值高位持续回落的过程 。 去年下半年以来 ， 内外部环境冲击及不确定性进一步加剧 。 缺少足够产业链地位的中小市值公 司 ， 即便作为某一细分行业的龙头 ， 盈利的稳定性也经常遭受各种考验 。 在行业竞争加剧与 外部利空冲击下 ， 公司治理中的各种问题也更容易暴露出来 。 即便这些公司的管理层相比国内大多数企业已经属于最优秀的一批 。 但应知道 ， 中国绝大多数 行业龙头公司的发展历程也才10-20年 。 有很多问题与考验尚未遭遇 ， 最典型的诸如应对官僚 体系问题 、 股权架构制约问题 、 二代接班及职业经理人体系建立 、 全球化过程中应对各类政 策风险的能力 ， 包括公平公开的对待各类投资者的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the volatility of global assets and identifies the best-performing safe-haven assets based on historical data analysis over the past 20 years, emphasizing the importance of risk-adjusted returns in investment strategies [4][21]. Group 1: Market Volatility - The recent market fluctuations have been more significant compared to previous years, with the A-share market performing relatively well, while the US stock market has experienced a notable decline of over 20% in the last two months [4][6]. - Long-term investors may view recent downturns as mere corrections, but those who entered the market in January may feel the impact of a 2.6%+ decline over a month [6]. Group 2: Key Metrics for Safe-Haven Assets - Important metrics for evaluating safe-haven assets include maximum drawdown, recovery time from drawdowns, and the probability of positive returns over various holding periods [11][12][13]. - The analysis includes various global stock markets, bond markets, commodities, and cash-like investments to determine their performance as safe-haven assets [14][15]. Group 3: Performance of Safe-Haven Assets - The analysis reveals that Chinese money market funds are the top-performing safe-haven asset, with only a 0.03% maximum drawdown and a 100% probability of positive returns over one year [19][21]. - In contrast, US short-term government bonds have a lower positive return probability of only 40% during low-interest periods, indicating their limited effectiveness as a safe haven [21]. Group 4: Comparison of Bonds and Gold - Chinese bonds exhibit a maximum drawdown of 14.52% with a high probability of positive returns over five years, while US bonds have a maximum drawdown of 51.76% and a less than 50% probability of positive returns annually [24]. - Gold has shown significant price increases recently but has also experienced substantial drawdowns in the past, highlighting the need for caution regarding its volatility [25]. Group 5: Stock Market Performance - The Indian stock market demonstrates the highest risk-return efficiency, with a 97.89% probability of positive returns over five years, outperforming US and Chinese markets [26][28]. - Emerging markets, such as Vietnam, show extreme volatility, with a maximum drawdown of 79.35%, indicating high risk for investors [29][30]. Group 6: Multi-Asset Strategy - A balanced risk parity strategy combining A-shares, Taiwanese stocks, US bonds, gold, and Chinese money market funds yields a Sharpe ratio of 1.134, indicating superior risk-adjusted returns compared to individual assets [34][35]. - This multi-asset approach provides stability and a high probability of positive returns over various holding periods, making it a viable long-term investment strategy [35].

来源：雪球 世界大不同。因为很少出来买东西 ， 我对物价的变化一直没有什么概念 。 今天趁着换轮胎的空当 ， 顺便 去了一趟Cole ' s买鸡蛋 。 18个装的一盒鸡蛋 ， 居然要13澳元 ， 而且还限购每人两盒 。 单看鸡蛋 ， 珀斯的生活成本已经翻了好几番 。 记得刚来澳洲时 ， 一打鸡蛋不过3澳元左右 。 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： OilGas " 长安大 ， 居不易 。 " 其实 ， 这个世界本不复杂 ， 复杂的 ， 是人心 。 石油行业的复苏 ， 在当前的地缘政治格局下 ， 变得愈发扑朔迷离 。 连一些巨型石油公司 ， 在过去十几 年中也表现出摇摆不定 。 一方面 ， 欧洲的石油巨头为了迎合社会期待 ， 拼命推动能源转型 ， 结果却让壳牌和BP遍体鳞伤 。 最近 居然传出壳牌和BP要合并的消息 ， 可我实在看不出这种合并有什么稳固的基础 。 壳牌这十几年的勘探业 务 ， 难说毫无成绩 ， 但也几乎找不到特别出色的亮点 。 至于BP ， 其上游业务几乎已经千疮百孔 ， 加 上过去五年激进的转型政策 ， 导致公司流失了大量上游专业人才 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the Low Volatility Dividend 100 Index is a highly regarded index that offers higher returns and lower volatility while maintaining excellent diversification compared to traditional dividend indices [1][4]. - The Low Volatility Dividend 100 Index, launched on May 26, 2017, focuses on high dividend yields and low volatility, making it an upgraded version of the traditional dividend index [5][10]. - The index selects stocks based on criteria such as high dividend yield, low volatility, and a diversified industry representation, ensuring that no single industry dominates the index [11][12]. Group 2 - The top 20 constituent stocks of the Low Volatility Dividend 100 Index are well-diversified, with the largest stock accounting for only 3.4% and the smallest for 0.4%, which helps mitigate risks associated with individual stocks [12][14]. - The industry distribution of the index is also diversified, with the largest sector (finance) only accounting for around 20%, while energy stocks, which typically have higher volatility, make up only 9% [15]. - The current Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio of the Low Volatility Dividend 100 Index is 8.1, which is considered moderate based on historical data, while the dividend yield stands at 5.4%, significantly higher than the 10-year government bond yield of approximately 1.65% [17][18]. Group 3 - The article evaluates four ETFs tracking the Low Volatility Dividend 100 Index, highlighting differences in management fees, fund sizes, liquidity, and performance [24][27]. - The ETFs have varying management fees, with the lowest being 0.15% for the Bosera fund, while others are around 0.60% [29]. - The total assets under management for the Low Volatility Dividend 100 ETFs have reached 111 billion, with the largest fund being the Invesco fund at 64 billion [28][30]. Group 4 - Performance evaluations show that the Bosera Low Volatility Dividend 100 ETF has the best performance, followed by the Tianhong fund, while the Invesco fund has average performance and the Dachen fund has the poorest performance [31][32]. - The frequency of dividends varies significantly among the ETFs, with the Bosera fund offering dividends twice a year, while others have less frequent distributions [33].

当地时间5月9日，美股三大指数集体高开并短线走高，盘中集体跳水转为弱势震荡。万得美国科技七巨头指数收盘小幅上涨，成分股涨跌互现，特 斯拉上涨4.72%。中概股涨跌不一，脑再生科技大涨72%。 特朗普最新发声！对华关税势必要下调。 01 特斯拉大涨4.7% 脑再生科技3个月100倍 中概股涨跌不一 ，纳斯达克中国金龙指数收盘下跌0.45%。部分中概股表现亮眼，截至收盘，脑再生涨逾72%，亿咖通科技涨超14%，极氪涨超 7%，名创优品涨逾6%，小马智行涨逾5%。 | 脑再生科技 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | RGC 已收盘05-09 16:00:00 美东 | | | | | | 366.01 +154.01+72.65% | | | 1846人加自选 上一篇 > | | | US = LO | | | | | | 总市值 47.63亿 | 高 380.00 开 241.51 | 量 12.23万股 | | | | 额 3670.31万 | 低 232.94 换 0.94% | | 市盈TTM 亏损 | | | 盘后 351.01 -15.00 -4.10 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of patience in investment while also highlighting the necessity for quick decision-making when the right opportunities arise. It argues that maintaining patience is essential for enabling rapid actions in investment scenarios [2][3]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The discussion at the Berkshire shareholder meeting reflected a shift towards more significant topics such as tariffs, national fortune, and government efficiency, contrasting with the usual light-heartedness [2]. - Warren Buffett and Abel's responses underscored the importance of quick action in investment, suggesting that patience and rapid decision-making are not mutually exclusive but rather complementary [2][3]. Group 2: Investment Skills - The article draws parallels between sports and investment, stating that the ability to make split-second decisions in sports is a result of extensive training, similar to how investment decisions require years of preparation and skill development [3]. - Key investment skills include business model analysis, competitive advantage assessment, financial analysis, demand analysis, and research strategies, all of which are essential for making informed investment decisions [3]. Group 3: Value Investing - Successful value investors often exhibit consistent patience, which is reflected more in the decisions they choose not to make rather than just the successful ones they execute [3]. - The article suggests that unlike sports, investment does not have a time constraint, allowing investors to take their time to observe and analyze before making decisions [3].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of long-term investment in funds that have consistently generated positive returns over the years, highlighting specific funds that have achieved this feat [35]. Group 1: Fund Performance - The "Guangfa Global Healthcare Index" fund has shown a consistent positive return for nine consecutive years, with a cumulative return of +150.64% and an annualized return of +6.23% over the past five years [2][5][9]. - The fund's latest net value is 2.2780, with a maximum drawdown of 24.05% and a fund size of 1.107 billion [2][5]. - Another fund, "Shenji," has also achieved nine consecutive years of positive returns, outperforming the "Guangfa Global Healthcare" fund in certain metrics [10][16]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The article suggests that only funds with a long-term upward trend are suitable for long-term holding, as short-term fluctuations may not yield significant profits [7]. - It highlights that despite some funds showing poor performance in recent years, their long-term positive returns are commendable and indicate strong resilience [9][35]. - The "Xueqiu Three-Point Method" is introduced as a strategy for long-term investment and asset allocation, focusing on diversification across assets, markets, and timing to achieve stable returns [36].

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations with the ChiNext index leading the decline, closing down 0.99% while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.26% and the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 0.84% [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 788 billion, a decrease of 21.6 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor sector faced a significant downturn, with Huahong Semiconductor dropping over 10% and SMIC falling more than 4% [2][4] - SMIC reported Q1 revenue of 16.301 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.4%, and a net profit of 1.356 billion, up 166.5% year-on-year, attributed to increased wafer sales and optimized product mix [8] - However, SMIC anticipates a 4%-6% decline in Q2 revenue and a decrease in gross margin to 18%-20%, indicating cyclical pressures in the semiconductor industry [8] - Huahong Semiconductor's Q1 revenue was 3.913 billion, an 18.66% year-on-year increase, but net profit plummeted by 89.73% to 22.763 million [8] High-Position Stocks - Several high-position stocks experienced sharp declines, including Zhongyida, which hit the daily limit down, and Jinlong Electric, which fell over 11% [12][16] - Zhongyida's stock price surged 226.55% since March 10, but the company stated that there were no significant changes in its fundamentals, indicating potential overvaluation and short-term correction risks [16] Banking Sector - The banking sector showed resilience, with major banks like China Construction Bank reaching historical highs, and others like Qingdao Bank and Chongqing Bank rising over 2% [17] - Recent announcements from banks such as China Merchants Bank and CITIC Bank regarding the establishment of financial asset investment companies (AIC) signal a strategic move to support equity investments in technology firms [20] - Analysts suggest that the establishment of AICs is part of a broader financial policy aimed at stabilizing the market and enhancing long-term capital inflow, which could benefit the banking sector amid economic uncertainties [20]

市场全天低开高走 ， 创业板指领涨 。 截至收盘 ， 沪指 涨0.28% ， 深成指 涨0.93% ， 创业板指涨1.65%。 沪深两市全天成交额1.29万亿 ， 较上个交易日缩量1749亿 。 盘面上 ， 个股涨多跌少 ， 全市场超3800只个股上涨 。 从板块来看 ， 军工股持续爆发 ， 中航成飞 等20余股涨停 。 AI硬件股展开反弹 ， 沃尔核材 涨停 。 ST板块表现活跃 ， ST瑞和 等近40股涨停 。 下跌方面 ， PEEK材料概念股展开调整 ， 新瀚新材 跌超10% 。 另外，值得关注的是今年的明星股泡泡玛特，遭遇机构清仓减持，股价承压。 蜂巧资本是泡泡玛特2020年在港股上市前的投资机构之一。 蜂巧资本介绍，公司此次出清的泡泡玛特股份，均是在泡泡玛特上市之前获得。 2024年，泡泡玛特的营业收入为130.4亿元，同比增长106.9%；经调整净利润为34.0亿元，同比增长185.9%。 01 机构一周内清仓泡泡玛特 高位套现超21亿元 5月8日上午开盘不久，泡泡玛特便由微涨转跌。截至发稿，跌幅超3%，总市值为2393亿港元。 近期，市场传言"投资人多次通过大宗交易出售泡泡玛特股份"，主要依据是 ...