2025 年 7 月 3 日 硅铁：宏观情绪提振，震荡偏强 锰硅：宏观情绪提振，震荡偏强 金园园（联系人） 期货从业资格号：F03134630 jinyuanyuan2@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 硅铁、锰硅基本面数据 | | 期货合约 | | 收盘价 | 较前一交易日 | 成交量 | 持仓量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 硅铁2508 | | 5446 | 166 | 8,955 | 21,646 | | 期 货 | 硅铁2509 | | 5436 | 166 | 274,236 | 195,900 | | | 锰硅2508 | | 5712 | 9 6 | 6,962 | 13,908 | | | 锰硅2509 | | 5726 | 102 | 305,351 | 382,828 | | | 项 目 | | | 价 格 | 较前一交易日 | 单 位 | | | | 硅铁:FeSi75-B:汇总价格:内蒙 | | 5100 | - | 元/吨 | | | | 硅锰:FeMn65Si17:内蒙 | | 5500 | - | 元/吨 | ...

2025 年 7 月 3 日 品 研 究 焦炭：反内卷信号发酵，震荡偏强 焦煤：反内卷信号发酵，震荡偏强 刘豫武 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021518 liuyuwu025832@gtjas.com 【基本面跟踪】 焦煤焦炭基本面数据 | | | | 昨日收盘价(元/吨) | 漆跌(元/吨) | 流跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | JM2509 | 843.5 | 29 | 3.56% | | | | J2509 | 1442 | 53.5 | 3. 85% | | 期货价格 | | | 昨日成交(手) | 昨日持仓(手) | 持仓变动(手) | | | | JM2509 | 1189983 | 529227 | -35195 | | | | J2509 | 30166 | 49728 | 162 | | | | 临汾低硫主焦 | 昨日价格(元/吨) 1180 | 前日价格(元/吨) 1170 | 涨跌(元/吨) 10 | | | 焦煤 | 全泉蒙5精煤自提价 吕梁低硫主焦 | 934 1128 | 934 1113 | 0 15 | | | | ...

（1）股市短评：上证综指数、大盘蓝筹股高位盘整震荡，中小盘股和创业板股表现为震荡上行。 （2）金融期权波动性分析：金融期权隐含波动率均值较高水平水平波动。 金融期权 2025/07/02 金融期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | 金融期权策略早报概要： （3）金融期权策略与建议：对于ETF期权来说，适合构建备兑策略和偏中性的双卖策略，垂直价差组合策略；对于 股指期权来说，适合构建偏中性的双卖策略和期权合成期货多头或空头与期货空头或多头做套利策略。 表1：金融市场重要指数概况 | 重要指数 | 指数代码 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 额变化 | PE | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （ ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Views of the Report - The stock indices continued to fluctuate within a narrow range. The total trading volume of the stock market was 1405.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 91.4 billion yuan from the previous day. The main support for the stock indices comes from the expectation of favorable policies in the future. Due to the instability of domestic demand and the weak performance of credit and inflation data, the policy side needs to introduce policies to support economic demand. The market is concerned about the policy guidance of the Politburo meeting in July. Since the stock indices have risen significantly since late June, the short - term upward momentum has weakened, and the recent decline in trading volume indicates that the market's enthusiasm for chasing up has cooled down. In general, the short - term driving force of the market has weakened, and the stock indices are expected to fluctuate within a range. - Currently, the implied volatility of options has rebounded. In the medium and long term, the stock indices are more likely to rise, and bull spreads or ratio spreads long - position portfolios can be arranged [4]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Option Indicators - On July 2, 2025, the 50ETF rose 0.21% to close at 2.816; the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 0.10% to close at 3.992; the 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 0.02% to close at 4.117; the CSI 300 Index rose 0.02% to close at 3943.68; the CSI 1000 Index fell 1.01% to close at 6309.48; the 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) fell 0.59% to close at 5.947; the 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) fell 0.54% to close at 2.377; the ChiNext ETF fell 1.03% to close at 2.104; the Shenzhen 100ETF fell 0.33% to close at 2.722; the SSE 50 Index rose 0.18% to close at 2722.55; the STAR 50ETF fell 1.24% to close at 1.04; the E Fund STAR 50ETF fell 1.18% to close at 1.01 [6]. - The trading volume PCR and position PCR of various options on July 2, 2025, and their changes compared with the previous trading day are provided in detail, including 50ETF options, SSE 300ETF options, etc. [7]. - The implied volatility of at - the - money options in July 2025 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets of various options are provided, such as the implied volatility of 50ETF options at - the - money options in July 2025 is 11.88%, and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying asset is 8.36% [8][9]. 3.2 Relevant Charts - **SSE 50ETF Options**: Include charts of the SSE 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [10][11][12]. - **SSE 300ETF Options**: Include charts of the SSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [22][23]. - **SZSE 300ETF Options**: Include charts of the SZSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [25][26]. - **CSI 300 Index Options**: Include charts of the CSI 300 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [39][40]. - **CSI 1000 Index Options**: Include charts of the CSI 1000 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [52][53]. - **SSE 500ETF Options**: Include charts of the SSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [66][67]. - **SZSE 500ETF Options**: Include charts of the SZSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [79][80]. - **ChiNext ETF Options**: Include charts of the ChiNext ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [91][92]. - **Shenzhen 100ETF Options**: Include charts of the Shenzhen 100ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [104][105]. - **SSE 50 Index Options**: Include charts of the SSE 50 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [117][118]. - **STAR 50ETF Options**: Include charts of the STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [131][132]. - **E Fund STAR 50ETF Options**: Include charts of the E Fund STAR 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of each term [134][135].

光期研究 光期黑色：铁矿石基差及价差监测日报 2025 年 7 月 2 日 1 光大证券 2020 年 半 年 度 业 绩 E V E R B R I G H T S E C U R I T I E S 0 50 100 150 200 01 01 02 03 03 03 04 04 05 05 06 06 07 07 08 08 09 2009-2101 2109-2201 2209-2301 2309-2401 2409-2501 2509-2601 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 2101-2105 2201-2205 2301-2305 2401-2405 2501-2505 2601-2605 资料来源：Wind，Mysteel, 光大期货研究所 p 2 2.1 基差：数据 | 品种 | 今日价格 | 上日价格 | 变化 | 交割成本 | 今日基差 | 上日基差 | 变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 卡粉 | 799 | 805 | -6.0 | 749 ...

| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Z0016628 | 叶倩宁 | 2025年7月2日 | 历史1年分位数 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 价差 | 品种 | 成新值 | 较前一日变化 | 全历史分位数 | -56.76 | F期现价差 | -6.48 | 4.00% | 5.30% | | | | | | | | H期现价差 | -27.91 | -4.93 | 5.70% | 3.10% | 期现价差 | IC期现价差 | -66.67 | -14.28 | 12.20% | 10.50%6 | IN潮通价采 | -240.37 | -32.79 | 5.00% | 0.30% | | 次月-当月 | -16.60 | -3.40 | 21.30% | 26.50% | 李月-崇月 | ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG 国贸期货 数据日报 | 指标 | | 7月1日 | 涨跌 | | 豆粕主力合约基差(张家港) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 大连 日照 | -11 -81 | | 2500 2000 1000 | =====19/20 ======20/21 ======21/22 ======22/23 | | | -23/24 | · 24/25 | | | 天津 | -41 | | 1500 | | | | | | | 43%豆粕现货基差 | 张家港 | -121 | | -900 | | | | | | | (对主力合约) | | | | | | 09/21 10/22 11/22 12/23 01/23 02/23 03/25 04/25 05/26 06/26 07/27 08/27 | | | | | | 东莞 | -111 | | | M9-M1 | | | | | | | 湛江 | -111 | | -----2019/20 1000 ...

【环球网科技综合报道】7月2日消息，据多家外媒报道，针对彭博社近日关于"任天堂因第三方商家低价 串货问题，将Switch 2游戏机从亚马逊美国下架"的报道，任天堂官方予以否认，称相关内容"与事实不 符"，并重申"不会公开与零售商的合作细节"。这一表态与亚马逊此前"致力于提供丰富任天堂产品"的回应 形成呼应，但双方均未进一步解释Switch 2持续缺席美国亚马逊平台的具体原因。 任天堂此次事件中，第三方商家通过东南亚采购Switch 2并转售至美国，正是利用了全球区域定价差异。 例如，Switch 2国际版定价450美元，而日本特供版仅约2501元人民币，低价货源对美国市场形成冲击。尽 管任天堂未公开批发价细节，但此前彭博社曾披露其试图通过提高日本零售商毛利率至5%（高于行业平均 2%）来激励本土销售，进一步凸显其对渠道利润的敏感度。 值得注意的是，任天堂与亚马逊的合作关系并未完全破裂。其即将发售的新作《咚奇刚：蕉力全开》已在 美国亚马逊开放预订，并标注"由亚马逊销售"，显示双方在部分业务上仍保持合作。但截至目前，Switch 2 主机及独占游戏仍未列入亚马逊官方销售名单，消费者只能通过其他零售商或二手渠道购买 ...

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大宗商品研究所 农产品研发报告 玉米淀粉日报 2025 年 7 月 1 日 玉米淀粉日报 第一部分 数据 2025/7/1 收盘价 涨跌 涨跌幅 成交量 增减幅 持仓量 增减幅 2280 4 0.18% 13,931 -30.94% 115,285 0.96% 2304 0 0.00% 2,522 -41.03% 18,817 2.24% 2383 5 0.21% 426,304 -12.30% 942,750 -2.86% 2678 5 0.19% 2,056 213.41% 5,028 10.14% 2698 7 0.26% 52 -30.77% 221 6.25% 2743 10 0.36% 107,836 -11.75% 156,387 -0.32% 青冈 嘉吉生化 诸城兴贸 寿光 锦州港 南通港 广东港口 2300 2090 2550 2490 2400 2510 2470 10 0 -12 -40 10 0 0 -83 -293 167 107 17 127 87 龙凤 中粮 嘉吉 玉峰 金玉米 诸城兴贸 恒仁工贸 2800 2850 2850 3020 2950 2980 2960 0 50 0 ...