Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of implementing proactive fiscal policies to support China's economic development and modernization efforts, as outlined in the 15th Five-Year Plan [2][3]. Fiscal Policy Implementation - The Ministry of Finance aims to utilize fiscal policy as a primary tool for macroeconomic regulation, focusing on budget, taxation, government bonds, and transfer payments to stabilize economic cycles and optimize structure [3][4]. - The government will avoid excessive stimulus and instead target key areas to ensure stable economic growth and structural reform [3][4]. Economic Performance - From 2021 to 2024, China's average economic growth rate is projected to be 5.5%, with over 12 million new urban jobs created annually [4]. - Public budget expenditures during the 14th Five-Year Plan period are expected to exceed 136 trillion yuan, supporting various national strategies for high-quality development [4]. Challenges and Responses - The article highlights the complex domestic and international challenges facing fiscal policy, including geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties [6][7]. - It stresses the need for effective fiscal management to enhance policy effectiveness and adapt to changing circumstances [7]. Key Focus Areas - The government will prioritize expanding domestic demand, supporting technological self-reliance, and improving public welfare [11][12]. - Emphasis will be placed on rural revitalization, urban development, and regional coordination to enhance modernization efforts [12]. Fiscal Management and Reform - The article advocates for deepening fiscal reforms and enhancing regulatory oversight to improve fiscal governance [13]. - It calls for measures to mitigate local government debt risks and ensure sustainable fiscal development [13].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of implementing proactive fiscal policies to support China's economic and social development during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, as outlined by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China [1][5]. Summary by Sections Implementation of Proactive Fiscal Policies - The article discusses the necessity of adapting fiscal policies to current economic conditions, focusing on targeted support for key areas and weak links to ensure stable economic growth and structural optimization [2][3]. Achievements of Proactive Fiscal Policies - Significant outcomes from proactive fiscal policies include an average economic growth rate of 5.5% from 2021 to 2024 and the creation of over 12 million urban jobs annually. Public budget expenditures are projected to exceed 136 trillion yuan during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with over 70% allocated to social welfare [3][4]. Key Tasks for the "15th Five-Year Plan" Period - The article outlines several key tasks for the upcoming period, including enhancing the effectiveness of fiscal policies, focusing on people's livelihoods, and ensuring that fiscal management aligns with the overall national strategy [5][6]. Coordination of Fiscal Policies - Emphasis is placed on the need for coordination between supply-side and demand-side management, as well as the importance of reforming fiscal tools to improve policy effectiveness [4][7]. Domestic Demand Expansion - The article highlights the strategy of expanding domestic demand as a fundamental approach to economic stability, advocating for increased investment in public services and infrastructure [9][10]. Support for Technological Advancement - There is a strong focus on supporting technological self-reliance and innovation, with an emphasis on increasing investment in key technological areas and fostering the integration of technology and industry [10][11]. Social Welfare and Employment - The article stresses the importance of prioritizing employment and social welfare, aiming to enhance the quality of education, healthcare, and social security systems to improve overall living standards [10][11]. Regional Development and Integration - The need for promoting urban-rural integration and regional development is discussed, with strategies to enhance agricultural productivity and improve public services in rural areas [10][11]. Fiscal Management and Debt Risk - The article calls for improved fiscal management practices to mitigate local government debt risks, emphasizing the importance of sustainable fiscal policies and effective debt management [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of implementing proactive fiscal policies during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period to support China's modernization and national rejuvenation efforts, as outlined by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China [2][3]. Summary by Sections Implementation of Proactive Fiscal Policies - The Ministry of Finance aims to effectively implement proactive fiscal policies by integrating reform and innovation, ensuring comprehensive execution of the Central Committee's directives, and providing strong financial support for national development [2][3]. Achievements of Proactive Fiscal Policies - The effectiveness of proactive fiscal policies has been evident, with an average economic growth rate of 5.5% from 2021 to 2024 and over 12 million new urban jobs created annually. Public budget expenditures are projected to exceed 136 trillion yuan during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, significantly supporting key national strategies [4][5]. Key Strategies for the "15th Five-Year Plan" Period - The Ministry of Finance outlines several key strategies, including: 1. Expanding domestic demand and supporting the construction of a robust domestic market through tax adjustments and social security enhancements [11]. 2. Promoting high-level technological self-reliance and accelerating the development of new productive forces by increasing investment in key technologies [12]. 3. Ensuring high-quality development while improving people's livelihoods, focusing on employment and social security [12]. 4. Advancing urban-rural integration and regional development to optimize economic growth spaces [13]. 5. Enhancing fiscal governance through reforms and regulatory measures to improve management efficiency [13]. 6. Preventing and mitigating local government debt risks to ensure sustainable fiscal development [14]. Challenges and Responses - The article highlights the complex domestic and international challenges facing fiscal policy, including geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties. It stresses the need for effective responses to these challenges to enhance fiscal policy effectiveness and macroeconomic management [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of implementing proactive fiscal policies to support China's economic and social development during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, as outlined by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China [1][6]. Summary by Sections Implementation of Proactive Fiscal Policies - The article discusses the necessity of adapting fiscal policies to the changing economic landscape, focusing on targeted support for key areas and weak links to ensure stable economic growth [2][3]. Achievements of Proactive Fiscal Policies - Significant outcomes from proactive fiscal policies include an average economic growth rate of 5.5% from 2021 to 2024 and the creation of over 12 million urban jobs annually. Public budget expenditures are projected to exceed 136 trillion yuan during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with over 70% allocated to social welfare [4]. Understanding the Current Fiscal Landscape - The article highlights the complex domestic and international challenges facing fiscal policy, including geopolitical tensions and structural changes within the economy. It stresses the need for effective fiscal management to enhance policy effectiveness and support high-quality development [7][8]. Key Focus Areas for Fiscal Policy - The article outlines several key areas for fiscal policy focus: - Ensuring the Party's leadership in fiscal matters [7]. - Prioritizing public welfare and addressing the needs of the populace [8]. - Balancing market efficiency with government intervention [9]. - Enhancing domestic economic circulation and addressing structural issues [9]. - Integrating development and security in fiscal governance [9]. - Optimizing fiscal spending to maximize policy effectiveness [10]. Strategic Measures for Fiscal Policy - The article details strategic measures to be taken, including: - Expanding domestic demand and supporting the construction of a robust domestic market [12]. - Promoting technological self-reliance and innovation [13]. - Ensuring high-quality development while improving living standards [13]. - Advancing urban-rural integration and regional development [14]. - Reforming fiscal management to enhance governance efficiency [14]. - Mitigating local government debt risks to ensure sustainable fiscal development [15].

Economic Growth and GDP - The actual GDP growth for the first three quarters of 2025 is 5.2%, exceeding the annual target of 5.0%[4] - The GDP growth rate for Q3 2025 is 4.8%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from Q2 2025[4] - The nominal GDP growth rate for Q3 2025 is 3.7%, down 0.2 percentage points from Q2 2025[4] Industrial Production - The industrial added value in September increased by 6.5%, surpassing the consensus expectation of 5.23%[10] - The cumulative industrial added value growth for the mining industry from January to September is 5.8%, while manufacturing and high-tech industries show growth rates of 6.8% and 9.6%, respectively[12] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to September, fixed asset investment fell by 0.5%, with private investment declining by 3.1%[25] - Real estate investment dropped by 13.9% during the same period, with new construction area down 18.9%[31] Consumer Spending - Retail sales in September grew by 3.0%, marking the fourth consecutive month of decline[15] - Cumulative retail sales from January to September showed a year-on-year increase of 4.9%, with significant declines in categories like petroleum products and beverages[20] Policy and Future Outlook - The government has introduced a fourth batch of "national subsidies" amounting to 69 billion yuan and has set a new local government debt limit of 500 billion yuan for 2026[1] - The macroeconomic policy adjustments will focus on achieving high-quality growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan and addressing external uncertainties[44]

Group 1 - The issuance of 20-year ultra-long special government bonds has been successfully completed, totaling 1.3 trillion yuan for the year, with 400 billion yuan issued in the latest round [1] - The funds from the ultra-long special government bonds have supported 1,459 "two重" construction projects, including major infrastructure and innovative financing models [1] - An additional 5 trillion yuan in ultra-long special government bond funds is allocated to support "two new" policies, with 8,400 projects in industrial and energy sectors benefiting, leading to over 1 trillion yuan in total investment [1] Group 2 - The last batch of 690 billion yuan for consumer goods replacement subsidies was issued before the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, aiming to boost fourth-quarter consumption [2] - As of October 14, new local government bonds issued exceeded 670 billion yuan, and special bonds surpassed 3.7 trillion yuan, accounting for over 80% of the annual quota [2] - Despite a slowdown in government bond issuance in the fourth quarter, fiscal spending is expected to accelerate to meet budgetary needs, with public budget expenditure reaching 60% of the initial forecast [2] Group 3 - The Minister of Finance emphasized that fiscal policy still has room for maneuver, indicating that further expansionary fiscal policies may not be necessary this year [3] - New policy financial tools have been implemented at the local level, which are expected to play a stabilizing role in supporting major projects and attracting social investment [3] - Adjustments to the fiscal deficit rate are being made cautiously, with new policy financial tools acting as "quasi-fiscal" instruments [3]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Finance successfully issued 40 billion yuan of 20-year ultra-long special bonds, completing the issuance of 1.3 trillion yuan for the year [1] - The issuance of ultra-long special bonds increased by 300 billion yuan compared to last year, with 800 billion yuan allocated to support 1,459 "dual heavy" construction projects [1] - An additional 500 billion yuan of ultra-long special bonds is designated to support the implementation of "two new" policies, with funds already allocated to approximately 8,400 projects in various sectors [1] Group 2 - The last batch of 69 billion yuan for consumer product replacement subsidies was distributed before the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, boosting consumer spending in the fourth quarter [2] - By October 14, over 670 billion yuan of new local government general bonds and over 3.7 trillion yuan of new local government special bonds had been issued, accounting for over 80% of the annual quota [2] - Despite a slowdown in government bond issuance in the fourth quarter, fiscal spending is expected to catch up, with public budget expenditure reaching about 60% of the initial budget forecast [2] Group 3 - The Minister of Finance emphasized that fiscal policy will maintain flexibility, indicating sufficient space for future fiscal policy actions [3] - Market institutions generally believe that there is no strong necessity for further expansionary fiscal policies this year, although the fourth quarter may continue with a positive fiscal stance [3] - New policy financial tools are seen as effective in supplementing major project capital and leveraging social investment, acting as a stabilizing force [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is implementing a more proactive fiscal policy during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, enhancing macroeconomic regulation to support stable economic growth [2][4][5]. Group 1: Fiscal Policy Characteristics - The fiscal macro-control during the "14th Five-Year Plan" is characterized by stronger efforts, a richer toolkit, more precise actions, and greater flexibility in timing [5]. - The average annual growth rate during the "14th Five-Year Plan" has been 5.5%, contributing approximately 30% to global economic growth [4]. Group 2: Economic Cycle Management - The goal of macroeconomic regulation is to smooth out economic cycles, preventing significant fluctuations that could waste resources and impact social welfare [3]. - Cross-cycle regulation is increasingly important to find new growth drivers for medium- to long-term development [3]. Group 3: Coordination of Policies - Fiscal policy and monetary policy must work in tandem to enhance the effectiveness of macroeconomic regulation [6]. - The issuance of 500 billion yuan in special government bonds is expected to leverage approximately 6 trillion yuan in credit [6]. Group 4: Fiscal Space and Debt Management - The fiscal deficit rate has increased from 2.7% to 4%, providing more room for fiscal policy [8]. - China's government debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to be 68.7% by the end of 2024, significantly lower than the G20 average of 118.2% and G7 average of 123.2% [8]. Group 5: Future Fiscal Policy Potential - There is considerable potential for further fiscal policy action, supported by a long-term positive economic trend and a large market [9]. - Ongoing reforms in fiscal management aim to enhance the efficiency of resource allocation and increase the fiscal capacity for macroeconomic regulation [9][10]. Group 6: International Coordination - Strengthening international macroeconomic policy coordination is essential to mitigate negative spillover effects from major economies [11]. - China's active participation in global economic governance and cooperation enhances the environment for domestic fiscal macro-control [11].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is implementing a more proactive fiscal policy during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, enhancing macroeconomic regulation to support stable economic growth [1][3][4] Group 1: Fiscal Policy Characteristics - The fiscal macro-control during the "14th Five-Year Plan" is characterized by stronger efforts, richer tools, more precise actions, and greater flexibility in timing [4] - The fiscal deficit rate has increased from 2.7% to 4%, providing more room for fiscal policy [6] Group 2: Economic Stability and Cycles - The goal of macroeconomic regulation is to smooth out economic cycles and prevent significant fluctuations that could waste resources and impact social welfare [2] - Cross-cycle regulation is becoming increasingly important to find new growth drivers for medium- to long-term development [2] Group 3: Coordination of Policies - The collaboration between fiscal and monetary policies is crucial for effective macroeconomic governance, with significant measures such as the issuance of 500 billion yuan in special bonds to stimulate credit [5][8] - The Chinese fiscal policy is characterized by a development-oriented approach, emphasizing the need for sustained economic growth to address employment issues [5] Group 4: Fiscal Space and Management - There is substantial potential for fiscal policy expansion, supported by a long-term positive economic trend and enhanced fiscal management practices [7][8] - Local governments are implementing comprehensive fiscal reforms to optimize resource allocation and improve fiscal management efficiency [7] Group 5: International Coordination - Strengthening international macroeconomic policy coordination is essential to mitigate negative spillover effects from major economies [9] - China's active participation in global economic governance and cooperation aims to create a favorable environment for its fiscal macro-control [9]

Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period has seen significant enhancements in national fiscal strength and efficiency, highlighting the role of finance as a fundamental pillar of national governance [1] Fiscal Strength and Revenue Growth - During the "14th Five-Year Plan," national public budget revenue is expected to reach 106 trillion yuan, an increase of 17 trillion yuan or approximately 19% compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" [2] - Local fiscal strength has steadily grown, with 16 provinces projected to have fiscal revenue growth of over 20% compared to 2020, and 7 provinces exceeding 500 billion yuan, including 2 provinces surpassing 1 trillion yuan [2] Expenditure and Structural Optimization - National public budget expenditure is projected to exceed 136 trillion yuan over five years, an increase of 26 trillion yuan or 24% compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" [2] - The expenditure structure has been optimized, with more funds directed towards major development and livelihood projects [2] Macroeconomic Regulation - Fiscal macro-control has become more proactive, enhancing adaptability to economic conditions, and has played a crucial role in supporting stable and healthy economic development [3] - The government has implemented counter-cyclical adjustments to smooth short-term fluctuations, with a package of policies introduced in late 2022 to stabilize the economy [3] Social Welfare and Public Services - Total fiscal investment in the livelihood sector during the "14th Five-Year Plan" is nearly 100 trillion yuan, with over 70% of national public budget expenditure allocated to this area [4] - Key social expenditures include 20.5 trillion yuan for education, 19.6 trillion yuan for social security and employment, and 10.6 trillion yuan for health care [4] Education and Healthcare Initiatives - All compulsory education students in urban and rural areas are exempt from miscellaneous fees and receive free textbooks, benefiting approximately 20 million economically disadvantaged students [5] - The government has allocated over 800 billion yuan to support clinical specialty and regional healthcare capacity building [5] Demand Expansion Strategies - The Ministry of Finance has implemented a series of policies to expand domestic demand, including employment subsidies totaling 318.6 billion yuan, a 29% increase from the "13th Five-Year Plan" [7] - The government has invested approximately 420 billion yuan in consumer goods replacement programs, driving sales exceeding 2.9 trillion yuan [7] Infrastructure Investment - Over the past five years, 19.4 trillion yuan in local government special bonds have been allocated to support 150,000 construction projects, alongside 3.33 trillion yuan for central budget investments in infrastructure [8] - The Ministry of Finance aims to stimulate effective investment and consumption through innovative fiscal and tax policy tools, tapping into the vast potential of domestic demand [8]