巴西财长Haddad：通胀正在下降，雷亚尔兑美元汇率正在走强。 ...

西班牙6月份调和通胀率从5月份的2.0%升至2.2%，市场此前预期为维持在2.0%。该数据可能加剧市场 猜测，即欧洲央行正接近降息周期的尾声。 欧洲央行副行长路易斯·德金多斯表示，欧洲央行有望实现其设定的2%通胀目标。 新华财经北京6月27日电欧洲交易时段盘初，美元指数元徘徊在三年半以来的最低点附近，市场密切关 注美国货币政策的变化。欧元、英镑汇率守在隔夜触及2021年底以来最高水平的位置附近。此外，即将 到来的关税最后期限，进一步为市场增添了紧张气氛。美联储美联储主席鲍威尔的继任者传闻、市场对 鸽派政策的预期，以及地缘政治局势的缓和，共同构成了当前外汇市场的复杂格局。 美元指数在2025年的表现持续低迷，年初至今已累计下跌10%。26日，美元指数一度跌至自2022年3月 以来的最低点96.99。亚洲市场交易时段，美元指数整个6月预计下跌2%，大概率连续第六个月录得月 线下跌。 日元和瑞郎也对美元展现出不同程度的强势。特别是瑞郎兑美元汇率接近十年来的最强水平，显示了投 资者对于避险货币的需求增加以及美元整体弱势的局面。 欧元 法国和西班牙6月份通胀数据超出预期后，欧元兑美元扩大涨幅。欧元兑美元盘中高点触及1. ...

欧元兑日元涨0.63%，英镑兑日元涨0.60%。 周三（6月25日）纽约尾盘，美元兑日元涨0.25%，报145.28日元。 ...

周三（6月25日），韩元兑美元最终跌0.21%，报1361.00韩元。 ...

印度卢比兑美元 汇率上升1%，至1美元兑85.9238卢比。 ...

印度卢比兑美元汇率升破86，涨幅达0.9%，因油价下跌。 美元/印度卢比 ...

智通财经6月23日电，美元兑以色列新谢克尔汇率跌至2023年2月以来最低水平，最新报3.4534。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The main contract LG2507 of logs closed at 812 yuan per cubic meter as of June 20, up 5.8% from the previous week. The market performance was relatively strong this week, while the fundamental changes were marginal. The monthly spreads widened this week, with the 07 - 09 spread at 14.5 yuan per cubic meter, the 07 - 11 spread at 18 yuan per cubic meter, and the 09 - 11 spread at 3.5 yuan per cubic meter [16]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Supply - As of June 15, a total of 17 vessels departed from New Zealand in June, with 13 bound for mainland China and 4 for Taiwan, China, and South Korea for lightering. Among the vessels departing in June, about 10 are expected to arrive in June and 7 in July. The expected arrival volume in June is 1.51 million cubic meters [5][8]. 3.2 Demand and Inventory - As of the week of June 13, the daily average shipment volume at Lanshan Port was 21,600 cubic meters (a week - on - week decrease of 1,600 cubic meters), and at Taicang Port was 10,300 cubic meters (a week - on - week increase of 0 cubic meters). In terms of port inventory, the inventory at Lanshan Port was about 1.1646 million cubic meters (a week - on - week decrease of 8,000 cubic meters), at Taicang Port was about 501,000 cubic meters (a week - on - week decrease of 10,800 cubic meters), at Xinminzhou was about 421,500 cubic meters (a week - on - week increase of 11,700 cubic meters), and at Jiangdu Port was about 214,600 cubic meters (a week - on - week decrease of 600 cubic meters). The total inventory of the four major ports was 2.3017 million cubic meters, a decrease of 7,700 cubic meters from the previous week [6][13]. 3.3 Market Trends - As of June 20, the closing price of the main contract LG2507 was 812 yuan per cubic meter, up 5.8% from the previous week. The monthly spreads widened, with the 07 - 09 spread at 14.5 yuan per cubic meter, the 07 - 11 spread at 18 yuan per cubic meter, and the 09 - 11 spread at 3.5 yuan per cubic meter [16]. 3.4 Other - As of the week of June 20, the Baltic Dry Index recorded 1,689 points, down 279 points (-14.2%) from the previous week. Its related sub - index, the Handysize Shipping Index (BHSI), recorded 624 points, up 3.3% from the previous week. The Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) recorded 1,869.59 points, down 10.5% from the previous week. - In terms of exchange rates, the US dollar index slightly increased after hitting a bottom in the past week. The US dollar to Chinese yuan exchange rate was recorded at 7.180, basically flat week - on - week, and the US dollar to New Zealand dollar exchange rate slightly increased by 0.8% to 1.677 [56][57].

Core Viewpoint - The bond market is showing a strong consolidation trend, with expectations of continued loose monetary policy from the central bank to counter potential external demand pressures [1][7]. Market Performance - Government bond futures closed higher across the board, with the 30-year main contract up by 0.21%, and the 10-year main contract up by 0.02% [2]. - The yields on major interbank bonds mostly declined, with the 10-year government bond yield down by 0.15 basis points to 1.639% [2]. - The China Securities convertible bond index closed down by 0.01%, with a trading volume of 573.28 billion [2]. Overseas Bond Market - In North America, U.S. Treasury yields rose collectively, with the 10-year yield increasing by 1.58 basis points to 4.393% [3]. - In Asia, Japanese bond yields mostly declined, with the 10-year yield down by 1.4 basis points to 1.399% [4]. - In the Eurozone, bond yields generally increased, with the 10-year UK bond yield rising by 3.6 basis points to 4.529% [4]. Primary Market - Shenzhen's local bonds saw high bidding multiples, with the 2-year bond "Shenzhen 2532" having a bid-to-cover ratio of 16.59 [5]. - The 15-year bond "Shenzhen 2533" had a bid-to-cover ratio of 15.27, indicating strong demand [5]. Liquidity and Interest Rates - The LPR remained stable, with the 1-year LPR at 3% and the 5-year LPR at 3.5% [6]. - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation with a total of 1612 billion, resulting in a net withdrawal of 413 billion for the day [6]. - Short-term Shibor rates mostly increased, with the overnight rate up by 0.1 basis points to 1.368% [6]. Investment Strategy Insights - The bond market is expected to challenge previous lows, with social financing growth projected to peak around 9.0% in July and August before gradually declining [8]. - The central bank's liquidity support has led to a stable funding environment, suggesting that long-term bond yields may have room to decline [8].

俄罗斯几乎没能受益于国际原油价格近期的上涨，因为俄罗斯卢布汇率上升。 随着以色列与伊朗最新一轮冲突推高国际油价，Argus Media Ltd.数据显示，俄罗斯Urals石油价格在6月 13日涨穿60美元/桶。这意味着，2025年以来，（俄罗斯石油出口销售收入）仅仅收复了10%的失地。 彭博根据俄罗斯央行官方汇率测算得出一个结论，俄罗斯石油出口行业那天（前述6月13日）每出口一 桶能收入4957卢布，相比2025年年初的水平低了大约30%。 ...