农产品日报 | 2025-07-03 苹果市场交易清淡，红枣关注产区天气 苹果观点 市场要闻与重要数据 中性。当前库存水平处于低位，价格存在底部支撑，预计短期价格仍表现稳定。 风险 产区天气情况、货源质量问题、销区走货情况 红枣观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面，昨日收盘苹果2510合约7744元/吨，较前一日变动+26元/吨，幅度+0.34%。现货方面，山东栖霞80# 一 二级晚富士价格4.10元/斤，较前一日变动+0.00元/斤，现货基差AP10+456，较前一日变动-26；陕西洛川70# 以上 半商品晚富士价格4.80元/斤，较前一日变动+0.00元/斤，现货基差AP10+1856，较前一日变动-26。 近期市场资讯，苹果现货市场整体交易一般，产区冷库客商询价尚可，成交不多，价格维持稳定。西部产区货源 剩余不多，存货商自行发市场为主，交易不多，早熟果藤木、光果晨阳等上市后价格稳定；山东产区仍以发市场 为主，部分货源价格因质量有小幅松动。销区市场走货一般，消暑类水果存在冲击。陕西洛川产区目前库内70#起 步统货4.2-4.5元/斤，70#起步半商品4.5-5.0元/斤，以质论价。 山东栖霞产区果农三级2. ...

CONTENTS 目 录 1 前日回顾 2 每日提示 3 4 今日关注 基本面数据 交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 PTA&MEG早报-2025年7月3日 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 投资咨询资格证号：Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 5 PTA 每日观点 PTA： 1、基本面：昨日PTA期货震荡收跌，现货市场商谈氛围较昨日改善，现货基差跌后企稳，少量聚酯工厂有询盘。本周及下周在 09+145~150有成交，个别略低在09+140，价格商谈区间在4900~4950附近。7月中下在09+135~140有成交，7月下在09+130~138附 近有成交。今日主流现货基差在09+147。中性 2、基差：现货4920，09合约基差126，盘面贴水 偏多 3、库存：PTA工厂库存4.09天，环比减少0.06天 偏多 4、盘面：20日均线向上，收盘价收于20日均线之下 偏多 5、主力持仓：净空 多翻空 ...

| 玻璃纯碱期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年7月3日 | | | | 将诗语 | Z00170002 | | 玻璃相关价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 肌值 | 前值 | 张跃 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 华北报价 | 1140 | 1140 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 华东报价 | 1230 | 1230 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 华中报价 | 1070 | 1070 | 0 | 0.00% | | | 华南报价 | 1290 | 1290 | 0 | 0.00% | 元/肥 | | 玻璃2505 | 1190 | 1113 | 77 | 6.92% | | | 玻璃2509 | 1052 | 980 | 72 | 7.35% | | | 05基左 | -20 | 27 | -77 | -285.19% | | | 纯碱相关价格及价差 | | | | | | | 00种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | ...

| | | 【基本面跟踪】 2025 年 7 月 3 日 棕榈油：美豆油情绪偏好，国际油脂上涨 豆油：美豆天气炒作不足，缺乏驱动 油脂基本面数据 资料来源：同花顺 iFinD，国泰君安期货研究 【宏观及行业新闻】 据调查显示，受旱季较短支撑，印尼 2024/25 年度棕榈油产量料为 4880 万吨，持平于上次预估；马来 西亚 2024/25 年度棕榈油产量料为 1,910 万吨，较上次预估小幅增长，反映出良好的收割条件支撑产量稳 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 | | | 单 位 | 收盘价 (日盘） | 涨跌幅 | 收盘价 （夜盘） | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 棕榈油主力 | 元/吨 | 8,440 | 1.25% | 8,480 | 0.47% | | | 豆油主力 | 元/吨 | 8,018 | 0.58% | 8,018 | 0.00% | | | 菜油主力 | 元/吨 | 9,619 | 1.50% | 9,648 | 0.30% | | | 马棕主力 | 林吉特/吨 | 4,063 | 2.34% | 4,0 ...

2025 年 07 月 03 日 商 品 研 究 | 杨鈜汉 | | --- | | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021541 | | yanghonghan@gtht.com | 【基本面跟踪】 尿素基本面数据 | 项 | 目 | 项目名称 | | 昨日数据 | 前日数据 | 变动幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 尿素主力 | 收盘价 | （元/吨） | 1,739 | 1,721 | 1 8 | | | | 结算价 | （元/吨） | 1,730 | 1,710 | 2 0 | | | | 成交量 | （手） | 264,417 | 273,523 | -9106 | | （09合约） | | 持仓量 | （手） | 223,883 | 238,027 | -14144 | | | | 仓单数量 | （吨） | 500 | 500 | 0 | | | | 成交额 | （万元） | 915,052 | 935,590 | -20538 | | | 基 差 | 山东地区基差 | | 5 1 | 6 9 | -18 | | | | 丰 ...

工业硅：短期情绪扰动，关注上方空间 多晶硅：盘面预计冲高回落 2025 年 07 月 03 日 研 究 张 航 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0018008 zhanghang2@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 工业硅、多晶硅基本面数据 | | | 指标名称 | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-22 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | Si2509收盘价（元/吨） | 8,210 | 445 | 655 | 1,050 | | | | Si2509成交量（手） | 1,643,648 | 413,341 | | 1,139,529 1,187,409 | | | | Si2509持仓量（手） | 386,361 | 25,285 | 79,717 | 177,864 | | | 工业硅、多晶硅期货市场 | PS2508收盘价（元/吨） | 35,050 | 2,350 | 4,425 | - | | | | PS2508成交量（手） | 411,586 | 150,096 | 265,445 | - | | | | PS2508持仓量（手） | ...

2025年07月03日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-黑色系列 观点与策略 | 铁矿石：预期反复，宽幅震荡 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 螺纹钢：宏观情绪提振，偏强震荡 | 3 | | 热轧卷板：宏观情绪提振，偏强震荡 | 3 | | 硅铁：宏观情绪提振，震荡偏强 | 5 | | 锰硅：宏观情绪提振，震荡偏强 | 5 | | 焦炭：反内卷信号发酵，震荡偏强 | 7 | | 焦煤：反内卷信号发酵，震荡偏强 | 7 | | 动力煤：日耗修复，震荡企稳 | 9 | | 原木：主力切换，宽幅震荡 | 10 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 所 商 品 研 究 2025 年 7 月 3 日 铁矿石：预期反复，宽幅震荡 张广硕 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020198 zhangguangshuo@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 铁矿石基本面数据 | | | | | 昨日收盘价（元/吨） 722.5 | 涨跌（元/吨） 14.0 | 涨跌幅 1.98% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ...

021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 028-86630631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 研究员：李金（甲醇） 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015157 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃料油） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（尿素、工业硅） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员：冯 ...

Core Insights - The Chinese glass industry is undergoing a profound transformation, with Hebei Zhengda Glass leveraging the futures market to provide a valuable model for the industry’s upgrade [1] - Traditional glass manufacturing has been hindered by price volatility, overcapacity, and thin profit margins, but the futures market has injected new momentum into the industry [1] - Zhengda Glass has effectively utilized futures and options to mitigate market risks and optimize operational strategies, transitioning from passive responses to proactive management [1] Industry Developments - Glass companies in the Shijiazhuang region are advancing towards high-end production, empowered by the futures market's price discovery function [2] - These companies are employing innovative models such as basis trading and "futures pricing + flexible supply" to enhance sales channels and customer service quality, thereby increasing market competitiveness [2] - The integration of the futures market with the glass industry represents a significant step in the transformation and upgrading of China's real economy [2] Future Outlook - As the integration of production and finance deepens, the futures market will serve as a "safety lock" for hedging, a "navigation instrument" for price discovery, and an "accelerator" for resource allocation [2] - The Chinese glass industry is expected to progress steadily and further along the path of transformation and upgrading [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights how Zhengda Glass has successfully transformed its traditional manufacturing model by integrating futures trading, allowing the company to navigate market uncertainties and enhance its operational efficiency [1][5][14]. Group 1: Historical Development - Zhengda Glass was established in 1980 and has evolved from a small glass factory to a significant player in the national glass industry, leveraging advanced production techniques and a focus on quality [2][4]. - The company faced severe challenges during the 2007-2008 glass price crash, leading to significant inventory issues and financial strain [3][2]. - In response to the crisis, Zhengda Glass adopted unconventional measures, such as recycling unsold glass, to manage costs and reduce inventory [3][4]. Group 2: Adoption of Futures Market - Zhengda Glass began exploring the futures market in 2012, initially viewing it as a high-risk tool, but shifted to actively participating by 2014 when it became a delivery warehouse for glass futures [5][6]. - The decision to engage with the futures market was driven by the need to improve inventory management and enhance the efficiency of glass trade [5][6]. - The company developed a unique "three-dimensional integration" model that combines futures trading with its production and sales processes, allowing for better risk management and resource allocation [6][9]. Group 3: Strategic Implementation - In 2023, Zhengda Glass utilized its futures trading strategies to navigate market fluctuations, successfully locking in profits and managing costs during periods of price volatility [7][9]. - The company demonstrated its ability to adapt by selling glass futures to hedge against price drops while simultaneously managing raw material costs through futures contracts [7][8]. - Zhengda Glass's operational efficiency improved significantly, with quarterly profit margin fluctuations reduced from ±15% to ±5%, and inventory turnover rates increased from 6.3 times in 2019 to 9.8 times in 2024 [15]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Innovations - Zhengda Glass established a specialized trading subsidiary in 2023, integrating its operations with futures trading to enhance its service offerings and create new revenue streams [16][17]. - The company is actively promoting a "cooperative hedging" model among small and medium-sized glass processing enterprises, fostering collaboration and shared risk management [17]. - Looking ahead, Zhengda Glass aims to deepen its engagement with the futures market, leveraging data analysis for strategic planning and operational efficiency [17].