当前，以人工智能、高端芯片、商用航天等为代表的硬科技领域，正迎来前所未有的聚焦。这为资本市场 注入了长期且坚实的成长内核，代表创新前沿与产业升级方向的成长板块，或有望成为这轮行情的核心主 线之一。 宏观上，随着传统经济风险逐步出清、新动能持续显现，企业盈利或步入修复通道。流动性上，随着全球 降息周期步入下半场，宏观流动性仍维持宽松，社会财富向权益资产配置的趋势方兴未艾。政策上，"十 五五"规划强调科技产业、居民消费与全国统一市场建设，为成长板块提供持续的催化。 指数工具优势：高效透明，聚焦龙头 近年来，指数化投资以其规则清晰、持仓透明、成本较低的特点，日益成为投资者进行资产配置、把握市 场贝塔收益的重要工具。 创业板50指数成分股集中于电力设备、通信、电子、医药生物等符合国家产业升级方向的战略新兴领域， 前三大行业占比约72%。自基日2010年5月31日以来，创业板50指数累计上涨238.58%，长期回报具有优 势，弹性收益明显。（数据来源：Wind，截至2026.2.6） 在日益复杂的宏观环境中，创业板50指数成分股凭借技术壁垒和商业模式创新，展现出较强的盈利韧性与 增长潜力。（数据来源：Wind，截至20 ...

Group 1: Weichuang Electric / Automation Equipment - The company is strengthening collaborations to promote technological innovation and market expansion in the robot-driven component business [4] - Plans to establish a joint venture in Thailand with Zhejiang Rongtai to expand the smart robot electromechanical integration market, with both parties holding 50% shares [4] - The company aims to deepen industry demand and continue global expansion, focusing on regions like Asia, Africa, and Latin America while enhancing product offerings [5] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.977 billion, 2.444 billion, and 3.108 billion yuan, with net profits of 288 million, 346 million, and 419 million yuan respectively [6] Group 2: Lenovo Group / Computer Equipment - Lenovo reported FY2026Q3 revenue of approximately 22.204 billion USD, an 18% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 546 million USD, down 21% year-on-year [7][8] - The adjusted net profit increased by 36% year-on-year, driven by efficiency optimization and a high-end product mix [8] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) is undergoing strategic restructuring, expected to accelerate the return to profitability in FY2027 [9] Group 3: Shipping and Ports Industry - National import and export total reached 45.47 trillion yuan in 2025, with a 3.8% year-on-year growth [13] - Container throughput at major coastal ports reached 31.198 million TEUs, a 7% year-on-year increase [15] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) rose by 135.95% year-on-year, indicating a significant increase in dry bulk shipping rates [19] Group 4: Google-A / Overseas - Google reported Q4 2025 revenue of 113.828 billion USD, an 18% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 33.455 billion USD, up 30% year-on-year [25] - Search advertising revenue grew by 17% year-on-year, driven by AI innovations enhancing user experience and monetization efficiency [26] - Google Cloud revenue surged by 48% year-on-year, reaching 17.7 billion USD, with a significant increase in annual recurring revenue [27] Group 5: Yutong Technology / Packaging Printing - The company plans to acquire 51% of Huayan Technology for 449 million yuan, aiming to enhance its capabilities in precision manufacturing [32][34] - The acquisition is expected to leverage industry synergies and empower the second growth curve, focusing on high-profile clients like Google and Samsung [34] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 19.069 billion, 21.001 billion, and 23.077 billion yuan, with net profits of 1.608 billion, 1.798 billion, and 1.980 billion yuan respectively [34] Group 6: NetEase-S / Gaming - NetEase reported Q4 2025 revenue of 27.5 billion yuan, a 3% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 6.2 billion yuan, down 28.8% year-on-year [36][37] - The gaming segment showed resilience with a revenue of 22 billion yuan, driven by strong performance from popular IPs and new game launches [38] - The company is focusing on AI-driven strategies to enhance operational efficiency and optimize its business structure [39] Group 7: Aidi Pharmaceutical / Biopharmaceuticals - The company is advancing its international product launch and received GMP certification from Tanzania, facilitating entry into the African market [43] - Revenue for 2025 is projected at 721 million yuan, a 72.57% year-on-year increase, with a focus on HIV innovative drug sales [43] - Multiple new drug pipelines are actively progressing, with significant clinical trial approvals received [44] Group 8: Meituan-W / Local Life Services - Meituan is projected to achieve total revenue of 916 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with a core local business revenue of 648 billion yuan, reflecting a competitive landscape [45][46] - The company is strategically increasing investments in marketing and rider incentives to enhance operational efficiency amid fierce competition [46] - Long-term growth potential is anticipated through refined operations in instant delivery and overseas expansion [49] Group 9: Huahong Semiconductor / Semiconductors - Huahong Semiconductor reported Q4 2025 revenue of 660 million USD, a 22.4% year-on-year increase, with a wafer shipment of 1.45 million pieces [50]

港股马年首个交易日（正月初四）走出极致割裂行情：恒生科技指数走弱，AI原生模型、人形机器人 全线暴涨，传统互联网巨头集体回调；资金用脚投票，完成一轮新质生产力vs传统平台经济的快速切 换。 一、今日盘面：AI疯涨、互联网下跌，核心原因一目了然 技术催化：智谱GLM-5、DeepSeek新一代模型超预期，企业端调用与付费爆发 上市效应：智谱、MiniMax登陆港股后赚钱效应拉满，资金抱团纯模型标的 产业落地：算力平台升级、大模型规模化商用，估值逻辑从"故事"转向"订单" 2）互联网股票为何下跌？ 盈利预期：广告、电商、游戏等传统变现赛道增长放缓，业绩弹性不足 资金调仓：资金从高权重、高持仓的互联网巨头，流出到AI/机器人/算力硬科技 政策干扰: 国内反垄断，美国上军事清单 1）AI原生模型为何大涨？ 估值重构：市场不再给流量平台高溢价，转向技术壁垒、自研模型、芯片、具身智能 二、百度市值逼近智谱+MiniMax：明显低估？ 今日收盘： 百度≈3500亿港元（盘中下跌） 智谱≈3232亿港元、MiniMax≈3042亿港元 百度已不是单纯搜索公司： 文心大模型：API调用、行业解决方案、智能体落地 昆仑芯：AI训 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the impact of technological elements showcased during the Spring Festival Gala on the A-share market, particularly in driving short-term sentiment and reinforcing long-term industry trends, especially in the robotics sector [2][3] - Analysts suggest that the Spring Festival Gala serves as a "stock selection guide," indicating strong performance in technology-related sectors post-festival, with a focus on companies with strong earnings certainty [3][4] - The overall sentiment in the A-share market is expected to improve post-festival, with analysts predicting a new upward trend driven by favorable policies and market conditions [5][6] Group 2 - The Spring Festival Gala featured significant technological elements, including robots, AI applications, and large-scale drone shows, which are expected to influence investor sentiment and market performance [3][4] - Analysts believe that the upcoming period will see a shift towards sectors benefiting from improved supply-demand dynamics and industry profit recovery, with a focus on materials, chemicals, and technology [6] - There is an emphasis on the importance of individual stock performance over broad market indices, suggesting a "light index, heavy stock" strategy for investors [6]

截至2026年2月24日10:16，恒生科技指数(HSTECH)下跌2.29%，蔚来-SW涨2.29%，联想集团涨1.17%， 金蝶国际领跌，商汤-W、腾讯音乐-SW跟跌。 截至2026年2月12日，恒生科技ETF汇添富近11天获得连续资金净流入，最高单日获得4184.83万元净流 入，合计"吸金"4.18亿元，日均净流入达3796.13万元。 截至2026年2月13日，恒生科技ETF汇添富的场外联接产品汇添富恒生科技ETF联接发起式 (QDII)C(013128)单位净值为0.85元。 消息方面，2月23日，恒指、恒生科技指数全天强势震荡，恒生指数收涨2.53%，恒生科技指数收涨 3.34%。板块方面，科技龙头、半导体、有色、新能源汽车股表现亮眼，紫金矿业、美团、中芯国际涨 超5%；恒生科技成分股中，蔚来、美团、中芯国际涨超5%，比亚迪股份、华虹半导体涨超4%，京东、 腾讯、阿里、小米、百度等涨超3%。 科技经济正加速替代地产经济成为增长新引擎，东方证券指出，2025年新质生产力主要行业对总产出的 影响程度已超过传统地产建筑链条；新质生产力以新兴制造业和高附加值服务业为核心，单位产值拉动 效应更强，但对PP ...

动画公司能做动画，也能"做"手术，以动作捕捉技术为"桥"，成为跨越娱乐与医疗两个领域的"通才"。 小车到大船、小料到"大餐"、小动画到大健康，智能化转型浪潮中，跨界发展蕴含将"小材"委以"大 用"的密码。 跨界的基点是"家底"。车在路上跑，船在水上游，看似"各行其道"，但发展根基"殊途同归"——都以电 池为心脏。电动船的电池组容易热失控，安全性成为薄弱环节。而新能源汽车的电池技术更完备、路线 更成熟，扎实"家底"让企业得以跨界适应"两栖"、拓宽道路。 几则新闻，读起来颇有意趣。 知名车企跨界造船，不仅把成本打了下来，还造出国内首个获中国船级社权威认证的内河电动船。 以调味品为主业的企业，凭借对家庭饮食场景的深刻理解，成功进入智能终端领域，为智慧生活献上健 康"大餐"。 同理，动画企业"走近"手术台，也是立足老本行开拓新场景，形成比较优势、解锁新赛道。转型升级不 一定要从头再来，"家底"本身就是解锁新发展的钥匙。 跨界成功的关键在于找到"契合点"。"小材大用"行得通，就是因为自身所长与行业所需"一拍即合"。水 运能力不足，车企积极行动填补市场缺口。人体难透视，动画孪生技术可提升诊治"眼力"。 要"跨"，更要"融 ...

今日早参 2026 年 2 月 24 日 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 易峘 首席宏观经济学家 邮箱：evayi@htsc.com 今日热点 宏观：美国高院驳回"特朗普关税"后的波折与推演 继美国国际贸易法院与联邦巡回上诉法院先后裁定"特朗普关税"违法后 （参见《法院裁决能阻止特朗普加征关税吗？》，2025/5/30），当地时间 2026 年 2 月 20 日（周五），美国最高法院判定特朗普依据《国际紧急经济 权力法》（IEEPA）征收的"对等关税"和"芬太尼关税"违法。如我们此前 预测，最高法院判决后，特朗普政府当日提出替代性关税政策，表示将依据 美国《1974 年贸易法》第 122 条在常规关税基础上对全球商品加征 10%的 关税，并很快次日在社交媒体 Truth Social 上表示将对部分国家关税上调至 15%，但未公布具体国家列表（参见《最高法院挑战"特朗普关税"后续如 何？》，2025/11/12）。然而，我们认为特朗普关税风波并不会由此平息，不 仅后续关税政策仍有变数，围绕已征收的大量关税返还的机制和体量也仍悬 而未决。IEEPA 关税被驳回彰显了美国"三权分立"体 ...

推动"十五五"初步建成新型能源体系 国家能源局发展规划司司长 任育之 能源是经济社会发展的重要物质基础。党的二十大首次提出加快规划建设新型能源体系，二十届四中全 会进一步明确"十五五"初步建成新型能源体系、建设能源强国，这是党中央深刻把握全球能源发展大 势、立足我国能源发展方位作出的新部署新要求，为能源发展提供了根本遵循和行动纲领。过去一年， 我们全力推动"十四五"能源规划收官，谋划"十五五"能源发展方向路径，统筹推进《新型能源体系建 设"十五五"规划》研究编制工作。 扎实推进"十五五"新型能源体系建设 2026年是"十五五"规划开局之年，我们将发布实施新型能源体系和系列分领域能源规划，深入践行能源 安全新战略，加快建设新型能源体系，推进能源强国建设，为基本实现社会主义现代化取得决定性进展 提供坚强能源支撑。 回顾过去5年，我们着力完善定位准确、边界清晰、功能互补、统一衔接的能源规划体系，推动形成能 源规划"全国一盘棋"，更好发挥能源规划对能源发展的引领、指导和规范作用。推动出台《中华人民共 和国能源法》，修订出台《能源规划管理办法》，完善规划实施机制，开展规划实施动态监测和评估调 整，加强地方落实国家能源规 ...

1、2月16日出版的第4期《求是》杂志发表中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平的重要文章《当前经济工作 的重点任务》。文章强调，2026年经济工作头绪多，要抓住关键、纲举目张。坚持内需主导，建设强大国内市场。统筹促消费 和扩投资，用好我国超大规模市场优势。深入实施提振消费专项行动，制定实施城乡居民增收计划，扩大优质商品和服务供 给，优化"两新"政策实施，清理消费领域不合理限制措施，释放文旅等服务消费潜力。 【隔夜外盘】 马年A股首个交易日，三大指数集体高开，沪指涨1.15%，报4129.13点，深成指涨1.52%，报14313.86点，创业板指涨 1.7%，报3331.79点，科创50指数涨1.57%，报1493.45点。沪深两市合计成交额303.15亿元，全市场近5000只个股上涨。 盘面上，黄金、石油板块领涨，宇树机器人、能源金属、CPO、特高压、消费电子、半导体概念股活跃；免税店、短剧游 戏、seedance题材走弱。 美股三大指数收盘均跌超1%，道指跌821点，跌幅达1.66%，纳指跌1.13%，标普500指数跌1.04%。 科技股普遍承压，微软跌超3%，特斯拉、META跌近3%，亚马逊跌超2 ...

Group 1: Macro Insights - The report discusses how AI deflation and balance sheet reduction could reshape asset pricing logic, emphasizing the uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve's future policy direction [1][6][7] - It highlights the potential impact of reducing the Fed's balance sheet on dollar asset prices and the importance of maintaining central bank independence [1][6][7] Group 2: Company Analysis - Huahong Semiconductor (688347.SH) - Huahong is projected to achieve revenues of 183.83 billion, 246.57 billion, and 284.07 billion CNY for 2025-2027, with net profits of 6.74 billion, 7.78 billion, and 11.29 billion CNY respectively [2][12] - The company is positioned as a leader in mature process semiconductor manufacturing, benefiting from the global semiconductor industry's recovery [12][13] - Huahong's expansion plans include the ramp-up of FAB9 and the integration of FAB5, which is expected to enhance future growth potential [12][14] Group 3: Company Analysis - Valiant Bio (9887.HK) - Valiant Bio focuses on three core technology platforms targeting oncology and autoimmune diseases, with significant clinical trials underway [3][16] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 175.0 million, 196.0 million, and 200.8 million HKD, with a projected increase in profitability as clinical data catalysts emerge [3][16][17] Group 4: Company Analysis - Ningbo Huaxiang (002048.SZ) - Ningbo Huaxiang is expected to see net profits of 5.19 billion, 16.10 billion, and 17.56 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with a target market value of 402.39 billion CNY by 2026 [4][18] - The company is expanding into the humanoid robot sector and is anticipated to improve profitability following the divestment of European assets [18][19] Group 5: Industry Insights - Hotel and Catering - The report indicates a significant increase in travel and service consumption during the 2026 Spring Festival, with domestic tourism expected to reach 520 million trips, a 3.8% increase year-on-year [25][26] - The catering sector is benefiting from increased customer flow, particularly in first-tier cities, with notable growth in restaurant bookings and sales during the holiday period [26][27] Group 6: Industry Insights - Gas Turbine - The gas turbine industry is experiencing robust demand, with Siemens Energy reporting record order volumes and plans to increase production capacity significantly by 2027 [29][30][31] - Major companies like GE and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries are also reporting substantial order growth, indicating a strong market outlook for gas turbines [30][31][32] Group 7: Industry Insights - Tooling Industry - The report highlights a rapid increase in tungsten carbide prices, benefiting leading domestic tooling companies amid supply constraints and rising demand in high-value sectors [35][36][37] - The Chinese government's export controls on tungsten resources are expected to further enhance the competitive position of domestic tooling manufacturers [35][37]