Core Viewpoint - In the first quarter, insurance funds favored high-dividend stocks such as banks while reducing holdings in certain energy stocks [1][8]. Group 1: Insurance Fund Holdings - As of April 28, insurance funds were present in the top ten shareholders of 378 companies, with a total holding of 25.705 billion shares valued at 278.806 billion yuan [1]. - The focus of insurance fund holdings was on leading stocks in industries such as banking, telecommunications, hardware, non-ferrous metals, and public utilities [1]. Group 2: Reduction in Energy Stocks - Insurance funds reduced their holdings in several energy stocks, including China General Nuclear Power, which saw a decrease of over 90 million shares, with only China Life remaining among its top ten shareholders holding 22.69 million shares [3]. - Other energy stocks such as China Merchants Jinling, Yanzhou Coal Mining, and Yuanxing Energy were also reduced by approximately 49.45 million shares, 46.22 million shares, and 36.34 million shares, respectively [3]. Group 3: Increase in Manufacturing and Mining Stocks - In the first quarter, insurance funds increased their positions in manufacturing and mining stocks, with Qibin Group being the most significantly increased by approximately 34.66 million shares [6]. - Other stocks that saw significant increases included Shenhuo Co., Panjiang Coal, Shangfeng Cement, and Jiahu Energy, each gaining over 10 million shares [6]. Group 4: High Dividend Stocks Preference - Insurance funds continued to favor high-dividend stocks, with significant holdings in banks, operators, insurance, and energy sectors [9]. - Notably, China Life significantly reduced its holdings in China Telecom by approximately 88.64 million shares, and China Ping An reduced its holdings in itself by about 29.74 million shares [9]. Group 5: Market Outlook - As of the end of the first quarter, insurance funds held over 140 billion yuan in bank stocks, making it the most heavily weighted sector for insurance funds [12]. - The report indicates a growing trend in insurance companies actively increasing their stakes in listed companies, particularly in the banking sector, with a total of 12 instances of stake increases this year compared to 2 last year [12].

东吴证券研报对新消费的特点进行了深入剖析。新消费具有"人传人""可交易""易造梗"等独特特点。与 传统消费不同，新消费的消费习惯、产品以及品牌具备"人传人"的传播性。其最终目的是让用户成为营 销官，不再依赖公司投放广告，而是让用户主动进行营销。同时，股东也会积极参与营销，形成一 个"圈层群体"的整体营销模式。 新消费相关港股企业包括： 泡泡玛特（09992）、老铺黄金（06181)、毛戈平（01318）、蜜雪集团（02097）、布鲁可（00325）、 古茗（01364）、奈雪的茶（02150）、巨子生物（02367）等。 智通财经APP获悉，随着年轻一代消费观念的转变和消费市场的不断升级，新消费有望在未来持续释放 巨大的发展潜力，成为推动经济增长的重要力量。 申万菱信乐融一年持有混合基金付娟表示，不同于过去依靠人口红利的旧周期，这一轮的消费新周期或 会呈现一个长周期的走势，其根植于年轻化的人口代际的变化。他们更加重视内心的愉悦，有着相对较 高的付费意愿，更加积极拥抱新的科技水平，也面临更加充足的产品供给。 券商普遍认为，在提振内需、促进消费的明确方向下，消费政策预期持续受到关注，目前市场预期升温 已有所体现， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the durable consumer goods industry [2] Core Insights - The focus is on dividend defense, high-growth new consumption, and traditional consumption stimulus chains. The recommended order of attention is: dividend defense > high-growth new consumption > traditional consumption stimulus [2][14] - The report highlights the importance of high-dividend defensive stocks due to unclear policy signals from the political bureau meeting, suggesting a focus on companies like Midea and Gree in the home appliance sector, and Yum China and Haidilao in the restaurant sector [14] - New consumption opportunities driven by consumption upgrades are emphasized, with specific attention to companies like Pop Mart in trendy toys, Zhongchong in pet products, Gu Ming in tea drinks, Jiuhua Tourism in travel, and Jinbo Bio in medical beauty [14] - Traditional consumption is expected to benefit from growth-stabilizing policies, with a focus on subsidy policies and low-valuation traditional consumption stocks, particularly in the two-wheeler sector and service consumption like tourism [14] Summary by Sections 1. Consumer Macro & Midstream Sentiment Tracking - Domestic demand shows signs of stabilization, with first-tier cities outperforming the national average in new housing prices, which increased by 0.1% month-on-month [5][11] - Exports are under pressure, with most categories (except home appliances and textiles) showing a year-on-year decline in March, while home appliances and textiles have seen growth [5][11] 2. Home Appliances - In May, the total production of major home appliances reached 38.21 million units, a year-on-year increase of 5.9% [17] - March export data shows air conditioner exports increased by 25% year-on-year, with significant growth in Europe, South America, the Middle East, and Africa [18] 3. Light Industry Manufacturing - New tobacco products are expected to benefit from increased compliance challenges for illegal products, with companies like Simoer likely to gain [22] - The home goods sector is stabilizing, with easing trade frictions and steady domestic demand [22] 4. Textile and Apparel - The apparel industry shows stable sentiment in April, with a focus on brands that have unique advantages [25] 5. Social Services - The report suggests focusing on new consumption and stable dividend stocks, with improvements noted in the restaurant sector and ongoing recovery in the hotel industry [26] 6. Retail Internet - The competitive landscape in food delivery is evolving, with JD's significant investment in delivery services and Meituan's strong market position being highlighted [28]

今年以来，部分港股新消费品牌的股价表现都取得了阶段性领先。 近日特朗普「对等关税」冲击波成为影响全球金融市场走势的主线，港股大盘亦不例外，但出乎意料地，一波新消费品牌却逆势跑出。 举例看，截至4月28日，月内新茶饮古茗涨超29%，蜜雪集团涨近16%，潮玩股泡泡玛特累计上涨23%，毛戈平微涨0.7%，黄金首饰股老铺黄金波动微 跌，表现均跑赢大盘。相比之下，期间恒指跌近5%，恒生科技指数跌7.5%。 外围不确定性陡增背景下，内需消费板块成为避险选择之一。一些新消费品牌韧性较强，更获得投资者青睐。 而在关税冲击波之前，部分新消费品牌在港股二级市场的表现就已十分瞩目。一季度，港股市场跑赢全球主要股指，而新消费板块恰是港股市场除科技股 外的另一亮眼板块。在1月中旬至3月下旬阶段高位期间，恒指、恒生科技指数累计涨幅分别为31%、45%；而恒生新消费指数涨幅达近36%、跑赢恒指， 更远超整体消费板块（恒生消费指数：+17.6%）（见图表）。 在一季度积累的涨幅叠加下，截至4月28日今年以来老铺黄金股价涨幅已超过195%，古茗、蜜雪集团较发行价累计涨幅超过140%，泡泡玛特涨112%、毛 戈平涨71%，布鲁可涨逾122%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent launch of the third generation of LABUBU plush products by Pop Mart has sparked a global buying frenzy, significantly boosting the company's stock price and market confidence [1][2]. Company Performance - Pop Mart's stock price surged by 12.01% to HKD 193 per share, with a market capitalization reaching HKD 259.19 billion, marking an over 113% increase year-to-date [1][2]. - The company's Q1 2025 report showed a remarkable revenue increase of 165% to 170%, with domestic revenue growing by 95% to 100% and overseas revenue skyrocketing by 475% to 480% [3]. - The latest financial results indicate that Pop Mart achieved a revenue of CNY 13.04 billion in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 106.9%, and a net profit of CNY 3.4 billion, up 185.9% [3]. Market Trends - The upcoming "May Day" holiday is expected to further stimulate consumer spending, contributing to the strong performance of new consumption stocks, including Pop Mart [4][5]. - The new consumption sector is gaining traction, characterized by unique features such as "word-of-mouth" marketing and community-driven promotion, which differ from traditional consumption models [4][6]. - Fund managers are increasingly shifting their focus from traditional to new consumption stocks, with Pop Mart being a prominent choice among top holdings in various consumer-themed funds [4][6].

今天A股看起来没有什么生气，除了上证50和几个红利指数，宽基都收跌，且80%的个股下跌，而银行再次成为避险板块，工行又刷新了历史新 高，造成这个局面的，短期来看，可能有几个原因。 1、地产刺激落空 。上周五我们在会议解读里提到的，上面对房地产的定调是已经稳住了，所以大规模刺激落空， 小作文被证伪，从上周五的高 点开始算的话，地产板块高位下跌7个点； 2、节前避险 。周四就放假了，这回五一涉及三个交易日，大家肯定还是担心在此期间海外出什么幺蛾子，毕竟本周是美股一季报发布数量最多 的一周，而A股也进入了财报高发期，周五还有美国的非农数据要公布，宏观和微观上都有不确定性，预计这周融资余额还要继续往下掉，这其 实和春节放假前的情况差不多——那几天，也是融资余额不断掉，但四大行反而创历史新高。 3、限制卖出的解禁效应 。上周宽基ETF净卖出了100亿，如果剔掉几个科创综指新发基金的建仓资金，实际净卖出的金额会更多一点，而港股南 向资金也是罕见的近期首次周度净卖出，买入的主力——国家队，则从上周开始应该进入了中场休息，好多天没买，所以势必使得市场有一定的 抛压需要释放。 4、产业小作文可能会被整顿 。 就是有个比较知名的 ...

这是新消费智库第 2 6 2 4 期文章 新消费导读 1. 甘源推出两种全新风味坚果 新消费 1. 甘源推出两种全新风味坚果 近日， J immy Choo 与 Malbon 再度推出高尔夫联名限定系列，最新系列巧妙融合 Malbon 在高尔夫休闲服饰领域的经典美学与 J immy Choo 标志性的奢华格调，并在第一代成功合作基础上全新升级 。 （ TOPBRAND ） 2. DQ 推出 0 蔗糖减脂酸奶冰淇淋碗 3. J immy Choo 联手 Malbon 发布高尔夫联名系列 4. HOKA CLIFTON 10 跑鞋正式发布 5. 李子园推出 AD 钙奶 6. 中粮包装今日正式从港交所退市 7. Happy Howl 获得种子轮融资 8. 百合股份拟收购新西兰 Ora 56% 股权 9. 女性健康品牌 Moom Health 获融资 10. Argand Partner s 收购舞蹈服饰品牌 Capez io 母公司 11. BOSS 官宣崔胜哲为全球品牌代言人 12. 24 小时无人健身空间 The Gym Pod 登陆香港 13. 紫燕食品在长沙成立新餐饮公司 14. Blue Bottle C ...

在Z世代主导的全球新消费趋势下，泡泡玛特以"IP+潮玩+体验经济"的商业模式，成为中国文化出海的 标杆案例。2025年一季度，其海外营收同比暴增480%，美洲市场增速更达895%-900%，欧洲市场超 600%。这一增长不仅源于市场扩张，更映射出新消费时代的三大核心逻辑：文化符号的普适性、数据 驱动的精准运营、供应链的全球化适配。 1． 市场选择：从文化近缘到全球渗透 泡泡玛特以"先亚洲后欧美"的路径，精准踩中新消费的区域红利。东南亚市场作为首站，贡献了海外收 入的47.4%，其中泰国单店单日销售额突破1000万元人民币。这种成功源于"文化近缘+经济势差"的叠 加效应：东南亚与中国文化相近，但人均GDP仅为中国的1/3-1/2，潮玩在当地兼具轻奢属性与文化认 同。而欧美市场的爆发（北美营收增长近9倍）则验证了IP情感的跨文化穿透力——LABUBU毛绒玩具 在芝加哥门店引发凌晨排队，复刻了iPhone发售盛况。 2． 本土化策略：从"复制中国"到"在地创造" 设计融合：在泰国推出LABUBU"泰国体验官"系列，融入水灯节、神话元素；在西班牙试水斗牛士主题 （虽初期遇挫，但验证了文化符号筛选的必要性）。 泡泡玛特 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中信建投证券发布研报称，关税与美联储降息两大海外宏观交易逻辑有所改善，政 治局会议以稳为主，市场政策博弈阶段落地。央行呵护资金面，市场微观流动性仍具托底作用。市场中 期处于震荡阶段，但短期市场风险偏好正在提升，推动市场风格阶段性转向成长。短期可把握政策催化 与一季度业绩确定性，重点关注银行、电力、美容、汽车等行业。中期建议重点关注具备地缘政治隔 离、内需驱动和成长弹性特征的"新质内需成长"方向，新消费、AI等有望穿越博弈震荡持续走强。 中信建投主要观点如下： 海外关税与降息两大宏观交易逻辑有所改善。中美关税博弈现边际缓和信号，但短期达成协议可能性较 低，市场不确定性仍然较高。美联储降息预期有所松动，政策转向数据依赖与风险平衡。克利夫兰联储 主席哈马克称若数据足够清晰，最早6月可能启动降息。 4月政治局会议政策以稳为主，央行呵护资金面。4月政治局会议延续稳中求进总基调，首次将关税冲击 明确定性为"国际经贸斗争"，会议将服务消费作为扩内需核心抓手，同时结构性货币政策发力，财政政 策提速。房地产政策保持审慎克制，持续巩固房地产市场稳定态势。"稳就业"的篇幅明显变多，重点落 在受关税影响较大的企业 ...

Group 1: ETF Market Overview - Last week, ETF shares increased by 3.862 billion, reaching a total of 28.09656 billion shares, with total scale rising by 52.181 billion to 406.7253 billion [1] - Net inflow of funds last week was 11.54 billion, with alternative investment funds, money market funds, and bond funds seeing net inflows of 18.125 billion, 1.395 billion, and 1.187 billion respectively [1] - QDII funds and stock funds experienced net outflows of 1.156 billion and 8.011 billion respectively [1] Group 2: Performance of Innovative Drug ETFs - Over 800 stock-type ETFs recorded positive net value growth last week, with 6 Hong Kong stock innovative drug-related ETFs seeing weekly growth exceeding 10% [2] - The Industrial Bank's Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drug ETF rose by 10.95%, reaching a new high in circulation scale of 2.673 billion [2] - The pharmaceutical sector has shown a continuous recovery this year, with AI providing significant valuation space and momentum for innovative drug stocks [2] Group 3: Significant Increases in ETF Shares - Five ETFs saw their shares increase by over 1 billion last week, with the Invesco Great Wall CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF growing by 2.037 billion shares, an increase of 10.85% [3] - The Huaxia CSI Robotics ETF also performed well, with shares increasing by 1.257 billion, reaching a historical high of 15.922 billion shares [3] Group 4: Robotics Sector Outlook - 2025 is anticipated to be the year of mass production for humanoid robots, with high potential for market penetration in the robotics field [4] - 56 ETFs saw their shares decrease by over 100 million, with the Huatai-PB CSI A500 ETF experiencing the largest drop of 1.614 billion shares, a decrease of 12.87% [4] - Several new A500-related funds have extended their fundraising periods due to strong investor interest [4] Group 5: Consumer Sector Insights - With various consumer promotion policies being implemented and the upcoming "May Day" holiday, the offline consumer market is heating up, leading to active performance in consumer-themed funds [5] - Fund managers believe that the consumer sector is currently undervalued and may see sustained upward trends as market sentiment stabilizes [5] Group 6: New Consumption Trends - Fund managers are shifting focus from traditional consumption to new consumption sectors, with significant potential identified in emerging consumer companies [6] - The pet food sector is highlighted for its large market space and favorable industry dynamics, with opportunities for brands to grow rapidly post-competition [6]