专题：聚焦美股2025年第四季度财报 作者：马丁・皮尔斯 通常，英伟达的财报会是本周最受期待的，但这次情况可能不同。市场对 AI 将 "摧毁" 软件行业的担 忧，已导致今年以来软件股暴跌20% 至 30%（网络安全股上周五也遭遇重挫）。毫无疑问，这些恐慌 有些过度。毕竟，成熟企业在现有客户关系上拥有巨大优势，客户很难轻易弃用。正如 Lead Edge Capital 合伙人埃文・斯科彭上周五接受《The Information》TITV 采访时所说："如果你问大企 业：'嘿，你们能用更便宜的替代品替换掉 Workday 吗？'他们根本没兴趣。" 他指出，软件在大企业运 营支出中占比极小，大企业 "绝不会去尝试那些花里胡哨的解决方案"。 此外，老牌软件公司大多已将新的 AI 工具融入自身产品。坦白说，企业全面采用这些工具至少还需要 几年时间，因此当前的季度财报只能让我们管中窥豹，其影响程度也各不相同。 在关注本周即将到来的大事之前，我们先来聊聊一家将 "魔幻思维" 发挥到极致的公司 ——OpenAI。我 们在上周五晚间报道了该公司最新的长期营收与利润预测。报告中最关键的信息是：2025 年，OpenAI 的 A ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Technology Index increased by over 4%, while the Hang Seng Index rose by 2.8% [1] - Meituan (03690.HK) saw its share price rise by 8.1% [1] - Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) experienced a 4.5% increase in its stock price [1] - JD.com (09618.HK) shares rose by 5.2% [1] - BYD Company (01211.HK) saw a 4.9% increase in its stock price [1]

Core Insights - The latest holdings of top investment firms reveal a consensus on Pinduoduo and Google as major investments, with significant increases in their positions by several firms [1][2]. Group 1: Segment Analysis - **H&H Investment (Duang Yongping)**: - Total holdings exceed $17.49 billion (approximately 120.8 billion RMB) with 14 stocks. Major increases in positions for Berkshire, Nvidia, Pinduoduo, Google C, and Microsoft, while reducing Apple, Occidental Petroleum, Alibaba, Disney, and ASML [3][4]. - New investments in AI-related stocks include CoreWeave, Credo Technology, and Tempus AI, with respective holdings of 0.12%, 0.12%, and 0.04% [3]. - **Jinglin Asset**: - Total holdings valued at $4.045 billion, with Google becoming the largest position, replacing Meta. Significant reduction in Nvidia holdings by over 60% [5][6]. - **Himalaya Capital (Li Lu)**: - Total holdings of $3.57 billion, with a highly concentrated portfolio where the top five stocks account for 95.96%. Google is the largest holding at 43.86% [7][8]. - **Hillhouse Capital (HHLR)**: - Total holdings around $3.104 billion, focusing heavily on Chinese stocks, with Pinduoduo making up 39.17% of the portfolio [9][10]. - **Oriental Harbor (Dan Bin)**: - Total holdings of $1.316 billion, with significant increases in Google A and Nvidia, while reducing positions in several other stocks [11][12]. - **Gaoyi Asset**: - Total holdings of $683 million, with a concentrated portfolio where Huazhu and Pinduoduo account for 68.25% [13][14].

每经编辑｜许绍航 胡玲 王瀚黎 标题点睛 伊朗外交部21日发表声明说，伊朗政府已将欧盟成员国的海军和空军列为"恐怖组织"，以回应欧盟将伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队列入"恐怖组织名单"。（新华 社） 2月21日晚，哈尔滨冰雪大世界发布公告，由于2月20日、21日气温骤然升高，突破历史极值，冰雪景观融化严重，第二十七届哈尔滨冰雪大世界即日起正 式闭园，已购票的游客可通过原购票渠道申请全额退款。同时，位于哈尔滨冰雪大世界园区内的世界最大室内冰雪主题乐园——梦幻冰雪馆，将于2月22 日12时正式开放。 据报道，OpenAI正在重新设定其资本支出预期。OpenAI向投资者表示，到2030年的总算力支出目标约为6000亿美元，较CEO阿尔特曼此前宣称的1.4万亿 美元基础设施承诺大幅缩水。报道称，OpenAI调整后的毛利率在2025年已下滑至33%，该公司仍预计到2030年现金流才能转正。（每经综合） 1 春运前20天预计全社会跨区域人员流动量50.8亿人次 2月21日，2026年春运过半，春运前20天预计全社会跨区域人员流动量达50.8亿人次，日均2.5亿人次，创下历史同期新高。2月21日全社会跨区域人员流动 量预计超3.6亿人 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. stock market indices rose across the board, with the Dow Jones increasing by 230.81 points (0.47%) to close at 49,625.97, the Nasdaq up by 203.34 points (0.90%) to 22,886.07, and the S&P 500 gaining 47.62 points (0.69%) to finish at 6,909.51 [2] - The rise in stock prices was influenced by the U.S. Supreme Court's rejection of President Trump's global tariffs, which is expected to alleviate cost pressures on businesses and reduce concerns about persistent inflation in the U.S. economy [2][5] - Major technology stocks saw positive performance, with Alphabet rising by 4.01%, Netflix by 2.17%, and Amazon increasing by 2.56% following the Supreme Court ruling [3][5] Group 2 - The U.S. GDP growth for the fourth quarter was reported at an annualized rate of 1.4%, significantly below the expected 2.5%, primarily due to a government shutdown that impacted economic growth by approximately 1 percentage point [6][7] - The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, a preferred inflation measure by the Federal Reserve, remained stable at 3%, which is above the Fed's target of 2% [7] - Retail stocks responded positively to the Supreme Court's decision, with Home Depot rising by 0.97% and Five Below increasing by 1.91%, indicating a favorable market sentiment towards consumer goods companies [5][6]

本报讯（记者谢伟娜 通讯员张丹）日前，曲周县组织开展电商主播专题培训，全县各乡镇、企业的150 余名主播齐聚一堂，聆听石家庄资深电商专家带来的"重塑直播未来 赋能千万主播"主题授课，为曲周 童车童玩、禽蛋产品等特色好物"云端出圈"注入动能。 （来源：邯郸日报） 转自：邯郸日报 近年来，曲周县将"一品一播"作为推动县域经济高质量发展、激活乡村振兴的重要抓手，构建起"政府 引导+企业主体+院校支撑"的发展模式。目前该县已建成3000余平方米的综合直播基地，配套完善选品 中心、共享直播间、电商学院等设施，通过优化物流网络、开展常态化培训，形成"培训—孵化—扶 持"全链条培育体系。 "我们不仅要让主播'学得会'，更要让他们'用得好、长得快'。"曲周县"一品一播"工作专班办公室主任 李永朝表示，下一步将围绕童车童玩、禽蛋、特色农产品等主导产业定制专属课程，并依托"跨境+商 城+基地+村点"四位一体销售矩阵，为主播搭建实战舞台，推动更多本土主播从"新手"成长为"能手"。 作为曲周县"一品一播"人才培育工程的关键举措，培训紧扣县域电商高质量发展需求，课程设置兼顾理 论深度与实操实效。围绕企业定位、核心价值塑造、主播成长路径 ...

记者丨张嘉钰 编辑丨江佩霞 2月20日，美股集体低开，截至发稿，美股三大股指集体飘红反弹。 | 美国股票 [ | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯工业 | 纳斯达克指数 | 标普500 | | 49514.02 | 22861.45 | 6896.37 | | +118.86 +0.24% | +178.72 +0.79% | +34.48 +0.50% | | 美国科技七巨头 | 中概科技龙头 | 中国金龙 | | 63000.13 | 4000.57 | 7547.33 | | +767.94 +1.23% | -8.84 -0.22% | -6.65 -0.09% | 科技股涨跌不一，英特尔跌近3%，谷歌涨近超2%，西部数据涨近1%。 加密货币市场表现积极，比特币上涨1.4%至67837.55美元，以太坊上涨0.8%。最近24小时，全球共有 79554人被爆仓。爆仓总金额为1.84亿美元。 美伊方面，据央视新闻报道，当地时间2月20日上午，在被问及"如果伊朗不达成协议、是否在考虑有限 的军事打击"时，美国总统特朗普回应称，"我想我可以说，我正在考虑那件事。" 据CCTV时讯报道 ...

Core Viewpoint - JD Group's stock price has declined significantly, reflecting broader pressures in the technology and e-commerce sectors, driven by liquidity tightening and increased competition [1][2]. Industry Overview - The Hong Kong technology sector is under pressure, with the Hang Seng Technology Index dropping by 2.91%. Major internet companies like Alibaba, Baidu, and Tencent have also seen substantial declines in their stock prices [1]. - The e-commerce industry is facing intensified competition, including challenges from live-streaming e-commerce and ongoing price wars, raising concerns about consumer recovery and platform profitability [1]. Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, JD Group reported revenue of 299.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.85%. However, non-GAAP net profit decreased by 56% due to increased investments in new businesses like food delivery, which have pressured short-term profits [2]. - The company plans to hold a board meeting on March 5, 2026, to approve Q4 2025 and full-year results, indicating ongoing scrutiny of its financial performance [2]. Market Dynamics - The stock price has fallen below key moving averages (5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 60-day), with technical indicators showing signs of being oversold, as evidenced by a MACD histogram in negative territory and a KDJ J-line at 13.83 [3]. - On the funding side, there was a net inflow of 65.87 million HKD from institutional investors, while retail investors showed a net outflow, indicating internal market divergence [4].

一、宏观消费向好：抖音电商成时尚增长核心阵地 在消费升级与数字经济深度融合的背景下，时尚消费市场活力持续释放。国家促消费政策持续发力与居民可支配收入稳步提升，为行业增长奠定坚实基础。 2025 年前三季度，全国居民人均可支配收入同比增长 5.1%，社会消费品零售总额同比增长 4.0%，其中服装、鞋帽、针纺织品类零售额连续 11 个月保持正 增长，化妆品类零售总额突破 4285 亿元，增速高于消费品市场整体水平。 线上渠道已成为时尚消费增长的核心引擎。2024 年化妆品线上销售占比已达 52.4%，MAT2025 期间服饰鞋帽商品网上零售额持续攀升。抖音电商凭借独特 的 "看 — 搜 — 买 — 晒" 消费闭环，成为时尚消费领域头部线上渠道。数据显示，72% 的用户认可短视频、直播等内容形态能更直观全面地了解商品，57% 的用户认可平台价格与优惠力度，42% 的用户会被平台时尚主题活动与 IP 挑战吸引，形成了从心智种草到消费转化的完整链路。 关键节点营销与趋势发布更成为拉动增长的重要抓手。抖音电商深耕春秋上新与情人节、七夕等礼赠节点，2025 年春上新期间，"欧若风" 趋势发布引发全 网热潮，首发新品达 13 ...

Group 1 - Global capital markets experienced significant activity during the Spring Festival, with A-shares expected to be a key focus upon reopening [1][14][15] - The KOSPI index in South Korea surged by 3.09% to a record high of 5677.25 points, driven by strong performance in the semiconductor sector, particularly Samsung Electronics [3][4] - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan rose by 0.57% to 57467.83 points, buoyed by expectations of economic stimulus from the newly elected Prime Minister [4] Group 2 - U.S. stock markets also showed positive momentum, with the Dow Jones up 0.26%, S&P 500 up 0.56%, and Nasdaq up 0.78%, marking a second consecutive day of gains [5] - Semiconductor stocks were particularly strong, with Micron Technology rising 5.3% due to increased investment from hedge funds, and ASML gaining 3.45% [7] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Iran, have influenced market dynamics, leading to a spike in oil prices, with WTI crude up 4.3% to $64.94 per barrel and Brent crude up 4.2% to $70.25 [7][8] Group 3 - Precious metals saw a rebound, with gold prices reaching a peak of $5010.90 per ounce before closing at $4979.56, and silver prices rising by 5.04% to $77.2335 [8][9] - The Federal Reserve's January meeting minutes revealed internal divisions regarding future interest rate policies, contributing to market volatility and impacting U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar index [9][12] - The A50 index futures showed positive movement during the A-share market's closure, indicating a favorable outlook for A-shares upon reopening [13][15][17]