12月10日早盘，港股市场几乎平开，截至发稿，恒生指数报25435.49点，涨幅约0.00%，恒生科技指数 报5552.35点，跌幅0.04%。新股宝济药业-B高开超129%，复星医药早盘涨超4%，其控股子公司就相关 产品授予辉瑞全球独家许可，将获1.5亿美元首付款及最高19.35亿美元里程碑付款。科网、航空、黄 金、内房股表现不一。摩根大通预计到2026年底，MSCI中国指数涨约18%，沪深300指数涨约12%， MSCI香港指数涨幅可达18%，明年三大指数盈利增长率在9%至15%。汇丰私人银行将恒生指数2026年 底目标设为31000点。中信证券认为2026年港股将开启第二轮估值修复。(AI生成) 来源：视频滚动新闻 ...

来源：简清砚 据"天津高法"微信公众号，经最高人民法院核准，2025年12月9日上午，天津市第二中级人民法院依法 对罪犯白天辉执行了死刑。 很多人可能不解：既然他有"重大立功表现"，为什么还非杀不可？ 法律不是讲"坦白从宽"吗？ 这里面的门道，简君给你拆解一下。这不仅是法律的审判，更是政治生态的净化。 1． "四个特别"是硬杠杠 在我们的反腐逻辑里，有一种"极刑标准"，叫"四个特别"。 白天辉完美踩中了这四条红线，这是他必死的法理基础： 数额特别巨大：4年敛财11.08亿。这是什么概念？他平均每天受贿75万！ 情节特别严重：利用金融高管身份，疯狂进行权力寻租，手段隐蔽。 社会影响特别恶劣：身为国有金融大员，把企业当提款机，严重败坏了国企形象。 损失特别重大：他的贪婪导致国家资产巨额流失，且8亿多赃款至今无法追回。 这"四个特别"叠加，性质就变了。这不是简单的贪污，这是对国家金融安全的严重破坏。 2． 为什么"立功"救不了他？ 没错，白天辉确实揭发了他人，也有侦破线索，这叫"重大立功"。 但在法庭看来，功不抵罪。 罪行太深重：他的犯罪行为造成的后果，远远超过了他立功带来的"红利"。 震慑需要：金融反腐正处于深水 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market's high dividend sector typically experiences a seasonal "bull market" from December to mid-January, driven by historical patterns known as the "calendar effect" [1] Historical Data Insights - The Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Total Return Index shows a high absolute return probability of 90.9% from December to mid-January, with a median increase of 3.4% and an average increase of 4.6% since 2014 [2] - The probability of achieving excess returns compared to the A-share market (CSI 300) is 81.8%, with an average outperformance of approximately 2.1 percentage points [3] - The same probability of 81.8% applies when comparing to the A-share dividend index (CSI Dividend), with an average excess return of about 3.2 percentage points [4] - When compared to the Hong Kong market benchmark (Hang Seng Index), the probability of excess returns is also 81.8%, with an average excess return of approximately 1.6 percentage points [5] Exceptions and Insights - The only year with absolute return losses was from December 2015 to mid-January 2016, attributed to the A-share "leverage bull" collapse and liquidity crisis affecting the Hong Kong market. However, high dividend assets still outperformed the A-share market and the Hang Seng Index during this period [6] - Years where excess returns lagged behind the A-share market occurred mainly during the "fast bull" phases of 2014-2015 and 2020-2021, when growth stocks surged [6] - Excess returns lagging behind the Hang Seng Index were primarily due to significant movements in major stocks like Tencent, rather than a widespread trend [6] Investment Strategy - Investing in high dividend assets in the Hong Kong market at year-end is historically a high-probability strategy with both absolute and relative return potential, influenced by institutional portfolio adjustments and the dividend distribution system [7] - Among the high dividend stocks, those from state-owned enterprises (SOEs) may offer lower valuations and more stable dividend guarantees, as SOEs have implemented market value management and accountability systems [8] - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect SOE Dividend Index has a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 0.63, lower than the 0.66 for the broader high dividend index, providing a thicker "safety cushion" [8] - As of December 9, the one-year dividend yield for this index is 6.71%, surpassing the 4.84% yield of 10-year government bonds, with the largest investment vehicle tracking this index being the Hong Kong SOE Dividend ETF [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that China's sovereign wealth fund, the China Investment Corporation (CIC), is increasing its investment in global technology stocks while maintaining stable annualized returns despite changing external investment environments [2][3]. Group 2 - CIC's annualized net return on foreign investments over the past decade is 6.92% in USD, exceeding performance targets by 61 basis points [2]. - The annualized net return since its establishment is 6.39% in USD [2]. - The investment performance is evaluated over a 10-year cycle, with rolling annualized returns showing consistent outperformance against targets [2]. Group 3 - CIC's asset allocation includes alternative assets, public market equities, fixed income, and cash products, with alternative assets being the largest category [4]. - The allocation to alternative assets over the past five years has been 43%, 47%, 53.21%, 48.31%, and 48.49% respectively [4]. - The investment in public market equities has varied, with proportions of 38%, 35.4%, 28.60%, 33.13%, and 34.65% over the last five years [5]. Group 4 - The focus sectors for CIC's stock investments include information technology, finance, consumer discretionary, healthcare, industrials, communication services, and consumer staples, with notable shifts in investment proportions [7]. - Since 2020, the investment in information technology has consistently exceeded that in finance, maintaining over 20% in most years [7]. - The investment proportions in information technology from 2020 to 2024 are 20.39%, 22.76%, 19.55%, 21.91%, and 25.85%, while finance proportions are 12.94%, 13.89%, 15.54%, 15.02%, and 16.41% [7]. Group 5 - Geographically, developed economies are the primary focus for CIC's stock investments, although there has been a trend of increasing allocations to emerging markets [8]. - The investment proportions in U.S. stocks from 2020 to 2023 are 57%, 61.48%, 59.18%, and 60.29%, while non-U.S. developed regions are 31%, 25.39%, 26.81%, and 25.58% [8]. Group 6 - In fixed income assets, developed sovereign debt is a key focus, with increasing allocation trends compared to emerging sovereign debt [9]. - The allocation to developed sovereign debt from 2020 to 2024 is 55%, 51.63%, 52.75%, 66.02%, and 64.4% [9]. - The report highlights challenges in the global macroeconomic environment, including high interest rates and inflation, while also noting opportunities arising from technological and industrial transformations [9].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the development of four major leading industries in Hainan, focusing on enhancing and optimizing the tourism sector to establish Hainan as an internationally recognized tropical island tourism destination [1] - The tourism strategy includes creating a spatial layout of "one body, two rings, three poles, and seven groups," aiming to improve the modern tourism product system and launch significant tourism projects [1] - Six core tourism products will be developed, including marine tourism, cultural tourism, sports tourism, medical wellness, integrated travel, and aerospace tourism, alongside six specialized tourism products [1] Group 2 - The initiative promotes the high-quality and efficient development of the modern service industry, extending productive services towards specialization and high-value chains [2] - There is a strong focus on expanding the service radius internationally and developing enabling industries such as digital economy, finance, and logistics to enhance economic circulation [2] - The strategy aims to elevate service consumption from traditional tourism to diverse fields like healthcare, education, and culture, creating a new service consumption system that attracts new economic groups to Hainan [2]

专题：2025《中国企业家》影响力企业家年会 12月5日-7日，由《中国企业家》杂志社主办的"2025（第二十三届）《中国企业家》影响力企业家年 会"（原中国企业领袖年会）在北京举行，主题为"涌现·无限——共创智能商业新形态"。峰瑞资本创始 合伙人李丰出席并演讲。 作为企业家，要不要今天开始和大家一样赶紧用智能体？李丰回答称，需要先评价一下企业内部和行业 链条中数字化水平是不是比较高了。"如果不高，也许还要再等一等。如果企业自身数字化水平很高 了，也许内部可以用一些智能体。" 他提到，这一轮AI是从大语言模型开始的，数据来自于过去超过40年互联网公开文本数据的积累，才 喂出了今天的大语言模型。 除了企业外，李丰表示，大语言模型最适用的垂直智能体场景，就是在任何商务过程和价值实现过程 中，作为自然语言作为交互方式，进行多轮对话，且实现了价值兑现，这样的行业最容易使用和利用到 AI智能体的垂直场景。 他举例到，比如金融行业，全链条数字化，主要靠专业技术和专业技能进行对话，告诉客户投资原因， 如何选金融产品，风险和潜在收益是什么。还有医疗行业，医生会用数字化设备检测身体，告诉患者如 何预防疾病等。这些行业都是最容易 ...

Core Viewpoint - JD.com continues to invest in Hong Kong, enhancing its supply chain capabilities and local presence through strategic acquisitions and infrastructure development [1][2][3] Group 1: Company Developments - JD.com has acquired Surearn Profits Limited, which owns office space in the China Construction Bank Tower in Central Hong Kong, with the transaction pending regulatory approval [1] - The company has established a logistics and e-commerce presence in Hong Kong since 2015, with a significant increase in daily package collection volume, growing over 50 times in the past two years [2] - JD.com has completed several strategic investments in Hong Kong, including the acquisition of local supermarket chain Jia Bao and the establishment of a joint laboratory with Hong Kong University of Science and Technology [1][2] Group 2: Community Engagement - Following a recent fire incident in Tai Po, JD.com’s Jia Bao supermarket was the first to deliver emergency supplies, demonstrating the company's commitment to community support [3] - JD.com announced a donation of 30 million RMB in cash and supplies for disaster relief and recovery efforts in response to the fire [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - JD.com plans to continue expanding its logistics infrastructure in Hong Kong, with the upcoming listing of JD Industrial in December marking the fourth company from JD's ecosystem to go public in Hong Kong [1][2]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index has short-term support at the 25,000 point level, with recent hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve indicating limited rate cut space in 2026. Economic conditions in mainland China are cooling, and corporate earnings in Hong Kong are unlikely to improve significantly in the short term [2][3] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,434, down 1.29% year-to-date, with a cumulative increase of 26.79% [5] Sector Focus - The AI sector is gaining attention with the launch of AI glasses and smartphones, benefiting related stocks [7] - The biopharmaceutical sector is expected to thrive due to rising flu cases and favorable financing conditions [7] - The insurance sector is seeing improved investment returns driven by strong A-share performance [7] Corporate News - Vanke (2202) is reportedly willing to pay some interest to bondholders to facilitate debt extension negotiations [10] - Xiaomi (1810) is undergoing personnel adjustments in China and plans to close unprofitable stores [10] - Longi Green Energy (6869) is raising over HKD 2.2 billion through a nearly 15% discounted share placement [10] - SenseTime (0020) reports double-digit growth in domestic chip computing power and plans to launch a new generation of AI models in spring [10] - Novartis (NVS) has reached a USD 1.7 billion drug target collaboration agreement with UK biotech company Relation [10] - Midea (0300) has completed its share repurchase plan, buying back 135 million A-shares for approximately CNY 10 billion [10] Economic Indicators - The U.S. job openings reached 7.67 million in October, the highest in five months, alleviating concerns about labor market deterioration [8] - China's urban rail transit completed a passenger volume of 2.83 billion in November, showing a 4.4% year-on-year increase [8] - The Chinese express delivery development index for November was 478.1, up 3% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in the industry [8] Investment Sentiment - Approximately half of the surveyed companies in Hong Kong are optimistic about the economic outlook for next year, a significant increase from 18% last year [9] - The Hong Kong government is planning to implement an automatic exchange of tax information related to cryptocurrency transactions starting in 2028 [9]

制图：仲昭宇 在外部环境复杂严峻情况下，上海经济顶住压力，展现出极强的韧性，今年前三季度GDP实现5.5%的 亮眼增长。 尽管去年四季度高增长基数因素或对全年增速造成一定回落压力，但通过分析今年1—10月部分行业统 计数据可以看出，上海经济高质量发展的积极因素正在增多，结构更优、后劲更足——这是上海经济答 卷中最值得关注的特征，也是上海未来发展的信心所在。 看"动能转换" 经济发展的韧性和后劲，更要看结构优不优。 今年以来，上海经济结构转型持续加快。1—10月，上海三大先导产业制造业产值增长7.6%，其中集成 电路、人工智能分别增长10.9%和11.1%；工业战略性新兴产业产值增长7.2%。 这表明，代表新质生产力的发展新动能正在持续壮大。 与此同时，截至9月末，科创板589家上市企业中，上海占94家，位居全国第二。这也从侧面印证了上海 企业的"硬核"实力。 看"消费反超" 看"流量汇聚" 今年以来，面对复杂多变的国际形势，上海外贸进出口好于预期。1—10月，上海外贸进出口总额同比 增长5.2%。其中，出口总额同比增长达到10.5%，特别是对非美市场出口增长16.3%，显示中国及上海 企业极强的市场竞争力和市 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has launched its first stock index, the HKEX Technology 100, which includes companies from various technology sectors such as artificial intelligence, biotechnology, electric vehicles, and robotics [1][4] Group 1: Index Characteristics - The HKEX Technology 100 index has four main characteristics: broad market capitalization coverage, listing time requirements with a rapid inclusion mechanism, eligibility for Stock Connect trading, and a diverse range of technology sectors [1] - The index selection criteria include: a minimum listing period of six months, a fundamental requirement where R&D expenditure must account for at least 3% of revenue or revenue must grow by at least 5% year-on-year, and a liquidity requirement with an average daily trading volume exceeding 20 million HKD over the past six months [4] Group 2: Strategic Importance - The CEO of HKEX, Charles Li, stated that this index represents a significant milestone in the development of the group's index and data business, highlighting Hong Kong's critical role in promoting the growth of emerging industries [4] - The index provides investors with an effective and comprehensive investment tool to capitalize on opportunities in technology and emerging sectors [4]