据悉，新增航线精准匹配中澳新能源汽车贸易需求。近期，中国工业和信息化部等八部门联合印发《汽 车行业稳增长工作方案(2025—2026年)》，明确2025年新能源汽车销量目标约1550万辆(同比增长20%左 右)，并提出保持汽车出口稳定增长的要求。与此同时，澳大利亚新能源汽车市场正迎来发展窗口期： 该国政府发布《国家电动交通战略》，设定2030年新能源汽车占新车销售30%的目标；设立"清洁交通 基金"，通过购置税收优惠、直接补贴激活市场需求；出台《国家电动交通行动计划》，明确2027年实 现该国充电桩数量翻倍。 中新网上海9月28日电 (陈静韩静)28日，由中国航运企业运营的澳新班轮直航航线在上海南港码头迎来 首航。该航线聚焦澳大利亚、新西兰市场，新增运力与航线布局将进一步拓宽国产汽车的"出海"物流通 道。 此次首航的"维京翡翠"轮(马绍尔群岛籍)为4300车位的汽车滚装船。据船方介绍，本航次共装载2330件 货物，涵盖多个品牌新能源汽车、少量工程车与汽车配件，将驶向澳大利亚墨尔本、肯布拉、布里斯班 等港口。 为保障首航各环节高效顺畅，洋山边检站提前对接船方、码头运营企业、相关汽车制造企业及航线运营 企业等单位 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jinhui Group (00137.HK) announced the acquisition of a property located at 25th floor, Yili Commercial Building, 3 Connaught Road West, Hong Kong, for HKD 67.38 million, which is considered a strategic long-term capital investment independent of the group's core maritime business [1] Group Summary - The buyer, Yiyu Limited, is an indirect subsidiary of Jinhui Group, holding approximately 55.69% equity [1] - The property is currently under a lease that will expire on June 30, 2027, and the buyer does not intend to renew the lease after its expiration [1] - The acquisition is expected to enhance the group's operational efficiency and strengthen its asset base, as the property will be used as an office [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information regarding the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The freight rate is expected to show a "U" - shaped movement. The European - line freight rate and futures price are predicted to remain in a weak and volatile state in the medium term until November, and then start to rebound. The short - term fluctuation range is expected to be between 900 and 1200 points [6][7]. - For trading strategies, the 12 - contract can be considered for low - buying opportunities, the medium - term high - selling strategy can continue, and the long - term strategy depends on the situation. A positive spread strategy for the 12 - 02 contracts can be attempted when their prices converge, and a "selling over - the - counter options + buying futures" hedging combination can be tried [8]. - The current supply - demand situation shows that the demand is weak overall, especially in the European line, and the supply growth rate has decreased as expected, but the stock still has pressure, resulting in a continued oversupply situation [6][30]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Viewpoint Summary - **Trend Forecast**: The demand is relatively weak this year. The off - season is expected to last until November, and then pick up. The supply still has an oversupply situation due to insufficient idle capacity. The European - line freight rate and futures price are expected to be weak in the medium term and rebound in November. However, variables such as shipping company actions and macro - level impacts need to be noted [6]. - **Interval Outlook**: The short - term fluctuation range of the long - term European - line freight rate is [900, 1200] points [7]. - **Strategy Outlook**: The 12 - contract can be considered for low - buying opportunities, the medium - term high - selling strategy can continue, and the long - term strategy depends on the situation. A positive spread strategy for the 12 - 02 contracts can be attempted when their prices converge, and a "selling over - the - counter options + buying futures" hedging combination can be tried [8]. - **Risk Points**: Red Sea resumption of navigation, unexpected development of tariffs, etc. [9] 3.2 Market Review - **Container Shipping Freight Rate Review**: In the third quarter, the European - line settlement freight rate first rose seasonally in early July and then declined. The decline was mainly due to the "off - peak in peak season" of booking demand. The European - line spot freight rate index also showed a downward trend. The US - West line freight rate fluctuated widely due to factors such as tariffs and port fees. Overall, the third quarter showed an "off - peak in peak season" situation [12][13]. - **Container Shipping Futures Price Review**: The container shipping index (European line) futures price first rose with seasonal demand recovery and then declined due to oversupply. After reaching the lowest point in September, it rebounded slightly with shipping company price support. The volatility in the third quarter was relatively narrow [18]. - **Demand "Off - peak in Peak Season"**: The global container shipping market demand maintained a certain seasonality in the third quarter, but the year - on - year growth rate was relatively low. The European - line demand was relatively poor, as reflected by the low congestion index of European ports. The euro - zone economy was in a weak recovery state, unable to provide strong support for the futures price [23][25][28]. - **Supply Growth Rate Declined, Stock Still under Pressure**: - **High Effective Capacity**: The global container ship capacity growth rate has gradually slowed down but remains relatively high, higher than the average. This is one of the reasons for the high overall supply stock [30]. - **Slowdown in New Ship Orders and Deliveries**: In July and August, the new order volume and shipbuilding completion volume of container ships decreased significantly year - on - year, indicating that the market capacity is relatively saturated and the demand is not strong [40]. - **Stable Red Sea Diversion Structure**: The Red Sea diversion continues, and the transit volume of the Suez Canal is still low. However, the current diversion pattern is relatively stable, and its supporting effect on the freight rate of the Asia - Europe route is relatively weak [42]. 3.3 Core Concerns - **Tariff Changes**: In the third quarter, tariff changes were relatively small compared to the second quarter. However, recent US tariff announcements on EU and other products will have a negative impact on the international trade environment and the container shipping market in the medium and long term. The follow - up results of China - US tariff negotiations also need to be continuously monitored [46][47]. - **Shipping Company Measures**: Shipping companies have been issuing price - increase letters, but the actual implementation effect has been poor except in June. However, their price - increasing actions can have a short - term positive impact on the futures market sentiment. Whether shipping companies can maintain the current price quotes will affect the valuation of the futures price [50]. - **Fundamentals**: In the fourth quarter, the demand is expected to remain weak until November and then pick up, but overall it may still be relatively weak. The supply growth rate is expected to continue to decline but remain at a high level, and the oversupply situation will continue [53]. 3.4 Valuation Feedback and Supply - Demand Outlook - **Valuation**: Currently, the valuation is weak but has the potential to increase. The shipping companies' price - supporting actions in mid - October have led to a recovery in the futures price valuation. The current basis has converged to a reasonable range [54][55]. - **Demand Side**: - **Trade - Related Macroeconomic Indicators**: The OECD composite leading indicator shows that China's overall export demand in the fourth quarter may be relatively stable but slightly weak [56]. - **Trade Recovery**: Based on past experience, China's export trade data usually increases from mid - November, but there is a possibility of blurred seasonality this year [58]. - **Authoritative Institution Forecasts**: Clarksons has raised the trade volume forecast for the Asia - Europe route in the next two years, but the increase is relatively small [60]. - **Supply Outlook**: The total container ship capacity in 2025 is expected to increase by 6.6% year - on - year, and the capacity of 17000 + container ships is expected to increase by 6.1% year - on - year. The oversupply situation is expected to continue in the fourth quarter [60][63].

| 集运指数（欧线）期货日报 | | | | | 2025/9/29 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 项目类别 数据指标 最新 | | 环比 数据指标 | | 最新 | 环比 | | EC主力收盘价 1115.000 | | -35.8↓ EC次主力收盘价 | | 1756.3 | -24.30↓ | | 期货盘面 EC2510-EC2512价差 -641.30 | | -3.30↓ EC2510-EC2602价差 | | -552.00 | -6.00↓ | | EC合约基差 5.49 期货持仓头寸（手） EC主力持仓量 29314 | | -110.43↓ -3117↓ | | | | | SCFIS（欧线）（周） 1120.49 | | -134.43↓ SCFIS（美西线）（周） | | 921.25 | -272.39↓ | | SCFI（综合指数）（周） 1114.52 | | -83.69↓ 集装箱船运力（万标准箱） | | 1,227.97 | 0.04↑ | | 现货价格 CCFI（综合指数）（周） 1087.41 | | -32.82↓ ...

Group 1: Oil Shipping - The fourth quarter is a traditional peak season for oil shipping, with freight rates expected to rise starting in October [2][3] - Current freight rates reflect tight supply levels, and the demand for oil products in the Northern Hemisphere winter typically lasts for three months [1][2] - OPEC+ is expected to continue small production increases in October, contributing to sustained demand for shipping [1][2] Group 2: Near Coastal and Domestic Shipping - After the National Day holiday, freight rates for near coastal and domestic shipping are anticipated to gradually increase [3] - The near coastal shipping market has improved supply-demand dynamics this year, with no new supply of small vessels and aging fleets causing efficiency losses [3] - Increased cargo volumes between Southeast Asia and China, Japan, and South Korea are expected to support demand growth [3] Group 3: Dry Bulk Shipping - Historical data suggests that the BDI index typically rises in September and early October due to increased demand for grain shipments [4] - The post-holiday rush effect is likely to drive freight rates up after the National Day holiday, although rates may decline after the peak grain shipping period [4] - Winter energy demand is expected to boost transportation needs for coal and iron ore, leading to a potential rise in freight rates in late November [4] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The company sees potential investment opportunities in the shipping sector due to ongoing supply tightness and marginal demand improvements [5] - Specific companies highlighted for potential growth include COSCO Shipping Energy (600026), China Merchants Energy Shipping (601872), China Merchants Jinling Shipyard (601975), Seaspan Corporation (01308), and Zhonggu Logistics (603565) [5]

（原标题：欧美航线运价大跌！航运市场今年"旺季不旺" 什么原因？） 受中美关税影响，美线航运市场在经历一轮狂热之后迎来了迅速回落，本应是航运市场传统旺季的9 月，相比往年却显得尤为冷清：一方面，美线航运价大幅跳水，另一方面，出货量也不及预期。 "这波运价跌幅确实有点大，欧美线的航运价格甚至跌破了部分船公司的成本价了。"众包物流总经理甘 建军对记者表示。为航运电商提供运价服务的Geek Rate官网显示，根据9月29日最新报价，10月7日从 上海至美国洛杉矶15日航程的航线报价为1220美元/40尺货柜，这较两周前的价格跌幅超30%。欧洲线 方面，上海至鹿特丹航线最低报价为1400美元/FEU，也较9月中旬有所下滑。 宁波航运交易所9月27日NCFI指数亦显示，美西航线运价指数报868.22 点，环比下滑 8.11%；美东航线 报834.04 点，环比下滑4.99%。此外，欧洲线也呈现较大跌幅，环比下滑 8.83%。此外，上海集装箱运 价指数在9 月15日—19 日创下2016年以来最大的单周跌幅，大跌14%。 欧美航线运价下跌幅度之大，甚至跌破部分船公司的成本价。"9月份欧线价格都已经跌到三位数了，正 常情况 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The market continued to rebound, which was in line with the daily report's bottoming - out judgment. The far - month contracts were stronger. It was recommended to control risks by holding an empty position during the holiday and set stop - losses [2]. - The core issue was the trend of spot freight rates. The main contract might be in the bottoming - out process. It was recommended to participate with a light position or wait and see [4]. - The main contract remained weak in the short - term, while the far - month contracts were stronger, which was in line with the bottoming - out judgment. Risk - preferring investors were advised to try to go long on the 12 and 02 contracts around 1600 [5]. 3. Summary by Related Content 3.1 Freight Index - As of September 22, the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (SCFIS) for the European route was 1254.92 points, down 12.9% from the previous period; the SCFIS for the US West route was 1193.64 points, down 11.6% from the previous period. The Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) announced a price of 1114.52 points, down 83.69 points from the previous period. The SCFI European line price was 971 USD/TEU, down 7.70% from the previous period; the SCFI US West route was 1460 USD/FEU, down 10.76% from the previous period [3]. - As of September 26, the Ningbo Export Container Freight Index (NCFI) (composite index) was 717.36 points, down 8.47% from the previous period; the NCFI for the European route was 614.14 points, down 8.83% from the previous period; the NCFI for the US West route was 868.22 points, down 8.11% from the previous period. The China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI) (composite index) was 1087.41 points, down 2.9% from the previous period; the CCFI for the European route was 1401.91 points, down 4.7% from the previous period; the CCFI for the US West route was 824.92 points, up 2.4% from the previous period [3]. 3.2 Economic Data - The preliminary value of the Eurozone's manufacturing PMI in September was 49.5, falling back below the boom - bust line, lower than analysts' expectations and the previous value of 50.7. The preliminary value of the service industry PMI rose from 50.5 to 51.4, exceeding the expected 50.5. The preliminary value of the Eurozone's composite PMI in September was 51.2, exceeding analysts' expectations. The Eurozone's Sentix Investor Confidence Index in September was - 9.2, with an expected - 2 and a previous value of - 3.7 [3]. - In August, China's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) was 49.4%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, and the manufacturing prosperity level improved. The composite PMI output index was 50.5%, up 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, remaining above the critical point, indicating that the overall expansion of Chinese enterprises' production and business activities accelerated [4]. - The preliminary value of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in September was 52 (the final value in August was 53); the preliminary value of the service industry PMI was 53.9 (the final value in August was 54.5); the preliminary value of the composite PMI was 53.6 (the final value in August was 54.6) [4]. 3.3 Market Situation - The Sino - US tariff extension continued, and the negotiation had no substantial progress. The tariff war had gradually evolved into a trade negotiation issue between the US and other countries. The spot price decreased slightly. The core issue was the trend of spot freight rates, and the main contract might be in the bottoming - out process [4]. - On September 26, the main contract 2510 closed at 1139.0, down 1.86%. The trading volume was 22,000 lots, and the open interest was 32,400 lots, a decrease of 3095 lots from the previous day [4]. - Although liner companies announced a freight rate increase in late October, there were doubts about the implementation of the increase. Under the long - short game in the market, the price fluctuated widely and declined. Attention should be paid to tariff policies, the Middle East situation, and spot freight rates [4]. 3.4 Strategies - **Short - term Strategy**: The main contract remained weak, and the far - month contracts were stronger, in line with the bottoming - out judgment. Risk - preferring investors were advised to try to go long on the 12 and 02 contracts around 1600. Pay attention to the subsequent market trend, and do not hold losing positions. Set stop - losses [5]. - **Arbitrage Strategy**: Against the backdrop of international turmoil, each contract still followed the seasonal logic with large fluctuations. It was recommended to wait and see or try with a light position [5]. - **Long - term Strategy**: For each contract, it was recommended to take profits when the price rose, wait for the price to stabilize after a correction, and then judge the subsequent direction [5]. 3.5 Contract Adjustments - The daily price limit for contracts 2508 - 2606 was adjusted to 18%. - The company's margin for contracts 2508 - 2606 was adjusted to 28%. - The daily opening limit for all contracts 2508 - 2606 was 100 lots [5]. 3.6 Geopolitical News - On September 27, local time, the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) was reported to have agreed to a Gaza cease - fire plan proposed by the US, but Hamas had not yet commented on the report. - On September 26, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu defended Israel's military actions in the Gaza Strip and multiple Middle Eastern countries at the UN General Assembly, and his speech was protested by many parties [6].

宁波航运交易所9月27日NCFI指数亦显示，美西航线运价指数报868.22点，环比下滑8.11%；美东航线 报834.04点，环比下滑4.99%。此外，欧洲线也呈现较大跌幅，环比下滑8.83%。此外，上海集装箱运价 指数在9月15日—19日创下2016年以来最大的单周跌幅，大跌14%。 "这波运价跌幅确实有点大，欧美线的航运价格甚至跌破了部分船公司的成本价了。"众包物流总经理甘 建军对记者表示。为航运电商提供运价服务的Geek Rate官网显示，根据9月29日最新报价，10月7日从 上海至美国洛杉矶15日航程的航线报价为1220美元/40尺货柜，这较两周前的价格跌幅超30%。欧洲线 方面，上海至鹿特丹航线最低报价为1400美元/FEU，也较9月中旬有所下滑。 欧美航线运价下跌幅度之大，甚至跌破部分船公司的成本价。"9月份欧线价格都已经跌到三位数了，正 常情况下绕行好望角的成本要比走苏伊士运河高30%，现在加起来反而比以前还便宜很多，船公司都在 亏钱。"甘建军直言，这是过去五年除2023年年初之外的最低水平。 受中美关税影响，美线航运市场在经历一轮狂热之后迎来了迅速回落，本应是航运市场传统旺季的9 月，相比往年 ...

Core Points - The company announced the resignation of Vice Chairman Sun Yanjun and Supervisor Wang Jiong due to job changes, effective September 28, 2025 [1] - Sun Yanjun also resigned from his positions as a director and a member of the board's strategic committee [1] - Following their resignations, both individuals will no longer hold any other positions within the company [1] - The resignation of Sun Yanjun will not affect the normal operation of the board, and the company will promptly carry out the process to elect a new director [1] - Wang Jiong's resignation will not impact the normal operation of the supervisory board [1] - The company expressed gratitude for the contributions made by both individuals [1]

受中美关税影响，美线航运市场在经历一轮狂热之后迎来了迅速回落，本应是航运市场传统旺季的9月，相比往年却显得尤为冷清：一方面，美线航运价 大幅跳水，另一方面，出货量也不及预期。 "这波运价跌幅确实有点大，欧美线的航运价格甚至跌破了部分船公司的成本价了。"众包物流总经理甘建军对记者表示。为航运电商提供运价服务的Geek Rate官网显示，根据9月29日最新报价，10月7日从上海至美国洛杉矶15日航程的航线报价为1220美元/40尺货柜，这较两周前的价格跌幅超30%。欧洲线方 面，上海至鹿特丹航线最低报价为1400美元/FEU，也较9月中旬有所下滑。 宁波航运交易所9月27日NCFI指数亦显示，美西航线运价指数报868.22 点，环比下滑 8.11%；美东航线报834.04 点，环比下滑4.99%。此外，欧洲线也呈现 较大跌幅，环比下滑 8.83%。此外，上海集装箱运价指数在9 月15日—19 日创下2016年以来最大的单周跌幅，大跌14%。 欧美航线运价下跌幅度之大，甚至跌破部分船公司的成本价。"9月份欧线价格都已经跌到三位数了，正常情况下绕行好望角的成本要比走苏伊士运河高 30%，现在加起来反而比以前还便宜很多 ...