2025 年 12 月 22 日 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 相关研究 1、《双融日报》2025-12-19 2、《双融日报》2025-12-18 3、《双融日报》2025-12-17 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（过热） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 81 分，市场情绪处于"过热"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：81 分（过热） 最近一年大盘走势 20 25 (%) 沪深300 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：液冷、银行、券商 1、液冷主题：第五届国际 AIDC 液冷产业链千人大会暨全球 数据中心液冷市场趋势研讨会将于 12 月 18 日至 19 日举行。 近年来国际 AI 领域的主要企业正加速转向液冷技术应用。例 如，英伟达在去年发布的 B100 与 H200 芯片上，已正式将散 热方案从传统风冷升级为液冷系统。相关标的：英维克 （002837）、飞龙股份（002536） 2、银行主题：银行股具有高股息特性，如中证银行 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [5] Core Viewpoints - 2026 is expected to be the year of significant industrialization for liquid cooling technology, with a focus on investment opportunities in this area [4] - NVIDIA's GPU power is projected to increase significantly, with the R200 chip expected to reach 2300W and the R300 chip potentially exceeding 4000W by 2027, leading to a substantial market size for liquid cooling systems [1] - The liquid cooling market for Google’s TPUv7 is estimated to be between $2.4 billion and $2.9 billion in 2026, with a significant increase in chip shipments anticipated [2] - IDC forecasts that the domestic liquid cooling server market in China will exceed $10 billion by 2028, driven by a compound annual growth rate of 47.6% from 2023 to 2028 [3] Summary by Sections Section 1: NVIDIA Liquid Cooling Market - NVIDIA's liquid cooling market size is estimated to be between $6.9 billion and $9.7 billion for 2026, based on projected GPU orders [1] Section 2: Google TPU Liquid Cooling Market - The estimated market size for Google’s TPUv7 liquid cooling systems is projected to be between $2.4 billion and $2.9 billion in 2026, with significant chip shipments expected [2] Section 3: Domestic Market Growth - The Chinese liquid cooling server market is expected to reach $2.37 billion in 2024, a 67% increase from 2023, with a projected market size of $10.2 billion by 2028 [3] Section 4: Investment Recommendations - It is recommended to focus on leading companies with technological barriers that can enter the supply chains of major domestic and international manufacturers, as well as second-tier companies that can leverage the growth in the liquid cooling industry [4]

Core Viewpoint - Short-term fluctuations in A-shares are primarily influenced by external factors such as concerns over the AI bubble in the US stock market and interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan, but A-shares are expected to resonate upward with global markets as US AI core company stock prices stabilize and the impact of the Bank of Japan's rate hike is limited [1] Industry Focus - Key industry focus areas include non-ferrous metals (silver, copper, tin, tungsten), high dividend stocks in Hong Kong, non-bank financials, AI (liquid cooling, optical communication), new energy (energy storage, solid-state batteries), innovative pharmaceuticals, and banking [1] Thematic Focus - Thematic investment areas to pay attention to are Hainan (duty-free), nuclear power, and ice and snow tourism [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the mechanical equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The humanoid robot company Galaxy General has completed a new round of financing of $300 million, achieving a valuation of $3 billion, making it the highest-valued company in China's humanoid robot sector [2] - The semiconductor equipment sector is seeing consolidation, with companies like Zhongwei planning acquisitions to enhance their product offerings [3] - The liquid cooling industry is experiencing growth, with major players like Vertiv expanding their manufacturing capabilities, indicating strong confidence in the sector's long-term potential [4] - PCB equipment and consumables are set for expansion, with companies like Pengding Holdings planning significant investments to meet the rising demand driven by AI applications [5] Summary by Sections Humanoid Robots - Galaxy General's recent financing round has positioned it as a leader in the humanoid robot market, with significant partnerships in industrial manufacturing and retail sectors [2] Semiconductor Equipment - Zhongwei's acquisition of Hangzhou Zhonggui aims to enhance its CMP equipment offerings, complementing its existing dry process equipment [3] - Other leading companies are also pursuing acquisitions to strengthen their platforms, indicating a trend towards consolidation in the semiconductor equipment market [3] Liquid Cooling - Vertiv's new R&D and manufacturing base in Suzhou reflects the industry's confidence in liquid cooling technology, which is becoming essential for data centers due to increasing power densities [4] - The report highlights the potential for significant market growth, estimating the global server liquid cooling market could reach $80 billion by 2026 [19] PCB Equipment & Consumables - Pengding Holdings is set to invest 4.3 billion yuan in Thailand to expand its production capabilities for AI-related PCB products, with expected order growth in 2026 [5] - The report emphasizes the increasing demand for high-end PCB drilling tools, driven by the rise of AI servers and advanced PCB designs [32]

Core Viewpoint - The company has engaged in the liquid cooling sector, offering products such as pipelines, computing containers, dry cooling towers, and heat exchangers, and has established partnerships with industry clients [1] Group 1 - The company confirmed its involvement in the liquid cooling sector and listed its main products [1] - Current collaborations have been established with clients in the industry [1] - The company plans to continue innovation-driven development, focusing on product and technology research, while actively expanding its customer base and market presence [1]

Core Viewpoint - Chunzhong Technology plans to acquire shares in Beijing Xinghe Power Aerospace Technology Co., Ltd. to enhance capital efficiency and investment returns, with a total investment of 70 million yuan [2][5][8]. Group 1: Company Actions - Chunzhong Technology intends to use 30 million yuan of its own funds to acquire 927,580 shares of Xinghe Power, representing 0.2143% of its total share capital [2][5]. - The company's actual controller and chairman, He Shida, plans to invest 40 million yuan to acquire 1,236,770 shares of Xinghe Power [2][5]. - The total investment by Chunzhong Technology and He Shida amounts to 70 million yuan for approximately 2.16 million shares of Xinghe Power [5]. Group 2: Transaction Details - The transaction is classified as a related party investment and has been approved by Chunzhong Technology's board of directors [5][6]. - The shares being acquired are free of any encumbrances, legal disputes, or restrictions on transfer [7]. - The transaction does not constitute a significant asset restructuring and is expected to optimize asset allocation and create greater synergy value [5][7]. Group 3: Industry Context - Xinghe Power is recognized as the first private commercial aerospace company in China to achieve mass production of rockets and high-density launches [9]. - The company has successfully launched 85 satellites and serves 27 clients, holding a 51.3% market share in the domestic private rocket industry [9]. - Xinghe Power recently completed a 2.4 billion yuan D-round financing to accelerate the development of its reusable liquid rockets and related capabilities [9][10].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The establishment of Vertiv's East China R&D and manufacturing base in Suzhou signifies a rapid increase in global demand for cooling solutions in computing power, particularly driven by the growth in AI computing [1] - The rise in server power density has transformed liquid cooling from an optional solution to a necessity, with projections indicating that the computing server market could exceed 100 billion by 2026-2027 [2] - Vertiv's expansion aims to overcome current capacity bottlenecks, leveraging the robust supply chain in the Yangtze River Delta region, which is home to numerous suppliers of critical components [3] Summary by Sections Industry Potential - The establishment of Vertiv's manufacturing base indicates a significant uptick in demand for liquid cooling solutions, particularly in the context of AI computing [1] Market Dynamics - The liquid cooling market is expected to see substantial growth, with leading companies like Vertiv demonstrating confidence in the long-term prospects of this sector [2] - The introduction of more suppliers into the NV open RVL list and the maturation of the ASIC server supply chain present opportunities for domestic liquid cooling suppliers to gain market share [2] Company Expansion - Vertiv's expansion is a strategic move to address capacity constraints and enhance its competitive edge by integrating local suppliers into its supply chain [3] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Vertiv as a leading thermal control provider with strong North American client progress - Hongsheng Co., specializing in plate-fin heat exchangers - Neway Valve, a leader in the valve sector - Additional companies to watch include Feilong Co., Kexin New Source, Yidong Electronics, and Feirongda [4]

2025 年 12 月 19 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：47 分（中性） 3、券商主题：12 月 6 日，证监会主席吴清在证券业协会会 员大会致辞，提出"将着力强化分类监管、"扶优限劣"。 对优质机构适当"松绑"，进一步优化风控指标，适度打开 资本空间和杠杆限制，提升资本利用效率"。证券行业要摒 弃简单的拼规模、比增速、争排名把重心聚焦到高质量发 展，中小机构加快从同质化经营向差异化发展转变，一流机 构不仅是规模大还需专业强、服务优等内容。相关标的：中 信证券（600030）、国泰海通（601211） ▌ 风险提示 最近一年大盘走势 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 (%) 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（中性） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 47 分，市场情绪处于"中性"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：液冷、银行、券商 1、液冷主题：第五届国际 AIDC 液冷产业链千人大会暨全球 数据 ...

Group 1 - Google's AI models are performing exceptionally well, accelerating the evolution of self-developed chips and cluster solutions, which is expected to increase demand for liquid cooling systems [1][2] - The compatibility of TPU with PyTorch is being enhanced, significantly reducing migration costs for enterprises and expanding the market [2][3] - The release of TPUv7 and Gemini 3 series models marks a significant breakthrough for Google in the AI application field, with improved technical performance and a richer application ecosystem [2][3] Group 2 - There is a growing demand for TPUs, with companies like Anthropic and Meta planning to rent TPUs from Google, which will further drive the demand for ASICs [3] - Anthropic has announced a partnership with Google to deploy up to 1 million TPU chips for training its AI model Claude, with a projected computational capacity reaching 1GW by 2026 [3] - Meta is in discussions with Google to rent chips from Google Cloud, with investments potentially worth billions of dollars [3] Group 3 - The demand for optical fibers and cables is being driven by the ongoing iteration of AI large model training and the acceleration of AI application deployment, which is expected to lead to a recovery in prices [4] - The growth in demand for optical fibers and cables is linked to the increasing requirements for internal network connectivity in clusters and external data center interconnections [4] Group 4 - The company maintains a positive outlook on three core themes: "optical, liquid cooling, and domestic computing power," while also emphasizing the importance of satellite and edge AI [5] - Recommended stocks include a range of companies involved in these core themes, indicating a broad investment interest in the sector [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report from CITIC Securities is that liquid cooling technology is becoming the mainstream energy-saving solution for data centers due to its higher cooling efficiency and lower PUE, with the global liquid cooling market expected to reach $21.8 billion by 2027 [1] - The current competitive landscape of the liquid cooling industry is dominated by Taiwanese manufacturers, but domestic manufacturers are anticipated to benefit significantly from the increasing demand for AI-driven liquid cooling solutions [1] - The report recommends domestic companies that possess mass production capabilities for core liquid cooling components and comprehensive solutions [1] Group 2 - CICC predicts that the new paradigm in the pig farming industry will continue to strengthen by 2026, with the price characteristics of pigs expected to show shorter cycles, reduced amplitude, and decreased volatility [2] - The report suggests that while pig prices may experience a mild decline in 2026, leading companies in the sector are likely to maintain profitability throughout the year [2] - The investment approach in the pig farming sector is shifting from a purely cyclical perspective to a combination of cyclical and value considerations, with low-cost, large-scale leading enterprises expected to outperform the industry [2] Group 3 - CICC forecasts that coal prices will exhibit a trend of being lower in the first half of 2026 and higher in the second half, with the annual average likely to remain similar to that of 2025 [3] - Demand is expected to be a major drag on coal prices, particularly in the first half of the year due to policy transmission delays and seasonal effects, leading to potential price pressure [3] - A marginal improvement in demand is anticipated in the second half of the year, which could drive coal prices upward [3]