Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34% today, with a trading volume of 915.04 million shares and a turnover of 1,124.13 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.75% compared to the previous trading day [1]. Industry Performance - The top-performing industries included: - Light Industry Manufacturing: increased by 0.54% with a turnover of 12.62 billion yuan, led by Tianan New Material, which rose by 10.05% [1]. - Computer: increased by 0.52% with a turnover of 107.90 billion yuan, led by Tianrun Technology, which rose by 22.94% [1]. - Textile and Apparel: increased by 0.42% with a turnover of 8.71 billion yuan, led by Hongqingting, which rose by 7.58% [1]. - The worst-performing industries included: - Building Decoration: decreased by 1.87% with a turnover of 38.46 billion yuan, led by Deep Water Planning Institute, which fell by 14.62% [2]. - Building Materials: decreased by 1.69% with a turnover of 19.11 billion yuan, led by Huaxin Cement, which fell by 9.25% [2]. - Comprehensive: decreased by 1.21% with a turnover of 2.34 billion yuan, led by Nanjing New Hundred, which fell by 6.38% [2]. Summary of Key Stocks - Notable gainers included: - Tianan New Material (Light Industry Manufacturing) with a gain of 10.05% [1]. - Tianrun Technology (Computer) with a gain of 22.94% [1]. - Hongqingting (Textile and Apparel) with a gain of 7.58% [1]. - Notable decliners included: - Deep Water Planning Institute (Building Decoration) with a decline of 14.62% [2]. - Huaxin Cement (Building Materials) with a decline of 9.25% [2]. - Nanjing New Hundred (Comprehensive) with a decline of 6.38% [2].

Group 1 - The U.S. President Trump released an AI action plan aimed at maintaining the country's leading position in artificial intelligence over China, with China advocating for a collaborative approach to AI development [2] - An investigation team has been established in Inner Mongolia to determine the cause of a mining accident that resulted in six deaths and one injury [3][4] - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that 735 billion yuan of central budget investment has been allocated for 2025, focusing on various sectors including infrastructure and social welfare [3][4] Group 2 - The EU has approved a retaliatory tariff list against the U.S. totaling 93 billion euros, affecting high-value industrial products such as aircraft and automobiles [6] - The National Medical Insurance Administration has initiated the 11th batch of centralized procurement, optimizing procurement rules to ensure quality and prevent price wars [7] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration for Market Regulation are drafting amendments to the pricing law to address "involution" in competition [8] Group 3 - Domestic gold jewelry consumption decreased by 26% in the first half of the year, while gold production remained stable with a slight increase in imports [9] - A new national standard for electric bicycles will be implemented on September 1, aiming to enhance safety and compliance across the industry [10] - The takeaway industry is facing challenges due to price wars, with merchants reporting a significant drop in income and customer retention [11] Group 4 - The travel photography brand "Platinum Photography" has been reported missing, with commitments made to refund customers for unfulfilled services [18] - The company "Sino Medical" expects a 12.53% increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, driven by the sales growth of coronary stent products [25] - "Zhongqi New Materials" signed a mining rights transfer contract, increasing its resource reserves and production capacity [26]

2025 年 07 月 24 日 策略研究团队 "反内卷"的行情阶段，及后续展望 ——投资策略专题 韦冀星（分析师） 简宇涵（分析师） weijixing@kysec.cn jianyuhan@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525050005 深度解析"反内卷"行情的持续性 反内卷行情持续发酵存在三大原因：①反内卷政策层级高、频次高，深受市场关 注；背后反映的是高层定调，随后经历了三轮的演变及层层加码。②反内卷行业筹 码干净，存在较强回补动力；从基金二季报角度来看，典型的反内卷行业，基金 配置比例仍然低于自由流通市值比例，筹码出清干净。③当前市场风险偏好高位， 对利好敏感；当前，政策稳定预期、市场资金承载力增强、投资者活跃度提升， 以及主题主线的持续明确，正逐步成为驱动 A 股走强的核心动因。以上三点也 构成了反内卷的三大优势，也解释了近期反内卷行情能持续发酵的原因。 然而，市场对反内卷仍然存疑：是否存在强有力的财政支持？狭义的"反内卷" 行情更多可以理解为一种收缩型政策，无论对总量还是结构，带来的效果更容易 是"触底"，而非"反转"。在高质量发展的时代背景下，较难出现一次性的花大 价钱办大事，反内卷 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guotong Co., Ltd. has experienced significant stock price fluctuations, achieving three limit-up days within four trading days, with a cumulative increase of 24.80% and a turnover rate of 65.60% [2] Stock Performance - As of 10:06, the stock's trading volume reached 24.53 million shares, with a transaction amount of 322 million yuan, resulting in a turnover rate of 13.20% [2] - The latest total market capitalization of A-shares is 2.6 billion yuan [2] Financial Performance - The company reported a total operating revenue of 2.7 million yuan for Q1, a year-on-year decrease of 48.75%, and a net profit of -3.2 million yuan, down 51.15% year-on-year [2] - On July 15, the company announced a half-year performance forecast, expecting a net profit ranging from -3.2 million yuan to -2 million yuan, with a year-on-year change of 30.96% to 56.85% [2] Trading Data - The stock's daily performance over recent days shows fluctuations, including a drop of 6.19% on July 23, with a net outflow of 66.24 million yuan from main funds [2] - The stock recorded a 9.98% increase on July 22, with a net outflow of 1.65 million yuan [2] - On July 21, the stock rose by 9.99% with a net inflow of 53.35 million yuan [2]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2) Core View of the Report - Overseas, the trade agreement between the US and Japan and the positive negotiations with the EU boosted investor confidence, leading to a collective rise in the three major US stock indices. Domestically, the strong upward movement of the financial sector provided strong support for the index, but overall market sentiment tended to be cautious, with signs of profit - taking in previously strongly rebounding sectors. It is expected that the cautious market sentiment will continue today. Although the view of strategically bullish on stock indices in the medium - to - long term is maintained, short - term operations need to be cautious [1][2][3] 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - **International Trade**: The US and Japan reached a trade agreement. The "reciprocal tariff" rate imposed by the US on Japan will be reduced from 25% to 15%. Japan will increase the import of US rice under the "minimum access system" and commit to investing $550 billion in the US. Japan will purchase $8 billion worth of US goods. The EU and the US are moving towards an agreement that will set a 15% tariff rate for most products. China and the US will hold economic and trade talks in Sweden from July 27th to 30th [1] - **Stock Market**: In the domestic spot market, the three major A - share indices rose and then fell. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.01% to close at 3582.30 points, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.01%. Sector indices mostly declined, with non - bank finance, beauty care, and household appliances leading the gains, while building materials, national defense and military industry, machinery, and power equipment sectors leading the losses. The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets remained at 1.9 trillion yuan. In the overseas market, the three major US stock indices all closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 1.14% to close at 45010.29 points [2] - **Futures Market**: In the futures market, the basis of stock index futures showed differentiation, with only the IM discount continuing to repair. In terms of trading volume and open interest, both the trading volume and open interest of stock index futures increased [2] Strategy - Overseas events boosted investor confidence, while domestic market sentiment was cautious. Although the medium - to - long - term view is bullish on stock indices, short - term operations should be cautious [3] Chart Summary - **Macroeconomic Charts**: Include charts showing the relationship between the US dollar index and A - share trends, US Treasury yields and A - share trends, RMB exchange rates and A - share trends, and US Treasury yields and A - share style trends [7][8][10] - **Spot Market Tracking Charts**: The table shows the daily performance of major domestic stock indices on July 23, 2025, and July 22, 2025, including the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, etc. There are also charts of the trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets and margin trading balances [13][14] - **Stock Index Futures Tracking Charts**: Tables show the trading volume and open interest of stock index futures (IF, IH, IC, IM), the basis of stock index futures (including different contract periods), and the inter - period spreads of stock index futures. There are also corresponding charts for each item [18][40][50]

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials ETF (159745) has risen over 2.2%, with seasonal price pressures but increasing expectations for recovery in peak season [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - Cement prices are expected to increase after the demand surge in August, with the current industry valuation at a low point (PB at 0.7x, in the 17th percentile over the past three years) [1] - Policy expectations are rising, coupled with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's efforts to promote stable growth in the construction materials sector, which may catalyze valuation recovery [1] - The industry is projected to achieve a total profit of 15-16 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with significant performance improvements among leading companies [1] Group 2: Factors Influencing Performance - Key factors contributing to performance improvement include: 1. Enhanced awareness among companies regarding price stability and profit increase, with average cement prices rising approximately 20 yuan/ton year-on-year [1] 2. Narrowing demand decline, with production down 4.3% year-on-year [1] 3. Decrease in coal costs by about 200 yuan/ton year-on-year [1] - The trend of profit recovery in the industry is becoming clear due to policy-driven supply-side optimization and the approaching peak demand season [1] Group 3: Investment Options - The construction materials ETF (159745) tracks the construction materials index (931009), which selects listed companies engaged in the production and sales of construction materials, reflecting the overall performance of the sector [1] - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Guotai CSI All-Share Construction Materials ETF Initiated Link A (013019) and Guotai CSI All-Share Construction Materials ETF Initiated Link C (013020) [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.01% to close at 3582.3 points, with a daily high of 3613.02 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.37% to close at 11059.04 points, with a daily high of 11158.22 points [1] - The ChiNext Index experienced a slight decline of 0.01%, closing at 2310.67 points, with a daily high of 2333.31 points [1] ETF Market Performance - The median return of stock ETFs was -0.09% [2] - The highest performing scale index ETF was Huatai-PB CSI A100 ETF with a return of 1.19% [2] - The highest performing industry index ETF was Penghua CSI Securities Leader ETF with a return of 1.5% [2] - The highest performing strategy index ETF was China Southern CSI Dividend Quality ETF with a return of 0.5% [2] - The highest performing style index ETF was Yinhua CSI 500 Value ETF with a return of 0.94% [2] - The highest performing theme index ETF was Bosera CSI Sustainable Development 100 ETF with a return of 3.27% [2] ETF Performance Rankings - The top three ETFs by return were: - Bosera CSI Sustainable Development 100 ETF (3.27%) - Huatai-PB SSE STAR Market Semiconductor Materials Equipment Theme ETF (3.01%) - China Southern SSE STAR Market Semiconductor Materials Equipment Theme ETF (2.91%) [5] - The top three ETFs by decline were: - E Fund CSI All Share Construction Materials ETF (-6.28%) - Fortune CSI All Share Construction Materials ETF (-5.91%) - Guotai CSI All Share Construction Materials ETF (-5.61%) [6] ETF Fund Flow - The top three ETFs by fund inflow were: - Southern CSI 500 ETF (inflow of 872 million) - E Fund CSI A500 ETF (inflow of 790 million) - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (inflow of 493 million) [8] - The top three ETFs by fund outflow were: - China Southern SSE 50 ETF (outflow of 458 million) - E Fund ChiNext ETF (outflow of 418 million) - Guotai CSI All Share Securities Company ETF (outflow of 413 million) [10] ETF Margin Trading Overview - The top three ETFs by margin buying were: - China Southern SSE STAR Market 50 Component ETF (856 million) - Guotai CSI All Share Securities Company ETF (386 million) - E Fund ChiNext ETF (325 million) [11] - The top three ETFs by margin selling were: - China Southern SSE 50 ETF (22.74 million) - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (20.41 million) - Southern CSI 1000 ETF (6.79 million) [13] Industry Insights - Dongwu Securities noted that AI demand is driving benefits in the equipment supply chain, with advanced processes continuing to expand [14] - Tianfeng Securities highlighted an improving supply-demand balance in the electronics and semiconductor industry, with domestic manufacturers increasing market share in mature processes [14] - The organic silicon industry maintains an operating rate of 72.26%, with sufficient pre-sale orders and a rebound in raw material prices providing cost support [14] - The semiconductor materials sector is seeing steady demand for electronic gases, with companies like Huate Gas and Jinhong Gas making progress in customer certifications [14]

Market Overview - The market experienced a high opening followed by a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index losing the 3600-point mark [2][4] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.86 trillion, a decrease of 28.4 billion from the previous trading day, indicating active trading sentiment [4] Sector Performance - Non-bank financials, beauty care, household appliances, banking, and environmental protection sectors showed positive performance, while construction materials, defense, machinery, power equipment, and social services sectors lagged [2][4] - Notable concept indices included high-pressure oxygen chambers, internet insurance, cell immunotherapy, gene sequencing, and CRO concepts performing well, while military restructuring, Hainan Free Trade Zone, and other concepts faced declines [2][4] Investment Opportunities - The report highlights the importance of focusing on sectors such as TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), machinery, coal, and finance for potential investment opportunities [4] - The Hainan Free Trade Port's operational timeline was confirmed, with plans to expand zero-tariff goods and enhance the investment environment, which may create new investment opportunities [3]

Group 1 - The 2025 Fortune China 500 list ranks State Grid Corporation at the top with a revenue of $548.41 billion, followed by China National Petroleum and China Petroleum & Chemical with revenues of $412.65 billion and $407.49 billion respectively [1][2] - Hubei province has 9 companies on the list, maintaining the same number as in 2024, with a total revenue of $147.01 billion, an increase of $15.38 billion or 11.69% year-on-year [1][3] Group 2 - The 9 companies from Hubei include Dongfeng Motor Group ($51.31 billion, rank 73), Zall Smart ($22.57 billion, rank 160), Hubei Lian Investment Group ($21.10 billion, rank 164), and others, with 5 companies showing improved rankings [2][3] - Hubei Lian Investment is the only new entrant this year, while Tianmao Group dropped off the list. Five companies improved their rankings significantly, with Zall Smart rising 22 places and Wenta Technology rising 46 places [3][4] Group 3 - The revenue threshold for the 2025 list is approximately $3.62 billion, a decrease of about 3% from 2024 [4] - The total revenue of the 500 companies on the list is about $14.2 trillion, a decrease of approximately 2.7% from the previous year, while net profit increased by about 7% to $756.4 billion [3][4] Group 4 - Dongfeng Motor is focusing on new energy and intelligent connected vehicles, aiming for rapid revenue growth and improved profitability [5][6] - YF Communication is expanding into strategic emerging industries like network security and AI, achieving breakthroughs in radiation-resistant fiber optic cables [5][6] - Hubei Lian Investment is enhancing its core competitiveness through innovation in fine chemicals, new materials, and new energy, reporting significant revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025 [6][7] - Jiuzhoutong is transforming its development strategy to enhance its position as a leading pharmaceutical distributor, emphasizing legal and risk management for sustainable growth [7] - Huaxin Cement is a major supplier for large hydropower projects, having supplied over 2 million tons of cement, showcasing its high-quality products in significant infrastructure projects [7]

Group 1 - The event titled "New Policies, New Digitalization, New Breakthroughs" was organized to support the hardware industry chain in Daxin Town through policy interpretation, digital empowerment, and interactive communication [1][2] - Tax authorities provided insights on tax-related issues, explaining key tax laws and necessary compliance for businesses [1] - The Market Supervision Administration discussed patent application processes and related subsidies to help companies leverage government support for technological innovation and brand enhancement [1] Group 2 - The event facilitated in-depth discussions between entrepreneurs and representatives from tax and market supervision departments, focusing on policy application and economic challenges [2] - This initiative exemplified the collaborative model of government, banking, and enterprises under the guidance of party leadership, aiming to foster innovation and support high-quality economic development in Daxin Town [2] - Successful case studies, such as that of Anta Group, were shared to inspire entrepreneurs on digital transformation and consumer engagement [1]