Domestic Macro - In October, major economic indicators showed a decline, with industrial, consumption, and investment growth rates slowing compared to September. The high base from last year's policy stimulus and the misalignment of holidays contributed to short-term disturbances, indicating insufficient domestic demand and external pressure that require policy support [1][7] - The industrial added value in October grew by 4.9% year-on-year and 0.17% month-on-month, while from January to October, it increased by 6.1% year-on-year. Real estate development investment from January to October was 73,563 billion yuan, down 14.7% year-on-year, and new commercial housing sales area decreased by 6.8% year-on-year [7] Foreign Macro - Overseas markets continued to experience fluctuations, particularly in US tech stocks, which affected sentiment in the A-share market. The S&P 500 index rose by 0.08%, while the Nasdaq index fell by 0.45% [8] - Several factors contributed to the ongoing adjustment in US stocks, including the absence of key economic data during the government shutdown, hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rate cuts, and concerns over the sustainability of debt financing for AI giants [8][9] Bond Market - The bond market is expected to remain in a favorable period despite some pressure on the fundamentals. The central bank has indicated that during this critical economic transition, it is not advisable to overly focus on total data changes [10][15] - The overall liquidity in the market is anticipated to stay relatively loose in the medium term, with the bond market likely to continue benefiting from this environment [15] Equity Market - The market is entering a period of total policy and profit vacuum, with accelerated rotation in the tech sector and increased highlights in low-position consumption and dividends. The high-yield, risk-free financial assets are diminishing, and the influx of new capital is far from over [20] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.18%, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 1.40%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 3.01% last week, with 20 out of 31 industries showing gains [16][20] Investment Strategy - Emerging technology is expected to be a main focus, with cyclical consumption looking towards transformation. Attention should be given to sectors that have experienced prolonged corrections and significant adjustments [21][22] - Specific directions include technology growth, manufacturing expansion, cyclical consumption, and financial sectors, with a focus on areas such as internet, robotics, semiconductor, and consumer electronics [22]

从成分股行业分布来看，该指数主要分布于煤炭、机械、交通运输、纺织服装、银行等行业。指数权重 分布较为均衡，从中信一级分类来看，当前指数19.14%的权重聚焦于煤炭产业，10.11%的权重聚焦于 机械行业，前十大成分股合计权重为27.39%，集中度整体较低。其细分领域主要涉及动力煤、炼焦 煤、矿山冶金机械、家具、城商行、中成药等。近期煤炭行业供需优化带来明显回升，得益于此，智选 高股息指数近一年股息率超6%，成立以来年化回报19.8%，表现优于中证红利、红利低波等同类指数。 今年3月27日，广发基金成立了广发中证智选高股息策略ETF（159207），自成立以来至11月6日的累计 回报为16.77%，在红利主题指数中遥遥领先。为助力场外投资者便捷参与红利投资，11月17日起，广 发基金将在方正证券、广发基金直销等渠道推出广发中证智选高股息策略ETF联接基金（A类：025682 C类：025683），为更多偏好稳健策略的投资者提供低门槛、便捷化的配置工具。 民生证券分析称，在低利率环境中，红利资产因其较高的股息收益率和稳健特性，成为长期配置优选标 的。近年来，无风险收益率持续下降，大行1年期存款挂牌利率已降至1%以 ...

Core Insights - The importance of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in economic growth and job creation is emphasized, highlighting that isolated enterprises struggle to survive [3][6][8] - The concept of industrial clusters, particularly in the context of SMEs, is discussed, noting that these clusters can enhance innovation and competitiveness against larger firms [2][3][6] - The evolution of SME clusters in China is traced, indicating that many of these clusters are rooted in specific localities and have emerged due to globalization and international outsourcing [6][8][10] Group 1 - SMEs are crucial for economic growth and job creation, but isolated firms face significant challenges [3][6] - The concept of industrial clusters, where SMEs can both compete and collaborate, is vital for enhancing innovation capabilities [2][3][6] - The rise of digital platforms and the establishment of a nurturing ecosystem for SMEs are essential for their development in the current technological landscape [8][10] Group 2 - Historical examples of successful SME clusters in China, such as the cashmere industry in Hebei and the sock industry in Zhejiang, illustrate the potential for growth and innovation [11][12] - The role of community building and local government support is highlighted as critical for the sustainable development of SME clusters [11][12] - The need for a structured approach to fostering these clusters, including the establishment of dedicated organizations and leveraging non-profit resources, is emphasized [11][12]

□本报记者 王鹤静 李德辉，上海交通大学生物医学工程博士。拥有13年投研经验、近9年基金管理经验，历任研究员、行 业专家兼基金经理助理、基金经理、高级基金经理，现为资深基金经理。 以成长投资见长的摩根资产管理资深基金经理李德辉，经历了过去几年国内权益市场的逆风期后，在均 衡配置的道路上走得愈发稳健。面对这一轮科技股行情，李德辉一方面把关注度集中在那些有基本面支 撑的品种上，另一方面有意识地关注了部分低估值品种，以保持组合整体估值处于合理区间。 近期A股市场来到阶段性高位，综合政策预判、宏观基本面等多方面因素研判，李德辉认为，当前市场 仍处于相对健康的上行通道，后续市场结构可能会围绕基本面做调整，所以要重点关注有基本面支撑的 优质资产。其中，人工智能大模型公司商业化变现还未被市场充分定价，有色金属、机械等出口链相关 公司仍将受益于海外需求提升，这些都是后续重点关注的方向。 坚定看好科技主线 在这一轮科技股行情中，TMT研究员出身的李德辉较早就参与布局了相关核心标的。 "回过头来看，今年上半年，海外扰动因素虽然对市场有暂时的负面影响，但投资者逐渐发现国内经济 并没有明显承压，再加上人工智能端加速发展，市场的投资热 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the mechanical industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the weekly operating load rate of China's industrial gas sector has increased on a month-on-month basis. Additionally, Hangzhou Oxygen Plant has established an industrial fund focusing on investment opportunities in low-temperature deep cooling technology and controllable nuclear fusion [3][4] - Liquid argon continues its upward trend, while the average price of rare gases remains low and fluctuates. The average weekly operating load rate for industrial gases in China is reported at 69.69%, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 1.63 percentage points [3][5] Summary by Sections Price Trends - Liquid oxygen has an average price of 422 RMB/ton, down 2.54% month-on-month but up 4.46% year-on-year. Liquid nitrogen is priced at 412.5 RMB/ton, down 4.6% month-on-month and down 5.5% year-on-year. Liquid argon is priced at 829 RMB/ton, up 7.94% month-on-month and up 15.85% year-on-year [5][6] Key Events - Hangzhou Oxygen Plant has announced the establishment of a venture capital partnership with a total subscribed capital of 1 billion RMB, focusing on industrial gases, low-temperature deep cooling technology, controllable nuclear fusion, and innovative energy power equipment [5][6] - Messer's new technology center in Chengdu has officially opened, equipped for demonstration, testing, and training across four core areas: welding and cutting, combustion technology, food and beverage, and water treatment [5][6] Company Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Hangzhou Oxygen Plant and Shaanxi鼓动力, with related stocks being Zhengfan Technology, Fostar, and Zhongtai Co., Ltd. [5][6]

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed mixed performance from November 10 to November 14, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.26% to 26,572.46 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.42%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 1.41% [1][2] - Among the primary sectors, seven sectors saw gains while four experienced declines, with real estate, healthcare, and consumer goods leading the gains at 5.58%, 5.13%, and 4.74% respectively [2] Liquidity Analysis - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was HKD 233.12 billion, an increase of HKD 2.59 billion from the previous week, while the average short-selling amount decreased by HKD 1.11 billion to HKD 28.36 billion [3] - The net inflow of southbound funds totaled HKD 24.77 billion, a decrease of HKD 13.91 billion compared to the previous week [3] Valuation and Risk Appetite - As of November 14, the Hang Seng Index had a PE ratio of 12.05 and a PB ratio of 1.24, reflecting increases of 1.53% and 1.44% respectively, placing it at the 86% and 91% percentile levels since 2019 [4] - The risk premium for the Hang Seng Index was recorded at 4.16%, which is significantly below the three-year rolling average [4] Investment Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a cautious risk appetite, with a rotation of hot sectors anticipated, leading to a potential continuation of a volatile trading environment [5] - Investment recommendations include focusing on cyclical stocks that may rebound due to changing supply-demand dynamics and dividend stocks as a defensive strategy amid uncertainties regarding U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate policies [5]

Group 1 - The article discusses a series of online meetings focusing on various industry topics, including industry configuration models, new opportunities in the renewable energy sector, humanoid robots, engineering machinery updates, and high-end consumer recovery [1][24]. - The meetings are scheduled for November 18-20, featuring different analysts as speakers, each presenting insights into their respective fields [1][24][25]. Group 2 - The first meeting on November 18 will cover the review and update of industry configuration models, led by Liu Xiaofeng, the Chief Analyst of Quantitative Engineering [1][24]. - The second meeting on November 19 will focus on new opportunities in leading renewable energy companies, presented by Liu Qiang, Assistant Dean and Chief Analyst of Electric New Energy [1][24][25]. - The third meeting on November 19 will discuss the peak moment for humanoid robots, with insights from Liu Hongchen, Chief Analyst of the Automotive sector [1][24][25]. - The fourth meeting on November 20 will provide updates and outlooks on engineering machinery, presented by Zhang Fenglin, a Machinery Analyst [1][24][25]. - The final meeting on November 20 will explore the recovery of high-end consumption and identify low-position improvement varieties, led by Guo Mengjie, Chief Analyst of Food and Beverage [1][24][25].

Group 1 - Switzerland will be able to export products to the US at a 1.5% tariff rate, similar to the EU, marking a victory for the Swiss economy [1] - Since August, Swiss exports to the US faced a 39% tariff, which was imposed by President Trump due to a significant trade deficit [1] - In return for the reduced tariffs, Switzerland has committed to investing a total of $200 billion in the US by 2028 [1] Group 2 - The new tariff will take effect "as soon as possible," and Swiss businesses are concerned about maintaining competitive parity with EU products [1] - The breakthrough in tariff negotiations is particularly important for the watchmaking, machinery, electrical, and metal processing industries [2] - Exports of Swiss machinery and electrical engineering products to the US fell by 14.2% year-on-year in Q3, with machine tool exports dropping by as much as 43% [2] - Watch exports to the US saw a year-on-year decline of approximately 20% in August and 56% in September [2] - The Swiss Mechanical and Electrical Engineering Association welcomed the agreement but cautioned that many factors still negatively impact the export outlook [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the A-share market, highlighting the potential for continued investment opportunities, particularly in sectors like artificial intelligence, engineering machinery, chemicals, power batteries, and non-ferrous metals, despite the market's recovery being seen as a mere correction after previous declines [2][4]. Market Overview - The A-share market has reached 4000 points for the first time in ten years, with many investors achieving good returns this year [1]. - The overall market valuation remains reasonable and potentially undervalued, indicating room for further recovery as policies take effect and the economy rebounds [2]. Investment Focus Areas - The focus remains on transformative opportunities brought by AI, with ongoing tracking for more investment prospects [2]. - Other sectors of interest include engineering machinery, chemicals, power batteries, and non-ferrous metals, with traditional industries also showing potential [2]. Stock Selection Strategy - The strategy emphasizes selecting growth stocks, particularly those with stable earnings growth despite significant past declines, which may yield excess returns as performance materializes [4]. - The investment approach will prioritize sectors benefiting from economic transformation and consumer spending, as disposable income continues to rise [4]. Economic and Market Outlook - The outlook for the fourth quarter suggests that market opportunities may outweigh risks, with a focus on stock selection as the primary strategy [4]. - Factors such as potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, domestic liquidity easing, and supportive policies are expected to benefit the overall stock market [6]. Sector-Specific Insights - AI is highlighted as a key area for growth, with expectations for significant advancements in commercialization and applications in various fields [6]. - The lithium battery sector is anticipated to see increased demand, particularly from electric vehicles and energy storage, with a positive outlook for the second half of the year [6]. - Non-ferrous metals, particularly copper and gold, are expected to maintain strong demand and profitability due to favorable supply-demand dynamics [8]. Consumer Trends - The article notes a shift in consumer behavior among younger generations, leading to increased spending and the emergence of new consumption patterns, which could benefit specific sectors [17].

据韩国《Money Today》11月5日报道，韩国公正交易委员会于4日发布《杜绝中小企业技术掠夺对 策》，引入"中小企业技术保护监督官制度"，以防止大企业窃取中小企业技术。此次将新设的技术保护 监督官由机械、电子电气、汽车、软件等行业的12名专家组成，将履行在现场收集证据和直接举报的职 责。考虑到中小企业担心打击报复，还将设立"技术掠夺匿名举报中心"。此外，为减小中小企业举证负 担，将由专家进行受害企业的现场调查取证，推进"韩国型证据制度"。 （原标题：韩政府启用监管新制度保护中小企业技术安全） ...