为其最重要的贸易伙伴。究竟是什么力量，让地缘政治回归现实轨道？ 为了落实这一战略，蒙古国还出台了配套法规：明确禁止原矿直接出口中国，并限制中资控股比例。甚至在《矿产法》中，刻意留下模糊条款，以便日后有 更多空间施压外资。此前中铝试图收购蒙古煤矿项目，就因此功败垂成。这一系列政策清晰地勾勒出"远交近防"的外交思路。但问题在于，这种用政治意志 硬抗地理逻辑的尝试，注定带有理想化色彩。早前他们计划向美国出口稀土，却因中俄拒绝过境申请，计划瞬间泡汤。奥尤陶勒盖铜矿距中国边境不足百公 里，却被迫舍近求远，这本质上是一场与现实角力的实验。 2009年，一份关于奥尤陶勒盖世界级铜矿的合同悄然签订，但它从第一天起就带有鲜明的政治烙印。合同中的核心条款赫然写着：禁止矿石出口至毗邻的中 国。换句话说，这并非单纯的商业行为，而是蒙古"第三邻国"外交战略的一次高调实践。对于这个夹在中俄两大强国之间的内陆国家来说，他们幻想用一份 契约来突破"地理宿命"。而他们的合作伙伴，则是来自澳大利亚的力拓集团——一家百年矿业巨头。蒙古国希望通过西方资本，不仅获取资金，还能借助先 进技术与国际话语权。 文 | 北什么 地理引力真的完全无法抗衡吗？十 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of Mongolia's decision to sell a stake in the Oyu Tolgoi copper mine to Rio Tinto while prohibiting the sale of copper ore to China, highlighting the long-term consequences of this choice for both Mongolia and Rio Tinto [2][3][19]. Group 1: Copper Market Dynamics - According to the International Copper Study Group, copper prices are expected to rise until 2030, with global demand projected to reach 2 million tons [2]. - The Oyu Tolgoi copper mine is recognized as a world-class resource, with proven copper reserves exceeding 30 million tons, ranking sixth globally [6]. Group 2: Mongolia's Strategic Decisions - In 2009, Mongolia sold 66% of the Oyu Tolgoi mine to Rio Tinto for $3.1 billion, aiming to attract investment and technology while enhancing its position in the international mining market [7]. - Mongolia's decision to exclude China from purchasing copper ore was driven by a desire to strengthen ties with Western nations and reduce dependence on China and Russia [10][19]. Group 3: Challenges Faced by Rio Tinto - Rio Tinto underestimated the impact of Mongolia's restrictions, as China is the largest consumer of copper and is located less than 100 kilometers from the mine [10]. - The Mongolian government required Rio Tinto to invest in new power plants and processing facilities, complicating the operational landscape for the company [12][14]. - Transportation costs surged due to the prohibition on exporting to China, increasing shipping expenses by approximately $300 per ton [16]. Group 4: Short-term Gains vs. Long-term Risks for Mongolia - In the short term, Mongolia benefited from infrastructure investments and financial support from Rio Tinto, including debt forgiveness and interest-free loans [18]. - Long-term risks include damage to Mongolia's international reputation as a reliable partner, as well as potential declines in foreign investment due to restrictive policies [19][21]. Group 5: China's Response and Future Outlook - China's copper imports from Mongolia are minimal compared to those from Chile and Peru, indicating limited impact from Mongolia's export restrictions [22]. - Mongolia is now reassessing its diplomatic relations with China and Russia, with recent efforts to strengthen ties and improve border trade [23].

Group 1 - The main stock index of Zambia, the second-largest copper producer in Africa, surged by 14.3% in August, leading global markets [1] - The Lusaka Stock Exchange Composite Index has increased nearly 56% in local currency and 84% in USD terms this year, ranking among the top globally [1] - The primary driver of the stock market's performance is Copperbelt Energy, a company supplying electricity to Zambian mines, which has soared over 75% this year, becoming the first Zambian listed company with a market capitalization exceeding $1 billion [1] Group 2 - Zambia's copper production is projected to increase by 18% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, reaching 439,644 tons, with a government target of achieving a record 1 million tons by 2025 [1] - The London Metal Exchange (LME) copper price remains high at approximately $9,818 per ton [1]

Group 1 - Blue Moon Metals has secured at least $140 million in financing from Hartree Partners and Oaktree Capital for the early engineering of the Nussir copper project in Norway [1] - The financing includes a $25 million bridge loan, a $50 million senior secured term loan, and $70 million in precious metal streams [1] - The Nussir copper project is designated as a strategic critical raw materials project by the EU, aiming for production by September 2027 [1] Group 2 - The feasibility study published in 2023 estimates that underground operations at the Nussir copper mine will cost approximately $330 million, with a mining life of about 25 years [1] - The expected annual production of copper concentrate is around 25,000 tons, along with by-products such as silver [1] - The estimated cash production cost during the mine's lifespan is $1.38 per pound, placing it at the lower end of the industry cost range, with a total sustaining cost of approximately $1.60 per pound [1] Group 3 - The Nussir deposit has a copper grade of 1.01%, a silver grade of 14.6 grams per ton, and a gold grade of 0.14 grams per ton [2]

Group 1 - The meeting between the CEOs of Rio Tinto and BHP with President Trump focused on the Resolution copper project in Arizona, which has the potential to supply 25% of the U.S. annual copper demand for the next 40 years [1][2] - The Resolution project has faced a 20-year delay due to approval issues, environmental concerns, and lawsuits, but received final environmental approval in June [2] - Trump criticized a recent court ruling that delayed the project by two months, emphasizing the impact on 3,800 jobs and the urgent need for copper in the country [2] Group 2 - The discussion highlighted the importance of the mining industry in providing long-term domestic copper and other critical mineral supplies [2] - The price of benchmark London copper futures has increased by approximately 11% this year, nearing $9,700 per ton [1]

（文章来源：新华财经） 巴西对外贸易秘书处（Secex）数据显示，2025年8月截至第3周，共计11个工作日，巴西累计装出铜矿 石和铜精矿3.67万吨，去年8月为9.82万吨；日均装运量为0.33万吨/日，较去年8月的0.45万吨/日减少 25.33%。 ...

Core Insights - Antofagasta Minerals, a subsidiary of the Luksic Group, reported a significant profit increase for the first half of 2025, reaching $521.6 million, a 100.92% rise compared to $259.6 million in the same period last year [1] - The company's revenue grew by 28.57%, totaling $3.7994 billion, driven by increased copper production and significantly reduced costs [1] - Antofagasta's profit margin has reached its highest level since 2021, positioning the company among the top global copper producers [1] - The company plans to continue investing in its Los Pelambres and Centinela mines, with an expected mid-term production increase of 30% [1]

产量指引方面，2025 年Las Bambas 铜产量在36 万吨至40万吨之间，铜C1 成本指导由1.5 至1.7 美元每 磅下调至1.4至1.6 美元每磅，主要由于副产品价格利好且铜加工费下降，资本支出预计在4.5 至5 亿美元 之间，主要用于尾矿坝设施扩建、Ferrobamba 矿坑基础建设及 Chalcobamba 项目执行等。 机构：华鑫证券 研究员：傅鸿浩/杜飞 事件 五矿资源发布2025 年半年度报告：公司2025 年上半年实现营业收入28.17 亿美元，同比+47%； EBITDA 为15.40 亿美元，同比+98%；EBIT 为10.59 亿美元，同比+240%，归母净利润为3.4 亿美元， 同比+1511%。杠杆率为33%，2024 年年底为41%。公司财务表现优异并且资产负债表显著优化。 投资要点 主力矿山Las Bambas 表现亮眼，带动全公司财务指标改善，其余两座铜矿山扩产效果逐步显现 （1）主力矿山Las Bambas 矿山优质矿坑生产输出强劲，营收显著增长，充分释放归母净利润弹性： 财务方面，2025 年H1 Las Bambas 收入为20.07 亿美元，同比+60%，主要原 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [11] Core Views - The company's performance has significantly improved due to the strong output from its main mine, Las Bambas, which has led to substantial financial gains [4][8] - The overall revenue of the company has benefited from both increased copper production and rising prices, resulting in a robust cash flow that has optimized the balance sheet [8][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of $2.817 billion, a year-on-year increase of 47% - EBITDA reached $1.540 billion, up 98% year-on-year - EBIT was $1.059 billion, reflecting a 240% increase year-on-year - Net profit attributable to shareholders was $340 million, a staggering increase of 1511% year-on-year [3][8] Production Highlights - Las Bambas mine generated $2.007 billion in revenue in H1 2025, a 60% increase year-on-year, with copper production rising by 67% to 210,600 tons - Kinsevere mine's revenue was $235 million, a 25% increase year-on-year, with production up 19% to 25,400 tons - Khoemacau mine reported revenue of $200 million, a 122% increase year-on-year, with production rising by 121% to 22,000 tons [4][6][7] Production Guidance - For 2025, Las Bambas is expected to produce between 360,000 to 400,000 tons of copper, with C1 cost guidance adjusted to $1.40 to $1.60 per pound - Kinsevere's production guidance remains at 63,000 to 69,000 tons, while Khoemacau's guidance is set at 43,000 to 53,000 tons [5][6][7] Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - Operating cash flow for H1 2025 was $1.185 billion, a 130% increase year-on-year - Total liabilities decreased by 3.24% compared to the end of 2024, with total equity increasing by 12.46% [9][8] Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of $5.838 billion, $6.088 billion, and $6.088 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at $685 million, $745 million, and $768 million for the same years [11][12]

Codelco是全球最大的铜矿商。 与此同时，必和必拓（BHP）旗下全球最大铜矿Escondida矿6月铜产量下滑33%至76,400吨。 6月份，英美资源（Anglo American）和嘉能可（Glencore）联合经营的大型Collahuasi铜矿产量同比下降29%，至34,300吨。 （文华综合） 8月11日（周一），智利铜业委员会Cochilco公布的数据显示，智利国有矿产商--Codelco公司6月铜产量同比增长17%，攀升至120,200吨。 ...