Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Bullish**: Carbonate Lithium, BR Rubber, PTA [1] - **Bearish**: Palm Oil, Rapeseed Oil, Sugar [1] - **Neutral (Oscillating)**: Stock Index, Treasury Bonds, Copper, Aluminum, Alumina, Zinc, Nickel, Stainless Steel, Tin, Gold, Platinum, Industrial Silicon, Polysilicon, Rebar, Hot Rolled Coil, Iron Ore, Ferroalloy, Glass, Coke, Coking Coal, Lumber, Cotton, Live Pigs, Crude Oil, Bitumen, Ethylene Glycol, Short - Fiber, Benzene, Naphtha, Propylene, Butadiene, Container Shipping to Europe [1][2] Core Viewpoints - The market sentiment and liquidity are in a good state, with the short - term stock index breaking through the previous oscillation range and expected to remain strong. The bond futures are favored by the asset shortage and weak economy, but the central bank has recently warned of interest - rate risks. The prices of various commodities are affected by factors such as industry fundamentals, macro - sentiment, and policy changes [1]. Summaries by Categories Financial Products - **Stock Index**: The short - term stock index has broken through the previous oscillation range and is expected to remain strong as the market sentiment and liquidity are good [1]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Asset shortage and weak economy are beneficial for bond futures, but the central bank has warned of short - term interest - rate risks. Attention should be paid to the Bank of Japan's interest - rate decision [1]. Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The industrial situation is weak recently, and the macro - sentiment is fluctuating, leading to high - level oscillations in copper prices [1]. - **Aluminum**: The driving force in the electrolytic aluminum industry is limited, and the macro - sentiment is fluctuating, resulting in oscillating aluminum prices [1]. - **Alumina**: The domestic fundamentals are weak, and the short - term price remains low [1]. - **Zinc**: The fundamentals of zinc have improved, with the cost center rising. Most of the recent negative factors have been realized, and the zinc price is expected to oscillate strongly as market risk appetite improves [1]. - **Nickel**: The global nickel inventory is high, but due to supply concerns, the Shanghai nickel has rebounded significantly recently. The Indonesian policy has not been implemented but is difficult to disprove in the short term. The short - term nickel price may oscillate strongly. In the long - term, the primary nickel market remains in an oversupply situation [1]. - **Stainless Steel**: The raw material nickel - iron price has stabilized, the social inventory of stainless steel has decreased slightly, and steel mills have increased production cuts in December. The stainless - steel futures are expected to oscillate strongly in the short term [1]. - **Tin**: The non - ferrous tin industry association has issued an initiative, causing the short - term tin price to oscillate weakly. Considering the tense situation in Congo and the improved market risk appetite, low - buying opportunities are recommended [1]. Precious Metals and New Energy - **Gold**: Overseas markets are in the Christmas holiday, and the strong US economic data has weakened the expectation of interest - rate cuts. After reaching a new historical high, the gold price may oscillate at a high level in the short term [1]. - **Platinum**: The domestic platinum futures price has a large premium over the spot price and foreign markets, with large expected fluctuations. Rational participation is recommended [1]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The production in the northwest has increased while that in the southwest has decreased. The production schedules of polysilicon and organic silicon have decreased in December [1]. - **Polysilicon**: A capacity storage platform company has been established, with a long - term expectation of capacity reduction. The terminal installation has increased marginally in the fourth quarter, large manufacturers are eager to maintain prices but reluctant to deliver goods, and the short - term speculative sentiment is high [1]. - **Carbonate Lithium**: It is the traditional peak season for new energy vehicles, the energy - storage demand is strong, the supply side has increased production resumption, and the price has exceeded the previous high. Short - term long - position operations are recommended [1]. Building Materials - **Rebar and Hot Rolled Coil**: The basis and production profit are not high, indicating that the price valuation is not high. Short - selling is not recommended. The near - term contracts are restricted by production cuts, but the far - term contracts still have upward potential [1]. - **Iron Ore**: The near - term contracts are restricted by production cuts, but with good commodity sentiment, the far - term contracts have upward opportunities [1]. - **Glass and Glass Products**: They follow the trend of glass, with acceptable supply - demand conditions and low valuation. The downward space is limited, and they may oscillate under pressure [1]. - **Coke and Coking Coal**: Affected by the domestic major meeting and export policy, the black - sector has declined. After the announcement of the steel - export licensing system, there are signs of stabilization. Attention should be paid to the spot situation this week and the winter - storage replenishment by downstream enterprises [1]. Agricultural Products - **Palm Oil**: Although the high - frequency data has improved, it is difficult to change the expectation of a loose supply in the producing areas. Rebound - shorting is recommended [1]. - **Soybean Oil**: It is affected by the decline in the CBOT market and other domestic oils, showing a weak trend [1]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: The short - term positive factors of raw - material shortage are expected to be exhausted, and there is an expectation of a good harvest in the global main producing areas. Short - selling the 05 contract is recommended [1]. - **Cotton**: There is support from the purchase price of seed cotton, but there is currently no driving force. Future attention should be paid to the government's policies, planting - area intentions, weather during the planting period, and peak - season demand [1]. - **Sugar**: There is a consensus among short - sellers due to the global surplus and increased domestic supply. If the price continues to fall, there is strong cost support, but there is a lack of continuous fundamental driving force in the short term [1]. - **Live Pigs**: Affected by snow and rain in the producing areas, the supply is affected, but the spot price is relatively stable. Farmers are reluctant to sell, and downstream enterprises are cautious. There is a certain replenishment demand before the Spring Festival [1]. - **Soybean Meal**: There is an expectation of a good harvest of soybeans, and the later discount is expected to face selling pressure. Recently, the market has oscillated following reserve - related rumors [1]. - **Paper Pulp**: The futures are fluctuating due to the contradiction between weak demand and strong supply expectations. It is recommended to wait and see for single - side operations and consider a 1 - 5 reverse spread for the spread [1]. - **Logs**: Affected by the decline in foreign - market quotes and spot prices, the 01 contract is under pressure as it approaches the delivery month and is expected to oscillate weakly [1]. Energy and Chemical Products - **Crude Oil**: OPEC+ has suspended production increases until the end of 2026, the uncertainty of the Russia - Ukraine peace agreement has an impact, and the US has imposed sanctions on Venezuelan crude - oil exports [1]. - **Bitumen**: The short - term supply - demand contradiction is not prominent, following the trend of crude oil. The cost of raw materials provides strong support, the futures - spot price difference is low, and the mid - stream inventory may start to accumulate [1]. - **BR Rubber**: The trading volume of butadiene has improved, the cost has increased, the operating rate of butadiene rubber is high, and there are rumors of a factory shutdown in South Korea, leading to a strong market sentiment [1]. - **PTA**: The PX price is strong, the PTA device is operating at a high load, the pre - festival stocking and sales of polyester have improved, and the consumption of PTA remains high [1]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: Two MEG plants in Taiwan, China, are planned to shut down next month. The ethylene - glycol price has rebounded rapidly due to supply - side news, and the demand from the polyester downstream is better than expected [1]. - **Benzene and Naphtha**: There is some support from the cost side, the spot - market sentiment has warmed up slightly, and the total inventory remains high without significant de - stocking [1]. - **Propylene**: The export sentiment has eased slightly, the upward space is limited due to insufficient domestic demand, and there is support from anti - involution and the cost side. The maintenance has decreased, the supply has increased, and the downstream demand has weakened. There is an expectation of oversupply in 2026 [2]. - **Butadiene**: The trading volume has improved, and the cost has increased, providing support for downstream products [1]. - **Container Shipping to Europe**: The price increase in December was lower than expected, the expectation of price increase in the peak season was priced in advance, and the shipping capacity supply was relatively loose in December [2].

12月26日，国内期市能化板块大面积飘红。其中，PTA期货行情呈现震荡上行走势，截至发稿主力合约 大幅走高2.88%，报5280.00元/吨。 现货方面，据新湖期货介绍，上一交易日，PTA现货市场商谈氛围一般，现货基差走强。贸易商商谈为 主，12月货在01贴水10~16附近商谈成交，价格商谈区间在4995~5110。1月货在05贴水60~65成交。主 流现货基差在01-13。 对于后市走势，五矿期货表示，PTA加工费短期在没有进一步刺激下上方空间有限，上游PXN不受淡季 影响，在强预期下支撑向上，关注预期交易的逢低做多机会。 成本端，华联期货分析称，布油在近五年低点反弹，油价相对低迷但货币贬值之下黄金强势以及地缘局 势复杂仍将为油价带来支撑，而且欧美对燃油车的限制边际放宽。 基本面上，一德期货分析称，供应上当前较低的加工差导致PTA检修意愿增强，关注预期外的检修计划 (逸盛检修延长)。需求端聚酯开工高位，终端织造负反馈来临，预计聚酯高开工12月仍能维持。 ...

12月26日，国内期市有色金属板块多数飘红。其中，碳酸锂期货高开大涨，现报130120.0元/吨，涨幅 7.79%，创2023年11月以来新高。 现货方面，数据显示，12月26日电池级碳酸锂早盘市场价格为120400元/吨较上一工作日上涨4300元。 供应方面，金瑞期货指出，昨日多家正极材料企业宣布减产，湖南裕能（301358）预计影响1.5-3.5万 吨、万润新能0.5-2万吨、德方纳米（300769）部分产线。正极企业联合减产，一方面有助于该季度与 下游的加工费谈判，另一方面则有利于正极企业将原料碳酸锂成本压力向下游传导。 需求方面，冠通期货表示，市场对于明年储能电池的需求保持乐观情绪，淡季不淡继续推高热情。但终 端旺季即将进入收尾阶段，明年起购置税由免征改为减半征收，预计本月需求有前置，后续终端表现或 向上传导至原料端。 展望后市，东吴期货表示，枧下窝确认停产后，碳酸锂开始快速拉升，持续创新高。2026年1月下游锂 电排产数据好于市场预期，进一步增强市场看多市场情绪。但是广期所已经开始调整LC交易政策，注 意回调风险。 ...

1. Report's Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Report's Core View - The report provides a daily overview of the stock index options market, including option trading volume, PCR, and VIX data for various stock index options on December 25, 2025 [1][2][3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog Option Trading Volume - On December 25, 2025, the trading volume of Shanghai - 50 ETF options was 880,800 contracts; CSI 300 ETF options (Shanghai) was 1,015,900 contracts; CSI 500 ETF options (Shanghai) was 1,176,500 contracts; Shenzhen 100 ETF options was 88,300 contracts; GEM ETF options was 1,763,900 contracts; Shanghai - 50 stock index options was 18,800 contracts; CSI 300 stock index options was 94,600 contracts; and CSI 1000 options was 239,600 contracts [1] Option PCR - Shanghai - 50 ETF options: The trading volume PCR was 0.74, with a month - on - month change of +0.19; the open interest PCR was 0.99, with a month - on - month change of - 0.02 [2] - CSI 300 ETF options (Shanghai): The trading volume PCR was 0.55, with a month - on - month change of - 0.06; the open interest PCR was 0.93, with a month - on - month change of - 0.18 [2] - CSI 500 ETF options (Shanghai): The trading volume PCR was 0.54, with a month - on - month change of +0.04; the open interest PCR was 1.10, with a month - on - month change of - 0.22 [2] - Shenzhen 100 ETF options: The trading volume PCR was 0.62, with a month - on - month change of +0.10; the open interest PCR was 1.43, with a month - on - month change of +0.03 [2] - GEM ETF options: The trading volume PCR was 0.73, with a month - on - month change of +0.16; the open interest PCR was 1.11, with a month - on - month change of - 0.39 [2] - Shanghai - 50 stock index options: The trading volume PCR was 0.47, with a month - on - month change of - 0.03; the open interest PCR was 0.66, with a month - on - month change of +0.01 [2] - CSI 300 stock index options: The trading volume PCR was 0.41, with a month - on - month change of - 0.08; the open interest PCR was 0.69, with a month - on - month change of +0.01 [2] - CSI 1000 stock index options: The trading volume PCR was 0.44, with a month - on - month change of - 0.08; the open interest PCR was 0.99, with a month - on - month change of +0.00 [2] Option VIX - Shanghai - 50 ETF options: The VIX was 13.41%, with a month - on - month change of - 0.22% [3] - CSI 300 ETF options (Shanghai): The VIX was 15.20%, with a month - on - month change of - 0.37% [3] - CSI 500 ETF options (Shanghai): The VIX was 19.32%, with a month - on - month change of - 0.26% [3] - Shenzhen 100 ETF options: The VIX was 19.46%, with a month - on - month change of - 0.74% [3] - GEM ETF options: The VIX was 25.06%, with a month - on - month change of +0.16% [3] - Shanghai - 50 stock index options: The VIX was 14.43%, with a month - on - month change of - 0.43% [3] - CSI 300 stock index options: The VIX was 15.94%, with a month - on - month change of - 0.36% [3] - CSI 1000 stock index options: The VIX was 19.09%, with a month - on - month change of - 0.40% [3]

为深入贯彻国家乡村振兴战略，积极响应证监会结对帮扶倡议，申银万国期货精准对接内蒙古科尔沁右 翼中旗(简称科右中旗)，以文化赋能为抓手、公益帮扶为支撑，夯实当地发展基础，为科右中旗乡村振 兴注入长效动力。 近日，申银万国期货向科右中旗成功捐赠5万元，用于精准帮扶，作为科尔沁文化的重要发祥地，科右 中旗拥有深厚的民族文化底蕴。今年以来，申银万国期货聚焦当地文化发展需求，助力科右中旗打造乡 村文化活动室。捐赠精准契合了科右中旗传承弘扬蒙古族刺绣、乌力格尔等非遗文化的需求，极大激发 了当地群众传承民族传统文化的热情。目前，所有捐赠物品已全部到位并投入使用。 申银万国期货将围绕科右中旗发展实际，统筹推进金融帮扶、文化帮扶、公益帮扶及前期落地的生态帮 扶项目，从多个维度激活乡村内生发展动力。 ...

立足期货及衍生品专业优势，根据会宁县当地牛养殖等农业产业特色，充分发挥自身的专业优势，风险 管理子公司申万智富今年开展猪、牛、羊饲料(玉米+豆粕)"保险+期货"项目。通过"保险+期货"的实 施，让当地农户面对市场波动时，有了更强的抗风险能力，稳定了农户的收入，助力当地政府巩固脱贫 攻坚成果，发展地方特色农业产业。 甘肃会宁县是申银万国期货公司重点结对帮扶地区。公司积极响应党中央推进乡村振兴号召，充分履行 国有金融企业政治责任和社会责任，发挥期货及衍生品市场服务实体经济、服务三农作用，以点带面、 多措并举，建立了"产业帮扶+驻村帮扶+教育帮扶+公益帮扶+消费帮扶"的五位一体帮扶模式，助力会 宁县发展。 2025年8月，公司办公室/党群工作部党支部和会宁县太平店镇12个村1个社区共计13个基层党支部签订 了党组织结对共建协议。同时，公司选派一名同志赴会宁县太平店镇大山川村开展驻村帮扶，深入田间 地头、走进农户家中，切实了解当地生产生活需求，找准帮扶工作发力点。公司在当地投入10.4万元,用 于产业振兴购买化肥、种子、地膜和农用机具项目的落实，帮助当地老百姓增产创收。公司积极开展捐 资助学、爱心公益，捐赠会宁县太平 ...

南华期货今年以来股价涨60.68%，近5个交易日跌1.35%，近20日跌0.78%，近60日跌7.32%。 今年以来南华期货已经12次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为7月14日，当日龙虎榜净买入-1.18亿 元；买入总计1.47亿元 ，占总成交额比11.65%；卖出总计2.65亿元 ，占总成交额比21.07%。 资料显示，南华期货股份有限公司位于浙江省杭州市上城区横店大厦301室、401室、501室、701室、 901室、1001室、1101室、1201室,香港告士打道181-185号中怡商业大厦17楼，成立日期1996年5月28 日，上市日期2019年8月30日，公司主营业务涉及期货经纪业务、财富管理业务、风险管理业务、境外 金融服务业务及期货投资咨询业务等。主营业务收入构成为：风险管理业务50.19%，境外金融服务业 务29.70%，期货经纪业务17.32%，财富管理业务2.51%，其他业务0.28%。 12月26日，南华期货盘中下跌2.01%，截至14:09，报19.00元/股，成交1.11亿元，换手率0.94%，总市值 136.37亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出1649.67万元，特大单买入0. ...

Core Viewpoint - Cotton futures have shown a strong upward trend, with prices increasing for five consecutive weeks, reaching a high of 14,550.00 yuan/ton, marking a 2.36% rise and the highest level since October of the previous year [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - As of December 24, the imported cotton cost within the quota (1% tariff) was 12,863 yuan/ton, which is 2,408 yuan/ton lower than the domestic standard-grade cotton price. The cost of imported cotton with sliding scale tax was 13,892 yuan/ton, 1,379 yuan/ton lower than domestic prices [2] - The U.S. cotton export sales totaled 319,649 bales for the week ending December 11, with 304,689 bales for the 2025/26 season and 14,960 bales for the 2026/27 season. This marked the highest net sales since November 6, significantly exceeding the previous week's 153,606 bales [2] Group 2: Industry Insights - There is an expectation of reduced cotton planting area in Xinjiang, potentially decreasing by 5-7 million mu, which is over 10%. This reduction is anticipated to lead to a corresponding decrease in production, supporting future contract prices [4] - Despite a good harvest of domestic cotton this year, the sales progress of cotton from ginning factories in both southern and northern Xinjiang is reported to be rapid, with commercial inventories not significantly exceeding last year's levels [4] - The overall sentiment in the commodity market is optimistic, contributing to the steady rise in cotton futures and spot prices. However, the continuous increase in cotton prices is negatively impacting the profits of downstream yarn manufacturers, and an increase in cotton yarn imports suggests that supply remains ample [4]

12月26日，国内期市贵金属板块全线飘红。其中，钯期货主力合约开盘报560.00元/克，今日盘中高位 震荡运行；截至午间收盘，钯主力最高触及576.60元，下方探低528.00元，涨幅达2.42%。 目前来看，钯行情呈现震荡上行走势，盘面表现偏强。对于钯后市行情将如何运行，相关机构观点汇总 如下： 华闻期货分析称，美元弱势运行，铂钯本身基本面变动不大，从后续供需来看，铂供应缺口更明显，基 本面要强于钯，在国内相关交易政策的调整背景下，部分资金获利离场，钯价大幅下挫，而铂相对坚 挺，日内逆势翻红，短期继续关注资金情绪的变化，预计铂钯或继续大幅波动，警惕资金异动风险。 华联期货指出，由于汽车需求在钯金需求占绝对地位，由于中国新能源汽车渗透率激增，钯金需求增量 受到压制，短期难于看到好转，因此钯金的基本面支撑有限，走势受铂金联动及宏观环境影响。并且 2026年美联储仍在降息周期，利好贵稀金属，并且钯的价格也较低。操作上建议，钯金PD2606多单持 有，设好止盈。 银河期货表示，钯金总体需求增长较为有限，基本面给与驱动力量尚不足，未来或将更多受益于宏观环 境，与铂金价格走势出现联动。 ...

在数字经济浪潮奔涌、金融安全日益重要的今天，数据已成为期货市场的核心资产与关键生产要素。如 何在充分释放数据价值的同时，牢牢守住安全底线？近日，海证期货有限公司完成的《期货公司核心交 易数据合规应用研究》课题，为这一行业共性难题提供了系统性、可落地的"海证方案"，不仅彰显了其 主动拥抱监管、深耕合规文化的决心，更为全行业数据安全治理树立了新标杆。 合规不是束缚发展的'紧箍咒'，而是保障高质量发展的'压舱石'。海证期货希望通过这项研究，将被动 合规转化为主动治理，充分发挥期货公司行业文化"守正创新"，并将合规要求内化为公司的文化基因和 核心竞争力。 长期以来，期货行业在数据合规管理上面临"标准粗、措施泛、落地难"的痛点。现行指引多以"数据 类"为单位进行分级，颗粒度较粗，导致防护策略"一刀切"，既可能过度防护影响业务效率，又可能防 护不足埋下风险隐患。针对这一症结，海证期货课题组以《数据安全法》《个人信息保护法》及金融行 业标准为基石，创新性地将研究视角下沉至字段级，对CTP系统412个核心交易字段逐一"精准画像"。 该课题的价值不仅在于其技术深度，更在于其深厚的行业情怀。通过调研43家证券期货机构，课题组精 ...