Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings The report does not provide an overall industry investment rating. 2. Core Views - **Macro Outlook**: China's post - holiday market is active with increased trading volume and risk appetite. The A - share market is expected to see better performance from IC than IH. The bond market has limited short - term odds and should be traded with a band strategy. Global economic factors such as US - China trade talks, exchange rate fluctuations, and geopolitical events impact the market. The smartphone and automotive industries face challenges, while the real estate market shows signs of recovery in some areas [7][14][15]. - **Commodity Markets**: Different commodities have different trends. For example, steel and iron ore are expected to oscillate, and the future of these markets depends on demand. Some commodities like lithium carbonate are expected to be bullish in the short - term, while others like沪锌 and沪铅 may continue to be under pressure [16][25][29]. 3. Summary by Category **Macro News** - **Trade and Policy**: The sixth round of China - US economic and trade consultations is upcoming. The central bank supports cross - border RMB inter - bank financing. The RMB has appreciated rapidly against the US dollar [7]. - **Resource and Energy**: Zimbabwe bans the export of raw minerals and lithium concentrates, which impacts the lithium market. The third - round of indirect talks between Iran and the US ends, with significant differences remaining [7][8]. - **Financial and Market**: Compensation for investors affected by the valuation adjustment of Guotou Silver LOF starts. IDC predicts a 12.9% year - on - year decline in global smartphone shipments in 2026. Multiple smartphone brands plan price adjustments. The Chinese brand passenger vehicle sales decline in January 2026. The real estate market in some areas shows signs of recovery [8][9]. **Macro Finance** - **Stock Index Futures**: After the holiday, the A - share market is active. It is expected that IC will perform better than IH due to different sector performances and increased risk appetite [14]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The bond market is weak after the "Shanghai Seven" policy for the property market. Without interest - rate cut expectations, it is difficult for bond yields to decline further. Attention should be paid to the government's monetary and fiscal policies [15]. **Black Metals** - **Steel and Iron Ore**: The current supply - demand contradiction is limited, and there is unlikely to be a large price change. The future market depends on the start of steel demand. Iron ore supply is abundant [16]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: Prices are expected to oscillate weakly in the short - term, and attention should be paid to the resumption of coal mines and downstream demand [19]. - **Ferroalloys**: For manganese silicon, it is not recommended to chase long positions after a large increase. Silicon iron long positions are recommended. Attention should be paid to the start - up of semi - coke plants [20]. - **Soda Ash and Glass**: Currently, it is advisable to wait and see. For soda ash, focus on the supply stability of leading enterprises and new production capacity. For glass, pay attention to the actual changes in production lines and demand [21]. **Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials** - **Copper**: In the short - term, copper prices will oscillate due to unstable macro - environment and inventory accumulation. In the long - term, tight raw material supply supports prices [23]. - **Zinc**: Domestic zinc inventories are increasing, and previous short positions should be held [25]. - **Lead**: Social lead inventories are at a 5 - month high. Previous short positions can be held, but lead consumption may improve in March [27]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: In the short - term, it is expected to be bullish due to increased demand and supply disruptions. Attention should be paid to buying opportunities on pull - backs [29]. - **Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon**: Industrial silicon will oscillate, and polysilicon will have a wide - range oscillation. Caution is advised in operation [31]. **Agricultural Products** - **Cotton**: Domestically, it is expected to be bullish, and low - buying and rolling operations are recommended. Attention should be paid to the demand after the holiday and international factors [34]. - **Sugar**: There is a short - term supply surplus, but the domestic sugar price may rebound due to restocking demand. It is in a low - level oscillation [35]. - **Eggs**: In the short - term, the spot price is weak, and the futures price will oscillate. Attention should be paid to inventory reduction and old - hen culling [37]. - **Apples**: High - quality apple prices will remain stable, and the overall price will oscillate in a range [38]. - **Corn**: The futures price will oscillate, and attention should be paid to the upper pressure. After the holiday, corn trading has not fully recovered, and there are supply pressures [39]. - **Jujubes**: Currently, the price is expected to oscillate weakly. Attention should be paid to the sales in the sales area and the mentality of buyers [40]. - **Hogs**: After the holiday, the market has a supply - demand imbalance with more supply. It is not recommended to short near - month futures contracts [41]. **Energy and Chemicals** - **Crude Oil**: The market is in a game between geopolitical risks and fundamental oversupply. The upside space is limited [43]. - **Fuel Oil**: The supply - demand situation has marginally improved, and the short - term focus is on the impact of oil prices dominated by geopolitics [44]. - **Plastics**: Polyolefins have large supply pressure but are slightly supported by rising raw material prices. An oscillating and weakening trend is expected [45]. - **Rubber**: In March, the downstream export orders are good, and there is support at the cost side. Caution is advised when chasing long positions [46]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: There is still room for decline in the short - term. Attention should be paid to the changes in butadiene and downstream devices [47]. - **Methanol**: The current supply - demand situation has slightly improved, but there may be a price correction. Attention should be paid to port inventory and Iranian supply [48]. - **Caustic Soda**: The futures price is expected to oscillate weakly. Attention should be paid to the recovery of demand and the impact of warehouse receipts [49]. - **Asphalt**: It follows oil price fluctuations, and attention should be paid to restocking demand after winter storage in March [51]. - **PVC**: In the short - term, it may be bullish, but the long - term supply - demand contradiction remains. Caution is advised [52]. - **Polyester Industry Chain**: In the short - term, the supply - demand situation is under pressure, and prices follow oil price fluctuations. Consider long - short spreads for PX and PTA 5 - 9 contracts [53]. - **Liquefied Petroleum Gas**: In the absence of further geopolitical escalation, the main contract is expected to be bearish [54]. - **Pulp**: The port inventory is at a new high, and the market sentiment has declined. Attention should be paid to inventory changes and price increases of finished products [56]. - **Logs**: The forward spot price is supported by cost, and attention should be paid to the impact of new delivery rules and market sentiment [57]. - **Urea**: The futures price is expected to oscillate bearishly. Attention should be paid to the difference between agricultural and industrial demand [57].

2、中国航天：今年计划实施2次载人飞行任务，全力推进登月配套设施建设 类型：行业 盘前要闻 情绪影响：正面 1、2月井喷！中国AI调用量首超美国，四款大模型霸榜全球前五 类型：行业 情绪影响：正面 据报道，2月中国AI的模型调用量爆发式增长，首次超过美国。与此同时，全球调用量排名前五的模型 中，中国模型占据四席。相比用户数，Token调用量是更能真实反映AI模型使用强度、用户粘性及商业 价值的关键指标。中国模型厂商，正凭借快速迭代和成本优势占领全球市场，国产算力需求正经历指数 级增长。 3、未缓解AI担忧，英伟达深夜大跌超5%！市值蒸发万亿，纳指跌超1% 据中国载人航天工程办公室消息，2026年，计划实施2次载人飞行任务、1次货运飞船补给任务，来自港 澳地区的航天员有望最早于今年执行空间站飞行任务，神舟二十三号飞行乘组1名航天员将开展一年期 驻留试验。瞄准2030年前实现中国人首次登陆月球的目标，载人月球探测工程登月阶段工作正在扎实稳 步推进。 分散投资是唯一的免费午餐。 4、事关第六轮中美经贸磋商等，商务部最新回应 类型：宏观 情绪影响：正面 商务部新闻发言人何咏前在回应近期将举行的第六轮中美经贸磋商相关提 ...

伯特利（603596.SH）系列点评十三 资料来源：Wind，国联民生证券研究所预测；（注：股价为 2026 年 2 月 26 日收盘价） 2026 年 02 月 26 日 | 推荐 | 维持评级 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格： | 53.50 元 | 拟收购豫北转向控股权 智能电动齐驱 glmszqdatemark [Table_Author] 分析师 崔琰 风险提示：客户销量不及预期；原材料上涨；收购进展不及预期；关税风险等。 | 执业证书： S0590525110023 | | | --- | --- | | 邮箱： | cuiyan@glms.com.cn | | 分析师 | 白如 | | 执业证书： S0590525110025 | | | 邮箱： | bairu@glms.com.cn | [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 项目/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 9,937 | 12,345 | 15,140 | 18,760 | ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of the communication and electronic sectors, indicating a bullish trend in the A-share market with a focus on long-term investment opportunities [5][9][10] - The report notes a significant decline in the Chinese automotive market, with a 32.1% month-on-month drop in sales for January 2026, reflecting ongoing challenges in the sector [4][21] - The report emphasizes the impact of macroeconomic factors, including the appreciation of the RMB against the USD, which is expected to enhance the attractiveness of Chinese assets for global investors [4][9] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,146.63 with a slight decline of -0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.19% to 14,503.79 [3] - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 17.04 and 53.74, respectively, indicating a favorable long-term investment environment [8][9] Industry Analysis - The report discusses the strong performance of the power and utilities sector, with the index rising by 2.05% in February, outperforming the broader market [14][15] - The report highlights the significant drop in box office revenues during the 2026 Spring Festival, with total box office earnings of 5.697 billion yuan, a decrease of 40.09% year-on-year [17][18] - The automotive sector is experiencing a shift, with a notable increase in commercial vehicle sales, while passenger vehicle sales are declining [21][22] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining a "stronger than market" investment rating for the power and utilities sector, focusing on stable, high-dividend companies and emerging opportunities in virtual power plants and controlled nuclear fusion [16] - In the automotive sector, the report recommends focusing on intelligent driving technologies and the transition to electric vehicles, as well as companies involved in robotics and liquid cooling technologies [23] - The report advises investors to pay attention to companies with strong content creation capabilities and efficient cinema operations in the film industry, as they are expected to benefit from the evolving market dynamics [20]

【财经日历】 国务院政策例行吹风会：2025年国务院部门办理全国人大代表建议和全国政协提案工作有关情况 ►►央行发布关于银行业金融机构人民币跨境同业融资业务有关事宜的通知（银发〔2026〕51号）。其 中提出，支持境内银行顺应市场需求，按照依法合规、风险可控的原则开展人民币跨境同业融资业务。 境内中资银行、外商独资银行、中外合资银行开展相关业务应由银行总行统一管理，并按照实质重于形 式的原则，将全部人民币跨境同业融资业务纳入管理范围，建立健全风险管理和内部控制机制。境内银 行向境外机构净融出人民币资金余额不得超过人民币跨境同业融资净融出余额上限。境内银行应建立内 部预警提示工作机制，当人民币跨境同业融资净融出余额达到上限的80%时，应对有关业务负责部门进 行预警提示。 ►►国家能源局新能源司司长李创军撰文表示，2026年加快修订《中华人民共和国可再生能源法》。配 合全国人大环资委修改完善可再生能源法修改草案文本，研究市场化新阶段下可再生能源可持续发展长 效机制，并以修法进一步凝聚共识，坚定不移推动可再生能源优先发展、大力发展。编制实施《可再生 能源发展"十五五"规划》。全力抓好规划编制和衔接，深入谋划"十五五 ...

女声普通话版 下载mp3 粤语版 下载mp3 西南方言版 下载mp3 东北话版 下载mp3 上海话版 下载mp3 今日优选 伊朗外长称谈判取得良好进展； 美国30年期房贷利率自2022年来首次跌破6%； 印度放宽主动型股票基金投资范围，允许将更多资金配置于黄金和白银； 商务部回应近期将举行的第六轮中美经贸磋商。 市场盘点 在关税混乱和美伊谈判推进之际，美元保持强势。周四，美元指数在亚太时段走软，在美盘走高逼近98关口，随后再次在该关口附近遇阻回落，最 终几乎收于平盘；基准的10年期美债收益率收报4.056%，对美联储政策利率敏感的2年期美债收益率收报3.475%。 由于交易员正密切关注美伊谈判及关税政策的不确定性，以寻找国际现货黄金的下一波重大走势，金价小幅走高。现货黄金盘中突破5200关口但依 旧未能守住此关口，最终收涨0.39%，报5185.29美元/盎司；现货白银盘中突破90美元关口，随后转跌，一度跌超4%，最终收跌1.01%，报88.3美元/ 盎司。 男生普通话版 下载mp3 港股恒指早盘冲高涨近1%，随后快速回落，午后跌势难止，尾盘跌幅再度扩大，全天跌近400点。恒生科技指数单边走弱，全天跌近3%。 ...

还有分析师表示，"市场目前正处于与广泛的AI担忧抗争的阶段。令投资者深感不安的是，既然核心客 户——这些超大规模云服务商——正在通过AI相关的资本支出消耗掉大部分现金流，英伟达未来该如 何维持其惊人的增长率？" 英特尔跌逾3%，特斯拉跌超2%，谷歌、亚马逊跌超1%，苹果小幅下跌；奈飞涨超2%，微软、Meta小 幅上涨。美股量子计算板块普涨，IonQ Inc涨超21%，Rigetti Computing涨超5%，Arqit Quantum涨超 3%，SEALSQ Corp、D-Wave Quantum涨超2%。 戴尔科技财年四季度总体净营收333.8亿美元，分析师预期317.4亿美元；四季度基础设施解决方案集团 经营户艘196亿美元；四季度AI服务器发货95亿美元，分析师预期94.4亿美元；四季度AI订单积压430亿 美元，AI订单341亿美元；四季度经过AI优化之后的服务器营收90亿美元。公司将年度股票分红提高 20%，将股票回购规模扩大100亿美元。公司预计2027财年营收1380亿~1420亿美元，分析师预期1262.8 亿美元；预计2027财年经AI优化的服务器营收将达到约500亿美元；预计一季度营收3 ...

彭博社报道认为，此行反映了卡尼以贸易为导向的外交政策。今年1月，卡尼访问了中国、卡塔尔、瑞 士，并与中国就电动汽车进口事宜达成协议，加拿大将给予中国电动汽车每年4.9万辆的配额，配额内 享受6.1%的最惠国关税待遇，配额数量将按一定比例逐年增长。此举受到国际媒体广泛关注，国际律 师协会25日发文称，这可能是特朗普第二任期内加拿大应对挑战的最佳例证。 卡尼频繁出访的背后是难以缓和的美加经贸关系。尽管上周美国最高法院裁定大规模关税政策违法，但 加拿大官员表示，该裁决不影响对钢铁、铝和汽车的特定行业关税，这些关税仍然有效。此外，加拿 大、美国和墨西哥的北美自由贸易协定（USMCA）今年夏天面临重新谈判，尽管加墨两国都希望维持 USMCA，但特朗普政府对此并不热衷，官员们暗示华盛顿更倾向于达成单独的双边协议。 不过，加拿大想要在经贸层面摆脱对美国的依赖并非一件短期内能够完成的事情。加拿大财经媒 体"BNN彭博社"近日报道称，加拿大将继续与美国进行贸易，只是贸易的成本和难度将会增加。该媒体 以能源行业举例称，能源出口将继续向南流动，除非新的石油管道获批并建成，但这需要时间，且新设 施需要更多投资。 【环球时报驻加拿大特 ...

近期，国内车市迎来政策与金融双轮驱动的消费热潮。商务部以旧换新新政、各地"乐购新春"促消费活 动叠加车企花式优惠，让汽车成为新年货的热门选择。中国证券报记者实地探访全国多地汽车线下门店 发现，新能源品牌与豪华燃油品牌客流旺盛，其中宝马、奔驰、岚图、理想、零跑和华为授权体验店等 门店购车人群扎堆，"BBA"品牌降价力度空前。 与此同时，各地"乐购新春"汽车嘉年华活动也持续升温，成为线下车市热度的重要支撑。记者在"精彩 武汉 乐购新春"主题新春消费季的活动现场注意到，东风汽车联动旗下数十家门店，汇聚所经营的多个 汽车品牌全线参与，此外还有多重购车补贴、汽车消费券、抽奖得车等助力，为购车消费者提供一站式 服务。 值得关注的是，消费者购车心态呈现分化，既有看中多重补贴愿意线下下单的果断买家，也有从去年观 望至今、试驾多款车型仍未出手的谨慎消费者，价格走势与政策持续性成为观望群体的主要顾虑。 金融手段成促销主流 值得一提的是，记者走访发现，目前购车金融政策正取代直接降价成为车企促销主流方式，超20家车企 推出七年甚至更长的超长低息贷。不过需要指出的是，车市也呈现出消费升级与观望情绪并存的特征， 中国汽车流通协会乘用车市 ...

近期，国内车市迎来政策与金融双轮驱动的消费热潮。商务部以旧换新新政、各地"乐购新春"促消费活 动叠加车企花式优惠，让汽车成为新年货的热门选择。中国证券报记者实地探访全国多地汽车线下门店 发现，新能源品牌与豪华燃油品牌客流旺盛，其中宝马、奔驰、岚图、理想、零跑和华为授权体验店等 门店购车人群扎堆，"BBA"品牌降价力度空前。 值得一提的是，记者走访发现，目前购车金融政策正取代直接降价成为车企促销主流方式，超20家车企 推出七年甚至更长的超长低息贷。不过需要指出的是，车市也呈现出消费升级与观望情绪并存的特征， 中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分会（简称"乘联分会"）预计，节后新能源车市将进入短暂调整 期。 ● 本报记者 龚梦泽 线下门店热度升温 春节前夕及假期期间，记者先后走访上海、武汉、北京等多地汽车门店，从新能源品牌体验店到豪华品 牌4S店，不同品牌的线下销售表现呈现鲜明差异，这种差异的背后，是消费者购车需求从刚需向品质 化和个性化转变。 在上海闵行区智己汽车门店内，选车咨询的消费者络绎不绝，销售人员不停向客户介绍优惠政策："目 前购买智己LS6、LS9、L6，可享受7年0首付、3年0息金融方案。增程车型还 ...