Group 1 - China Lesso (2128.HK) saw its stock price rise by 6.16% to HKD 6.55, reaching a nearly three-year high since March 28, 2023, with a year-to-date increase of over 41%, significantly outperforming the Hang Seng Index, which rose over 5% in the same period [1] - The stock price has increased by 108% compared to the same period last year, when it closed at HKD 3.15 on February 7, 2022 [1] - CICC's report indicates a potential mild recovery in the consumer building materials sector, with leading companies in certain segments expected to see marginal improvements in profit margins due to price increases in waterproofing, gypsum boards, and municipal pipelines [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities noted that positive real estate policies are likely to accelerate the stabilization of the real estate market, with current data reflecting in the stock prices and valuations of building materials companies [1] - Companies are improving their domestic market share, expanding overseas, and diversifying product categories, with some beginning to show signs of revenue improvement [1] - Citigroup reported that the core business of China Lesso is stabilizing, with reduced drag from residential business offset by strong growth in non-residential sectors such as agriculture, industry, healthcare, and municipal services [2] Group 3 - Citigroup raised its target price for China Lesso from HKD 6.5 to HKD 7, based on a forecasted price-to-earnings ratio of 9 times for this year, which is 0.5 standard deviations above the historical average, maintaining a "Buy" rating [2]

Group 1 - China Liansu (2128.HK) saw its stock price rise by 6.16% to HKD 6.55, reaching a nearly three-year high since March 28, 2023, with a year-to-date increase of over 41%, significantly outperforming the Hang Seng Index, which rose over 5% during the same period [1] - The stock price has increased by 108% compared to the closing price of HKD 3.15 on February 7, 2022 [1] - CICC's report indicates a potential mild recovery in the consumer building materials sector, with leading companies in certain segments expected to see marginal improvements in profit margins due to price increases in waterproofing, gypsum boards, and municipal pipelines [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities noted that positive real estate policies are likely to accelerate the stabilization of the real estate market, with current data reflecting in the stock prices and valuations of building materials companies [1] - Companies are improving revenue through increased domestic market share, overseas business expansion, and product category diversification, with some showing signs of revenue improvement [1] - Citigroup reported that China Liansu's core business in mainland China is stabilizing, with reduced drag from residential business offset by strong growth in non-residential sectors such as agriculture, industrial, medical, and municipal [2]

发布时间：2026-02-09 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 6076.69 | | 52 周最高 | 6160.52 | | 52 周最低 | 4167.51 | 行业相对指数表现 -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 2025-02 2025-04 2025-06 2025-09 2025-11 2026-01 建筑材料 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 证券研究报告：建筑材料|行业周报 近期研究报告 《防水发布涨价函，关注内需弹性品 种》 - 2026.01.26 建材行业报告 （2026.02.02-2026.02.08） 电子布涨价超预期，看好 26 年涨价持续性 投资要点 2 月 4 日，光远新材、国际复材等玻纤龙头对电子布再度提价， 新一轮提价幅度较大，涨价幅度约 0.5-0.6 元/米。此次涨价，我们 判断一方面由于铜价及下游 CCL 涨价预期导致 ...

Summary of Industry Research Conference Call Industry: Cement and Glass Manufacturing Key Points on Cement Industry - The national cement market price decreased by 1% week-on-week to 347 RMB/ton [1] - Price reductions were primarily observed in regions such as Henan, Hubei, Chongqing, Gansu, and Ningxia, with a decrease of 10-30 RMB/ton [1] - As the Spring Festival approaches, downstream mixing stations and engineering projects are halting operations, leading to a significant contraction in cement market demand [1] - The average shipment rate of cement enterprises in key regions fell by approximately 8 percentage points week-on-week, continuing the downward price trend [1] Key Points on Float Glass Industry - The average price of domestic float glass was 62 RMB per heavy box, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.4% [4] - The domestic float glass market is experiencing a rapid decline in demand, with limited adjustment power in prices, leading to overall price stability [4] - As of last Thursday, there were 262 float glass production lines nationwide, with 208 in operation, and a daily melting capacity of 148,935 tons, which decreased by 1,200 tons compared to the previous week [5] - The industry capacity utilization rate stands at 80.80% [5] - Inventory levels in monitored provinces reached 49.49 million heavy boxes, an increase of 220,000 heavy boxes or 0.45% from the previous week [5] - The production volume in monitored provinces was 11.82 million heavy boxes, with a consumption volume of 11.60 million heavy boxes, resulting in a production-sales ratio of 98.14% [5] Key Points on Photovoltaic Glass - The mainstream order price for 2.0mm coated panels is 10.8 RMB/square meter, remaining stable week-on-week; for 3.2mm coated panels, the price is 17.8 RMB/square meter, reflecting a decrease of 0.4% [5] - There are 398 production lines for photovoltaic glass nationwide, with a daily melting capacity of 87,300 tons, remaining stable week-on-week but down 1.68% year-on-year [5] - Sample inventory days are approximately 34.18 days, a decrease of 1.20% week-on-week [5] Key Points on Fiberglass - The domestic alkali-free roving market price is generally stable with slight increases in some mainstream products and individual yarn products [6] - The supply side shows limited changes in production capacity for roving, with inventory growth slowing down [6] - The electronic yarn market has seen significant price increases, with mainstream products rising by approximately 1,000 RMB/ton, and high-end products increasing by 2,000-4,000 RMB/ton [6] Key Points on Other Materials - As of February 7, the national average price for PVC was 4,916 RMB/ton, up 0.2% week-on-week; HDPE was 7,775 RMB/ton, up 0.1%; and PPR was 8,083 RMB/ton, up 0.4% [8] - The average price for light soda ash was 1,218 RMB/ton, stable week-on-week; heavy soda ash was 1,282 RMB/ton, also stable [8] - Soda ash inventory increased by 2.4% to 158,110 tons, with an operating rate of 83.25%, down 1.1 percentage points [8] - Carbon fiber prices remained stable, with T700-12K at 105 RMB/kg and T300-12K at 85 RMB/kg [9] - Carbon fiber inventory reached 13,200 tons, an increase of 2.7% week-on-week [9]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Hold" [3] Core Insights - In Q4 2025, funds increased their allocation in the cement and glass sectors, while the overall allocation in the building materials sector remains low at 0.51%, with a low allocation of 0.49% [19][23] - The industry shows signs of profit recovery, with leading companies demonstrating resilience [23] - The fund's strategy continues to focus on core industries that counteract internal competition, particularly in waterproofing and glass [41] Fund Holdings Analysis - As of Q4 2025, the fund's allocation in the building materials sector is 0.51%, up by 0.046 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating a low allocation compared to the overall market [19] - The allocation by sub-sector includes cement at 0.13%, glass at 0.07%, and other materials at 0.02% [23] - The fund increased its holdings in all sub-sectors except for consumer materials, new materials, and glass fibers [23] Individual Stock Performance - The top ten companies by fund holdings as of Q4 2025 include: - 菲利华 (44.5 billion RMB) - 东方雨虹 (22.4 billion RMB) - 三棵树 (20.5 billion RMB) - 中材科技 (16.1 billion RMB) - 海螺水泥 (13.7 billion RMB) [41] - The top ten companies by fund holding percentage include: - 菲利华 (8.68%) - 东方雨虹 (8.61%) - 三棵树 (6.00%) [41] Valuation and Financial Analysis - The report includes a detailed valuation and financial analysis of key companies in the building materials sector, with several companies rated as "Buy" based on their projected earnings and price-to-earnings ratios [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the construction materials sector, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [2]. Core Views - The report highlights a favorable supply-demand dynamic in the electronic fabric market, with price increases expected to continue in 2026, driven by structural adjustments and strong demand for mid-to-high-end products [5][9]. - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery, particularly in major cities, which is anticipated to boost the performance of consumer building materials [5][9]. - The cement industry is entering a seasonal downturn, with a slight decrease in prices and demand, but is expected to stabilize post-Chinese New Year [22][29]. Summary by Sections Cement - The cement market is experiencing a seasonal decline, with average shipment rates around 25%, down approximately 8 percentage points week-on-week [22][24]. - The average price of cement is approximately 347 RMB/ton, reflecting a decrease of 3.2 RMB/ton [22][24]. - Recommendations include companies like Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, with a focus on potential recovery post-holiday [29]. Glass - The glass market is entering a demand lull, with production capacity decreasing to about 14.89 million tons per day, and inventory levels rising [31][41]. - The average price of float glass has increased to 1,154 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week rise of 10 RMB/ton [31][41]. - Companies to watch include Qibin Group and Xinyi Glass, as they may benefit from the anticipated stabilization in the market [41]. Fiberglass - The electronic fabric prices have increased, with 7628 electronic fabric now priced at 5.1-5.3 RMB/m, indicating a strong market outlook for 2026 [5][9]. - The report recommends China Jushi as a key player in the fiberglass sector, with additional attention on International Composite Materials and Changhai Co., Ltd. [5][9]. Carbon Fiber - Carbon fiber prices are stable, with potential demand growth driven by advancements in commercial aerospace [5][9]. - Companies like Zhongfu Shenying and Guangwei Composites are highlighted for their growth potential in this sector [5][9].

Group 1: Construction Materials - The completion end of construction materials is expected to reach a long-term turning point in 2026, driven by factors such as a narrowing decline in new housing completions, improving second-hand housing transaction volumes, and a significant increase in the stock of homes entering the renovation cycle [1][10][20] - The demand structure has been significantly impacted by economic pressures, leading to a delay in renovation needs, but positive changes are anticipated in the future, with a dual positive shift expected in the industry due to continuous supply contraction [1][21][33] - The glass supply is notably shrinking, approaching a supply-demand balance, with a focus on price elasticity in 2026, highlighting the importance of companies like Qibin Group [1][43] Group 2: Construction Start Materials - Profit recovery in the construction start materials sector is underway, but further policy support is needed for a sustained trend. The demand for construction starts is primarily driven by new real estate projects and infrastructure [2][14] - The cement industry has seen a significant exit of over 160 million tons of actual capacity, leading to a relatively stable price environment and improved profit margins for companies with cost advantages, such as Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement [2][33] Group 3: New Materials - The report emphasizes the potential of electronic yarn, carbon fiber, and TCO glass. The electronic yarn sector is experiencing price increases due to high demand driven by the AI industry [3][17] - Carbon fiber demand is expected to grow rapidly, driven by the wind energy sector and aerospace applications, with companies like Zhongfu Shenying being highlighted for their growth potential [3][20] - TCO glass is entering a commercial application phase, with significant production capacity planned by companies such as BOE Technology and JinkoSolar, indicating a strong future demand for this material [3][23] Group 4: Key Investment Targets - Key investment targets include companies like Sankeshu (603737.SH), Weixing New Materials (002372.SZ), and Rabbit Baby (002043.SZ), with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth and favorable price-to-earnings (PE) ratios indicating potential for investment [6][7] - The report maintains a buy rating for companies like China Jushi (600176.SH) and Zhongfu Shenying (688295.SH), reflecting confidence in their growth prospects in the new materials sector [6][7]

Core Viewpoints - The traditional building materials sector is expected to bottom out and recover due to a combination of factors such as the slowdown in new real estate demand and the gradual release of stock renovation demand, with consumer building materials benefiting significantly [4] - The special fiberglass electronic cloth sector is experiencing high demand due to the explosion of computing power needs, and companies with outstanding technical advantages and production capacity reserves are favored [4] - Infrastructure investment opportunities are promising, particularly in sectors related to urban renewal and underground pipeline construction [4] Cement Sector - Cement demand is expected to stabilize as confidence in the housing market strengthens, with a potential bottoming out of demand [26][29] - The production of cement is declining due to weak demand from the real estate sector, with a forecasted production volume of 1.693 billion tons in 2025, down 6.9% year-on-year [29] - The average price of cement is recovering due to industry self-discipline and effective supply control, with policies aimed at eliminating backward production capacity expected to accelerate this trend [33] Fiberglass Sector - The fiberglass sector is expanding its application fields, with strong demand for electronic fiberglass cloth driven by the growth of computing power needs [36][41] - The apparent consumption of fiberglass in China has increased from 187,000 tons in 2012 to 624,000 tons in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.56% [40] - The demand for high-performance computing and AI applications is significantly increasing, leading to a structural change in demand for fiberglass materials [44] Glass Sector - The demand for flat glass is under pressure due to a decline in housing completion areas, with consumption levels expected to continue decreasing [51] - The glass industry is facing high inventory levels, with total inventory reaching 58.227 million weight boxes as of December 11, 2025, indicating a need for supply-side adjustments [51] - The photovoltaic glass sector is experiencing growth, but overall glass prices are under pressure due to capacity expansion and declining demand [51] Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is seeing a release of stock demand, with policies aimed at stabilizing the housing market expected to support sales and completion rates [62] - The renovation demand is anticipated to recover as macroeconomic policies stimulate consumption, with a significant portion of demand coming from homes built 10-15 years ago [66] - The urban renewal initiatives and the establishment of a housing pension system are expected to further boost demand for consumer building materials [66] Recommended Investment Targets - Companies such as Rabbit Baby (兔宝宝, 002043) and Beixin Building Materials (北新建材, 000786) are highlighted for their strong market positions and competitive advantages in the consumer building materials sector [4][103] - International Composites (国际复材, 301526) is recommended for its strong performance in the special fiberglass cloth sector [4] - Companies like Jinjing Technology (金晶科技, 600586) and Puhua Co., Ltd. (濮耐股份, 002225) are noted for their promising second growth curves in TCO glass and high-activity magnesium oxide businesses, respectively [4]

Group 1 - The report highlights the recovery opportunities in the consumer building materials sector, driven by the stabilization of the real estate market and the emergence of sub-industry advantages [2][3] - The funding aspect shows an increasing proportion of active equity funds' holdings in the building materials sector, with noticeable net inflows into building materials ETFs since late January 2026 [10][11] - The fundamental aspect indicates that the consumer building materials sub-industry is showing alpha advantages due to an optimized competitive landscape, smoother price transmission, channel transformation, and dual recovery of performance and valuation [14][42] Group 2 - The competitive landscape in the consumer building materials industry has improved, with the market concentration in the waterproof materials sector expected to increase, as indicated by the CR5 rising from 55% in 2023 to 60% in the first half of 2025 [17][19] - The report notes that major companies in the waterproof materials sector have begun to raise prices in response to rising raw material costs, indicating a shift away from intense competition [19][20] - The transformation of business models is highlighted, with companies shifting focus from large B clients to small B and C end customers, which helps mitigate risks associated with large client concentration [20][25] Group 3 - The report anticipates a turning point in the revenue and net profit growth rates for the consumer building materials index, with current PB valuations below the 50th percentile since 2020, suggesting potential for both performance improvement and valuation recovery [42][44]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the building materials sector, including China Jushi, Huaxin Cement, and Dongfang Yuhong [5]. Core Insights - The building materials industry is experiencing a transformation, with traditional categories weakening while price increases are leading the recovery [1]. - The demand for cement is expected to stabilize in the short term, with a potential rebound in March due to seasonal construction activities [4][15]. - The fiberglass sector is seeing price increases driven by high demand for electronic yarn, while the overall market remains tight [4][42]. - The consumer building materials market is shifting towards high-quality products, supported by urban renewal strategies and price increases from leading companies [4][39]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Transformation - The building materials industry plays a crucial role in supporting various sectors, including infrastructure and emerging industries [7]. - The industry is undergoing a transition towards high-quality development, with a focus on technological upgrades and sustainable practices [9]. 2. Traditional Materials Weakness and Price Increases - Cement demand is under pressure due to seasonal factors, with a decrease in total demand observed in January [15]. - The fiberglass market is experiencing stable prices for raw yarn, while electronic yarn prices are rising due to strong demand [42]. - Consumer building materials are seeing a shift towards high-quality products, with urban renewal driving demand [39]. 3. Market Confidence and Valuation Recovery - The building materials sector is witnessing a gradual recovery in valuations, supported by multiple favorable factors [4]. - The financial performance of the industry has improved, with significant cash flow recovery noted in the first three quarters [6]. 4. Investment Recommendations - For cement, the report suggests focusing on leading companies like Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, which are expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics [4]. - In the fiberglass sector, companies like China Jushi and China National Building Material are highlighted for their strong earnings potential [4]. - The consumer building materials segment is recommended for investment, particularly companies with strong brand and distribution advantages [4].