| 代码 | 简称 | 业绩预告 | 业绩预告 | 预计净利润增幅中值 | 最新收盘价 | 今年以来涨跌 | 行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 日期 | 类型 | （%） | （元） | （%） | | | 300620 | 光库 科技 | 2025.12.31 | 预增 | 162.00 | 151.68 | 3.15 | 通信 | | 301377 | 鼎泰 | 2026.01.05 | 预增 | 91.74 | 142.91 | 2.74 | 机械设 | | | 高科 | | | | | | 备 | | 301345 | 涛涛 车业 | 2026.01.06 | 预增 | 91.30 | 257.60 | 2.50 | 汽车 | | 301078 | 孩子 | 2025.12.31 | 预增 | 66.89 | 10.72 | 3.38 | 商贸零 | | | 王 | | | | | | 售 | | 301606 | 绿联 科技 | 2026.01.05 | 预增 | 49.91 | 60.71 | 3.35 | 电 ...

华泰证券研报称，看好春季行情进一步强化，技术模型显示多数宽基指数的得分回升、市场处于修复通 道，上证指数已进入看多区间；宏观层面，1月份全天候策略亦押注增长超预期并增配股票。配置上建 议沿两条主线布局：一是成长风格，看好电力设备及新能源行业；二是围绕"十五五"开局之年的内需改 善主题，推荐社会服务、房地产、家电及饮料行业。 ...

王源 S1060524010001（证券投资咨询）邮箱：WANGYUAN468@pingan.com.cn 胡琼方 S1060524010002（证券投资咨询）邮箱：HUQIONGFANG722@pingan.com.cn 王萌 S1060522030001（证券投资咨询）邮箱：WANGMENG917@pingan.com.cn 张晋溢 S1060521030001（证券投资咨询）邮箱：ZHANGJINYI112@pingan.com.cn 证券研究报告 大消费行业周报 市场稳健，板块分化 平安证券研究所 大消费团队 证券分析师： 王星云 S1060523100001（证券投资咨询）邮箱：WANGXINGYUN937@pingan.com.cn 2026年1月5日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 本周观点 资料来源：wind，平安证券研究所 大消费行业周观点：1）行情回顾：本周（2025年12月29日-12月31日）沪深300下跌0.59%，中信一级子行业中：上涨的子行业：传媒 （+2.27%）、家电（+0.69%）、消费者服务（+0.59%）、纺织服装（+0.55%）、农林牧渔（+0.20%）；下跌的子行业：轻工 ...

证券研究报告 2026 年 1 月 5 日 星期一 【A 股市场大势研判】 创业板指 2025 年全年大涨近 50% 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3968.84 | 0.09% | 3.72 | | | 深证成指 | 13525.02 | -0.58% | -79.04 | | | 沪深 300 | 4629.94 | -0.46% | -21.34 | | | 创业板 | 3203.17 | -1.23% | -39.73 | | | 科创 50 | 1344.20 | -1.15% | -15.67 | | | 北证 50 | 1440.43 | -0.70% | -10.21 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万一级涨幅前五 | | | 申万一级跌幅前五 | 热点板块 n | 涨幅前五 | 热点板块跌幅前五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 国防军工 | ...

在政策建议方面，吴开达认为，要健全投资和融资相协调的资本市场功能，可从提升灵活性与保密性、 上市标准多元化、投资者结构优化、构建科技金融生态以及深化沪港融合与国际协同等方面着手推进。 （文章来源：证券时报） 在行业板块配置方面，吴开达给出三方面建议：一是2025年三季报指引及行业数据显示景气度与出口强 相关，重点关注境外业务高占比行业，包括电子、家电、汽车、电力设备等；二是随着经济周期回暖， 通胀作为滞后指标回升，周期股在牛市中后期易获得增量资金青睐；三是关注潜在底部反转的行业，诸 如食饮、农业、社服、医药等有较高赔率。 在主题投资机会方面，他认为，应该聚焦前沿技术突破与产业变革方向，诸如AIDC（人工智能数据中 心）、具身智能、脑机接口、可控核聚变、量子计算。 天风证券策略首席分析师、政策研究院院长吴开达表示，2025年A股市场表现积极，不断攻坚背后，离 不开中国经济实力、科技实力、综合国力的提升。"十五五"规划将夯实基础、全面发力，在2026年续写 经济快速发展和社会长期稳定两大奇迹新篇章，加快金融强国建设，资本市场也有望走出"攻坚牛"。 ...

漫画 王建明 2026年，A股市场有望从估值驱动转向盈利驱动，呈现"慢牛"特征。 建议投资者关注以下四大方向：一是科技创新，重点关注算力/应用/机器人/智驾等AI产业链，以及创新药 等；二是先进制造，关注我国具有竞争力且景气有望向上的新能源、国防军工等；三是上游周期,有望受益 于"反内卷"且具有涨价预期的有色、化工、钢铁、煤炭、建材等；四是内需消费，重点关注受益于扩内需+消 费结构转型的新消费，如IP、宠物等。 2026年科技投资难度将大于2025年,投资者未来想获取超额收益，将更依赖于对产业节奏的精准把握和个股的 深度甄别。 深圳商报记者 詹钰叶 2025年A股市场大涨，站在2026年的起点，市场是否延续反弹？哪些板块值得关注？多家机构认为，在"更加 积极有为"的宏观政策支持下，中国经济将实现韧性增长与结构升级的双向奔赴，内需复苏与外需韧性形成合 力支撑。A股市场有望从估值驱动转向盈利驱动，呈现"慢牛"特征，科技创新、消费升级等成为全市场共识 性投资主线。 中泰证券 科技领航，促消费与扩投资协同推进 宏观层面看，中泰国际首席经济学家李迅雷认为，2026年作为"十五五"规划开局之年，GDP增速目标预计定 在5 ...

沪深300今日主力资金净流出143.37亿元，创业板净流出119.46亿元。 | | | 各板块最近五个交易日主力资金净流入数据(亿元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 沪深300 | 创业板 | 科创板 | | 2025- 12- 31 | - 143. 37 | - 119. 46 | - 0. 68 | | 2025- 12- 30 | 3. 75 | - 78. 57 | - 9. 52 | | 2025- 12- 29 | - 142. 73 | - 183. 32 | - 21. 17 | | 2025- 12- 26 | - 54. 39 | - 133. 96 | - 20. 89 | | 2025- 12- 25 | - 79. 88 | - 51. 51 | - 16. 01 | | | | 尾盘资金净流入数据(亿元) | | | 2025- 12- 31 | - 19. 51 | - 22. 01 | 1. 27 | | 2025- 12- 30 | - 3. 77 | - 8. 87 | 1. 60 | | 2025- 12- 29 | - 2 ...

Core Insights - The official launch of the Hainan Free Trade Port on December 18, 2025, marks a transition from preparation to implementation, with significant policy benefits expected in 2026, which is seen as a historic investment opportunity [1][2] - The Hainan Free Trade Port theme received a score of 61.25 based on eight dimensions, with 23 beneficiary stocks selected to form the Hainan Free Trade Port stock pool, which has outperformed the Wind All A index by 17.8% since the end of 2024 [4][3] Policy Foundation - The Hainan Free Trade Port is built on the "One Law and Three Core" principles, including "one line open, two lines controlled, and free flow within the island," which aims to enhance economic dynamism through a policy framework of "zero tariffs, low tax rates, and simplified tax systems" [2][13] - The "zero tariff" policy has shifted from a positive list to a negative list management approach, expanding the range of goods eligible for zero tariffs [16] Investment Opportunities in Core Industries - The free flow of production factors is expected to reshape Hainan's industrial structure, with tourism, cross-border logistics and finance, and new productive forces in commercial aerospace and deep-sea economy identified as the primary beneficiaries of policy dividends [3][18] - The tourism sector is transitioning from "duty-free on departure" to a "whole island consumption" model, enhancing the attractiveness of Hainan for both domestic and international consumers [21][19] - Cross-border logistics and finance are positioned to benefit from higher levels of openness, with Hainan becoming a hub for offshore trade and digital trade [30][32] - New productive forces are expected to thrive in Hainan's unique geographical and policy environment, particularly in commercial aerospace and deep-sea technology [38][40] Hainan Free Trade Port Theme Evaluation - The theme evaluation score of 61.25 reflects high scores in policy effectiveness, support intensity, and industry coverage, indicating a favorable investment environment [45][46] - The evaluation criteria include market capitalization, policy effectiveness, support intensity, industry coverage, valuation levels, trading congestion, performance realization capability, and future growth potential [46][47] Hainan Free Trade Port Stock Pool - The stock pool is constructed based on three dimensions: tourism, cross-border logistics, and new productive forces, providing a selection of stocks that could benefit from the Hainan Free Trade Port policies [48][49] - Specific sectors within the stock pool include duty-free retail, healthcare tourism, and experiential cultural tourism, which are expected to see significant growth [22][23][26] Hainan Free Trade Port Index - The Hainan Free Trade Port Index, based on the selected stocks, has shown a significant increase of 43.02% from December 31, 2024, to December 26, 2025, outperforming the Wind All A index by 17.8% [54][55]

Core Viewpoint - Five companies listed on the ChiNext board have announced performance forecasts for 2025, all indicating an increase in net profit [1] Group 1: Company Performance Forecasts - Tian Su (天溯) expects a net profit increase of 10.31% with a closing price of 86.70 yuan, experiencing a decline of 14.17% year-to-date [1] - N Xin Guang (N新广) anticipates a net profit increase of 10.00%, with no closing price provided [1] - Na Bai Chuan (纳百川) forecasts a net profit increase of 9.72% and a closing price of 79.58 yuan, down 30.80% year-to-date [1] - Xin Heng Hui (新恒汇) projects a net profit increase of 4.66% with a closing price of 65.96 yuan, up 57.49% year-to-date [1] - Nan Wang (南网) expects a net profit increase of 2.76% with a closing price of 18.85 yuan, up 2.00% year-to-date [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - The companies span various industries, including social services, basic chemicals, automotive, electronics, and computer technology [1]

Market Performance Overview - The equity market indices collectively rose during the week of December 22-26, 2025, with the CSI 500 increasing by 4.03%. The sectors that performed well included non-ferrous metals, defense and military industry, and electric equipment, while beauty care, social services, and banking sectors saw declines [4]. Fund Product Issuance - A total of 65 new funds were established in the domestic market this week, with a combined issuance of 27.894 billion units. This included 19 bond funds, 18 stock funds, 18 mixed funds, 6 FOF funds, 1 REIT, and 3 money market funds. Overall, 23 new funds were issued across various types, including 8 mixed funds, 8 stock funds, 5 bond funds, 1 FOF fund, and 1 REIT [5]. Fund Product Performance Tracking - The defense and military theme funds saw a significant increase in net value this week, while the medical and consumer theme funds experienced a pullback. As of December 26, 2025, the net value changes for various thematic funds were as follows: defense and military (6.62%), new energy (6.34%), TMT (4.15%), industry balanced (3.08%), industry rotation (2.63%), cyclical (2.63%), financial real estate (0.14%), consumer (-0.21%), and medical (-0.81%) [6]. ETF Market Tracking - Stock ETFs continued to see significant inflows, with a net inflow of 36.341 billion yuan. The median return for stock ETFs was 2.74%. In contrast, Hong Kong stock ETFs had a median return of -0.09% with a net inflow of 1.612 billion yuan. Cross-border ETFs had a median return of 0.90% and a net inflow of 0.655 billion yuan. Commodity ETFs had a median return of 3.59% with a net inflow of 2.129 billion yuan. Notably, the broad market theme ETFs saw a total inflow of 43.784 billion yuan, while the medical theme ETFs had a net inflow of 0.403 billion yuan [7]. ESG Financial Product Tracking - This week, 31 new green bonds were issued, totaling an issuance scale of 22.114 billion yuan. The domestic green bond market has steadily developed, with a cumulative issuance scale of 5.17 trillion yuan and a total of 4,458 bonds issued as of December 26, 2025. The domestic fund market currently has 211 ESG funds with a total scale of 153.222 billion yuan. The median net value changes for various ESG fund types this week were 4.12% for active equity, 2.50% for passive stock index, and 0.06% for bond ESG funds, with themes like carbon neutrality, green energy, and environmental protection performing well [8].