外汇
Search documents
闫瑞祥:黄金早盘低点之上强势对待,欧美日线阻力如期承压
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 04:59
Dollar Index - The dollar index showed a downward trend on Monday, with a high of 98.159 and a low of 97.747, closing at 97.913 [1] - The key resistance level is at 98, and if the price stabilizes above this level, it may continue to rise; otherwise, there is a risk of further declines [1] - Weekly support is at 97.80, while daily support is at 97.60, indicating potential for further upward movement if these levels hold [1] Gold - Gold prices increased on Monday, reaching a high of 3834 and a low of 3757.76, closing at 3833.69, marking a new historical high [3] - The monthly trend remains bullish, with 3000 as a critical long-term support level; prices above this level indicate a long-term bullish outlook [3] - Short-term support is at 3805, and as long as prices remain above this level, the bullish trend is expected to continue [3] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair experienced an upward trend on Monday, with a low of 1.1697 and a high of 1.1754, closing at 1.1726 [5] - The monthly support level is at 1.1060, and the weekly support is at 1.1700, which is crucial for the medium-term outlook [5] - The price is currently under pressure at the daily resistance level of 1.1750, and if it breaks below the 1.1710 support, further declines may be expected [5]
大类资产早报-20250930
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-30 01:36
Report Information - Report Date: September 30, 2025 [2] - Report Title: Daily Report on Major Asset Classes [9] Global Asset Market Performance 10-Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies - Yields on September 29, 2025: US 4.140%, UK 4.700%, France 3.531%, etc [3] - Latest Changes: US -0.036, UK -0.045, France -0.037, etc [3] - One-Week Changes: US -0.008, UK -0.012, France -0.028, etc [3] - One-Month Changes: US -0.090, UK -0.050, France -0.005, etc [3] - One-Year Changes: US 0.389, UK 0.778, France 0.594, etc [3] 2-Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies - Yields on September 29, 2025: US 3.640%, UK 3.983%, Germany 2.020%, etc [3] - Latest Changes: US 0.070, UK -0.026, Germany -0.007, etc [3] - One-Week Changes: US 0.070, UK 0.008, Germany 0.006, etc [3] - One-Month Changes: US 0.120, UK 0.023, Germany 0.069, etc [3] - One-Year Changes: US 0.050, UK 0.071, Germany -0.126, etc [3] US Dollar Exchange Rates Against Major Emerging Market Currencies - Rates on September 29, 2025: Brazil 5.322, South Africa ZAR 17.273, South Korean Won 1400.400, etc [3] - Latest Changes: Brazil -0.40%, South Africa ZAR -0.37%, South Korean Won -0.72%, etc [3] - One-Week Changes: Brazil -0.24%, South Africa ZAR -0.31%, South Korean Won 0.66%, etc [3] - One-Month Changes: Brazil -2.15%, South Africa ZAR -1.96%, South Korean Won 0.50%, etc [3] - One-Year Changes: Brazil -3.88%, South Africa ZAR -0.45%, South Korean Won 4.88%, etc [3] Stock Indices of Major Economies - Values on September 29, 2025: S&P 500 6661.210, Dow Jones Industrial Average 46316.070, NASDAQ 22591.150, etc [3] - Latest Changes: S&P 500 0.26%, Dow Jones Industrial Average 0.15%, NASDAQ 0.48%, etc [3] - One-Week Changes: S&P 500 -0.49%, Dow Jones Industrial Average -0.14%, NASDAQ -0.87%, etc [3] - One-Month Changes: Mexico Index 6.36%, UK Index 1.13%, France CAC 2.24%, etc [3] - One-Year Changes: S&P 500 16.48%, Dow Jones Industrial Average 9.95%, NASDAQ 25.69%, etc [3] Credit Bond Indices - Values on September 29, 2025: US Investment-Grade Credit Bond Index 3517.910, Eurozone Investment-Grade Credit Bond Index 265.036, etc [3] - Latest Changes: US Investment-Grade Credit Bond Index 0.34%, Eurozone Investment-Grade Credit Bond Index 0.13%, etc [4] - One-Week Changes: US Investment-Grade Credit Bond Index 0.09%, Eurozone Investment-Grade Credit Bond Index 0.08%, etc [4] - One-Month Changes: US Investment-Grade Credit Bond Index 1.56%, Eurozone Investment-Grade Credit Bond Index 0.51%, etc [4] - One-Year Changes: US Investment-Grade Credit Bond Index 3.50%, Eurozone Investment-Grade Credit Bond Index 3.93%, etc [4] Stock Index Futures Trading Data Index Performance - Closing Prices: A-share 3862.53, CSI 300 4620.05, SSE 50 2973.04, etc [5] - Price Changes (%): A-share 0.90%, CSI 300 1.54%, SSE 50 1.09%, etc [5] Valuation - PE(TTM): CSI 300 14.19, SSE 50 11.73, CSI 500 34.92, etc [5] - Month-on-Month Changes: CSI 300 0.15, SSE 50 0.05, CSI 500 0.47, etc [5] Risk Premium - 1/PE - 10-Year Interest Rate: S&P 500 -0.53, Germany DAX 2.40 [5] - Month-on-Month Changes: S&P 500 0.03, Germany DAX 0.04 [5] Fund Flows - Latest Values: A-share 836.51, Main Board 463.46, Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Board - [5] - Average Values in the Past 5 Days: A-share -302.46, Main Board -264.41, Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise Board - [5] Trading Volume - Latest Values: Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges 21614.61, CSI 300 6933.95, SSE 50 1899.69, etc [5] - Month-on-Month Changes: Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges 145.76, CSI 300 946.71, SSE 50 397.81, etc [5] Main Contract Premiums or Discounts - Basis: IF -15.45, IH 2.96, IC -118.36 [5] - Premium or Discount Ratios: IF -0.33%, IH 0.10%, IC -1.61% [5] Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data Closing Prices - T00 107.660, TF00 105.485, T01 107.325, TF01 105.360 [6] Price Changes (%) - T00 0.00%, TF00 0.00%, T01 0.00%, TF01 0.00% [6] Money Market - Capital Interest Rates: R001 1.3776%, R007 1.8694%, SHIBOR-3M 1.5800% [6] - Daily Changes (BP): R001 -17.00, R007 32.00, SHIBOR-3M 0.00 [6]
大类资产运行周报(20250922-20250926):美国通胀数据符合预期,大宗商品整体上涨-20250929
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-09-29 11:01
Report Overview - Report Title: Weekly Report on the Operation of Major Asset Classes (20250922 - 20250926) - US Inflation Data Meets Expectations, with Commodities Rising Overall [1] - Timeframe: September 22 - September 26, 2025 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - Global: The market's performance last week was influenced by economic data. The US 8 - month PCE year - on - year growth rate met market expectations. The dollar index ended the week higher, stocks and bonds declined, and commodities rose. In general, commodities > stocks > bonds in terms of dollar - denominated assets [4][7]. - Domestic: China's industrial enterprise profits returned to positive growth in August year - on - year. The stock market and commodities ended the week higher, and the bond market declined. Overall, commodities > stocks > bonds [4][20]. - Outlook: The focus is on the release of domestic and foreign macro - data during the National Day. There are important data such as non - farm payrolls to be released, leading to high market uncertainty. After the holiday, price fluctuations of major asset classes may increase [4][27]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Global Major Asset Performance 3.1.1 Global Stock Market - Most global stock markets declined. US stocks had a weekly correction. From a regional perspective, the three major US stock indexes ended the week lower, with a relatively large decline in the Asia - Pacific region. Emerging markets underperformed developed markets, and the VIX index continued to operate at a low level [9]. - Specific index performance: MSCI US was down 0.35%, S&P 500 was down 0.31%, MSCI Asia - Pacific was down 1.02%, etc. [12][13] 3.1.2 Global Bond Market - Fed officials had some differences in the path of dollar interest rate cuts this year. Medium - and long - term US bond yields generally rose. The yield of the 10 - year US Treasury bond rose 6BP to 4.2% weekly, and the bond market declined. Globally, high - yield bonds > credit bonds > government bonds [16]. 3.1.3 Global Foreign Exchange Market - The initial value of the month - on - month growth rate of US durable goods orders in August far exceeded expectations. The dollar index rose weekly, and most non - US currencies depreciated against the dollar. The RMB exchange rate fluctuated weakly. The weekly increase of the dollar index was 0.55% [17]. 3.1.4 Global Commodity Market - Geopolitical factors caused disruptions again, and international oil prices ended the week higher. Expectations of dollar interest rate cuts supported international precious metal prices. Most industrial metals and agricultural product prices fell [19]. 3.2 Domestic Major Asset Performance 3.2.1 Domestic Stock Market - Market sentiment changed little. Most of the major broad - based A - share indexes rose. The average daily trading volume of the two markets decreased compared with the previous week. In terms of style, the Science and Technology Innovation 50 Index had the highest increase. In terms of sectors, electronics and non - ferrous metals led the gains, while consumer services underperformed. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.21% weekly [21]. 3.2.2 Domestic Bond Market - The central bank's net injection in the open market operation was 940.6 billion yuan. The liquidity marginally eased, and the bond market was weak. Overall, corporate bonds > credit bonds > government bonds [25]. 3.2.3 Domestic Commodity Market - The domestic commodity market continued to rise weekly. Among the major commodity sectors, precious metals led the gains, while the black - related sectors underperformed [26].
FXGT外汇:行业格局中的国际化发展路径
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 03:20
Core Insights - FXGT Forex is leveraging technological innovation and strategic international expansion to reshape the industry landscape and enhance its global competitiveness Group 1: Technological Innovation - The application of innovative technologies, including blockchain, enhances transaction transparency and adapts to market changes [1][11] - Significant investments in artificial intelligence and big data analytics are made to ensure trading efficiency and security [2][11] - Automated trading systems simplify operations and improve user trading efficiency [7] Group 2: Market Expansion Strategy - FXGT Forex emphasizes localized operations to cater to diverse cultural and consumer preferences in different regions [2][12] - The company actively seeks partnerships with local businesses to enhance market penetration and brand recognition [2][3] - A diversified product portfolio is crucial for maintaining competitiveness in a challenging market environment [3][12] Group 3: Risk Management and Compliance - Strict risk management strategies and compliance measures are implemented to safeguard client funds [2][8] - The use of technology-driven risk assessment tools and multi-layered monitoring mechanisms ensures risks remain manageable [6][12] - Regular audits and adherence to regulatory standards bolster the company's market credibility [8][18] Group 4: Customer Experience and Service Enhancement - Recent advancements in service upgrades and customer experience have laid a solid foundation for competing in the international market [6][20] - Data analysis tools are utilized to identify user needs and provide personalized service [6][19] - A global customer support network is established to respond swiftly to client demands [7][20] Group 5: Strategic Partnerships - Establishing strategic partnerships with leading global firms is essential for enhancing FXGT Forex's market influence and competitiveness [3][17] - Collaborations provide access to technological support and market resources, strengthening product and service value [3][17] Group 6: Cultural Diversity and Communication - Cultural diversity is recognized as a vital component in the internationalization process, enriching the company's perspective and facilitating market expansion [12][13] - Effective cross-cultural communication strategies help the company understand and adapt to varying cultural needs [13][18] Group 7: Financial Performance Impact - The internationalization strategy significantly influences the company's financial performance by broadening its customer base and diversifying revenue sources [21] - While international expansion incurs additional costs, it lays the groundwork for long-term financial growth [21]
大类资产早报-20250929
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-09-29 02:00
Report Date - The report was released on September 29, 2025 [1] Global Asset Market Performance 10 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies - On September 26, 2025, yields in countries like the US were 4.176%, UK 4.745%, etc. Changes varied across different time - frames (latest, one - week, one - month, one - year). For example, the US had a latest change of 0.005, a one - week change of 0.048, a one - month change of - 0.054, and a one - year change of 0.434 [2] 2 - Year Treasury Yields of Major Economies - On September 26, 2025, yields such as the US at 3.570, UK at 4.009, etc. had different changes over different periods. For instance, the US had a latest change of 0.040, a one - week change of 0.050, a one - month change of 0.030, and a one - year change of - 0.040 [2] Dollar Exchange Rates Against Major Emerging Economies' Currencies - On September 26, 2025, the dollar - to - Brazilian real rate was 5.344 with a latest change of - 0.37%. Rates against other currencies also had various changes over different time - spans [2] RMB Data - On September 26, 2025, on - shore RMB was 7.135, off - shore RMB was 7.144, the mid - price was 7.115, and the 12 - month NDF was 6.994. Each had different percentage changes over different periods [2] Major Economies' Stock Indexes - On September 26, 2025, the S&P 500 was 6643.700, the Dow Jones Industrial Index was 46247.290, etc. Indexes had different latest, one - week, one - month, and one - year changes. For example, the S&P 500 had a latest change of 0.59%, a one - week change of - 0.31%, a one - month change of 2.84%, and a one - year change of 16.50% [2] Credit Bond Indexes - Different credit bond indexes (US investment - grade, euro - zone investment - grade, etc.) had different latest, one - week, one - month, and one - year changes. For example, the US investment - grade credit bond index had a latest change of 0.06%, a one - week change of - 0.40%, a one - month change of 1.22%, and a one - year change of 3.16% [2][3] Stock Index Futures Trading Data Index Performance - Closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, etc. had corresponding percentage changes. For example, A - shares closed at 3828.11 with a - 0.65% change [4] Valuation - PE (TTM) and its环比 changes were provided for indexes like CSI 300, S&P 500, etc. For example, the CSI 300 had a PE (TTM) of 14.04 with a - 0.09环比 change [4] Risk Premium - Risk premium data and its环比 changes were given for some indexes. For example, the S&P 500 had a 1/PE - 10 rate of - 0.56 with a - 0.03环比 change [4] Fund Flows - Latest values and 5 - day average values of fund flows for different indexes were presented. For example, A - shares had a latest fund flow of - 1188.84 and a 5 - day average of - 537.15 [4] Trading Volume - Latest trading volumes and环比 changes were provided for different markets. For example, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets had a latest trading volume of 21468.85 with a - 2242.05环比 change [4] Main Contract Premium or Discount - Basis and percentage changes were given for futures contracts like IF, IH, IC. For example, IF had a basis of - 25.05 and a - 0.55% change [4] Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - Closing prices and percentage changes were provided for treasury bond futures like T00, TF00, etc. For example, T00 closed at 107.680 with a - 0.04% change [5] - Funding rates (R001, R007, SHIBOR - 3M) and their daily changes were presented. For example, R001 was 1.3344% with a - 47.00 BP daily change [5]
外汇周报:假期叠加数据,关注上下沿测试-20250928
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-09-28 11:05
Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The report analyzes the trends of major currency pairs including USD/CNY, EUR/USD, and USD/JPY, and provides short - term trading strategies based on economic data and political situations of different countries [1][2][3] - For USD/CNY, the economic fundamentals show that the economic expectation difference is favorable for RMB, the Sino - US interest rate difference is neutral, and the trade policy uncertainty is also neutral [1] - For EUR/USD, the euro lacks continuous upward momentum under the strong US dollar and may continue to be under pressure or rebound depending on different data performance [2] - For USD/JPY, the US dollar has structural support against the yen, and the political uncertainty in Japan may limit the yen's rebound [2] Summary by Directory Market Analysis USD/CNY - US: In August, the PCE annual rate was 2.7% and the core PCE was 2.9%, indicating strong support for consumer and service prices. The PPI of the manufacturing sector declined year - on - year and month - on - month, and the increase in initial jobless claims suggested a possible loosening of the labor market. The tariff policy increased the uncertainty of the policy environment [1] - China: The export growth continued to decline, the import recovery was insufficient, and there was still deflation pressure although the decline was narrowing. New loans and social financing increased slightly, and the counter - cyclical factor had not been activated [1] - Fundamentals: The economic expectation difference is favorable for RMB, the Sino - US interest rate difference is neutral, and the trade policy uncertainty is neutral [1] Other Currencies - Euro: EUR/USD is weak and oscillates around 1.17. The euro lacks continuous upward momentum. It may continue to be under pressure or rebound depending on different data performance [2] - Yen: USD/JPY is strong and approaching the key psychological level of 150. The US dollar has structural support against the yen, and political uncertainty in Japan may limit the yen's rebound [2] Strategy - USD/CNY: It is expected to oscillate in the 7.10 - 7.20 range in the short term. During the holiday, attention should be paid to US data and official speeches. The offshore market may react first, and the on - shore market will reflect it after resuming trading [3] - Yen: If Japan's political situation stabilizes and the expectation of the central bank turning hawkish increases, the yen may rebound; otherwise, USD/JPY may continue to rise [3] - Euro: If the inflation and economic data in the eurozone exceed expectations, the euro may recover against the US dollar; otherwise, the long - position of EUR/USD will face challenges [3]
8月外汇市场成交24.08万亿元
Ren Min Ri Bao Hai Wai Ban· 2025-09-26 22:17
Core Viewpoint - In August, China's foreign exchange market recorded a total transaction volume of 24.08 trillion yuan, indicating significant activity in both the customer and interbank markets [1] Group 1: Market Transactions - In August, the bank-to-customer market transactions amounted to 3.71 trillion yuan, while the interbank market transactions reached 20.37 trillion yuan [1] - The spot market saw a cumulative transaction of 9.16 trillion yuan, while the derivatives market accounted for 14.93 trillion yuan in cumulative transactions [1] - From January to August, the cumulative transaction volume in China's foreign exchange market totaled 203.23 trillion yuan [1]
【金融街发布】国家外汇局:8月中国外汇市场总计成交24.08万亿元人民币
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 08:49
Core Insights - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange of China released the trading data for the foreign exchange market in August 2025, indicating a total transaction volume of 24.08 trillion RMB (approximately 3.38 trillion USD) [1] Market Overview - In August 2025, the customer market transactions amounted to 3.71 trillion RMB (approximately 0.52 trillion USD) [1] - The interbank market transactions reached 20.37 trillion RMB (approximately 2.86 trillion USD) [1] - The spot market recorded a cumulative transaction of 9.16 trillion RMB (approximately 1.28 trillion USD) [1] - The derivatives market had a cumulative transaction of 14.93 trillion RMB (approximately 2.09 trillion USD) [1] Year-to-Date Performance - From January to August 2025, the cumulative transaction volume in the foreign exchange market totaled 203.23 trillion RMB (approximately 28.33 trillion USD) [1]
韩国将启动24小时外汇市场 放开韩元交易限制
智通财经网· 2025-09-26 00:08
Core Points - The South Korean government is planning to extend the foreign exchange market to 24 hours and relax restrictions on non-resident transactions in Korean won, aiming to enhance market access for foreign investors [1] - President Lee Jae-myung emphasized the commitment to improving market transparency, corporate governance, and reducing geopolitical risks during a global investor relations event in New York [1] - The upcoming legislative changes are intended to eliminate structural barriers in the foreign exchange market, which are seen as necessary for South Korea's inclusion in the MSCI developed market index [1][2] Group 1 - The South Korean Ministry of Finance is set to implement 24-hour trading in the foreign exchange market next year [1] - The government aims to ensure that foreign investors can benefit from the "Korean premium" [1] - Structural barriers in the foreign exchange market are currently limiting non-resident transactions due to reporting obligations and regulatory restrictions [1] Group 2 - MSCI has stated that South Korea must achieve full currency convertibility to be classified as a developed market [2] - The report highlights the need to abolish capital controls and establish deeper, more active onshore and offshore markets [2] - Key characteristics of developed foreign exchange markets include broad participation from global investors, real-time price transparency, and a reliable settlement system [2]
韩国拟推出24小时外汇市场 全面开放韩元交易
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 23:30
新华财经北京9月26日电韩国财政部表示,韩国正采取措施,将其外汇市场改为24小时开放,并放宽对 非居民之间韩元交易的限制。 这一声明是在总统李在明于周四在纽约举行的全球投资者关系活动上,概述其对韩国资本市场的愿景之 后作出的。他承诺将努力确保外国投资者能够从'韩国溢价'中获益。他强调了多项措施,以提高市场透 明度、改善公司治理并降低地缘政治风险。 李在明表示,在将交易时间延长至首尔时间凌晨2点大约一年后,政府现在正准备在"很短时间内"向全 天候交易迈进。财政部称,预计年底前将发布一份路线图。 (文章来源:新华财经) ...