Core Viewpoints - The report anticipates a significant reversal in the livestock cycle, recommending Hong Kong-listed dairy farming stocks as core investments [1][12] - The monthly recommended portfolio includes YouRan Agriculture, Modern Farming, and Muyuan Foods, which are leaders in their respective sectors [1][3] Livestock Sector - The livestock sector is expected to benefit from a cyclical rebound, with a focus on both beef and milk production, as domestic prices are projected to rise significantly by 2027 [14][40] - The report highlights that the domestic milk price has been in decline for nearly four years, leading to pressure on production capacity, while the beef-to-milk price ratio has reached historical highs, prompting faster culling of dairy cows [14][40] Swine Sector - The swine sector is experiencing a gradual recovery, with leading companies expected to benefit from improved cash flows and dividend potential as industry capacity contracts [1][15] - The report emphasizes that the current valuation of leading swine companies is at historical lows, indicating potential for valuation recovery [15][22] Poultry Sector - The poultry sector is seeing an increase in supply, with expectations for demand recovery, particularly in the white-feathered chicken segment, which is entering a consumption peak [24][30] - The report notes that the price of broiler chickens has shown a slight recovery, with a projected increase in profitability for leading poultry companies [24][30] Pet Sector - The pet industry is identified as a promising new consumption sector, benefiting from the rise of domestic brands and emotional consumer trends [16][20] - The report recommends leading pet food companies, which are expected to continue their growth trajectory due to product upgrades and direct sales transformations [20][16] Feed Sector - The feed sector is highlighted for its deepening industrialization and clear division of labor, with leading companies expected to widen their competitive advantages through technology and service [1][3] Agricultural Products - The report tracks agricultural product prices, noting that the price of corn has increased by 4% month-on-month, while soybean meal prices are at historical lows, indicating a potential for future recovery [2][22] - The report also mentions that the egg market is under pressure from supply increases, while the demand for soybeans is tightening in the medium to long term [2][18]

专题：2025《中国企业家》影响力企业家年会 第十四届全国政协委员，新希望集团董事长刘永好在2025（第二十三届）影响力企业家年会上总结一 些"出海"经验时表示：首先是"一高于"，相比这些地方的收入水平，特别是共建"一带一路"国家员工的 收入，我们一般会高于同类企业30%，这样就能留得住员工，他们也愿意在你这儿；其次是"两尊重"， 尊重人家的文化、法律；此外，"三传播"，传播中国文化、传播中国制造、传播中国的企业家精神。 他指出，由于我们按照"一二三"顺序来走，在全球很多国家和地区都建了工厂，也取得了成就，让传统 农业也能焕发新质生产力。原先那些1984年建的厂房，建设成本才300块钱/平方米，而今天的饲料厂， 很多机器人自动化操作，格局发生了很大变化。 他指出，由于我们按照"一二三"顺序来走，在全球很多国家和地区都建了工厂，也取得了成就，让传统 农业也能焕发新质生产力。原先那些1984年建的厂房，建设成本才300块钱/平方米，而今天的饲料厂， 很多机器人自动化操作，格局发生了很大变化。 "所以，企业家要勇立潮头，主动用优质产品和服务赢得市场竞争。"他说。 新浪声明：所有会议实录均为现场速记整理，未经演讲者审 ...

Core Insights - The report anticipates a significant reversal in the livestock cycle, particularly recommending Hong Kong-listed dairy farming stocks [1][12] - The monthly recommended portfolio includes YouRan Agriculture, Modern Farming, and Muyuan Foods, which are expected to benefit from the livestock cycle recovery [1][3] - The report highlights the expected upward trend in domestic beef and milk prices, suggesting a strong recovery in the performance of livestock companies [1][14] Livestock Sector - The livestock sector is projected to experience a major turnaround, with a focus on dairy farming stocks such as YouRan Agriculture and Modern Farming [1][14] - The report indicates that the domestic beef and milk markets are likely to see a price rebound, driven by a reduction in production capacity and improved demand dynamics [1][14] - The anticipated "meat-milk resonance" is expected to enhance profitability for dairy farming companies, with significant earnings recovery potential [1][14] Swine Sector - The swine sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in prices, with leading companies like Huazhong and Muyuan Foods positioned to benefit from valuation corrections [1][14] - The report notes that the cash flow of leading swine companies is improving, which may lead to higher dividend payouts in the future [1][15] - The current market conditions suggest that the swine industry is stabilizing, with a focus on maintaining reasonable breeding levels [22] Poultry Sector - The poultry sector is experiencing a slight increase in supply, with expectations for demand recovery to support price stabilization [24] - The report highlights that the white-feathered chicken market is showing signs of recovery, with prices expected to improve as the consumption season approaches [24] - Leading poultry companies are anticipated to maintain strong profitability amid changing supply dynamics [24] Pet Industry - The pet industry is identified as a promising growth area, with domestic brands gaining traction and expected to benefit from rising consumer sentiment [1][16] - The report emphasizes the potential for local pet food brands to capture market share, particularly in the high-end segment [1][16] - The performance of leading pet food companies is projected to remain strong, driven by product upgrades and direct sales strategies [20] Feed Sector - The feed sector is expected to benefit from deeper industrialization in livestock farming, with leading companies leveraging technological and service advantages [1][14] - The report indicates that feed prices are at historical lows, providing a strong cost support for livestock producers [1][14] - The anticipated tightening of supply-demand balance in the feed market is expected to lead to gradual price recovery [1][14] Agricultural Products - The report tracks agricultural product prices, noting that the price of live pigs was 11.25 yuan/kg at the end of November, down 10% month-on-month, while the price of 7kg piglets increased by 18% [2][22] - The report also highlights that corn prices have increased by 4% month-on-month, indicating a potential bottoming out in the market [2][22] - The overall agricultural sector is showing resilience, with the SW Agricultural Index outperforming the broader market [2][22]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The industry is experiencing dual support for pig prices due to supply and demand factors, with expectations for continued pressure on large pig sales from individual farmers [4][13] - The overall trend indicates a reduction in breeding stock, with significant implications for the industry as losses in pig farming accelerate [26] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - There is significant short-term pressure on large pig sales from individual farmers, while large farming groups face less pressure to meet annual sales targets [4][13] - As of December 5, 2025, the average price of pigs nationwide is 11.19 yuan/kg, showing a week-on-week decrease of 0.08 yuan/kg and a year-on-year decrease of 4.40 yuan/kg [4][13] Weekly Perspective - The pig farming sector is facing losses, leading to an accelerated reduction in breeding stock. The price of pigs continues to decline, creating deeper losses for farmers [26] - Recommendations include companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [26] Market Performance (December 1-5) - The agricultural sector underperformed the market by 1.86 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.37% while the agricultural index fell by 1.49% [28][32] - Notable stock performances include Haodangjia (+16.15%), Xiwang Food (+10.26%), and Biological Shares (+9.66%) [28][35] Price Tracking (December 1-5) - The average price of pigs on December 5 is 11.20 yuan/kg, with a slight increase from the previous week [38] - The average price of piglets is 19.26 yuan/kg, also showing a week-on-week increase [38] - Other agricultural products such as white feather chicken and beef have seen price increases, with corn futures rising by 2.50% [38][49] Major Meat Import Volumes - In October 2025, pork imports totaled 70,000 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 21.1%, while chicken imports were 7,100 tons, down 72.1% [55][57] Feed Production - In October 2025, the total industrial feed production in China was 29.07 million tons, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 4.2% [57]

相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国饲料行业市场调查研究及发展前景展望报告》 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年10月中国饲料产量为2957万吨，同比增长4.3%；2025年1-10月中国饲 料累计产量为27913.3万吨，累计增长6.1%。 上市企业：新希望（000876）,海大集团（002311）,通威股份（600438）,大北农（002385）,粤海饲料 （001313） 2020-2025年1-10月中国饲料产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 ...

证券之星消息，12月5日饲料板块较上一交易日上涨0.27%，天马科技领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3902.81，上涨0.7%。深证成指报收于13147.68，上涨1.08%。饲料板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603668 | 天马科技 | 16.29 | 4.29% | 34.13万 | | 5.50亿 | | 002696 | 自洋股份 | 7.11 | 2.75% | 13.62万 | | 9561.40万 | | 920419 | 路斯股份 | 16.09 | 2.61% | ● 1.01万 | | 1588.71万 | | 001366 | 播恩集团 | 66'EI | 2.04% | - 3.59万 | | 4962.08万 | | 000702 | 正虹科技 | 6.93 | 1.91% | | 5.00万 | 3432.35万 | | 603363 | 傲农生物 | 4.59 | 1.77% | 27.79万 | | 1.26亿 ...

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core Viewpoints - The A - share market on December 4, 2025 showed mixed trends among the three major indexes, with shrinking trading volume. Different futures varieties had various price movements influenced by supply - demand relationships, cost factors, and macro - economic conditions [1]. - Each futures variety has its own supply - demand characteristics. For example, the supply of some varieties is affected by production, imports, and inventory, while demand is influenced by downstream consumption and market sentiment [4][6]. 3) Summary by Variety Stock Index Futures - On December 4, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.06% to 3875.79, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.40% to 13006.72, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.01% to 3067.48. The trading volume of the two markets was 1549 billion yuan, a decrease of 121 billion yuan from the previous day. The CSI 300 index oscillated and closed at 4546.57, up 15.52 [1][2]. Coke and Coking Coal - Coke: The average profit per ton of coke improved due to upstream and downstream concessions. Supply increased slightly, while demand weakened seasonally. Total inventory remained basically flat. The coke weighted index closed at 1704.6 on December 4, up 33.6 [2][4]. - Coking Coal: There is a seasonal production reduction expectation at the end of the year. In December, domestic supply is expected to decline while imports remain stable. The coking coal weighted index closed at 1143.8 yuan on December 4, up 21.0 [3][4]. Zhengzhou Sugar - Affected by the decline of US sugar and the reduction of spot prices, the Zhengzhou Sugar 2605 contract oscillated downward on December 4. As of November 30, sugar production and sales in Guangxi and Yunnan showed different trends [4]. Rubber - Affected by increased raw material supply and a decline in passenger car retail data, the Shanghai Rubber futures contract oscillated downward on December 4. In November, the national passenger car retail volume decreased by 7% year - on - year [6]. Soybean Meal - Internationally, the CBOT soybean futures price rose slightly on December 4. Domestically, the supply of soybean meal is abundant, and the inventory is high. The M2605 contract closed at 3046 yuan/ton on December 4, down 0.25% [6]. Live Pigs - The LH2601 contract closed at 11385 yuan/ton on December 4, down 0.91%. The market is in a situation of strong supply and weak demand, with increased supply from large - scale pig farms and slow - growing demand [6]. Palm Oil - The main palm oil contract continued to oscillate downward on December 4. The P2601 K - line closed as a doji. The import price inversion of palm oil has narrowed [6]. Shanghai Copper - The Shanghai Copper price reached a record high on December 4, driven by supply shortages and macro - economic factors. However, there is also a risk of correction. The main contract closed at 90980 yuan/ton [6]. Cotton - The main Zhengzhou Cotton contract closed at 13765 yuan/ton at night on December 4. The cotton inventory increased by 50 compared with the previous day [7]. Logs - The Log 2601 contract on December 4 opened at 768, with a low of 763, a high of 769.5, and closed at 764.5, with an increase of 273 lots in positions. The spot prices in Shandong and Jiangsu remained stable [7]. Iron Ore - The Iron Ore 2601 main contract oscillated and closed down on December 4, with a decline of 0.63% to 794.5 yuan. The supply and demand situation led to a short - term oscillating trend [7]. Asphalt - The Asphalt 2601 main contract oscillated and rose on December 4, with a gain of 1.06% to 2952 yuan. The supply increased, and the inventory decreased, but the demand was suppressed [7]. Steel - On December 4, rb2605 was reported at 3175 yuan/ton, and hc2605 was reported at 3332 yuan/ton. The steel market is in a situation of weak supply and demand, and the steel price showed a narrow - range adjustment [7]. Alumina - The ao2601 contract was reported at 2615 yuan/ton on December 4. The alumina market is in an oversupply situation, and the futures price may continue to be weak [7]. Shanghai Aluminum - The al2601 contract was reported at 22060 yuan/ton on December 4. The supply side is stable, and the demand side shows certain resilience [7].

Core Viewpoint - Recent disclosures from multiple listed companies regarding share buybacks and the top ten shareholders reveal significant shifts in institutional investment strategies, with notable divergence in traditional sectors and increased interest in technology, military, and pharmaceutical sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Institutional Investment Dynamics - There is a marked divergence among institutional investors regarding traditional sector stocks such as Hai Da Group and Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism, with some institutions reducing their holdings while others increase them [2]. - Hai Da Group's top ten shareholders include eight positions held by public funds and social security funds, collectively owning over 120 million shares, which is more than 7% of the total share capital [2]. - Notable actions include a reduction of 362,600 shares by Liu Yanchun's fund, while social security funds significantly increased their holdings in Hai Da Group during the same period [2]. Group 2: Performance of Specific Stocks - Hai Da Group reported a net profit of 4.177 billion yuan for the first three quarters, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 18.71%, while Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism achieved a net profit of 143 million yuan, up 33.47% year-on-year [3]. - Other stocks such as Hengmingda, Huaron, and Huida Technology have also seen institutional increases, particularly in sectors like consumer electronics, military, and pharmaceuticals [4][5]. - Hengmingda received an increase of 4.9717 million shares from the national social security fund, while Huida Technology saw an increase of over 5.5 million shares from the same fund [4]. Group 3: Reduction in High-Growth Stocks - Stocks that previously experienced significant price increases, such as Hot Scene Biology and Shanghai Mechanical, have faced reductions from various institutions, indicating a trend of profit-taking [6]. - Hot Scene Biology, which saw a price increase of over 300%, was reduced by multiple institutions, while Shanghai Mechanical, which increased by over 80%, also faced reductions [6]. - The trend of reducing holdings in high-growth stocks is further evidenced by the exit of social security funds from the top ten shareholders of certain companies [6]. Group 4: ETF Involvement - The presence of ETFs in institutional trading has become more prominent, with nearly 30% of A-share stocks having ETFs among their top ten shareholders as of the end of the third quarter [7]. - The changes in ETF holdings are often driven by factors such as changes in fund subscriptions and index component adjustments [7].

Core Insights - The article highlights the successful transformation of a businessman, Ma Youcheng, from real estate and used car industries to the agricultural sector, specifically in livestock feed production, supported by Postal Savings Bank's financial services [1][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Ningxia Yanzhuo Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd. was founded by Ma Youcheng in 2017, focusing on livestock feed after leaving the volatile real estate and used car markets [1][3]. - The company faced significant challenges in 2022 due to declining prices of beef and lamb, leading to high costs and low profits for farmers, which resulted in inventory buildup and a strained cash flow [1][3]. Group 2: Financial Support - In the first half of 2024, Postal Savings Bank's branch in Guyuan City provided a quick 300,000 yuan (approximately 43,000 USD) unsecured loan with a repayment plan that allows interest payments every quarter and principal repayment after three years, aligning with the agricultural cycle [1][3]. - This financial support was described as a "timely rain" that helped stabilize the business, allowing it to expand its sales network to cover four counties and one district, serving over a hundred farmers [1][3]. Group 3: Agricultural Financing Initiatives - Postal Savings Bank has been optimizing its agricultural financial services by innovating products like credit loans and special loans, establishing a "paperless application, online approval, and quick disbursement" green channel to address the financing difficulties faced by agricultural entities [2][4]. - As of the current year, the bank has disbursed 68 million yuan (approximately 10 million USD) in agricultural loans, contributing to the revitalization of rural areas [2][4].

Core Insights - As of November 30, the company reported a total of 40,270 shareholders [2] Company Summary - The company, Jin Xin Nong, engaged with investors through an interactive platform to provide updates on shareholder numbers [2]