Market Overview - On July 24, A-shares opened mixed with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.16%, Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.37%, and ChiNext Index up by 0.63% [1] - The brokerage sector saw significant gains, with Hainan Free Trade Port, rare earth permanent magnets, and restaurant tourism sectors leading the rise, while precious metals, banking, and electricity sectors experienced fluctuations [2][3] Company Specifics - Zhongjin Gold's stock price dropped over 8% on July 24, closing at 14.93 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 72.4 billion CNY [5][6] - The decline in Zhongjin Gold's stock was attributed to a tragic incident where six students drowned during a visit to a mining facility, prompting the company to activate emergency protocols and express condolences [4][7][8] Brokerage Sector Performance - The brokerage stocks surged in early trading, with Jinlong Co. hitting the daily limit, followed by gains in Guosen Securities, Bank of China Securities, and Zhongyuan Securities [10][12] - The brokerage index rose by 1.81%, with a trading volume of 256.49 billion CNY [11] - Recent performance announcements from newly listed brokerages indicate a sustained growth trend, with recommendations to focus on leading brokerages, flexible mid-small brokerages, and financial technology sectors [14]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant movements in various sectors of the Chinese stock market, particularly the rise in infrastructure-related stocks and the performance of the innovative drug sector, while noting a decline in the financial sector. Group 1: Infrastructure Sector - The infrastructure sector continues to rise, with notable increases in engineering machinery, civil explosives, and cement stocks [1] - Leading stocks such as China Electric Power Construction (601669) reached a limit up with over 12 million shares sealed, bringing its market value to 105.94 billion [2][3] - Other major stocks like Conch Cement, Hengli Hydraulic, and TBEA also experienced substantial gains [2] Group 2: Financial Sector - The financial sector is experiencing a pullback, with declines in banking, brokerage, diversified financials, and internet finance [4][6][7] - Specific banks such as Zheshang Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China saw declines of 1.97% and 1.56%, respectively [9] - Analysts suggest that the banking sector may still have room for valuation recovery, supported by a favorable funding environment and attractive dividend yields [10] Group 3: Innovative Drug Sector - The innovative drug sector continues its upward trend, with stocks like Sailun Biotech and Chengda Pharmaceutical showing significant increases [12][15] - The sector has seen a strong performance in both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, with several major companies announcing profitability, boosting market confidence [15] - The growth in the number and value of domestic innovative drugs entering international markets has been substantial, accounting for over half of global innovative drug transactions [15][16] Group 4: Specific Stock Movements - Upwei New Materials has seen a remarkable rise, hitting a 20% limit up for ten consecutive trading days, with a total increase of over 519% in ten trading days, bringing its market value to 19.44 billion [18][20]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a collective rise in the three major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.25%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.56%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.69% as of the midday close [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached approximately 1.14 trillion yuan, an increase of about 51.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Over 2400 stocks in the market saw an increase, with notable gains in sectors such as hydropower, civil explosives, engineering machinery, precious metals, and steel [1] - Specific stocks like Xining Special Steel, Poly United, China Power Construction, and High Hope Mining reached their daily limit up [1] - Conversely, bank stocks continued to decline, with Xiamen Bank dropping nearly 4% [1] - AI-related stocks faced adjustments, with Degute down over 6% and Yuke down over 4% [1] - The multi-financial and gaming sectors experienced the largest declines, with Zhongke Jincai down nearly 4%, and both Ice River Network and Fuchun Shares following suit [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the financial performance and market position of COFCO Capital, noting a decline in both revenue and net profit in the latest quarterly report [1][2] - As of July 21, COFCO Capital's stock price closed at 12.74 yuan, down 1.24%, with a rolling price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 44.35 times, and a total market capitalization of 29.354 billion yuan [1] - The average PE ratio for the diversified financial industry is 43.33 times, with a median of 31.20 times, placing COFCO Capital at the 14th position within the industry [1][2] Group 2 - The latest quarterly report for Q1 2025 shows COFCO Capital achieved operating revenue of 2.350 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.74%, and a net profit of 392 million yuan, down 58.32% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 52.97% [1] - As of July 10, 2025, COFCO Capital had 136,000 shareholders, an increase of 10,000 from the previous count, with an average holding value of 352,800 yuan and an average shareholding of 27,600 shares per shareholder [1]

Report Summary 1. Market Performance - On July 18, 2025, China's A-share market showed a slight upward trend. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.50% to 3534.48 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.37% to 10913.84 points, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.34% to 2277.15 points. The trading volume of the two markets reached 1.5711 trillion yuan, an increase of 31.7 billion yuan from the previous day [3]. - Last week, the domestic stock index futures market showed a strengthening trend. The weekly increases of the main contracts of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 futures were 1.21%, 0.56%, 1.36%, and 1.48% respectively [3]. - Last week, 30-year and 10-year treasury bond futures rose, while 5-year and 2-year treasury bond futures fell [4]. 2. Fundamental Analysis - The National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference held a symposium on the analysis of the macroeconomic situation in the first half of 2025. Some members put forward suggestions on stabilizing and activating the capital market, promoting technological innovation in the private sector, and other aspects [8]. - From 2020 to 2024, China's total retail sales of consumer goods increased from 39.1 trillion yuan to 48.3 trillion yuan, with an average annual growth rate of 5.5%. It is expected to exceed 50 trillion yuan this year [8]. - In the first half of this year, central state-owned enterprises achieved an added value of 5.2 trillion yuan and completed fixed - asset investment of 2 trillion yuan. In the second half of the year, they will focus on developing new - quality productive forces [8]. - From July 12 - 18, there were 97 domestic investment and financing events, a 21.25% increase from the previous week. The total disclosed financing amount was about 5.041 billion yuan, an 8.85% increase. The artificial intelligence field had the highest disclosed financing amount, about 2.486 billion yuan [9]. - Last week, the central bank conducted 1.7268 trillion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 1.2011 trillion yuan. This week, 1.7268 trillion yuan of reverse repurchases, 200 billion yuan of MLF, and 120 billion yuan of treasury cash fixed - deposits are due [9]. 3. Valuation Analysis - As of July 18, the PE of the CSI 300 Index was 13.32 times, with a percentile of 72.16%, and the PB was 1.40 times; the PE of the SSE 50 Index was 11.33 times, with a percentile of 82.75%, and the PB was 1.25 times; the PE of the CSI 1000 Index was 40.1 times, with a percentile of 61.96%, and the PB was 2.23 times [12]. - The report introduced two formulas for calculating the stock - bond yield spread: one is based on the reciprocal of the price - earnings ratio, and the other is based on the dividend yield [19]. 4. Comprehensive Analysis - The main contract of the CSI 300 stock index futures (IF2509) closed at 4041.80 points on July 18, with a weekly increase of 1.21%. The current low risk - free interest rate and reduced supply of high - yield risk - free assets have created favorable conditions for incremental funds to enter the market. The market is expected to continue a moderately strong trend this week, but there may be insufficient momentum for a significant upward movement in the short term. Traders are advised to control risks [28].

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Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing significant changes in its funding landscape, which are crucial for understanding market dynamics and future prospects [2][66]. Group 1: Changes in Funding Landscape - Change 1: The restructuring of the monetary order is leading to a shift in asset allocation, with Chinese assets benefiting relatively [5][11]. - Change 2: The proportion of individual investors in the A-share market has increased, indicating a shift in investor structure [23][24]. - Change 3: The growth in household savings, combined with an "asset shortage," is enhancing the relative attractiveness of the stock market [32][33]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Investor Behavior - Change 4: The improvement in the funding structure and profitability effects is leading to a positive feedback loop in the market [51][56]. - Change 5: Many institutional investors have low positions in A-shares, which may present potential bullish opportunities [6][59]. Group 3: Market Valuation and Attractiveness - The current valuation of A-shares, in terms of equity risk premium and dividend yield, remains attractive compared to historical levels [37][40]. - The total market capitalization of A-shares relative to money supply and household savings is still at historically low levels, suggesting room for growth [44][45]. Group 4: Future Market Outlook - The mid-term market performance will be determined by fundamentals, but the influence of funding flows should not be underestimated, especially in the context of the current favorable funding changes [66]. - If the market continues to attract incremental capital, it may lead to an increase in risk appetite, benefiting various sectors, particularly those with high growth potential [67].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the non-bank financial industry [1] Core Views - The non-bank financial sector has shown strong performance, with securities firms expected to report high growth in mid-2025, and the insurance sector also showing promising results [1][4] - The report highlights the significant increase in trading volume and the positive outlook for brokerage firms, driven by an active capital market [4][18] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from long-term investment strategies and regulatory changes that enhance the allocation of insurance funds to equity assets [22][29] - The multi-financial sector is transitioning into a stable growth phase, with trust assets continuing to grow despite a decline in profits [31][36] Summary by Sections Non-Bank Financial Subsector Performance - In the recent five trading days (July 14-18, 2025), all non-bank financial subsectors underperformed the CSI 300 index, with the securities and insurance sectors both down by 1.00% [9] - Year-to-date, the multi-financial sector has performed the best, with an increase of 11.63%, followed by the insurance sector at 10.07% [10] Securities Sector - Trading volume has significantly increased, with the average daily trading amount for July 2025 reaching 17,090 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 125.40% [14] - The mid-2025 earnings forecast for brokerage firms is optimistic, with 27 out of 29 listed brokerages expected to report profit increases, and 12 firms anticipating at least a 100% growth in net profit [18] - The average price-to-book (PB) ratio for the securities sector is projected at 1.3x for 2025E, indicating potential for growth [21] Insurance Sector - The introduction of long-term assessment guidelines for state-owned insurance companies is expected to enhance the allocation of insurance funds to equity investments [22] - The insurance sector's valuation is currently at 0.60-0.93 times the 2025E P/EV, which is considered low historically, maintaining an "Accumulate" rating [29] - The sector is anticipated to benefit from economic recovery and rising interest rates, with a significant increase in the sales of savings-type products [51] Multi-Financial Sector - The trust industry is experiencing a stable transition, with total trust assets reaching 29.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 23.58% [31] - The futures market has seen a significant increase in trading volume and value, with June 2025 figures showing a 28.91% increase in volume and a 17.40% increase in value year-on-year [37] - Regulatory measures are being implemented to strengthen the management of local asset management companies, promoting healthy industry development [48] Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The report ranks the non-bank financial sectors as follows: insurance > securities > other multi-financial [51] - Key companies recommended include China Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CITIC Securities, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings [51]

证券板块 投资建议：建议关注三条主线：（1）稳定币主题催化，建议关注稳定币主题相关券商：已有牌照的国泰君安；券商板 块上半年业绩同比改善趋势明确，高盈利与低估值的显著错配凸显配置性价比，建议关注主动基金超低配的权重券商 以及估值显著低于平均水平的头部优质券商；券商并购预期增强，建议关注券商并购潜在标的机会。（2）业绩增速亮 眼的多元金融，建议关注有望迎来戴维斯双击的香港交易所：未来将继续受益于互联互通深化、A 股企业赴港上市带 来的市值扩容与交易活跃提升（25/06 ADT 为 2302 亿元，同比+107%；截至 25/06 末上市公司数量 2645 家，同比+28 家）；以及九方智投控股。（3）四川双马：科技赛道占优，创投业务有望受益。公司管理基金的已投项目：屹唐半导体 （科创板待上市）、奕斯伟材料（科创板 IPO 申报）、奕斯伟计算以及群核科技（港交所 IPO 申报）、邦德激光、丽豪 半导体等有望在 25 年上市；公司参投基金已投：傅利叶 2025/1/7 完成新一轮融资，奇瑞汽车、慧算账向港交所递表。 保险板块 Q2 人身险产品预定利率研究值或低于 2.25%，险企新业务负债成本将迎来再次下调。7 月 ...

从个股来看，44股主力资金净流入均超1亿元，其中8股净流入均超3亿元。 多元金融股中油资本主力资金净流入10.44亿元，居首；该股早盘一度涨停，收盘涨幅回落至5.98%。 动力电池龙头宁德时代主力资金净流入5.07 亿元，居次席。 消息面上，高盛近期研报指出，预计宁德时代今年第二季度收入将达到1047亿元，纯利将达到156亿元，认为其估值具有吸引力，维持对宁德时代 A股和H股的"买入"评级。 （原标题：主力资金丨尾盘抢筹股出炉，3股最受青睐） 10个行业主力资金净流入。 据证券时报·数据宝统计，今日（7月18日）沪深两市主力资金净流出256.41亿元，其中创业板净流出121亿元，沪深300成份股净流出35.7亿元。 行业板块方面，申万一级有22个行业上涨，有色金属行业涨幅居首，达2.1%；基础化工、钢铁、煤炭和交通运输行业涨幅居前。下跌行业中，传 媒行业跌幅居首，为0.98%；电子、轻工制造、公用事业、通信和建筑材料行业均为微跌。 从资金流向来看，申万一级行业中，10个行业获主力资金净流入。有色金属行业净流入金额居首，为14.9亿元；非银金融和交通运输行业分别获 净流入4.37亿元、3.37亿元。环保、电力设 ...