Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for August is reported at 49.4%, showing a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points from July, indicating an improvement in manufacturing sentiment [3][4] - The production index stands at 50.8%, up 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, marking an acceleration in manufacturing production [3][4] - The new orders index is at 49.5%, reflecting a 0.1 percentage point increase, suggesting a gradual recovery in demand [3][4] - Large enterprises show a PMI of 50.8%, up 0.5 percentage points, indicating sustained expansion, while small enterprises have a PMI of 46.6%, showing some improvement [4] - The price indices for major raw materials and factory prices are at 53.3% and 49.1%, respectively, both increasing from July, indicating a general improvement in market prices [3] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index is at 50.3%, with a new orders index of 46.6%, which is a 0.9 percentage point increase from the previous month [5][6] - The service sector's business activity index has risen to 50.5%, marking a 0.5 percentage point increase and reaching a yearly high [6][7] - The construction sector's business activity index has decreased to 49.1%, down 1.5 percentage points due to adverse weather conditions [6] Group 3: Economic Outlook - The overall economic sentiment remains positive, with the composite PMI output index indicating continued expansion, driven by both manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors [7] - Market expectations are improving, with the production and business activity expectation indices for manufacturing and services at 53.7% and 57%, respectively, suggesting optimism among enterprises [4][6]

Core Insights - The construction industry is poised for a technological revolution driven by smart construction practices, integrating AI, IoT, and Building Information Modeling (BIM) to enhance safety, quality, and sustainability while reducing costs [1][4] Group 1: Smart Construction Development - The Chinese government has issued guidelines to promote high-quality urban development, emphasizing the need for smart construction and modernization of the construction industry [1] - The "Anxin Zhu" platform showcased at the 10th Internet Conference for Engineering Construction highlights the urgent need for deep technological upgrades in the construction sector [1][2] Group 2: Worker Empowerment through Technology - The implementation of the Anxin Zhu system allows construction workers to track their work orders and payments in real-time, significantly improving their motivation and job satisfaction [2] - The system employs a "factory-style dispatch" model, breaking down tasks into smaller units and ensuring clear accountability and traceability throughout the construction process [2] Group 3: Market Growth Projections - The smart construction market in China is projected to exceed 1.2 trillion yuan in 2024, with an expected growth to 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025, maintaining a compound annual growth rate of over 25% [3] - Specific segments within the smart construction market, such as smart construction, BIM software, and construction robotics, are expected to see significant growth rates, with construction robotics projected to grow by 80% [3] Group 4: Policy Support for Smart Construction - The recent issuance of the "Artificial Intelligence +" action plan by the State Council marks a strategic push for integrating AI into various sectors, including construction, with specific targets set for 2027 [4] - Local governments are also implementing policies to support smart construction, with initiatives in Guangdong and Sichuan aimed at fostering innovation and development in this area [5][6]

Economic Recovery Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for August is reported at 49.4%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating some improvement in manufacturing sentiment [2][5] - The non-manufacturing business activity index stands at 50.3%, up by 0.2 percentage points from last month, continuing to show expansion [2][11] Price Trends - The purchasing price index for major raw materials in August is 53.3%, up by 1.8 percentage points, marking three consecutive months of increase, while the factory price index is at 49.1%, up by 0.8 percentage points, also showing a three-month upward trend [5][8] - The overall market price level in the manufacturing sector is improving, with the price indices for major industries showing upward momentum [8][9] Business Sentiment - The new orders index within the manufacturing PMI is at 49.5%, reflecting a 0.1 percentage point increase, while the production index is at 50.8%, up by 0.3 percentage points, indicating stable expansion in production activities [6][7] - The production and business activity expectation index for August is at 53.7%, rising by 1.1 percentage points, suggesting improved market confidence across various sectors [7] Sector Performance - In the non-manufacturing sector, the service industry business activity index is at 50.5%, reaching a year-to-date high, with certain sectors like capital market services and transportation showing strong performance [11][14] - The construction industry, however, shows a decline in activity with a business activity index of 49.1%, down by 1.5 percentage points, indicating a slowdown due to adverse weather conditions [14][15] Policy Impact - The ongoing "anti-involution" policies are expected to optimize market competition and alleviate supply-demand imbalances, supporting a positive price trajectory in the long term [9][10] - The National Development and Reform Commission is accelerating the revision of pricing laws and regulations to address irrational competition and enhance market order [10]

Core Viewpoint - Supply contraction expectations continue to boost prices, but actual production remains relatively strong, necessitating attention to the effects of "anti-involution" policies [2][69] Manufacturing Sector - In August, the manufacturing PMI slightly improved, with a 0.1 percentage point increase to 49.4%, aligning with seasonal performance [2][70] - Major raw material purchase price index rose by 1.8 percentage points to 53.3%, and the factory price index increased by 0.8 percentage points to 49.1%, indicating a significant rebound in prices [2][70] - The production index rose by 0.3 percentage points to 50.8%, while the new orders index only increased by 0.1 percentage points to 49.5%, suggesting that production is outpacing new orders [2][70] - High-energy-consuming industries saw a PMI increase of 0.2 percentage points to 48.2%, and equipment manufacturing PMI also rose by 0.2 percentage points to 50.5% [3][21] - High-tech manufacturing PMI increased by 1.3 percentage points to 51.9%, with both production and new orders indices rising to around 54% [3][21] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The service sector PMI improved significantly, rising by 0.5 percentage points to 50.5%, driven by summer travel and capital market services [3][71] - The construction sector PMI fell by 1.5 percentage points to 49.1%, marking the lowest level in nearly five years, with the new orders index dropping by 2.1 percentage points to 40.6% [3][29][62] - Despite the decline in construction, the service sector's new orders index rose by 1.4 percentage points to 47.7% [3][53] Future Outlook - Price indices show continuous improvement, but supply has not shown significant contraction, and production remains better than demand, highlighting the need to monitor the effects of "anti-involution" policies [4][33] - The focus should shift to mid- and downstream supply, especially in cases where upstream price transmission to downstream is ineffective [4][33]

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core View In August, the PMI data showed a combination of "manufacturing at the bottom and non - manufacturing moderately recovering". Compared with the "double - weak" situation in July, the short - term economic downward risk may be alleviated. With the weakening of the impact of high - temperature and rainy weather, the continuous release of policy effects, and the influence of seasonal factors, the economy is expected to continue the recovery trend, and the manufacturing PMI in September is expected to improve month - on - month, which may weaken the downward driving force of long - term interest rates [2][4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs August Manufacturing - The manufacturing PMI was 49.4%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous value, still in the contraction range but showing marginal improvement. The non - manufacturing business activity index was 50.3%, up 0.2 percentage points, continuing to expand. The composite PMI output index was 50.5%, up 0.3 percentage points, indicating an accelerated overall expansion of enterprises' production and business activities [1]. - In terms of supply and demand, the production index was 50.8%, up 0.3 percentage points, with continuous expansion. The new order index was 49.5%, up 0.1 percentage points, with insufficient market demand. The new export order index was 47.2%, up 0.1 percentage points, with foreign demand hovering at a low level [2]. - In terms of prices, the purchase price index of major raw materials was 53.3%, up 1.8 percentage points, rising for three consecutive months and in the expansion range for two consecutive months. The ex - factory price index was 49.1%, up 0.8 percentage points, also rising for three consecutive months and reaching the highest point this year. It is expected that the year - on - year decline of PPI will continue to narrow, and the pressure on industrial product prices may be alleviated [2]. August Non - manufacturing - The service industry business activity index was 50.5%, up 0.5 percentage points, reaching the highest point this year. Industries such as capital market services, railway transportation, and aviation transportation were in a high - level boom range, while industries such as retail and real estate had weak prosperity. The business activity expectation index was 57.0%, up 0.4 percentage points, indicating that service enterprises were optimistic about the market [3]. - The construction industry business activity index was 49.1%, down 1.5 percentage points, in the contraction range, mainly due to the impact of high - temperature and rainy weather. The business activity expectation index was 51.7%, slightly higher than the previous month. Looking forward, with the weakening of the weather impact and the release of policies, the economy may continue to recover, and the manufacturing PMI in September is expected to improve [4].

Group 1 - In August, the manufacturing PMI, non-manufacturing business activity index, and comprehensive PMI output index were 49.4%, 50.3%, and 50.5%, respectively, indicating a slight recovery in economic sentiment [1] - The production index for manufacturing was 50.8%, up 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, marking an acceleration in manufacturing production expansion [2] - The new orders index for manufacturing was 49.5%, showing a 0.1 percentage point increase from last month, with certain sectors like pharmaceuticals and electronics performing significantly better than the overall manufacturing sector [2] Group 2 - The high-tech manufacturing PMI and equipment manufacturing PMI were 51.9% and 50.5%, respectively, both showing increases from the previous month, indicating sustained support and leadership in these sectors [3] - The production and business activity expectation index was 53.7%, up 1.1 percentage points from last month, reflecting increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding future market conditions [3] Group 3 - The non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.3%, with the new orders index rising to 46.6%, indicating a stabilization in supply and demand [4] - The service sector's business activity index reached 50.5%, the highest point of the year, with sectors like capital market services showing particularly strong growth [5] - The construction sector's business activity index fell to 49.1% due to adverse weather conditions, but the business activity expectation index remained slightly above 50 at 51.7% [5]

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the second half of 2025, the economic growth rate may not decline significantly, and structural issues such as prices are trending towards improvement. There will be a continued shift in the stock - bond allocation, with bond yields and the stock market expected to rise continuously [9]. Summary by Related Catalogs Manufacturing - In August, the manufacturing PMI was 49.4%, a month - on - month increase of 0.1 pct and a year - on - year increase of 0.3 pct, indicating an improvement in the manufacturing's prosperity level. Except for the consumer goods industry, other industries' PMIs increased month - on - month. With the implementation of consumption - stimulating policies, the consumer goods industry's PMI is expected to stabilize and rebound [4]. - From the perspective of component indices, the production index was 50.8%, a month - on - month increase of 0.3 pct, and it has been in the expansion zone for 4 consecutive months, indicating an accelerated expansion of manufacturing production. The production and operation activity expectation index was 53.7%, a month - on - month increase of 1.1 pct, rising for two consecutive months, showing a positive market expectation [4]. - In terms of enterprise scale, the PMIs of large and small enterprises increased month - on - month, and the PMI of large enterprises has been in the expansion zone for 4 consecutive months [5]. Non - manufacturing - In August, the non - manufacturing PMI was 50.3%, a month - on - month increase of 0.2 pct and a year - on - year flat, remaining in the expansion zone. The construction industry PMI decreased by 1.5 pct to the contraction zone due to adverse factors such as frequent extreme weather, while the service industry PMI increased by 0.5 pct to the highest point of the year, with an obvious improvement in the prosperity level [6]. - From the perspective of major classification indices, the new order index increased by 0.9 pct month - on - month, and the business activity expectation index increased by 0.4 pct month - on - month, indicating that service enterprises are relatively optimistic about the recent market development prospects [6]. Comprehensive - In August, the comprehensive PMI was 50.5%, a month - on - month increase of 0.3 pct and a year - on - year increase of 0.4 pct, remaining in the expansion zone for 32 consecutive months, indicating an accelerated overall expansion of enterprise production and operation activities [7]. Market - This week, the 10Y treasury bond active bond fluctuated in the range of 1.75% - 1.80%, and the 10Y state - owned development active bond fluctuated in the range of 1.83% - 1.89%. The bond market trading remained insensitive to economic data, with overall fragile sentiment and a stronger sensitivity to negative events than positive events [8].

Group 1 - The manufacturing purchasing manager index (PMI) for August is 49.4%, indicating a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, while the non-manufacturing business activity index is at 50.3%, up by 0.2 percentage points, and the comprehensive PMI output index is at 50.5%, rising by 0.3 percentage points, suggesting overall economic expansion in China [1][2][5] - The production index in the manufacturing sector is 50.8%, which is an increase of 0.3 percentage points, marking four consecutive months above the critical point, indicating accelerated manufacturing production [2] - The new orders index stands at 49.5%, reflecting a 0.1 percentage point increase from last month, with certain industries like pharmaceuticals and electronics showing significantly higher production and new orders indices compared to the overall manufacturing sector [2] Group 2 - The price indices for major raw materials and factory prices are 53.3% and 49.1%, respectively, both showing increases of 1.8 and 0.8 percentage points, indicating an overall improvement in market price levels [2] - High-tech manufacturing PMI and equipment manufacturing PMI are at 51.9% and 50.5%, respectively, with increases of 1.3 and 0.2 percentage points, suggesting a strengthening leading role in these sectors [3] - The non-manufacturing business activity index is at 50.3%, with a new orders index of 46.6%, which is a 0.9 percentage point increase, indicating stable supply and demand conditions [4] Group 3 - The service sector's business activity index is at 50.5%, up by 0.5 percentage points, reaching a yearly high, with certain industries like capital market services showing indices above 70.0% [4] - The construction sector's business activity index has decreased to 49.1%, down by 1.5 percentage points due to adverse weather conditions affecting production [4] - Overall, the comprehensive PMI output index remains in the expansion zone, with manufacturing production and non-manufacturing business activity indices indicating accelerated overall business activities [5]

证券研究报告 | 宏观专题研究 | 中国宏观 8 月 PMI：新动能或主要支撑经济修复 —2025 年 8 月 PMI 数据解读 核心观点 8 月制造业采购经理指数（PMI）为 49.4%，较 7 月回升 0.1 个百分点，说明 经济维持修复态势，经济的主要支撑来自政策组合拳协同共振，内生动能尚 有一定改善空间。从结构上看，生产指数和供应商配送时间指数均高于临界 点，新订单指数、原材料库存指数和从业人员指数低于临界点，说明制造业 有效需求依然承压，供给侧的韧性主要来自工业稳增长政策效能释放。我们 认为，前期的"两重"和"两新"等政策稳步发力，新近推出的财政贴息、加 强全国碳市场建设、金融支持新型工业化、"人工智能+"行动等政策也更多 支撑新动能。 从重点行业来看，新动能加快扩张，传统产业边际改善。8 月高技术制造业和 装备制造业 PMI 分别为 51.9%和 50.5%，比上月上升 1.3 和 0.2 个百分点， 支撑引领作用持续增强；消费品行业 PMI 为 49.2%，比上月下降 0.3 个百分 点；高耗能行业 PMI 为 48.2%，比上月上升 0.2 个百分点，景气水平连续回 升。 大类资产方面，我们认 ...

Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Insights - In August, the Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.4%, indicating an improvement in economic conditions compared to the previous month [2] - The production index reached 50.8%, up by 0.3 percentage points, marking four consecutive months above the critical point, suggesting accelerated manufacturing production [2] - The new orders index increased to 49.5%, reflecting a slight rise in demand, with notable performance in the pharmaceutical and electronics sectors [2] - The purchasing activities have accelerated, with the purchasing volume index rising to 50.4% [2] - The prices of major raw materials and factory prices increased, with the raw material purchase price index at 53.3% and factory price index at 49.1%, indicating an overall improvement in market prices [2] Group 2: Enterprise Size and Sector Performance - Large enterprises reported a PMI of 50.8%, up by 0.5 percentage points, indicating sustained expansion [3] - Medium-sized enterprises saw a decline in PMI to 48.9%, reflecting a downturn in economic conditions [3] - Small enterprises experienced a slight improvement with PMI at 46.6%, up by 0.2 percentage points [3] - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing sectors showed strong performance with PMIs of 51.9% and 50.5%, respectively [3] Group 3: Non-Manufacturing Sector Insights - The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index rose to 50.3%, indicating continued expansion in the non-manufacturing sector [5] - The service sector's business activity index reached 50.5%, marking a significant recovery and the highest point of the year [5] - Certain industries, such as capital market services and transportation, reported business activity indices above 60.0%, indicating robust growth [5] - The construction sector's business activity index fell to 49.1% due to adverse weather conditions, reflecting a slowdown [5] Group 4: Comprehensive PMI Overview - The Comprehensive PMI Output Index increased to 50.5%, indicating an overall acceleration in production and business activities across sectors [6] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index were reported at 50.8% and 50.3%, respectively, contributing to the overall expansion [6]