本篇评级为★★★，主要围绕以下内容展开： 1、重要会议点名房地产？ 新闻解读评级说明：五星重磅，四星重要，三星级以下大家选择听。 在关键会议召开之前，市场对"去产能"这个赛道一直有预期，这种政策预期形成了较强的支撑，具备一 定的持续性。 1、重要会议点名房地产？ 本文为妙投付费内容，上述仅为摘要，购买本专栏即可解锁完整内容。新用户可免费领本专栏7天阅读 体验机会，在妙投APP-我的-权益兑换 输入"妙投888"即可领取。 今天的重磅消息比较多，也密集地反映在市场不同行业的涨跌上。我们一条一条来梳理。 2、去产能赛道，潜力透支了吗？ 3、谁在大把买入银行？ 4、战略资源品赛道搞接力赛，如何抓机会？ 5、科技赛道有暖风吗？ 2、去产能赛道，潜力透支了吗？ 第二个方向是我们最近反复提到的"去产能、反内卷"方向。这个方向的目的，是要帮助很多企业恢 复"造血功能"。最近两天，这个赛道表现亮眼，今天仍然是市场的宠儿，尤其是光伏和煤炭。这两个板 块整体涨幅都超过2%，一些小市值公司表现更亮眼，涨幅超过3%。其他只要沾上"去产能"这三个字的 赛道，整体表现都不差，包括水泥、建材等，整体涨幅也在2%左右。 如有疑问请以音频内容 ...

Group 1 - The construction industry has faced intense competition leading to low profit margins and unsustainable practices, prompting 33 major companies to jointly issue an initiative against "involution" [1][2] - The initiative emphasizes the need for the industry to focus on core responsibilities, enhance competitiveness, and resist illegal practices such as subcontracting and false bidding [2][3] - The construction sector has historically prioritized scale over quality, resulting in high output but low profitability, with issues like low-price bidding and excessive debt prevalent [3][6] Group 2 - The cement industry is responding to the "anti-involution" call by pushing for alignment between registered and actual production capacities, aiming for structural optimization and transformation [5][6] - Major waterproof material companies have announced price increases ranging from 1% to 13% to address rising costs and thin profit margins, indicating a shift towards better profitability [6][7] - The recent "anti-involution" movement has led to a rally in the A-share construction and materials sectors, with expectations of profit recovery for companies involved [6][7]

Core Points - The company has completed the registration capital change and the amendment of its Articles of Association following the approval of a share repurchase plan [2][3] - The registered capital of the company is now RMB 323,215.0988 million, reflecting an increase from the previous amount [2] - The company has obtained a new business license from the Jilin Provincial Market Supervision Administration [2] Summary by Sections - **Share Repurchase Plan**: The board of directors approved a share repurchase plan to buy back shares for the purpose of cancellation and reduction of registered capital [2] - **Business License and Registration Details**: The company has updated its business license, with the new registered capital and other relevant details [2] - **Amendments to Articles of Association**: The amendments include changes to the registered capital and total number of shares, while other provisions remain unchanged [2]

Group 1 - The cement sector saw an increase of 1.75%, ranking 8th among concept sectors, with 32 stocks rising, including Sifang New Material and Sichuan Shuangma hitting the daily limit [1] - Notable gainers in the cement sector included Tibet Tianlu, Zhongtai Chemical, and Jinyu Group, which rose by 3.77%, 3.44%, and 2.53% respectively [1] - The sector experienced a net inflow of 233 million yuan, with 16 stocks receiving net inflows, and 8 stocks exceeding 10 million yuan in net inflow [2] Group 2 - The top net inflow stock was Sichuan Shuangma, with a net inflow of 113 million yuan, followed by China Energy Construction, Conch Cement, and Tibet Tianlu with net inflows of 93.47 million yuan, 66.49 million yuan, and 32.38 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The net inflow ratio for Sifang New Material, Sichuan Shuangma, and Ordos was 70.30%, 14.96%, and 14.27% respectively [3] - The trading volume and turnover rates for key stocks in the cement sector were highlighted, with Sichuan Shuangma showing a trading increase of 9.98% and a turnover rate of 5.00% [3][4]

Group 1 - The "anti-involution" policy aligns closely with sustainable development goals, as it aims to govern low-price and disorderly competition in enterprises, enhance product quality, and facilitate the orderly exit of backward production capacity, marking a systemic action against "involution" competition [6] - The policy will assist high-energy-consuming industries in their low-carbon transition by eliminating backward production capacity and optimizing the energy structure, which is crucial for achieving sustainable development [6] - High-energy-consuming industries, including steel, cement, and aluminum smelting, account for 33% of national carbon emissions, with steel at 15%, cement at 13%, and aluminum at 5% [6] Group 2 - The "anti-involution" policy will also support the sustainable development of the renewable energy sector by regulating market order and curbing unhealthy competition, which threatens the industry's sustainability [6] - The renewable energy sector is vital for China's "dual carbon" strategy, as it can significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions and improve energy structure [6] - From 2017 to 2023, the greenhouse gas emissions of renewable energy producers and photovoltaic equipment were 0.08 million tons and 0.28 million tons, respectively, which are significantly lower than emissions from steel and aluminum industries [6]

Group 1: "Anti-Involution" Framework - The government has shifted its focus from merely preventing "involution" to a comprehensive rectification of "involution-style" competition, emphasizing the need for industry self-discipline and the elimination of local protectionism [5][6][8] - Recent high-level meetings have highlighted the importance of addressing "involution-style" competition, with specific measures aimed at promoting a unified national market and improving regulatory frameworks [5][6][8] Group 2: Supply-Side Reform Review - The previous supply-side reform focused on reducing excess capacity in traditional industries through administrative measures, while the current "anti-involution" approach aims to mitigate low-price competition in emerging industries using market-oriented methods [2][17] - The supply-side reform from 2015 to 2017 resulted in significant capacity reductions, with over 170 million tons of steel and 1 billion tons of coal capacity eliminated, leading to improved profitability in related sectors [18][19] Group 3: Market Outlook - The current "anti-involution" market is still in the expectation catalysis phase, with industries like photovoltaic and steel showing positive performance, while others like lithium batteries and e-commerce are lagging [2][3] - The report suggests that industries with lower capacity utilization and higher profit pressures are more likely to self-correct, indicating a potential for improvement in sectors such as photovoltaic equipment and construction materials [2][3] Group 4: Industry-Specific Measures - The government is promoting industry self-discipline and innovation, with initiatives encouraging companies to enhance product quality and phase out outdated capacities [7][14] - Specific industries, including photovoltaic, steel, and cement, are being targeted for regulatory measures to curb low-price competition and promote sustainable development [7][14][16]

Group 1 - The report highlights that government subsidies stimulated sales in Q2, leading to continued positive revenue growth. The competitive landscape in the small home appliance sector has improved, driving profit recovery, while leading players in the major appliance sector are helping to concentrate market share, suggesting an increase in holdings [2][29]. - The report recommends focusing on two main investment lines: 1) The improvement in the competitive landscape of small home appliances brings profit elasticity, particularly in the vacuum cleaner sector, which has high growth potential and low penetration rates. The kitchen small appliances sector is gradually returning to growth after two years of decline, with a significant increase in sales during the 618 shopping festival [2][29]. - The report indicates that leading brands in the white goods sector are dominating the current price competition, leading to increased industry concentration. The export performance of major appliance manufacturers is expected to gradually recover as uncertainties around tariff policies are clarified [3][31]. Group 2 - The company Salted Fish's differentiated product, the konjac sauce, achieved over 100 million in monthly sales within 16 months, setting a record for the fastest-selling snack product. The konjac snack segment is still in a high-growth phase, supported by a strong supply chain and channel capabilities [7][8]. - The company is expanding its overseas market presence with its own brand "Mowon," developing localized products based on local tastes, which is expected to drive growth in international markets [8][9]. - The report maintains an "increase holdings" rating for the company, projecting EPS of 2.99, 3.73, and 4.63 for 2025-2027, with a target price of 100.00 yuan based on strong performance in konjac products [7][8].

Group 1 - China Shipbuilding's merger with China State Shipbuilding Corporation was approved by the Shanghai Stock Exchange on July 9, 2025, marking the conclusion of the largest capital operation in the domestic shipbuilding industry [1] - The Chinese commercial aerospace industry is experiencing a wave of securitization, with Jiangsu Deep Blue Aerospace completing nearly 500 million yuan in financing for reusable rocket development, and Chengdu Guoxing Aerospace submitting a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] - Yunnan's state-owned enterprises are driving investment growth through major projects, while China FAW's vehicle sales exceeded 1.57 million units in the first half of 2025, and the State Grid's 140 peak summer projects have all been put into operation, demonstrating the ongoing efforts of state-owned enterprises in industrial upgrading and public welfare [1] Group 2 - GF Securities indicates that the "anti-involution" policy in 2025 has initiated a new round of supply contraction across industries such as steel, cement, automotive, and photovoltaic [2] - The Steel Association is calling for resistance against "involution-style" competition, while the cement industry is promoting the implementation of capacity replacement policies, and automotive companies are adjusting supplier payment terms and sales strategies [2] - Photovoltaic glass companies collectively reduced production by 30% to alleviate low-price competition, with historical cases of supply contraction indicating that market sentiment typically remains cautious at the policy's onset [2]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility Index (HSHYLV.HI) has increased by 0.61%, with notable movements in constituent stocks such as China Cinda (+2.8%) and Minsheng Bank (+5.2%) [1] - The Hang Seng Low Volatility ETF (159545) has seen significant capital inflows, totaling over 290 million in the last five days and over 730 million in the last 20 days [1] - As of July 9, the Hang Seng Low Volatility ETF (159545) reached a record fund size of 2.609 billion, ranking first among its peers [4] Group 2 - A total of 90 companies are implementing dividend distribution plans today, with 52 companies offering cash dividends of 1 yuan or more per 10 shares, and China Merchants Bank offering the highest at 20 yuan per 10 shares [7] - China Galaxy Securities suggests that in the current uncertain global environment, investors' demand for risk aversion will increase, making dividend assets attractive due to their stable cash flow and high dividend yield [7] - The Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility Index selects 50 high dividend, low volatility stocks from the Hong Kong Stock Connect, achieving a one-year dividend yield of 6.43% [7]

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - In June, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.1% year-on-year after four consecutive months of decline, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) continued to face downward pressure with a year-on-year decline of 3.6% [2][8] - The core CPI remained stable, with a year-on-year increase of 0.7%, indicating limited recovery space due to weak internal consumption dynamics [6][8] - The outlook for July suggests that the CPI may remain under pressure due to tail effects, with a projected decline from 0.1% to -0.4% [8] Group 2: Commodity Prices and Trends - Pork prices in June experienced a significant decline, with a month-on-month drop of 1.2%, influenced by seasonal factors and weak demand during the traditional consumption off-season [4][8] - Energy prices showed a slight recovery, with international oil prices rising due to geopolitical factors, impacting gasoline prices positively [3][7] - The prices of fresh vegetables increased by 0.7% month-on-month, driven by adverse weather conditions and rising transportation costs [4][6] Group 3: Financial Market Dynamics - The U.S. Treasury market saw fluctuations, with a decrease in yields for both 10-year U.S. Treasuries and Chinese dollar bonds, attributed to mixed economic data and dovish signals from the Federal Reserve [16][18] - The outlook for July indicates potential interest rate cuts, which may lead to a decrease in the yield center for Chinese dollar bonds to 5.21% [21][22] - The real estate sector continues to face credit risk, with widening credit spreads for real estate bonds due to weak investment data [17][19] Group 4: Industry-Specific Developments - The construction materials sector is experiencing a seasonal downturn, with cement prices declining due to reduced demand during the summer months [24][25] - The glass fiber market is witnessing a structural differentiation in demand, with expectations for price stability in high-end products despite overall market weakness [26][27] - The non-bank financial sector is showing signs of recovery, with an increase in margin financing balances, supported by government policies aimed at stabilizing the capital market [29][32]