Market Overview - After the National Day holiday, gold prices surged, while equity market indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing higher [4] - In terms of industries, non-ferrous metals, coal, and steel sectors saw the highest gains, while media, electronics, and electrical equipment sectors experienced the largest declines [4] Fund Issuance - Four new funds were established in the domestic market this week, totaling 1.13 billion units issued. This includes two equity funds, one bond fund, and one FOF fund [5] - A total of 24 new funds were issued across the market, comprising 11 equity funds, 6 bond funds, 4 mixed funds, 2 FOF funds, and 1 international (QDII) fund [5] Fund Performance Tracking - Long-term thematic fund indices showed that cyclical theme funds outperformed, while pharmaceutical theme funds continued to decline. As of October 10, 2025, the weekly performance of various thematic funds was as follows: cyclical (3.31%), financial real estate (0.22%), consumption (-1.23%), industry rotation (-1.29%), defense and military (-1.33%), balanced industry (-1.53%), TMT (-3.00%), new energy (-3.01%), and pharmaceuticals (-3.96%) [6] - Passive index funds saw significant performance from cyclical theme products such as non-ferrous metals and coal [6] ETF Market Tracking - Domestic stock ETFs experienced substantial net inflows, with major investments in TMT, new energy, and cyclical industry ETFs, while large-cap theme ETFs saw reductions in holdings. The median return for stock ETFs this week was -0.74%, with a net inflow of 37.626 billion yuan [7] - Hong Kong stock ETFs had a median return of -3.06% and a net inflow of 5.332 billion yuan, while cross-border ETFs had a median return of 1.74% with a net inflow of 0.269 billion yuan. Commodity ETFs had a median return of 2.96% and a net inflow of 3.128 billion yuan [7] - Notably, the Sci-Tech Innovation Board theme ETFs saw significant inflows totaling 5.599 billion yuan, and TMT theme ETFs also experienced substantial inflows of 12.205 billion yuan [7] Fund Positioning - The estimated position of actively managed equity funds increased by 0.07 percentage points compared to the previous week. In terms of industry allocation, sectors such as social services, real estate, and banking received increased funding, while coal, telecommunications, and pharmaceutical sectors faced reductions [8] ESG Financial Products Tracking - One new green bond was issued this week, with a scale of 13.5 billion yuan. The domestic green bond market has steadily developed, with a cumulative issuance scale of 4.87 trillion yuan and a total of 4,185 bonds issued as of October 10, 2025 [9] - In terms of fund performance, the median weekly return for actively managed equity, passive index equity, and bond ESG funds was -2.40%, 0.22%, and 0.06%, respectively. Thematic funds focusing on low-carbon economy, Belt and Road Initiative, and green electricity showed significant outperformance [9] - As of October 10, 2025, there are 215 ESG funds in the domestic market, with a total scale of 167.335 billion yuan [9]

Group 1: Industry Transformation and Cooperation - The forum emphasizes the importance of cooperation between South Korea and China in the context of digital transformation and emerging industries, aiming to enhance mutual understanding and trust [1][3] - The second phase of the South Korea-China Free Trade Agreement negotiations should be expedited, with a suggestion to lower some standards if a consensus cannot be reached [1][3] Group 2: Tourism and Cultural Exchange - Recent policies, such as South Korea's temporary visa exemption for Chinese group tourists, have led to a significant increase in travel interest, with a 70% rise in searches for travel products to Seoul [6][7] - The cultural exchange facilitated by social media platforms like Xiaohongshu is fostering deeper connections between Chinese and Korean citizens, enhancing mutual understanding [5][6] Group 3: Technological Innovation and AI - The rapid development of artificial intelligence is expected to reshape industries, with companies like Yalecar leading innovations in the global tourism sector through AI-driven data platforms [4][9] - The integration of AI in manufacturing processes is being prioritized, with companies like LingShu Intelligent focusing on industrial applications and collaborations with South Korean firms [10] Group 4: Robotics Industry Collaboration - The demand for robots is increasing, but challenges remain for small and medium enterprises in adopting AI technologies; collaboration between South Korea and China in robotics can enhance the industry ecosystem [8][9] - Companies like ZhiYuan Robotics are pushing for deep integration of AI and robotics, promoting open data sharing to foster industry growth [9] Group 5: Cultural and Media Cooperation - The importance of long-term perspectives in media reporting is highlighted, suggesting that both countries' media should focus on fostering positive narratives and mutual understanding [11][12] - Collaborative projects between mainstream media and self-media can help shape public opinion positively and mitigate cognitive biases [12][13]

Group 1 - Longban Media executed a block trade on October 13, with a transaction volume of 297,000 shares and a transaction amount of 3.9828 million yuan, at a price of 13.41 yuan per share [2] - The buyer of the block trade was Shenwan Hongyuan Securities Co., Ltd. International Department, while the seller was Huatai Securities Co., Ltd. Shanghai Branch [2] - The closing price of Longban Media on the same day was 13.41 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 2.33%, with a daily turnover rate of 1.13% and a total transaction amount of 66.771 million yuan [2] Group 2 - Over the past five days, Longban Media's stock has cumulatively decreased by 4.08%, with a total net inflow of funds amounting to 3.0461 million yuan [2] - The company, Heilongjiang Publishing Media Co., Ltd., was established on July 14, 2014, with a registered capital of 4.44444445 billion yuan [2]

证券日报网讯 10月13日晚间，视觉中国发布公告称，公司股票于2025年10月9日、10月10日、10月13日 连续3个交易日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计达到20%以上，属于股票交易异常波动情形。经核实，公司前 期披露的信息不存在需要更正、补充之处。经核实，公司未发现近期公共传媒报道了可能或已经对公司 股票交易价格产生较大影响的未公开重大信息。 （编辑 姚尧） ...

Group 1: Copper and Nickel Market Outlook - Goldman Sachs forecasts copper prices to remain in the range of $10,000 to $11,000 per ton in 2026/2027 [1] - Goldman Sachs predicts nickel prices will decline by 6% to $14,500 per ton by December 2026 due to the need for Indonesian nickel producers to lower profit margins to limit supply growth [1] Group 2: Gold Price Predictions - Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce expects gold prices to rise to $4,500 per ounce in 2026 and 2027, before falling to $4,250 in 2028 and $4,000 in 2029, driven by long-term inflation concerns [1] - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to fears of long-term inflation and wealth preservation, as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy has not adequately addressed these concerns [1] Group 3: Japanese Yen and Interest Rate Expectations - State Street Bank indicates that the delay in interest rate hikes has exacerbated the weakness of the Japanese yen, with market reactions expected if there is no consensus on the appointment of the new Prime Minister [2] Group 4: European Central Bank's Stance - Pantheon Macroeconomics suggests that the European Central Bank is unlikely to lower interest rates in the coming months despite a weak economic outlook, as they may view current economic weakness as temporary [3] Group 5: Chinese Market and Liquidity - China International Capital Corporation highlights October as a potential liquidity resonance window, suggesting that A-shares and Hong Kong stocks offer better value compared to U.S. stocks due to a shift towards a more accommodative monetary policy [4] - The report indicates that the recent escalation in U.S.-China trade tensions is expected to have a weaker impact on A-shares compared to previous events, with a focus on long-term asset revaluation in China [5] Group 6: Gold Market Dynamics - Guoxin Securities notes that the recent rise in gold prices is driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, geopolitical risks, and increased investment demand, marking the beginning of a new strong cycle for gold [6] Group 7: Energy Storage and Lithium Battery Sector - CITIC Securities continues to recommend the energy storage sector, citing a turning point in domestic energy storage economics and a favorable outlook for the lithium battery industry [7] Group 8: Cobalt and Rare Earth Strategic Opportunities - CITIC Securities identifies strategic opportunities in cobalt and rare earths, with new export quotas from the Democratic Republic of Congo expected to lead to a market shift from surplus to shortage [8] Group 9: Market Volatility and Investment Strategy - Everbright Securities predicts that the market may enter a phase of wide fluctuations due to high valuations and cautious capital, while also noting potential support from upcoming policy expectations [9] Group 10: Long-term Outlook for Gold - Guoxin Securities maintains a positive long-term outlook for gold, suggesting that the third wave of opportunities may arise from shifts in capital flows due to the peak of the AI technology wave [10] Group 11: External Shocks and Chinese Market Opportunities - Guotai Junan Securities views external shocks as buying opportunities for the Chinese market, emphasizing the internal certainty of China's transformation and the demand for quality assets [11]

- Model Name: Expected High Dividend Portfolio; Model Construction Idea: The model uses a two-stage approach to construct the expected dividend yield indicator. The first stage calculates the dividend yield based on the annual report's profit distribution, and the second stage predicts and calculates the dividend yield using historical dividends and fundamental indicators. Additionally, two short-term factors affecting dividend yield—reversal factor and profitability factor—are used to assist in screening, and the selection is made from the CSI 300 constituent stocks to construct the expected high dividend portfolio. The portfolio holds 30 stocks each period and rebalances monthly[3][8] - Model Construction Process: 1. Exclude suspended and limit-up stocks from the CSI 300 constituent stocks to form the candidate stock pool[13] 2. Exclude the top 20% of stocks with the highest short-term momentum (i.e., the top 20% of stocks with the highest 21-day cumulative gains) from the stock pool[13] 3. Exclude stocks with declining profitability (i.e., stocks with a negative year-on-year growth rate of quarterly net profit)[13] 4. Rank the remaining stocks in the stock pool by expected dividend yield and select the top 30 stocks with the highest expected dividend yield to construct the portfolio equally weighted[9] - Model Evaluation: The model's historical performance is outstanding, with a cumulative return of 358.90% and a cumulative excess return of 107.44% relative to the CSI 300 Total Return Index. The annualized excess return is 8.87%, with a maximum rolling one-year drawdown of only 12.26% and a monthly excess win rate of 60.19%[11] Model Backtest Results - Expected High Dividend Portfolio, average return in September 2025: -5.35%, underperformed the CSI 300 Index by 8.09% and the CSI Dividend Index by 3.87%[3][14] - Best performing stocks in September 2025: CITIC Special Steel (3.81%), Yutong Bus (-0.35%), Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (-1.75%), Shuanghui Development (-1.90%)[15] Factor Construction and Evaluation - Factor Name: Expected Dividend Yield Factor; Factor Construction Idea: The factor is constructed by predicting dividend distribution using the method of dividend distribution combined with fundamental indicators. Two short-term factors affecting dividend yield—reversal factor and profitability factor—are used to assist in screening[14] - Factor Construction Process: 1. Calculate the dividend yield based on the annual report's profit distribution[8] 2. Predict and calculate the dividend yield using historical dividends and fundamental indicators[8] - Factor Evaluation: The factor is used to assist in screening and constructing the expected high dividend portfolio, which has shown outstanding historical performance[3][8] Factor Backtest Results - Expected Dividend Yield Factor, average return in September 2025: -5.35%, underperformed the CSI 300 Index by 8.09% and the CSI Dividend Index by 3.87%[3][14]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Short - term: Oscillation - Medium - short - term: Bullish [1] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week, the stock index market rose first and then fell. After the holiday, the capital enthusiasm recovered, but the high - level divergence continued. The growth styles such as the ChiNext and the Science and Technology Innovation Board declined, and the four major broad - based indexes closed slightly down. - The US announced a 100% new tariff on Chinese imported goods last Friday, which will transmit bearish sentiment to the domestic A - share market this week. High - position stocks and the ChiNext and Science and Technology Innovation Board with front - running characteristics are expected to continue the downward trend, and small - cap styles such as the CSI 1000 need key defense. However, the direct impact of overseas sentiment transmission on the market is limited, and the indirect impact is more short - term and phased. In the long - term, market adjustments can be regarded as a new layout opportunity. [1][2] 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Last Week's Stock Index Operation Situation 3.1.1 Trade Tensions Resurfaced, and Most Global Stock Indexes Fell - The four major broad - based indexes in the domestic stock index market closed slightly down last week. The weekly gains and losses of the four major stock indexes were: CSI 500 (- 0.19%) > SSE 50 (- 0.47%) > CSI 300 (- 0.51%) > CSI 1000 (- 0.54%). - Overseas, affected by the US government shutdown and the new 100% tariff on Chinese imports, the international risk - aversion sentiment generally increased last week. The VIX fear index rose 25% on Friday, and the three major US stock indexes generally fell. The Nasdaq Index dropped 3.56% on Friday and 2.53% for the week. [1][8] 3.1.2 Non - ferrous Metals and Coal Led the Gains, and the Trading Volume Rebounded Compared with Before the National Day - From the performance of the Shenwan primary industry classification, sectors were significantly differentiated last week. Non - ferrous metals (+ 4.44%) and coal (+ 4.41%) led the gains, while media (- 3.83%) and electronics (- 2.63%) lagged behind. The growth style adjusted, and the cycle and stable styles were relatively strong. - In terms of capital, the A - share trading volume rebounded last week, fluctuating between 2.5 - 2.6 trillion yuan during the week, and the capital entry willingness remained at a relatively strong historical level. [2][9] 3.1.3 The Basis of Stock Index Futures Changed Little, and the Option Volatility Fell Rapidly - In the futures market, the basis (spot - futures) of each stock index futures changed little last week. The far - month discounts of IC and IM slightly expanded compared with before the holiday, while IF and IH basically remained unchanged. The sentiment in the derivatives market was more cautious than that in the spot market. - In the options market, the implied volatility of stock index options fell last week. After the long - holiday effect ended, the average IV of the CSI 300 current - month contract reached the 15 - 16% level, which was at a relatively low historical level. [10] 3.2 Fundamental Elements and Outlook for the Future 3.2.1 The Central Bank Conducted a Net Withdrawal of 152.63 Billion Yuan in the Open Market Last Week - In terms of inter - bank liquidity, the central bank achieved a net withdrawal of 152.63 billion yuan in the open market last week, with open - market reverse repurchase operations of 113.7 billion yuan and a cumulative reverse repurchase maturity amount of 266.33 billion yuan. - In terms of inter - bank interest rates, interest rates at various tenors generally declined last week. The overnight Shibor decreased by 6.50bp, the one - week Shibor decreased by 0.20bp, the two - week Shibor decreased by 22.00bp, R001 decreased by 21.57bp, R007 decreased by 19.98bp, and R014 decreased by 18.49bp. [70] 3.2.2 The Tariff Shock Resurfaced, but the Impact is Expected to be Weaker than in April - The US announced a 100% new tariff on Chinese imported goods last Friday, which led to a spread of panic in the international market. For the A - share market, bearish sentiment is expected to spread this week. High - position stocks and the ChiNext and Science and Technology Innovation Board are expected to continue to decline, and small - cap styles need key defense. However, the direct impact of overseas sentiment on the A - share market is limited. - Futures operation: If there are unclosed long - term trend orders, short positions can be opened on Monday for hedging or temporarily exit the market for observation. For speculators, if the market falls this week, there may be rebound opportunities near the 20 - day moving average and the position on September 4th, and intraday long positions can be used for short - term trading based on these two points. - Options operation: It is very likely that the volatility will increase this week, but the increase is expected to be smaller than that in early April. Short - term participation in buying far - month CSI 1000 put options is recommended, and exit the market in time if there is a profit during the week. For SSE 50 and CSI 300 options, it is recommended to wait for the volatility to rise before entering the double - selling strategy. [2][71] 3.3 Economic Data and Financial Event Forecast 3.3.1 Macroeconomic Data Release No specific data release information was provided in the report. 3.3.2 Key Financial Events - October 13 (to be determined): China's import and export volume in September. - October 13 (20:30): The number of new non - farm payrolls and the unemployment rate in the US in September. - October 15 (to be determined): Financial data such as new social financing and M2 in China in September. - October 15 (20:30): CPI and core CPI in the US in September. - October 16 (20:30): PPI and core PPI in the US in September. - October 18 (10:00): Real estate data (new construction, completion, and construction area of houses) in China in September. [102]

Market Liquidity Overview - R007 decreased from 1.6118% to 1.4850%, a reduction of 12.68 basis points; DR007 fell from 1.4376% to 1.4229%, down by 1.47 basis points. The spread between R007 and DR007 narrowed by 11.21 basis points [9][13] - The net inflow of funds this week was 41.556 billion yuan, an increase of 67.826 billion yuan compared to last week. Fund supply was 85.419 billion yuan, while demand was 43.863 billion yuan. Specifically, fund supply increased by 66.981 billion yuan, with net financing purchases rising by 76.935 billion yuan [13][16] Industry Sector Liquidity Tracking - Most sectors in the CITIC first-level industry index rose this week, with the non-ferrous metals sector showing the strongest performance, gaining 4.35%. Coal and steel sectors also saw slight increases. In contrast, the media and consumer services sectors led the declines, falling by 3.58% and 2.81%, respectively [18][21] - The electronic industry received the most net leveraged funds, totaling 7.780 billion yuan, while the coal industry experienced a net outflow of 0.38 billion yuan, marking the most significant reduction [21][22] Style Sector Liquidity Tracking - The stable style index had the highest increase at 2.58%, while the growth style index saw the largest decline at 1.78%. The growth style remains the most active sector, accounting for 59.89% of the average daily trading volume [3][11]

- The report compares the performance of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 Index (STAR 50), ChiNext Index, and CSI All Share Index before and after the tariff war escalation on April 2, 2025, and October 10, 2025[7][8][9] - The report highlights the increase in the proportion of stocks hitting new highs within the past year across various indices, indicating a higher market recognition and trend strength compared to early April 2025[10][11][12] - The turnover rate of the STAR 50 Index is significantly higher, suggesting a potential overheating and correction risk, while the ChiNext Index and CSI All Share Index have moderate turnover rates[27][28][32] - The valuation metrics (PE_TTM) for the three indices have increased significantly since April 2025, indicating higher market valuations and potential short-term volatility and correction risks[33][37] - The financing balance of the three indices has increased substantially, reflecting a stronger bullish sentiment in the market, but the current market overheating level is lower compared to the 2015 bull market peak[38][39][43] - The report compares the performance of various industries before and after the tariff war escalation, noting that the computer, electronics, and media industries performed well before the escalation, while the communication, non-ferrous metals, and electronics industries performed well after the escalation[44][45][47] - The valuation levels of most industries have increased since April 2025, with the average price-to-book ratio and price-to-earnings ratio percentiles rising significantly, indicating higher market valuations and potential short-term risks for high-valuation sectors[46][48][50] - The report emphasizes the need to be cautious of sectors with high valuation percentiles and recent high trading activity, such as the computer and electronics industries, which may experience short-term volatility[46][54][55]

Core Points - The average stock price of A-shares is 13.64 yuan, with 31 stocks priced below 2 yuan, the lowest being Zitian Tui at 0.33 yuan [1] - Among the low-priced stocks, 14 are ST stocks, accounting for 45.16% of those priced below 2 yuan [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3889.50 points as of October 13 [1] Low-Priced Stocks Summary - Zitian Tui (300280) has the lowest closing price at 0.33 yuan, with a daily decline of 13.16% and a turnover rate of 19.76% [1] - *ST Gao Hong (000851) and *ST Su Wu (600200) follow with closing prices of 0.38 yuan and 1.00 yuan, respectively [1] - Among the low-priced stocks, Shandong Steel (600022) saw an increase of 2.45%, while Zitian Tui experienced the largest drop of 13.16% [1] Additional Low-Priced Stocks Data - Other notable low-priced stocks include *ST Jin Ke (000656) at 1.35 yuan, *ST Yuan Cheng (603388) at 1.57 yuan, and Chongqing Steel (601005) at 1.58 yuan [2] - The overall performance of low-priced stocks shows a significant number of declines, with 24 out of 31 stocks experiencing drops [1][2]