本文首发于公众号"私募排排网"。 （点击↑↑ 上图查看详情 ） 近年来在贸易摩擦背景下，提振内需、刺激消费成为市场中长期主线，不过形成鲜明对比的是，随着消费者结构和消费观念的改变， 美妆、 IP 潮玩、宠物经济等为代表的"新消费"逐渐成为消费新趋势，而白酒、餐饮、消费电子等传统消费依然承压。 2024年以来"新消费"行情已走出多只翻倍股、十倍股，如港股的老铺黄金(2782.21%)、泡泡玛特(1126.12%)、蜜雪冰城(124.81%)、毛戈平 (144.91%)、古茗(175.65%)等；A股的万辰集团(405%)、中宠宠物(160.10%)、会稽山(130.77%)、东鹏饮料(139.08%)等。 目前我国居民消费占GDP比重为38-40%，对比美国、日本的68-70%、55-60%，中长期仍有巨大提升空间。 在后发展阶段， "新消费"赛道有望 成为促消费的重要抓手，当前市场关注度较高的"新消费"赛道包括： 潮玩、茶饮、宠物、新型烟草、黄金珠宝等 ， 其中哪些 "新消费"领域有 望穿越经济周期？（ 点此查看名单 ） 01 从"生存型"向"悦己型"消费！"新消费"或仍处于中早期阶段！ 2024年有关部门主 ...

Core Insights - Tianyuan Pet (301335.SZ) is making a significant move to reverse a two-year decline in net profit exceeding 40% by acquiring 89.7145% of Taotong Technology for 688 million yuan, which is its second-largest customer contributing 7.46% of sales [3][4] - The acquisition reflects Tianyuan Pet's urgent desire to enhance its domestic e-commerce channels after facing challenges in the overseas OEM model [3] - The company has seen a drastic drop in net profit by 40.33% in 2023 and a further decline of 40.13% in 2024, with a net profit margin of only 1.66% [3] Company Performance - Tianyuan Pet's reliance on pet food distribution has resulted in a low gross margin of 8.79%, significantly below competitors like Guibao Pet, which has a gross margin of 36.83% [3] - The company previously had over 90% of its revenue from overseas markets before facing inventory reduction and rising costs [3] Acquisition Details - Taotong Technology, controlled by Fosun's Guo Guangchang, holds agency rights for over 40 international brands and has a projected net profit of 69.09 million yuan in 2024 [4] - The acquisition aims to close the online sales loop and address the traffic shortfall of Tianyuan Pet's own brands, "Chongfafa" and "Xiaoshouxing" [4] Market Dynamics - The acquisition comes with challenges, including a high acquisition premium of 32.78% and a performance guarantee of 225 million yuan over three years, indicating potential risks [5] - The situation highlights a broader trend in the Chinese pet industry, where OEM companies are seeing diminishing profits while brand and channel holders continue to reap benefits [5] - The success of this acquisition will be crucial for Tianyuan Pet's transformation from an "OEM leader" to a "brand operator" [5]

Summary of Yuanfei Pet's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Yuanfei Pet - **Industry**: Pet Food and Supplies - **Market Focus**: Primarily targeting the United States, Europe, Japan, and gradually entering the domestic market Key Points and Arguments Business Performance - **GMV Trend**: Yuanfei Pet's GMV shows a consistent month-on-month increase, with strong performance in both pet food and supplies [2][3] - **Sales Growth**: The company achieved several million yuan in sales in Q1 2025, with a focus on international brands and a successful launch of its own brand, Pikapoo dog snacks [2][10] Product Lines and Market Strategy - **Product Development**: The company operates in two main product lines: pet food and supplies, expanding from chew toys to meat snacks and various pet supplies [4][10] - **Market Entry Strategy**: The domestic market strategy involves three steps: starting with agency operations, launching its own brands, and improving the supply chain [11][12] Production Capacity - **Overseas Production**: Since 2018, Yuanfei Pet has shifted production overseas, with completed capacity in Cambodia. By 2026, food production capacity is expected to reach 1 billion yuan, and supplies capacity around 400 to 500 million yuan [6][8] Order Stability and Trade Impact - **Order Stability**: Despite tariff impacts, overseas orders remain stable, with U.S. orders accounting for approximately 60% to 70% of total orders [7][8] - **Tariff Impact**: The 10% tariff in Southeast Asia is borne by customers, minimizing direct impact on the company [7] Future Growth and Brand Development - **Self-Brand Goals**: Yuanfei aims to achieve a scale of approximately 100 million yuan for its own brands in 2025, with a long-term goal of reaching 300 to 500 million yuan within three years [14][40] - **Profitability Timeline**: The company anticipates reaching breakeven for its self-brands within three years, depending on market conditions and growth rates [15][41] Marketing and Customer Engagement - **Target Demographics**: The Pikapoo brand targets younger consumers, with plans to expand product offerings to drive growth [19][23] - **Online Sales Strategy**: The primary sales channel for self-brands is Douyin (TikTok), with plans to expand to other platforms in the future [16] Financial Metrics - **Gross Margin**: The gross margin for self-brands is stable at 40% to 50%, with a tolerance for short-term losses around 1 million yuan [25][34] - **Profitability of Agency Business**: The agency business maintains a gross margin of 4% to 5%, with a focus on profitable partnerships [29][30] Competitive Landscape - **Market Positioning**: Yuanfei Pet leverages over 20 years of industry experience, combining sales, production, and R&D capabilities to differentiate itself from smaller competitors [13][31] Future Outlook - **Growth Projections**: The company expects stable growth in the global pet industry, driven by customer expansion and product diversification [9][36] - **Investment Plans**: Future capital expenditures are projected to be around 100 million yuan for the Cambodian facility and product line expansion [38] Strategic Focus - **Short-term Strategy**: In the next three years, the company will prioritize agency operations while gradually shifting focus to self-brand development [39] This summary encapsulates the key insights from Yuanfei Pet's conference call, highlighting the company's strategic direction, market positioning, and financial outlook in the pet food and supplies industry.

Trupanion (TRUP) FY Conference June 03, 2025 04:20 PM ET Speaker0 Okay. Good afternoon, everyone. Thanks thanks for joining us here. My name is Brandon Vasquez. For those of you who haven't met, I'm the research analyst at William Blair that covers Trupanion. And I'm required to inform you that you can go to our website at williamblair.com for a complete list of disclosures and potential conflicts of interest. With that, I'm happy to have Margie Tooth with us from Trupanion, the CEO. She's going to run us t ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a rebound on June 3, with broad-based gains across indices, indicating a positive market response to domestic demand and policy support despite external trade tensions [2][7]. Market Dynamics - The market is characterized by "domestic demand-driven and policy-supported" dynamics, with financials, pharmaceuticals, and new consumption sectors attracting significant capital [2][10]. - Recent developments in U.S. tariff issues have heightened market risk aversion, leading to a surge in gold prices and declines in Hong Kong stocks, but the A-share market showed resilience by recovering losses [2][3]. Sector Performance - The consumer sector, particularly in beauty care, maternal and infant care, and pet products, has become a safe haven for funds due to policy support and consumption recovery [3][9]. - The banking sector is favored for its "high dividend and low volatility" characteristics, with several banks reaching historical highs amid increased institutional investment [7][10]. - The precious metals sector is gaining traction as a hedge against geopolitical conflicts and U.S. debt risks, becoming a core tool for mitigating uncertainty [3][9]. Structural Trends - The innovation drug sector is witnessing a fundamental reversal, driven by significant advancements showcased at international conferences, boosting industry confidence [4][9]. - Conversely, sectors like home appliances and steel are experiencing declines due to tariff impacts and reduced earnings certainty, reflecting a market strategy of "avoiding external demand and protecting internal demand" [5][10]. Outlook - Looking ahead to June, the marginal impact of tariff issues is expected to weaken, with domestic policies and industry fundamentals remaining focal points [6]. - In the absence of major catalysts, broad indices are likely to maintain a sideways trend, with structural opportunities emerging in new consumption, defensive sectors, and performance reversals in pharmaceuticals and beauty care [6][9].

证券研究报告 晨会 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 03 日 投资要点： 资料来源：聚源，华源证券研究所，截至2025年06月03日 华源晨会精粹 20250603 北交所 宠物经济持续升温，关注路斯股份等北交所宠物产业链标的——北交所消费 服务产业跟踪第十六期：我国宠物经济近年来持续增长，国产品牌发展势头正盛。 整体市场规模上，中国城镇宠物（犬猫）消费已从 2018 年的 1708 亿元人民币增长 至 2024 年的 3002 亿元，期间年复合增长率达 9.86%。其中"猫经济"的增长尤为 突出。消费结构层面，宠物食品仍是主要消费市场。宠物食品行业竞争格局方面， 2024 年我国宠物食品线上市场 CR10 仅为 33.7%，较为分散，并且国产品牌不断崛 起，海外品牌地位有所下滑。宠物食品出口来看，2025 年 1-4 月宠物出口金额累计 达到 32.6 亿元，同比增长 7.2%。单 4 月同比下滑主要是美国贸易政策影响，后续 应持续关注关税情况。北交所宠物产业链相关公司有路斯股份和海能技术。本周北 交所消费服务股股价涨跌幅中值+2.03%。 风险提示：宏观经济环境变动风险、市场竞争风险、资 ...

文 ： 华创证券研究所副所长 、首席宏观分析师 张瑜（执业证号：S0360518090001） 联系人： 陆银波（15210860866） 袁玲玲（微信 Yuen43） 结构亮点：传统民俗 & "新"消费并举 端午假期，消费结构呈现两大亮点：一是传统民俗体验；二是多个领域"新"消费实现较高增速 。 传统 民俗方面 ，龙舟赛事、民俗表演带动地区旅游热，粽子等民俗消费也实现较高增速。 "新"消费方面， 宠物经济、运动户外、演艺巡游、悦己消费维持高热度。如宠物经济方领域，携宠出行成新趋势，宠 物酒店呈"量价双升"。如运动户外领域，" 618 "开门红阶段，电商平台上，运动服饰及器材、户外装 备销售额实现 2-3 倍增长。 每周经济观察： （一）景气向上 核心观点 端午假期，整体出行增速偏低，不及预期。结构呈现两大亮点：一是传统民俗消费；二是"新"消费， 以演艺经济、运动户外、宠物经济、悦己消费为代表。 报告摘要 整体出行：不及预期，或受南方降雨影响 端午假期出行数据增速偏低，不及预期。 据央视新闻报道，端午假期三天，预计全社会跨区域人员流 动量同比增长 3.0% ，低于此前交通运输部预期的 7.7% 。出行数据或受 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Last week (May 26 - May 30, 2025), the A - share market first rose on high volume due to the easing of Sino - US trade negotiations and then entered a volatile adjustment. The sector rotation speed has accelerated recently, and the volatile market pattern remains unchanged [11]. - The innovation drug sector continued to rise last week, driven by multiple favorable events. However, the market heat may have reached a phased high, and the phased market of innovation drugs may end once the strong logical support weakens [12]. - The "new consumption" market has spread from the prosperity of leading stocks to a beta market, and has now entered the marginal spread stage, but its sustainability is uncertain [13]. - The technology sector has reached a stage where layout directions can be explored, as small - cap stocks show signs of peaking and the TMT trading volume as a proportion of the total A - share trading volume has fallen to a relatively low level [14]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Weekly Market Observation 3.1.1 Equity Market Review and Observation - The A - share market first rose on high volume and then oscillated last week. The WanDe All - A Index fell 0.02% for the whole week. The environmental protection, pharmaceutical biology, national defense and military industry, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery sectors led the gains, while the automobile, power equipment, non - ferrous metals, and comprehensive sectors underperformed [11]. - As of May 30, the trading volume proportions of the CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 indexes in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets reached 19.59% and 33.26% respectively, both at 5 - year peak levels. Since 2020, the trading volume proportion of the CSI 2000 index has risen from less than 15% to over 30%, while that of the CSI 300 index has dropped from nearly 50% to less than 20%. The A - share market is a stock and shrinking market, and market participants are engaging in a stock game in small - and medium - cap stocks [11]. - The innovation drug sector continued to rise, driven by the approval of 11 innovative drugs from 8 Chinese companies on May 29 and important clinical data disclosed at the 2025 ASCO Annual Meeting from May 30 - June 3. However, the market heat may have reached a peak, and the phased market may end if strong logical support weakens [12]. - The "new consumption" market has spread from leading stocks to various directions such as new - listed Hong Kong - listed tea drinks, A - share pet and beauty care sectors. The market focus has shifted from pet food to non - liquor products, and the market has entered the marginal spread stage with uncertain sustainability [13]. - The technology sector has reached a stage for layout, as small - cap stocks show signs of peaking and the TMT trading volume proportion has declined. Upcoming industrial events in June may act as catalysts [14]. 3.1.2 Public Fund Market Dynamics - On May 30, 2025, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Company optimized the compilation plan of the SSE 380 Index and launched the SSE 580 Index, forming a flagship broad - based index system of "SSE 50, SSE 180, SSE 380, and SSE 580". The index system covers 50% of the number of Shanghai - listed securities and nearly 90% of the market value [15]. - The SSE index system has established an "integrated two - wing" index brand of "flagship broad - based + science and technology innovation + dividend", which is an important part of promoting the entry of long - term funds into the market [16]. 3.2 Active Equity Fund Index Performance Tracking | Index Classification | Last Week | Last Month | Year - to - Date | Since Inception | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Active Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.12% | 1.45% | 4.59% | 5.44% | | Value Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.15% | 2.80% | 1.42% | 1.50% | | Balanced Stock Fund Preferred | 0.03% | 2.51% | 2.06% | - 0.17% | | Growth Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.01% | 0.94% | 9.74% | - 0.13% | | Pharmaceutical Stock Fund Preferred | 3.78% | 6.65% | 23.08% | 6.62% | | Consumption Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.93% | 3.15% | 7.37% | 0.46% | | Technology Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.01% | - 0.44% | 2.05% | 3.65% | | High - end Manufacturing Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.30% | - 0.95% | - 4.28% | - 8.90% | | Cyclical Stock Fund Preferred | - 0.81% | 3.01% | 4.22% | - 3.14% | [17] 3.2.1 Active Stock Fund Preferred - The portfolio selects 15 funds each period, with equal - weight allocation. Core positions select active equity funds based on performance competitiveness and style stability in value, balanced, and growth styles, and balance the style distribution according to the CSI Active Stock Fund Index [18]. 3.2.2 Value Stock Fund Preferred - The value style includes deep - value and quality - value styles. The index is composed of 10 funds selected from deep - value, quality - value, and balanced - value styles based on multi - period style classification [20]. 3.2.3 Balanced Stock Fund Preferred - Balanced - style fund managers balance stock valuation and growth, and switch to stocks with higher cost - performance. The index is composed of 10 funds selected from relatively balanced and value - growth styles based on multi - period style classification [21]. 3.2.4 Growth Stock Fund Preferred - The growth style aims to capture the double - click opportunity of performance and valuation during a company's high - growth stage. The index is composed of 10 funds selected from active - growth, quality - growth, and balanced - growth styles based on multi - period style classification [24]. 3.2.5 Pharmaceutical Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 60% in the pharmaceutical industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and the representative index (CITIC Pharmaceutical). An evaluation system is established, and 15 funds are selected to form the index [24]. 3.2.6 Consumption Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 50% in the consumption industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and representative indexes (CITIC Automobile, Home Appliances, etc.). An evaluation system is established, and 10 funds are selected to form the index [29]. 3.2.7 Technology Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 60% in the technology industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and representative indexes (CITIC Electronics, etc.). An evaluation system is established, and 10 funds are selected to form the index [30]. 3.2.8 High - end Manufacturing Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 50% in the high - end manufacturing industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and representative indexes (CITIC Construction, etc.). An evaluation system is established, and 10 funds are selected to form the index [34]. 3.2.9 Cyclical Stock Fund Preferred - The index selects funds with an average purity of no less than 50% in the cyclical industry based on the intersection market value of fund equity holdings and representative indexes (CITIC Petroleum & Petrochemical, etc.). An evaluation system is established, and 5 funds are selected to form the index [36].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on new consumption sectors, particularly in pet products, AI glasses, and personal care, indicating a "Buy" recommendation for several companies in these areas [5][13][19]. Core Insights - The report highlights the emergence of new consumption sectors, including the pet products market, AI glasses, and personal care, with specific companies recommended for investment [5][13][19]. - It emphasizes the resilience of domestic brands in the personal care sector, driven by the rise of local products and consumer demand [13][14]. - The report notes the expected stabilization of paper prices due to recent price increase notices and supply adjustments, suggesting a potential recovery in the paper industry [24][25]. - The housing market is projected to gradually stabilize, supported by government policies aimed at promoting healthy development, which is expected to positively impact the home furnishings sector [26][27][28]. Summary by Sections New Consumption Sectors - The report identifies key players in the pet products sector, such as Tianyuan Pet, Yiyi Co., Yuanfei Pet, and Chaoyun Group, highlighting their strategic acquisitions and market positions [5][6][7][8]. - In the AI glasses segment, companies like Kangnait Optical, Mingyue Lens, and Boshi Glasses are noted for their potential benefits from new product launches and technological advancements [10][12]. - The personal care sector is characterized by strong domestic brands like Baiya Co., Haoyue Care, and Dengkang Oral Care, which are expected to thrive amid rising consumer preferences for local products [13][14]. Paper Industry - The report mentions that Arauco has announced price increases for cultural paper and white cardboard, indicating a potential stabilization in paper prices [24]. - It also discusses the long-term supply-demand improvements expected in the paper industry, recommending companies with integrated operations and strong management, such as Sun Paper [25]. Housing and Home Furnishings - The report outlines government initiatives to support the real estate market, which are anticipated to enhance the valuation of home furnishing companies like Sophia and Oppein [26][27]. - It highlights the positive impact of the "old-for-new" subsidy policies on the home furnishings sector, with significant sales growth reported in related products [28].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook on the pet economy, particularly focusing on companies like Lusi Co., Ltd. and Haineng Technology within the pet industry chain [1][2] Core Insights - The pet economy in China has shown continuous growth, with the market size for urban pet consumption increasing from 170.8 billion RMB in 2018 to 300.2 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.86% [2][5] - The "cat economy" has outpaced the dog market, with a CAGR of 14.18% from 2018 to 2024, while the dog market grew at 6.69% [5] - Pet food remains the primary consumption market, accounting for 52.8% of the total pet consumption in 2024, with a steady increase in the share of staple food and nutritional products [5][11] - E-commerce platforms are the main sales channels for pet products, with a remarkable CAGR of 34.5% in pet food sales from 2017 to 2024 [2][11] - The competitive landscape in the pet food industry is fragmented, with the top 10 brands holding only 33.7% of the online market share in 2024 [2][11] Summary by Sections Market Growth - The overall market for urban pet consumption in China is projected to grow significantly, with a 7.48% year-on-year increase in 2024 [5] - The pet food market is expected to continue its upward trajectory, driven by increasing demand for staple foods and nutritional products [5][11] E-commerce Dynamics - E-commerce sales of pet food are thriving, with a 17% year-on-year growth in the first four months of 2025 [2][11] - New content e-commerce platforms like Douyin are emerging as strong competitors to traditional e-commerce giants [2][11] Company Performance - Lusi Co., Ltd. is focusing on expanding its domestic and international markets, with a projected revenue of 778 million RMB in 2024, representing an 11.68% year-on-year growth [2][23] - The company has seen a significant increase in its overseas revenue, which reached 483 million RMB in 2024, up 16.6% year-on-year [2][20][21] Industry Valuation - The median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the broader consumer sector has decreased from 70.5X to 67.6X [38] - The P/E ratio for the food and agriculture sector has increased from 53.2X to 55.2X, indicating a positive sentiment towards these industries [39]